UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Natick 1
  
Natick                
W-L: ( 6- 2) PR = 91.3401

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 H Algonquin ( 0- 9, 86.6) 16- 5 331 A Brookline ( 3- 4, 85.2) 16- 8 402 A Framingham ( 1- 8, 85.3) 14- 1 407 A Newton North ( 8- 1, 94.0) 8-13 409 A Weymouth ( 2- 8, 82.0) 10- 3 414 A Wellesley ( 2- 7, 89.1) 11- 8 416 H Milton HS ( 7- 2, 91.6) 8- 9 422 H Lexington ( 3- 6, 88.5) 11- 6 428 H Braintree ( 1- 8, 80.7) 430 H Needham ( 2- 6, 89.9) 505 H Brookline ( 3- 4, 85.2) 507 H Framingham ( 1- 8, 85.3) 509 A Dover-Sherborn ( 5- 3, 88.7) 512 H Newton North ( 8- 1, 94.0) 515 A Walpole ( 8- 2, 94.6) 519 H Wellesley ( 2- 7, 89.1) 521 A Wayland ( 0- 7, 79.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Algonquin              16- 5      11     5           0.23
   331 A Brookline              16- 8       8     6           0.00
   402 A Framingham             14- 1      13     6           0.00
   407 A Newton North            8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.31
   409 A Weymouth               10- 3       7     9           0.00
   414 A Wellesley              11- 8       3     2           0.80
   416 H Milton HS               8- 9      -1     0          -0.74
   422 H Lexington              11- 6       5     3    +      2.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Newton North            8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.31

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Lexington              11- 6       5     3    +      2.19

