UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys New Bern 1
  
New Bern              
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 84.8254

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 A Hoggard (10- 1, 98.6) 1-15 304 H Topsail (10- 3, 98.2) 0-18 306 A Laney ( 7- 5, 93.6) 5-17 309 A New Hanover ( 2-10, 82.8) 13- 7 310 H Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 7-13 313 A Fuquay-Varina ( 2- 8, 82.7) 5- 3 323 A Northside ( 8- 1, 88.8) 8-13 324 A West Carteret ( 4- 4, 85.8) 10-15 326 A JH Rose ( 7- 1, 88.1) 12-14 407 A Chapel Hill ( 7- 6, 88.8) 4-18 408 A Havelock ( 1- 5, 80.3) 14- 8 410 H East Chapel Hill ( 6- 4, 89.4) 4- 9 414 H Jacksonville ( 6- 3, 87.6) 7- 8 420 H JH Rose ( 7- 1, 88.1) 422 H Swansboro ( 6- 5, 86.3) 427 A Northwood ( 8- 5, 88.0) 429 H Croatan ( 6- 4, 95.3) 504 H Ashley ( 6- 4, 94.9) 506 H First Flight ( 3- 1, 90.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Hoggard                 1-15     -14   -14           0.00
   304 H Topsail                 0-18     -18   -13           0.00
   306 A Laney                   5-17     -12    -9           0.00
   309 A New Hanover            13- 7       6     2    +      3.26
   310 H Northside               7-13      -6    -4          -1.39
   313 A Fuquay-Varina           5- 3       2     2           0.16
   323 A Northside               8-13      -5    -4          -0.75
   324 A West Carteret          10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.68
   326 A JH Rose                12-14      -2    -4           1.59
   407 A Chapel Hill             4-18     -14    -4          -0.70
   408 A Havelock               14- 8       6     4           0.76
   410 H East Chapel Hill        4- 9      -5    -4          -0.72
   414 H Jacksonville            7- 8      -1    -3           1.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A West Carteret          10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A New Hanover            13- 7       6     2    +      3.26

New Bern Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS New Bern   New Bern
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins New Bern   New Bern
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness New Bern   New Bern
Bradford Prep New Bern   New Bern
Broughton Broughton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Broughton
Butler New Bern   New Bern
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS New Bern   New Bern
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro Carrboro   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian New Bern   New Bern
Cary HS New Bern   New Bern
Cedar Ridge New Bern tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) New Bern
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill Chapel Hill  
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Clayton
Cleveland New Bern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Bern
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter New Bern   New Bern
Croatan Croatan Croatan   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill  
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance New Bern   New Bern
Eastern Guilford New Bern   New Bern
Enloe Enloe tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Enloe
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight First Flight   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina New Bern New Bern  
Garner New Bern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Bern
Glenn Glenn   Glenn
Grays Creek New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley New Bern   New Bern
Havelock New Bern New Bern  
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory New Bern   New Bern
High Point Central High Point Central   High Point Central
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt New Bern   New Bern
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
Jacksonville Jacksonville Jacksonville  
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
John Paul II Catholi New Bern insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) New Bern
Jordan New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney Laney  
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor New Bern   New Bern
Mountain Island Char New Bern   New Bern
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Hanover New Bern New Bern  
North Brunswick New Bern tied - ( 1- 5) ( 1- 5) New Bern
North Davidson New Bern   New Bern
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ New Bern   New Bern
Northern Durham Northern Durham   Northern Durham
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside Northside  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northwood
Page Page insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Page
Panther Creek New Bern   New Bern
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton New Bern   New Bern
Pine Forest Pine Forest   Pine Forest
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge New Bern   New Bern
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale New Bern   New Bern
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham New Bern tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bern
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville New Bern   New Bern
Roxboro Community New Bern   New Bern
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) South Brunswick
South Garner New Bern insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Bern
South Iredell New Bern   New Bern
South Mecklenburg New Bern   New Bern
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance New Bern   New Bern
Southeast Guilford New Bern   New Bern
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford New Bern   New Bern
St Davids School New Bern   New Bern
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Swansboro insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Swansboro
TC Roberson New Bern   New Bern
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail Topsail  
Union Pines Union Pines insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Union Pines
Vance Charter Vance Charter   Vance Charter
Voyager Academy New Bern   New Bern
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep New Bern   New Bern
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams   Walter M Williams
Watauga New Bern   New Bern
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick New Bern insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) New Bern
West Carteret West Carteret West Carteret  
West Forsyth New Bern   New Bern
West Stokes New Bern   New Bern
Western Alamance New Bern   New Bern
Western Guilford New Bern   New Bern
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hoggard         (10- 1, 98.6)     1-15       -1.34      28.69       0.32         0.72            -0.74
   0 H Topsail         (10- 3, 98.2)     0-18       -1.72      28.31      -0.32         0.72            -1.47
   0 A Laney           ( 7- 5, 93.6)     5-17       -6.26      23.76       0.32         0.72            -4.30
   0 A New Hanover     ( 2-10, 82.8)    13- 7      -17.14      12.89       0.32         0.72             9.56
   0 H Northside       ( 8- 1, 88.8)     7-13      -11.15      18.88      -0.32         0.72            -8.30
   0 A Fuquay-Varina   ( 2- 8, 82.7)     5- 3      -17.23      12.79       0.32         0.72             9.49
   0 A Northside       ( 8- 1, 88.8)     8-13      -11.15      18.88       0.32         0.72            -7.84
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4- 4, 85.8)    10-15      -14.07      15.95       0.32         0.72            -9.96
   0 A JH Rose         ( 7- 1, 88.1)    12-14      -11.80      18.23       0.32         0.72            -8.31
   0 A Chapel Hill     ( 7- 6, 88.8)     4-18      -11.10      18.93       0.32         0.72            -7.80
   0 A Havelock        ( 1- 5, 80.3)    14- 8      -19.64      10.39       0.32         0.72             7.75
   0 H East Chapel Hi  ( 6- 4, 89.4)     4- 9      -10.47      19.55      -0.32         0.72            -7.81
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6- 3, 87.6)     7- 8      -12.25      17.77      -0.32         0.72            -9.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -38.83

winning pts = 26.8025 losing points = -65.6302

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------