UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Mt Mansfield Union 1
  
Mt Mansfield Union    
W-L: ( 6- 6) PR = 95.2005

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 13- 5 418 H Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 14- 4 422 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10-12 425 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 5-13 429 H Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 14-12 502 A Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 7-13 504 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-10 508 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 10- 7 512 H Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 11- 5 519 H South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 4-14 522 A Middlebury Union ( 7- 6, 96.5) 10- 9 526 H Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 6-14 528 A Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 530 A Burr and Burton Acad ( 9- 1, 99.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Essex Junction         13- 5       8     5           0.08
   418 H Bellows Free Academy   14- 4      10     5           0.29
   422 H Rice Memorial          10-12      -2     1    -     -2.57
   425 A South Burlington        5-13      -8    -5          -0.29
   429 H Middlebury Union       14-12       2    -1    +      3.24
   502 A Champlain Valley Uni    7-13      -6    -4          -1.22
   504 H Harwood Union           4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.66
   508 A Rice Memorial          10- 7       3     1    +      2.45
   512 H Essex Junction         11- 5       6     5           0.06
   519 H South Burlington        4-14     -10    -5          -0.31
   522 A Middlebury Union       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.26
   526 H Champlain Valley Uni    6-14      -8    -4          -1.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Rice Memorial          10-12      -2     1    -     -2.57
   504 H Harwood Union           4-10      -6    -2    -     -2.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Middlebury Union       14-12       2    -1    +      3.24
   508 A Rice Memorial          10- 7       3     1    +      2.45
   522 A Middlebury Union       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.26

Mt Mansfield Union PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Bellows Free Academy Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union  
Brattleboro Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Burlington Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni  
Colchester Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Essex Junction Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union  
Green Mountain Valle Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Lyndon Institute Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Middlebury Union Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union  
Milton Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Montpelier Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Mount Abraham Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Mt Anthony Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Randolph Union Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Rice Memorial Mt Mansfield Union tied -  3- 2 Mt Mansfield Union
Rutland Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
South Burlington South Burlington South Burlington  
Spaulding Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
St Johnsbury Academy Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Stowe Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Stratton Mountain Sc Mt Mansfield Union   Mt Mansfield Union
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   2- 1 vs 1- 2

PairWisePlus = 22


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Essex Junction  ( 1-10, 90.3)    13- 5       -9.63       6.16       0.01         0.91             5.61
   0 H Bellows Free A  ( 3- 9, 90.5)    14- 4       -9.40       6.39      -0.01         0.91             5.80
   0 H Rice Memorial   ( 7- 5, 94.6)    10-12       -5.26      10.53      -0.01         0.91            -4.79
   0 A South Burlingt  (10- 3, 99.9)     5-13       -0.00      15.80       0.01         0.91            -0.01
   0 H Middlebury Uni  ( 7- 6, 96.5)    14-12       -3.45      12.35      -0.01         0.91            11.21
   0 A Champlain Vall  (10- 3, 99.0)     7-13       -0.93      14.86       0.01         0.91            -0.84
   0 H Harwood Union   (11- 1, 97.6)     4-10       -2.35      13.45      -0.01         0.91            -2.14
   0 A Rice Memorial   ( 7- 5, 94.6)    10- 7       -5.26      10.53       0.01         0.91             9.57
   0 H Essex Junction  ( 1-10, 90.3)    11- 5       -9.63       6.16      -0.01         0.91             5.59
   0 H South Burlingt  (10- 3, 99.9)     4-14       -0.00      15.80      -0.01         0.91            -0.01
   0 A Middlebury Uni  ( 7- 6, 96.5)    10- 9       -3.45      12.35       0.01         0.91            11.22
   0 H Champlain Vall  (10- 3, 99.0)     6-14       -0.93      14.86      -0.01         0.91            -0.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        40.35

winning pts = 48.9937 losing points = -8.6395

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------