boys Manchester Valley 1

  
Manchester Valley     
W-L: ( 4- 6)  PR =    87.2503
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 324 H Oakdale                              ( 1- 7, 84.0)    14-11   
 327 H Francis Scott Key                    ( 3- 8, 82.4)    13- 6   
 330 A Hereford                             ( 7- 4, 90.0)    10-15   
 404 A Kent Island                          ( 9- 1, 94.6)     5-15   
 407 H Linganore                            ( 9- 2, 92.5)     9-17   
 410 H Liberty                              ( 7- 4, 89.3)     6-10   
 415 H South Carroll                        ( 2- 8, 86.8)     9- 6   
 416 A Westminster                          ( 3- 7, 87.4)   
 421 A Century                              ( 9- 1, 92.3)     8-10   
 423 A Howard                               ( 4- 6, 85.3)    12- 9   
 427 A Winters Mill                         ( 8- 4, 86.8)     7- 9   
 430 A Huntingtown                          (11- 0, 93.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Oakdale                14-11       3     3          -0.49
   327 H Francis Scott Key      13- 6       7     5           0.00
   330 A Hereford               10-15      -5    -3          -1.96
   404 A Kent Island             5-15     -10    -8           0.00
   407 H Linganore               9-17      -8    -5          -0.01
   410 H Liberty                 6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.17
   415 H South Carroll           9- 6       3     1    +      2.29
   421 A Century                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00
   423 A Howard                 12- 9       3     2           1.27
   427 A Winters Mill            7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Liberty                 6-10      -4    -2    -     -2.17
   427 A Winters Mill            7- 9      -2     0    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H South Carroll           9- 6       3     1    +      2.29
   421 A Century                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00

