UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Montville 1
  
Montville             
W-L: ( 4- 3) PR = 77.0328

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Jonathan Law ( 4- 5, 77.3) 8- 7 407 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 3- 2, 81.6) 1- 6 411 A Notre Dame-Fairfield ( 1- 5, 72.9) 9- 1 416 A West Haven ( 1- 4, 77.5) 7- 8 418 H Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7) 7- 4 421 A Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0) 0- 6 423 H Ledyard-Griswold ( 1- 8, 75.0) 10- 8 428 A Woodstock Academy ( 3- 4, 80.5) 430 A Fitch Groton ( 3- 2, 82.3) 502 A Norwich Tech ( 2- 4, 72.2) 505 H East Lyme ( 6- 1, 90.4) 512 A Waterford ( 3- 2, 83.3) 514 H Waterford ( 3- 2, 83.3) 516 A Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0) 518 H Norwich Tech ( 2- 4, 72.2) 520 H Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Jonathan Law            8- 7       1     0           1.18
   407 H St Bernard-Wheeler      1- 6      -5    -4          -0.51
   411 A Notre Dame-Fairfield    9- 1       8     4           0.95
   416 A West Haven              7- 8      -1    -1          -0.40
   418 H Valley Regional         7- 4       3     3          -0.49
   421 A Bacon Academy           0- 6      -6    -4          -0.91
   423 H Ledyard-Griswold       10- 8       2     2          -0.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Montville PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy  
Berlin Berlin tied -  1- 0 Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford   Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Montville   Montville
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Montville   Montville
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Foran Foran tied -  1- 0 Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied -  1- 0 Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Immaculate Danbury   Immaculate Danbury
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Montville Montville  
Lakeview United Montville   Montville
Ledyard-Griswold Montville Montville  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied -  1- 0 Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Montville   Montville
Masuk Masuk tied -  1- 0 Masuk
Middletown Montville   Montville
Morgan School Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Montville   Montville
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied -  1- 0 North Branford
North Haven North Haven North Haven   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Norwalk Norwalk tied -  1- 0 Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Montville Montville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Notre Dame-Fairfield Montville Montville  
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied -  2- 0 Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM RHAM tied -  1- 1 RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op Rockville Co-op   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rocky Hill Rocky Hill   Rocky Hill
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington tied -  1- 1 Stonington
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Montville   Montville
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Montville Montville  
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Waterford Waterford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
West Haven West Haven West Haven  
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield tied -  1- 0 Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Montville Montville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Montville   Montville
Wolcott Wolcott   Wolcott
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier   Xavier

PairWisePlus = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jonathan Law    ( 4- 5, 77.3)     8- 7      -22.57       9.60      -0.12         0.95             9.03
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 3- 2, 81.6)     1- 6      -18.26      13.90      -0.12         0.95           -17.50
   0 A Notre Dame-Fai  ( 1- 5, 72.9)     9- 1      -27.03       5.13       0.12         0.95             4.99
   0 A West Haven      ( 1- 4, 77.5)     7- 8      -22.38       9.78       0.12         0.95           -21.21
   0 H Valley Regiona  ( 2- 7, 73.7)     7- 4      -26.25       5.92      -0.12         0.95             5.53
   0 A Bacon Academy   ( 2- 5, 81.0)     0- 6      -18.89      13.27       0.12         0.95           -17.88
   0 H Ledyard-Griswo  ( 1- 8, 75.0)    10- 8      -24.86       7.31      -0.12         0.95             6.85
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -30.19

winning pts = 26.3978 losing points = -56.5891

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------