boys Nazareth Area 1

  
Nazareth Area         
W-L: ( 5- 1)  PR =    88.3312
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 317 H Northampton Area                     ( 3- 5, 85.7)     8- 7   
 319 A Northwestern Lehigh                  ( 3- 3, 87.0)    14- 8   
 320 A Delaware Valley                      ( 4- 1, 88.4)     9- 7   
 324 H Pleasant Valley                      ( 3- 4, 85.3)    14- 6   
 326 H Moravian Academy                     ( 4- 1, 87.4)    10-16   
 331 A Liberty  Bethlehem                   ( 1- 7, 81.3)    20- 1   
 407 H Allentown Central Ca                 ( 3- 3, 90.1)   
 409 A Emmaus                               ( 4- 4, 88.2)   
 411 A Abington Heights                     ( 3- 1, 85.2)   
 414 H Southern Lehigh                      ( 3- 3, 88.2)   
 416 A Saucon Valley                        ( 1- 4, 83.3)   
 418 H Pleasant Valley                      ( 3- 4, 85.3)   
 420 A Bethlehem Catholic                   ( 0- 5, 81.8)   
 421 H Parkland                             ( 5- 2, 89.8)   
 424 H Northwestern Lehigh                  ( 3- 3, 87.0)   
 425 H Northampton Area                     ( 3- 5, 85.7)   
 428 H Freedom Bethlehem                    ( 2- 3, 85.2)   
 430 A Easton Area                          ( 5- 0, 92.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Northampton Area        8- 7       1     3          -1.94
   319 A Northwestern Lehigh    14- 8       6     1    ++     4.03
   320 A Delaware Valley         9- 7       2     0    +      2.40
   324 H Pleasant Valley        14- 6       8     3           1.60
   326 H Moravian Academy       10-16      -6     1    ---   -6.23
   331 A Liberty  Bethlehem     20- 1      19     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Moravian Academy       10-16      -6     1    ---   -6.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Northwestern Lehigh    14- 8       6     1    ++     4.03
   320 A Delaware Valley         9- 7       2     0    +      2.40

