UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:56 PDT

boys Mount Ararat 1
  
Mount Ararat          
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 83.5814

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 A Morse/Boothbay ( 7- 8, 82.4) 15-14 428 A Edward Little (10- 4, 84.5) 11-13 506 H Brewer ( 4-10, 75.6) 13- 1 509 A Wells ( 8- 7, 85.4) 5-10 513 A Lincoln Academy ( 8- 6, 80.0) 12- 2 516 H Fryeburg Academy ( 7- 7, 84.7) 8- 7 518 H Gardiner Area ( 9- 6, 85.3) 11-10 520 A Cony ( 8- 5, 80.4) 3- 4 522 H Marshwood (15- 2, 90.6) 7-13 527 H Messalonskee (10- 4, 89.4) 3-13 529 A Mount Blue ( 6- 8, 80.1) 14- 6 601 H Brunswick ( 8- 8, 89.0) 4-14 603 A Oxford Hills ( 1-12, 76.0) 19- 6 609 H John Bapst Memorial ( 6- 7, 77.6) 13- 1 611 A Marshwood (15- 2, 90.6) 6-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Morse/Boothbay         15-14       1     1           0.07
   428 A Edward Little          11-13      -2    -1          -0.85
   506 H Brewer                 13- 1      12     8           0.00
   509 A Wells                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.96
   513 A Lincoln Academy        12- 2      10     3           1.62
   516 H Fryeburg Academy        8- 7       1    -1           1.87
   518 H Gardiner Area          11-10       1    -1    +      2.48
   520 A Cony                    3- 4      -1     3    -     -3.97
   522 H Marshwood               7-13      -6    -7           0.00
   527 H Messalonskee            3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   529 A Mount Blue             14- 6       8     3           1.74
   601 H Brunswick               4-14     -10    -5           0.00
   603 A Oxford Hills           19- 6      13     7           0.00
   609 H John Bapst Memorial    13- 1      12     6           0.00
   611 A Marshwood               6-19     -13    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Wells                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.96
   520 A Cony                    3- 4      -1     3    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Gardiner Area          11-10       1    -1    +      2.48

Mount Ararat PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor   Bangor
Biddeford Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Brewer Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick  
Camden Hills Regiona Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   3- 4 vs 1- 6
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Cheverus Mount Ararat tied -  1- 2 Mount Ararat
Cony Cony Cony  
Deering Deering Deering   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Edward Little Edward Little Edward Little  
Erskine Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Falmouth Falmouth Falmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Freeport Freeport tied -  3- 0 Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Gardiner Area Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Gorham Gorham tied -  0- 1 Gorham
Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Greely Greely Greely   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Hampden Academy Hampden Academy Hampden Academy   5- 1 vs 4- 2
Houlton/Hogdon Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   3- 1 vs 0- 4
John Bapst Memorial Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Kennebunk Kennebunk tied -  0- 2 Kennebunk
Lake Region Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lawrence/Winslow Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   6- 1 vs 1- 6
Lewiston Mount Ararat tied -  3- 3 Mount Ararat
Lincoln Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Maranacook-Winthrop Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   7- 1 vs 6- 2
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood  
Massabesic Massabesic tied -  0- 2 Massabesic
MCI-Nokomis Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   5- 2 vs 0- 7
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Morse/Boothbay Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Mount Blue Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford   2- 1 vs 1- 2
North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Oak Hill Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Oxford Hills Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Portland Portland Portland   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Scarborough Scarborough Scarborough   1- 0 vs 0- 1
South Portland South Portland South Portland   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Traip Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 4 vs 0- 5
Waynflete School Waynflete School   Waynflete School
Wells Wells Wells  
Westbrook Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Windham Windham tied -  0- 1 Windham
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
York York York   1- 1 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 21


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Morse/Boothbay  ( 7- 8, 82.4)    15-14      -17.47      13.90       0.22         0.94            13.25
   0 A Edward Little   (10- 4, 84.5)    11-13      -15.39      15.97       0.22         0.94           -14.24
   0 H Brewer          ( 4-10, 75.6)    13- 1      -24.31       7.06      -0.22         0.94             6.42
   0 A Wells           ( 8- 7, 85.4)     5-10      -14.50      16.87       0.22         0.94           -13.40
   0 A Lincoln Academ  ( 8- 6, 80.0)    12- 2      -19.92      11.45       0.22         0.94            10.95
   0 H Fryeburg Acade  ( 7- 7, 84.7)     8- 7      -15.22      16.14      -0.22         0.94            14.95
   0 H Gardiner Area   ( 9- 6, 85.3)    11-10      -14.62      16.75      -0.22         0.94            15.52
   0 A Cony            ( 8- 5, 80.4)     3- 4      -19.51      11.86       0.22         0.94           -18.11
   0 H Marshwood       (15- 2, 90.6)     7-13       -9.26      22.11      -0.22         0.94            -8.90
   0 H Messalonskee    (10- 4, 89.4)     3-13      -10.45      20.92      -0.22         0.94           -10.02
   0 A Mount Blue      ( 6- 8, 80.1)    14- 6      -19.80      11.57       0.22         0.94            11.06
   0 H Brunswick       ( 8- 8, 89.0)     4-14      -10.86      20.50      -0.22         0.94           -10.41
   0 A Oxford Hills    ( 1-12, 76.0)    19- 6      -23.95       7.42       0.22         0.94             7.17
   0 H John Bapst Mem  ( 6- 7, 77.6)    13- 1      -22.29       9.07      -0.22         0.94             8.31
   0 A Marshwood       (15- 2, 90.6)     6-19       -9.26      22.11       0.22         0.94            -8.48
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         4.08

winning pts = 87.6352 losing points = -83.5576

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------