UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Mount Ararat 1
  
Mount Ararat          
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 84.8760

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 15-14 428 A Edward Little ( 8- 3, 85.6) 11-13 506 H Brewer ( 3- 6, 74.8) 13- 1 509 A Wells ( 7- 4, 86.7) 5-10 513 A Lincoln Academy ( 6- 5, 80.3) 12- 2 516 H Fryeburg Academy ( 7- 3, 86.6) 8- 7 518 H Gardiner Area ( 6- 5, 87.0) 11-10 520 A Cony ( 7- 3, 83.6) 3- 4 522 H Marshwood (10- 2, 91.6) 7-13 527 H Messalonskee (10- 3, 91.1) 3-13 529 A Mount Blue ( 4- 6, 82.4) 601 H Brunswick ( 5- 6, 90.7) 603 A Oxford Hills ( 1-10, 77.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Morse/Boothbay         15-14       1     0           0.62
   428 A Edward Little          11-13      -2    -1          -1.30
   506 H Brewer                 13- 1      12    10           0.00
   509 A Wells                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.19
   513 A Lincoln Academy        12- 2      10     5           0.39
   516 H Fryeburg Academy        8- 7       1    -2    +      2.71
   518 H Gardiner Area          11-10       1    -2    +      3.07
   520 A Cony                    3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.30
   522 H Marshwood               7-13      -6    -7           0.00
   527 H Messalonskee            3-13     -10    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Wells                   5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.19
   520 A Cony                    3- 4      -1     1    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Fryeburg Academy        8- 7       1    -2    +      2.71
   518 H Gardiner Area          11-10       1    -2    +      3.07

Mount Ararat PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor   Bangor
Biddeford Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Brewer Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Camden Hills Regiona Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth tied -  0- 1 Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Mount Ararat tied -  0- 2 Mount Ararat
Cony Cony Cony  
Deering Deering Deering   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Edward Little Edward Little Edward Little  
Erskine Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Falmouth Falmouth   Falmouth
Freeport Freeport tied -  3- 0 Freeport
Fryeburg Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Gardiner Area Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Gorham Gorham tied -  0- 1 Gorham
Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Greely Greely tied -  1- 1 Greely
Hampden Academy Hampden Academy Hampden Academy   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Houlton/Hogdon Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 0- 3
John Bapst Memorial Mount Ararat tied -  1- 0 Mount Ararat
Kennebunk Kennebunk tied -  0- 2 Kennebunk
Lake Region Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lawrence/Winslow Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Lewiston Lewiston Lewiston   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lincoln Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Maranacook-Winthrop Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood  
Massabesic Massabesic tied -  0- 1 Massabesic
MCI-Nokomis Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Morse/Boothbay Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Mount Blue Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford   1- 1 vs 0- 2
North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Oak Hill Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Oxford Hills Mount Ararat tied -  0- 2 Mount Ararat
Portland Portland Portland   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Scarborough Scarborough   Scarborough
South Portland South Portland   South Portland
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   Thornton Academy
Traip Academy Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Waynflete School Waynflete School   Waynflete School
Wells Wells Wells  
Westbrook Mount Ararat Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Windham Windham tied -  0- 1 Windham
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
York York   York

PairWisePlus = 20


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.40

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Morse/Boothbay  ( 6- 5, 84.5)    15-14      -15.41      15.74       0.01         1.04            16.38
   0 A Edward Little   ( 8- 3, 85.6)    11-13      -14.33      16.82       0.01         1.04           -14.89
   0 H Brewer          ( 3- 6, 74.8)    13- 1      -25.11       6.04      -0.01         1.04             6.27
   0 A Wells           ( 7- 4, 86.7)     5-10      -13.22      17.93       0.01         1.04           -13.74
   0 A Lincoln Academ  ( 6- 5, 80.3)    12- 2      -19.65      11.51       0.01         1.04            11.98
   0 H Fryeburg Acade  ( 7- 3, 86.6)     8- 7      -13.31      17.85      -0.01         1.04            18.55
   0 H Gardiner Area   ( 6- 5, 87.0)    11-10      -12.94      18.21      -0.01         1.04            18.93
   0 A Cony            ( 7- 3, 83.6)     3- 4      -16.33      14.82       0.01         1.04           -16.97
   0 H Marshwood       (10- 2, 91.6)     7-13       -8.27      22.88      -0.01         1.04            -8.61
   0 H Messalonskee    (10- 3, 91.1)     3-13       -8.82      22.34      -0.01         1.04            -9.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         8.72

winning pts = 72.1150 losing points = -63.3941

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------