Nazareth Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Academy New Church	Academy New Church			Academy New Church
AIM Academy	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Allentown Central Ca	Allentown Central Ca		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Allentown Central Ca
Archbishop Carroll	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Archbishop Ryan	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Archbishop Wood	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Avon Grove	Avon Grove			Avon Grove
Avon Grove Charter	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Bayard Rustin	Bayard Rustin			Bayard Rustin
Bethlehem Catholic	Nazareth Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan			Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Bonner-Prendergast	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Boyertown	Boyertown			Boyertown
Cardinal OHara	Cardinal OHara			Cardinal OHara
Central Bucks East	Central Bucks East			Central Bucks East
Central Bucks South	Central Bucks South			Central Bucks South
Central Bucks West	Central Bucks West			Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Cheltenham	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Church Farm School	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Coatesville	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Council Rock North	Council Rock North			Council Rock North
Council Rock South	Council Rock South			Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Devon Prep	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West			Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Easton Area
Emmaus	Nazareth Area		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Nazareth Area
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Father Judge			Father Judge
Frankford	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Freedom Bethlehem	Nazareth Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Nazareth Area
Garnet Valley	Garnet Valley			Garnet Valley
George School	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
George Washington	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy			Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Harriton	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Hatboro-Horsham	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Haverford School			Haverford School
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Interboro	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Jack Barrack Academy	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Kennett	Kennett			Kennett
La Salle College	La Salle College			La Salle College
Lansdale Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Liberty Bethlehem	Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area
Lower Merion	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Malvern Prep	Malvern Prep			Malvern Prep
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown			Marple Newtown
Masterman	Masterman			Masterman
Mastery Charter Nort	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Methacton	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Moravian Academy	Moravian Academy	Moravian Academy
Neshaminy	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
New Hope-Solebury	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
North Penn	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Northampton Area	Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area
Northeast	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Northwestern Lehigh	Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area
Olney Charter	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Owen J Roberts	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Oxford Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Parkland	Parkland		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Parkland
Penn Charter	Penn Charter			Penn Charter
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Pennsbury			Pennsbury
Perkiomen School	Perkiomen School			Perkiomen School
Perkiomen Valley	Perkiomen Valley			Perkiomen Valley
Phoenixville	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Pleasant Valley	Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Pope John Paul II	Pope John Paul II			Pope John Paul II
Pottsgrove	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Quakertown	Nazareth Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Radnor	Radnor			Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Saucon Valley	Nazareth Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Shipley School	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Solanco	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Souderton	Souderton			Souderton
South Philadelphia	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Southern Lehigh	Nazareth Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Nazareth Area
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Springfield-Delco	Springfield-Delco			Springfield-Delco
Springside Chestnut	Springside Chestnut			Springside Chestnut
St Josephs Prep	St Josephs Prep			St Josephs Prep
Strath Haven	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Sun Valley	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Truman	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Unionville	Unionville			Unionville
Upper Darby	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Upper Dublin	Upper Dublin			Upper Dublin
Upper Merion	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Upper Moreland	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
West Chester East	West Chester East			West Chester East
West Chester Henders	West Chester Henders			West Chester Henders
West Philadelphia	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Westtown	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
William Tennent	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Wissahickon	Wissahickon			Wissahickon
Baldwin	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Bethel Park	Bethel Park			Bethel Park
Butler Area	Butler Area			Butler Area
Canon-McMillan	Canon-McMillan			Canon-McMillan
Cathedral Prep	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Central Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Chartiers Valley	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Conneaut	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Erie-McDowell	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Fairview	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Fox Chapel	Fox Chapel			Fox Chapel
Franklin Regional	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Freeport Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Gateway	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Greensburg Central C	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Hampton	Hampton			Hampton
Hempfield Greensburg	Hempfield Greensburg			Hempfield Greensburg
Hickory	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Indiana Area	Indiana Area			Indiana Area
Knoch	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Latrobe	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Mars Area	Mars Area			Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Moon Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon			Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	North Allegheny			North Allegheny
North Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
North Hills	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Norwin	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Penn-Trafford	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Peters Township	Peters Township			Peters Township
Pine Richland	Pine Richland			Pine Richland
Plum	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Quaker Valley	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Seneca Valley	Seneca Valley			Seneca Valley
Seton LaSalle	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Sewickley Academy	Sewickley Academy			Sewickley Academy
Shady Side Academy	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Shaler Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
South Fayette	South Fayette			South Fayette
Taylor Allderdice	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Trinity Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair			Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Winchester Thurston	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Abington Heights	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Bellefonte	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Berks Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Bishop McDevitt	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Carlisle	Carlisle			Carlisle
Cedar Cliff	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Cedar Crest	Cedar Crest			Cedar Crest
Central Dauphin	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Central Dauphin East	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Central York	Central York			Central York
Chambersburg	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Cocalico	Cocalico			Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Conestoga Valley			Conestoga Valley
Conrad Weiser	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Crestwood	Nazareth Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley			Cumberland Valley
Dallas	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Dallastown	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Daniel Boone	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Danville Area	Nazareth Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Delaware Valley	Nazareth Area	Nazareth Area
Delone Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Dover Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Eastern York	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Elizabethtown	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Ephrata	Ephrata			Ephrata
Exeter Township	Exeter Township			Exeter Township
Garden Spot	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Gettysburg	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Governor Mifflin	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Hempfield	Hempfield			Hempfield
Hershey	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Kennard-Dale	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Lake-Lehman	Nazareth Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Lakeland	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Lampeter-Strasburg	Lampeter-Strasburg			Lampeter-Strasburg
Lancaster CDS	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Lewisburg	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Lower Dauphin	Lower Dauphin			Lower Dauphin
Manheim Township	Manheim Township			Manheim Township
Mechanicsburg	Mechanicsburg			Mechanicsburg
Mifflin County	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Mifflinburg	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Muhlenberg	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
New Oxford	New Oxford			New Oxford
North Pocono	Nazareth Area		Nazareth Area 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northern York	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Palmyra	Palmyra			Palmyra
Penn Manor	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Red Lion	Red Lion			Red Lion
Schuylkill Valley	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Scranton Prep	Scranton Prep			Scranton Prep
Selinsgrove	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
South-Western	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Spring Grove	Spring Grove			Spring Grove
State College	State College			State College
Susquehannock	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Trinity HS	Trinity HS			Trinity HS
Tunkhannock	Nazareth Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Nazareth Area
Twin Valley	Twin Valley			Twin Valley
Warwick	Warwick			Warwick
West York	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Wilkes-Barre Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Wilson West Lawn	Wilson West Lawn			Wilson West Lawn
Wyoming Area	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
Wyoming Seminary	Wyoming Seminary			Wyoming Seminary
Wyomissing	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
York Catholic	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area
York Suburban	Nazareth Area			Nazareth Area

PowerWise = 136

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 4.78

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northampton Ar  ( 3- 5, 85.7)     8- 7      -14.16      13.71      -0.35         0.80            10.65
   0 A Northwestern L  ( 3- 3, 87.0)    14- 8      -12.89      14.98       0.35         0.80            12.22
   0 A Delaware Valle  ( 4- 1, 88.4)     9- 7      -11.52      16.35       0.35         0.80            13.32
   0 H Pleasant Valle  ( 3- 4, 85.3)    14- 6      -14.62      13.25      -0.35         0.80            10.29
   0 H Moravian Acade  ( 4- 1, 87.4)    10-16      -12.45      15.41      -0.35         0.80           -10.21
   0 A Liberty  Bethl  ( 1- 7, 81.3)    20- 1      -18.60       9.26       0.35         0.80             7.67
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        43.93

winning pts = 54.1401 losing points = -10.2083

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------