UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:54 PDT

boys Merrimack Valley 1
  
Merrimack Valley      
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 75.3870

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A Kingswood ( 8- 5, 85.3) 3-16 420 H Hollis-Brookline ( 5-11, 82.8) 5-15 421 H Souhegan ( 4-11, 81.9) 5-13 424 H St Thomas Aquinas (10- 6, 88.6) 4-19 505 A Derryfield (13- 2, 93.4) 6-22 507 H Spaulding ( 2-13, 77.6) 7-11 508 A Oyster River-Newmark (11- 3, 89.2) 6-14 513 H Winnacunnet (15- 1, 93.7) 4-15 515 A Goffstown ( 7- 7, 85.1) 5-14 518 H Alvirne ( 0-14, 72.8) 14- 2 520 A Portsmouth (14- 2, 93.3) 6-18 521 H Timberlane ( 8- 6, 88.0) 2-17 527 A Hanover ( 6- 7, 85.6) 4-15 529 A Pembroke Academy ( 2-13, 79.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Kingswood               3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   420 H Hollis-Brookline        5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   421 H Souhegan                5-13      -8    -6           0.00
   424 H St Thomas Aquinas       4-19     -15   -13           0.00
   505 A Derryfield              6-22     -16   -18           0.00
   507 H Spaulding               7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.13
   508 A Oyster River-Newmark    6-14      -8   -14           0.00
   513 H Winnacunnet             4-15     -11   -18           0.00
   515 A Goffstown               5-14      -9   -10           0.00
   518 H Alvirne                14- 2      12     3    +      2.10
   520 A Portsmouth              6-18     -12   -18           0.00
   521 H Timberlane              2-17     -15   -12           0.00
   527 A Hanover                 4-15     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Spaulding               7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Alvirne                14- 2      12     3    +      2.10

Merrimack Valley PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Bishop Brady Bishop Brady   Bishop Brady
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin   Bishop Guertin
Bow Bow   Bow
Campbell Campbell tied -  0- 1 Campbell
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown   Coe-Brown
Concord Concord Concord   1- 1 vs 0- 2
ConVal ConVal   ConVal
Derryfield Derryfield Derryfield  
Dover Dover Dover   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Exeter HS Exeter HS Exeter HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gilford Gilford   Gilford
Goffstown Goffstown Goffstown  
Hanover Hanover Hanover  
Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline  
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Inter-Lakes-Moultonb Inter-Lakes-Moultonb   Inter-Lakes-Moultonb
John Stark John Stark   John Stark
Kearsarge Kearsarge   Kearsarge
Keene-Monadnock Keene-Monadnock   Keene-Monadnock
Kennett Kennett   Kennett
Kingswood Kingswood Kingswood  
Laconia Laconia   Laconia
Lebanon Lebanon   Lebanon
Londonderry Londonderry tied -  0- 2 Londonderry
Manchester Memorial- Manchester Memorial-   Manchester Memorial-
Merrimack Merrimack Merrimack   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Milford Milford tied -  1- 0 Milford
Nashua North Nashua North Nashua North   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Nashua South Nashua South Nashua South   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Oyster River-Newmark Oyster River-Newmark Oyster River-Newmark  
Pelham Pelham   Pelham
Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy   2-11 vs 1-12
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Plymouth Regional Plymouth Regional   Plymouth Regional
Portsmouth Portsmouth Portsmouth  
Salem Salem   Salem
Souhegan Souhegan Souhegan  
Spaulding Spaulding Spaulding  
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas  
Stevens Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Timberlane Timberlane Timberlane  
Trinity Manchester Trinity Manchester   Trinity Manchester
Windham Windham tied -  0- 1 Windham
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet Winnacunnet  

PairWisePlus = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Kingswood       ( 8- 5, 85.3)     3-16      -14.64      12.47       0.31         1.08           -15.48
   0 H Hollis-Brookli  ( 5-11, 82.8)     5-15      -17.13       9.97      -0.31         1.08           -18.84
   0 H Souhegan        ( 4-11, 81.9)     5-13      -18.02       9.09      -0.31         1.08           -19.80
   0 H St Thomas Aqui  (10- 6, 88.6)     4-19      -11.28      15.83      -0.31         1.08           -12.51
   0 A Derryfield      (13- 2, 93.4)     6-22       -6.53      20.57       0.31         1.08            -6.72
   0 H Spaulding       ( 2-13, 77.6)     7-11      -22.33       4.77      -0.31         1.08           -24.46
   0 A Oyster River-N  (11- 3, 89.2)     6-14      -10.66      16.44       0.31         1.08           -11.19
   0 H Winnacunnet     (15- 1, 93.7)     4-15       -6.21      20.90      -0.31         1.08            -7.04
   0 A Goffstown       ( 7- 7, 85.1)     5-14      -14.76      12.35       0.31         1.08           -15.61
   0 H Alvirne         ( 0-14, 72.8)    14- 2      -27.11       1.00      -0.31         1.08             0.75
   0 A Portsmouth      (14- 2, 93.3)     6-18       -6.62      20.48       0.31         1.08            -6.82
   0 H Timberlane      ( 8- 6, 88.0)     2-17      -11.93      15.18      -0.31         1.08           -13.22
   0 A Hanover         ( 6- 7, 85.6)     4-15      -14.25      12.86       0.31         1.08           -15.06
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -166.00

winning pts = 0.7496 losing points = -166.7541

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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