Manchester Valley PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Chris	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Archbishop Curley	Archbishop Curley		Archbishop Curley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Archbishop Spalding	Archbishop Spalding			Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bishop McNamara	Bishop McNamara			Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin	Boys Latin			Boys Latin
Bullis	Bullis			Bullis
Calvert Hall	Calvert Hall			Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Concordia Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
DeMatha	DeMatha			DeMatha
FCA LC	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Friends	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Garrett County LC	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Georgetown Day	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Georgetown Prep	Georgetown Prep			Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Gilman	Gilman			Gilman
Glenelg Country	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gonzaga	Gonzaga			Gonzaga
Good Counsel	Good Counsel			Good Counsel
Gunston School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Heights	Heights			Heights
Indian Creek School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Jemicy School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
John Carroll	John Carroll			John Carroll
Key School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Landon	Landon			Landon
Loyola-Blakefield	Loyola-Blakefield			Loyola-Blakefield
Maret	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
McDonogh	McDonogh			McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Mount Carmel	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Mount St Joseph	Mount St Joseph			Mount St Joseph
Park School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Salisbury School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sandy Spring Friends	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Severn School	Severn School			Severn School
Sidwell Friends	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Albans	St Albans			St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St James	St James			St James
St Johns Catholic Pr	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Johns College HS	St Johns College HS			St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis	St Marys Annapolis			St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken	St Marys Ryken			St Marys Ryken
St Pauls	St Pauls			St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sts Peter & Paul	Sts Peter & Paul			Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Worcester Prep	Worcester Prep			Worcester Prep
Aberdeen	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Academy for College	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Annapolis	Annapolis			Annapolis
Arundel	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Atholton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Baltimore Polytechni	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bel Air	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Bethesda-Chevy Chase		tied - 0- 1	Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Blair	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Blake	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bohemia Manor	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Boonsboro	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Bowie	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Broadneck	Broadneck			Broadneck
Brunswick	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Calvert	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Cambridge SD	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Carver A&T	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Catoctin	Manchester Valley		tied - 1- 0	Manchester Valley
Catonsville	Catonsville		Catonsville 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Centennial	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Century	Century	Century
CH Flowers	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Chesapeake AA	Chesapeake AA			Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Chopticon	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
City College	City College			City College
Clarksburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
CM Wright	CM Wright		tied - 0- 1	CM Wright
Crofton	Crofton		tied - 1- 0	Crofton
Damascus	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Digital Harbor	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Dr Henry Wise	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Dulaney	Dulaney		Dulaney 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Dunbar	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Dundalk	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
DuVal	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Eastern Tech	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Easton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Edgewood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Edmondson-Westside	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Einstein	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Eleanor Roosevelt	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Elkton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Fairmont Heights	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Fallston	Fallston		Fallston 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Park	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Francis Scott Key	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Franklin	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Frederick	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Frederick Douglass B	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Frederick Douglass P	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Friendly	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gaithersburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Glen Burnie	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Glenelg HS	Glenelg HS			Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Great Mills	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Guilford Park	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gwynn Park	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Hammond	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Harford Tech	Harford Tech		Harford Tech 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Havre De Grace	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Hereford	Hereford	Hereford
High Point	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Howard	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Huntingtown	Huntingtown			Huntingtown
JM Bennett	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Joppatowne	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Kennedy	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Kent County	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Kent Island	Kent Island	Kent Island
Kenwood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
La Plata	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Lackey	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Lake Clifton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Lansdowne	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Laurel	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Leonardtown	Leonardtown			Leonardtown
Liberty	Liberty	Liberty
Linganore	Linganore	Linganore
Loch Raven	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Long Reach	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Magruder	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge	Marriotts Ridge		Marriotts Ridge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Meade	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Mergenthaler	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Middletown	Middletown		Middletown 3- 1 vs 2- 2
Milford Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
MJ McDonough	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Mount Hebron	Mount Hebron		Mount Hebron 2- 0 vs 1- 2
National Academy Fou	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
New Town	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North Caroline	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
North County	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North Dorchester	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
North East Cecil	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North Hagerstown	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 1 vs 0- 2
North Harford	North Harford			North Harford
North Point	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northeast AA	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northern Calvert	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northwest	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northwestern PG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northwood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Oakdale	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Oakland Mills	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Old Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Overlea	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Owings Mills	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Oxon Hill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Paint Branch	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Parkdale	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Parkside	Parkside		tied - 0- 1	Parkside
Parkville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patapsco	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patterson HS	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patterson Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patuxent	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Perry Hall	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Perryville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Pikesville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Poolesville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Queen Annes County	Queen Annes County			Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard	Quince Orchard			Quince Orchard
Randallstown	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Reginald F Lewis	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Reservoir	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Richard Montgomery	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Rising Sun	Rising Sun			Rising Sun
River Hill	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Seneca Valley	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Severn Run	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Severna Park	Severna Park			Severna Park
Sherwood	Sherwood			Sherwood
Smithsburg	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
South Carroll	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
South Hagerstown	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 1- 0 vs 0- 1
South River	South River		tied - 1- 0	South River
Southern AA	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sparrows Point	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Springbrook	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Charles	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Stephen Decatur	Stephen Decatur		tied - 0- 1	Stephen Decatur
Suitland	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Surrattsville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Thomas Stone	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Towson	Towson		tied - 2- 1	Towson
Tuscarora	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Urbana	Urbana		Urbana 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Walkersville	Walkersville		tied - 3- 1	Walkersville
Walt Whitman	Walt Whitman			Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson	Walter Johnson			Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Western STES	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Westlake	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Westminster	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 3 vs 2- 4
Wheaton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wicomico	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wilde Lake	Manchester Valley		tied - 0- 1	Manchester Valley
Winston Churchill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Winters Mill	Winters Mill	Winters Mill
Woodlawn	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wootton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Archbishop Carroll	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
DC International PCS	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Jackson Reed	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley

PairWisePlus = 158

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.55

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Oakdale         ( 1- 7, 84.0)    14-11      -15.88      15.63      -0.26         0.85            13.14
   0 H Francis Scott   ( 3- 8, 82.4)    13- 6      -17.47      14.04      -0.26         0.85            11.78
   0 A Hereford        ( 7- 4, 90.0)    10-15       -9.87      21.64       0.26         0.85            -8.22
   0 A Kent Island     ( 9- 1, 94.6)     5-15       -5.34      26.17       0.26         0.85            -4.34
   0 H Linganore       ( 9- 2, 92.5)     9-17       -7.41      24.10      -0.26         0.85            -6.55
   0 H Liberty         ( 7- 4, 89.3)     6-10      -10.56      20.95      -0.26         0.85            -9.25
   0 H South Carroll   ( 2- 8, 86.8)     9- 6      -13.10      18.40      -0.26         0.85            15.51
   0 A Century         ( 9- 1, 92.3)     8-10       -7.62      23.89       0.26         0.85            -6.29
   0 A Howard          ( 4- 6, 85.3)    12- 9      -14.64      16.87       0.26         0.85            14.64
   0 A Winters Mill    ( 8- 4, 86.8)     7- 9      -13.07      18.44       0.26         0.85           -10.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         9.48

winning pts = 55.0755 losing points = -45.5979

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------