Mt Mansfield Union
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 95.2005
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
415 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 13- 5
418 H Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 14- 4
422 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10-12
425 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 5-13
429 H Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 14-12
502 A Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 7-13
504 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-10
508 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10- 7
512 H Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 11- 5
519 H South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 4-14
522 A Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 10- 9
526 H Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 6-14
528 A Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5)
530 A Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 1, 99.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A Essex Junction 13- 5 8 5 0.08
418 H Bellows Free Academy 14- 4 10 5 0.29
422 H Rice Memorial 10-12 -2 1 - -2.57
425 A South Burlington 5-13 -8 -5 -0.29
429 H Middlebury Union 14-12 2 -1 + 3.24
502 A Champlain Valley Uni 7-13 -6 -4 -1.22
504 H Harwood Union 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.66
508 A Rice Memorial 10- 7 3 1 + 2.45
512 H Essex Junction 11- 5 6 5 0.06
519 H South Burlington 4-14 -10 -5 -0.31
522 A Middlebury Union 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.26
526 H Champlain Valley Uni 6-14 -8 -4 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 H Rice Memorial 10-12 -2 1 - -2.57
504 H Harwood Union 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.66
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
429 H Middlebury Union 14-12 2 -1 + 3.24
508 A Rice Memorial 10- 7 3 1 + 2.45
522 A Middlebury Union 10- 9 1 -1 + 2.26
|
Mt Mansfield Union PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
 
| |
| Brattleboro Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Burlington |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
Burr and Burton Acad   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
 
| |
| Colchester |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Essex Junction |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
 
| |
| Green Mountain Valle |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
 
| |
| Lamoille Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Middlebury Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
 
| |
| Milton |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Montpelier |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Mount Abraham |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Mt Anthony Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Otter Valley Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Randolph Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Rice Memorial |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Rutland |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
South Burlington |
 
| |
| Spaulding |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| St Johnsbury Academy |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Stowe |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Mt Mansfield Union |
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
Mt Mansfield Union |
|
 
| Mt Mansfield Union |
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
|
Woodstock Union   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
PairWisePlus = 22

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 13- 5 -9.63 6.16 0.01 0.91 5.61
0 H Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 14- 4 -9.40 6.39 -0.01 0.91 5.80
0 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10-12 -5.26 10.53 -0.01 0.91 -4.79
0 A South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 5-13 -0.00 15.80 0.01 0.91 -0.01
0 H Middlebury Uni ( 7- 6, 96.5) 14-12 -3.45 12.35 -0.01 0.91 11.21
0 A Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 7-13 -0.93 14.86 0.01 0.91 -0.84
0 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-10 -2.35 13.45 -0.01 0.91 -2.14
0 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10- 7 -5.26 10.53 0.01 0.91 9.57
0 H Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 11- 5 -9.63 6.16 -0.01 0.91 5.59
0 H South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 4-14 -0.00 15.80 -0.01 0.91 -0.01
0 A Middlebury Uni ( 7- 6, 96.5) 10- 9 -3.45 12.35 0.01 0.91 11.22
0 H Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 6-14 -0.93 14.86 -0.01 0.91 -0.86
------
40.35
|
winning pts = 48.9937 losing points = -8.6395
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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