Mount Ararat
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 84.8760
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
416 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 15-14
428 A Edward Little ( 8- 3, 85.6) 11-13
506 H Brewer ( 3- 6, 74.8) 13- 1
509 A Wells ( 7- 4, 86.7) 5-10
513 A Lincoln Academy ( 6- 5, 80.3) 12- 2
516 H Fryeburg Academy ( 7- 3, 86.6) 8- 7
518 H Gardiner Area ( 6- 5, 87.0) 11-10
520 A Cony ( 7- 3, 83.6) 3- 4
522 H Marshwood (10- 2, 91.6) 7-13
527 H Messalonskee (10- 3, 91.1) 3-13
529 A Mount Blue ( 4- 6, 82.4)
601 H Brunswick ( 5- 6, 90.7)
603 A Oxford Hills ( 1-10, 77.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A Morse/Boothbay 15-14 1 0 0.62
428 A Edward Little 11-13 -2 -1 -1.30
506 H Brewer 13- 1 12 10 0.00
509 A Wells 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.19
513 A Lincoln Academy 12- 2 10 5 0.39
516 H Fryeburg Academy 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.71
518 H Gardiner Area 11-10 1 -2 + 3.07
520 A Cony 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.30
522 H Marshwood 7-13 -6 -7 0.00
527 H Messalonskee 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
509 A Wells 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.19
520 A Cony 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.30
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
516 H Fryeburg Academy 8- 7 1 -2 + 2.71
518 H Gardiner Area 11-10 1 -2 + 3.07
|
Mount Ararat PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bangor |
Bangor |
|
 
| Bangor |
| Biddeford |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Bonny Eagle |
Bonny Eagle |
|
Bonny Eagle   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Brewer |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
| |
| Brunswick |
Brunswick |
|
Brunswick   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Camden Hills Regiona |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Cape Elizabeth |
Cape Elizabeth |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Cape Elizabeth |
| Cheverus |
Mount Ararat |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Mount Ararat |
| Cony |
Cony |
Cony |
 
|
| Deering |
Deering |
|
Deering   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Edward Little |
Edward Little |
Edward Little |
 
| |
| Erskine Academy |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Falmouth |
Falmouth |
|
 
| Falmouth |
| Freeport |
Freeport |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Freeport |
| Fryeburg Academy |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
|
| Gardiner Area |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
|
| Gorham |
Gorham |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Gorham |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
|
Gray/New Gloucester/   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Greely |
Greely |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Greely |
| Hampden Academy |
Hampden Academy |
|
Hampden Academy   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Houlton/Hogdon |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| John Bapst Memorial |
Mount Ararat |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Mount Ararat |
| Kennebunk |
Kennebunk |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Kennebunk |
| Lake Region |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lawrence/Winslow |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Lewiston |
Lewiston |
|
Lewiston   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lincoln Academy |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
| |
| Maranacook-Winthrop |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Marshwood |
Marshwood |
Marshwood |
 
| |
| Massabesic |
Massabesic |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Massabesic |
| MCI-Nokomis |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Messalonskee |
Messalonskee |
Messalonskee |
 
| |
| Morse/Boothbay |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
| |
| Mount Blue |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   2- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Noble/Sanford |
Noble/Sanford |
|
Noble/Sanford   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| North Yarmouth Acade |
North Yarmouth Acade |
|
North Yarmouth Acade   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Oak Hill |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Oxford Hills |
Mount Ararat |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Mount Ararat |
| Portland |
Portland |
|
Portland   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Scarborough |
Scarborough |
|
 
| Scarborough |
| South Portland |
South Portland |
|
 
| South Portland |
| Thornton Academy |
Thornton Academy |
|
 
| Thornton Academy |
| Traip Academy |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   1- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Waynflete School |
Waynflete School |
|
 
| Waynflete School |
| Wells |
Wells |
Wells |
 
|
| Westbrook |
Mount Ararat |
|
Mount Ararat   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Windham |
Windham |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Windham |
| Yarmouth |
Yarmouth |
|
Yarmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| York |
York |
|
 
| York |
PairWisePlus = 20

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 15-14 -15.41 15.74 0.01 1.04 16.38
0 A Edward Little ( 8- 3, 85.6) 11-13 -14.33 16.82 0.01 1.04 -14.89
0 H Brewer ( 3- 6, 74.8) 13- 1 -25.11 6.04 -0.01 1.04 6.27
0 A Wells ( 7- 4, 86.7) 5-10 -13.22 17.93 0.01 1.04 -13.74
0 A Lincoln Academ ( 6- 5, 80.3) 12- 2 -19.65 11.51 0.01 1.04 11.98
0 H Fryeburg Acade ( 7- 3, 86.6) 8- 7 -13.31 17.85 -0.01 1.04 18.55
0 H Gardiner Area ( 6- 5, 87.0) 11-10 -12.94 18.21 -0.01 1.04 18.93
0 A Cony ( 7- 3, 83.6) 3- 4 -16.33 14.82 0.01 1.04 -16.97
0 H Marshwood (10- 2, 91.6) 7-13 -8.27 22.88 -0.01 1.04 -8.61
0 H Messalonskee (10- 3, 91.1) 3-13 -8.82 22.34 -0.01 1.04 -9.18
------
8.72
|
winning pts = 72.1150 losing points = -63.3941
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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