Natick PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Natick tied -  1- 1 Natick
Acton Boxborough Acton Boxborough   Acton Boxborough
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Natick Natick  
Amesbury Natick   Natick
Amherst-Pelham Reg Natick   Natick
AMSA Charter Natick   Natick
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Regional Natick   Natick
Archbishop Williams Natick   Natick
Arlington Catholic Natick   Natick
Arlington HS Natick tied -  0- 1 Natick
Ashland Natick   Natick
Assabet Valley RVT Natick   Natick
Attleboro Natick   Natick
Auburn Natick   Natick
Barnstable Natick   Natick
Bay Path RVT Natick   Natick
Bedford Natick   Natick
Belchertown Natick   Natick
Bellingham Natick   Natick
Belmont Natick   Natick
Beverly Natick   Natick
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial   Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Natick   Natick
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang   Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley RV Natick   Natick
Blue Hills RVT Natick   Natick
Boston College HS Boston College HS   Boston College HS
Boston Latin School Natick   Natick
Bourne Natick   Natick
Braintree Natick Natick   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Bridgewater-Raynham Natick   Natick
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Natick   Natick
Brookline Natick Natick  
Burlington Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Cambridge Rindge-Lat Natick   Natick
Canton Canton Canton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cape Cod Academy Natick   Natick
Cape Cod Tech Natick   Natick
Cardinal Spellman Natick   Natick
Catholic Memorial Natick tied -  1- 1 Natick
Central Catholic Natick   Natick
Chelmsford Natick   Natick
Chicopee Comprehensi Natick   Natick
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Natick   Natick
Danvers Natick   Natick
Dartmouth Natick   Natick
Dedham Natick   Natick
Dennis-Yarmouth Regi Natick   Natick
Dighton-Rehoboth Reg Natick   Natick
Doherty Memorial Natick   Natick
Dover-Sherborn Natick   Natick
Dracut Dracut tied -  1- 0 Dracut
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Natick   Natick
East Longmeadow Natick   Natick
Essex Tech Natick   Natick
Fairhaven Natick   Natick
Falmouth Academy Natick   Natick
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Foxborough Natick   Natick
Framingham Natick Natick  
Franklin Natick   Natick
Gloucester Natick   Natick
Grafton Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Granby Natick   Natick
Greater Lowell RVT Natick   Natick
Greater New Bedford Natick   Natick
Groton-Dunstable Reg Natick   Natick
Hamilton-Wenham Regi Natick   Natick
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Natick   Natick
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Natick   Natick
Hoosac Valley Natick   Natick
Hopkinton Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Hudson Natick   Natick
Hull Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ipswich Natick   Natick
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional tied -  1- 0 King Philip Regional
Lenox/Lee Natick   Natick
Leominster Natick   Natick
Lexington Natick Natick  
Lincoln-Sudbury Regi Lincoln-Sudbury Regi   Lincoln-Sudbury Regi
Littleton Natick   Natick
Longmeadow Longmeadow tied -  1- 0 Longmeadow
Lowell Natick   Natick
Lowell Catholic Natick   Natick
Lunenburg Natick   Natick
Lynn Classical-Engli Natick   Natick
Lynnfield Natick   Natick
Malden Natick   Natick
Malden Catholic Natick   Natick
Manchester-Essex Reg Manchester-Essex Reg   Manchester-Essex Reg
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Natick   Natick
Marshfield Marshfield tied -  1- 0 Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Natick   Natick
Masconomet Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mashpee Natick   Natick
McCann Technical Natick   Natick
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Medway Natick   Natick
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Natick   Natick
Middleborough Natick   Natick
Milford Natick   Natick
Milton HS Milton HS Milton HS  
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional tied -  1- 0 Minnechaug Regional
Minuteman Regional Natick   Natick
Monomoy Regional Natick   Natick
Monson Natick   Natick
Montachusett RVT Natick   Natick
Mount Greylock Regio Natick   Natick
Mystic Valley Charte Natick   Natick
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Nashoba Valley Tech Natick   Natick
Nauset Natick   Natick
Needham Natick tied -  1- 2 Natick
New Bedford Natick   Natick
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North Newton North  
Newton South Natick tied -  2- 0 Natick
Nipmuc Regional Natick   Natick
North Andover Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
North Attleboro Natick tied -  0- 1 Natick
North Middlesex Natick   Natick
North Quincy Co-op Natick   Natick
North Reading Natick   Natick
Northampton Natick   Natick
Northeast Metro RVT Natick   Natick
Norton Natick   Natick
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Natick   Natick
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional   Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Natick   Natick
Old Rochester Region Natick   Natick
Oliver Ames Natick   Natick
Peabody Vets Memoria Natick   Natick
Pembroke Natick   Natick
Pentucket Regional Natick   Natick
Pittsfield Natick   Natick
Plymouth North Natick   Natick
Plymouth South Natick   Natick
Pope Francis Prep Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial tied -  1- 0 Reading Memorial
Revere Natick   Natick
Rockland Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Salem Natick   Natick
Sandwich Natick   Natick
Saugus Natick   Natick
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Natick   Natick
Sharon Natick   Natick
Shawsheen Valley RVT Shawsheen Valley RVT   Shawsheen Valley RVT
Shepherd Hill Natick   Natick
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury tied -  1- 0 Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Natick   Natick
Smith VoTech Natick   Natick
Somerset Berkley Natick   Natick
Somerville Natick   Natick
South Hadley Natick   Natick
South Shore RVT Natick   Natick
Southeastern RVT Natick   Natick
Springfield Central Natick   Natick
St Bernards Natick   Natick
St John Paul II Natick   Natick
St Johns Prep Danver St Johns Prep Danver   St Johns Prep Danver
St Johns Shrewsbury St Johns Shrewsbury tied -  1- 0 St Johns Shrewsbury
St Marys Lynn Natick   Natick
St Marys Westfield Natick   Natick
Stoneham Natick   Natick
Stoughton Natick   Natick
Sturgis Charter East Natick   Natick
Swampscott Natick   Natick
Tantasqua Regional Natick   Natick
Taunton Natick   Natick
Tech Boston Academy Natick   Natick
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial   Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Natick   Natick
Triton Regional Natick   Natick
Tyngsborough Natick   Natick
Upper Cape Cod RVT Natick   Natick
Wachusett Regional Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Wahconah Natick   Natick
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial   Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole Walpole   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Waltham Natick tied -  1- 1 Natick
Watertown Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wayland Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wellesley Natick Natick  
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough tied -  1- 0 Westborough
Westfield Natick   Natick
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westport Natick   Natick
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Natick Natick  
Whitman-Hanson Natick   Natick
Whittier RVT Natick   Natick
Wilmington Natick Natick   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Winchester Winchester Winchester   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Winthrop Natick   Natick
Woburn Memorial Natick tied -  1- 0 Natick
Xaverian Brothers Xaverian Brothers   Xaverian Brothers

PairWisePlus = 166


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Algonquin       ( 0- 9, 86.6)    16- 5      -13.32      19.29      -0.01         1.02            19.75
   0 A Brookline       ( 3- 4, 85.2)    16- 8      -14.75      17.86       0.01         1.02            18.31
   0 A Framingham      ( 1- 8, 85.3)    14- 1      -14.57      18.04       0.01         1.02            18.49
   0 A Newton North    ( 8- 1, 94.0)     8-13       -5.88      26.73       0.01         1.02            -6.01
   0 A Weymouth        ( 2- 8, 82.0)    10- 3      -17.87      14.74       0.01         1.02            15.11
   0 A Wellesley       ( 2- 7, 89.1)    11- 8      -10.77      21.84       0.01         1.02            22.39
   0 H Milton HS       ( 7- 2, 91.6)     8- 9       -8.29      24.32      -0.01         1.02            -8.50
   0 H Lexington       ( 3- 6, 88.5)    11- 6      -11.36      21.25      -0.01         1.02            21.76
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       101.31

winning pts = 115.8252 losing points = -14.5133

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------