UPDATED: 04-23-26 10:35 PDT

boys Merrimack Valley 1
  
Merrimack Valley      
W-L: ( 0- 3) PR = 84.7002

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A Kingswood ( 2- 1, 91.8) 3-16 420 H Hollis-Brookline ( 2- 2, 90.1) 5-15 421 H Souhegan ( 3- 1, 92.4) 5-13 424 H St Thomas Aquinas ( 1- 3, 88.5) 505 A Derryfield ( 3- 1, 96.6) 506 H Spaulding ( 1- 4, 84.7) 508 A Oyster River-Newmark ( 2- 2, 91.5) 513 H Winnacunnet ( 4- 1, 96.6) 515 A Goffstown ( 2- 2, 90.0) 518 H Alvirne ( 0- 5, 81.5) 520 A Portsmouth ( 5- 0, 97.4) 521 H Timberlane ( 2- 0, 96.8) 523 A Hanover ( 1- 2, 92.0) 529 A Pembroke Academy ( 0- 4, 86.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Kingswood               3-16     -13    -7           0.00
   420 H Hollis-Brookline        5-15     -10    -5           0.00
   421 H Souhegan                5-13      -8    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Merrimack Valley PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Bishop Brady Bishop Brady   Bishop Brady
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin   Bishop Guertin
Bow Bow   Bow
Campbell Campbell tied -  0- 1 Campbell
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown   Coe-Brown
Concord Concord   Concord
ConVal ConVal   ConVal
Derryfield Derryfield   Derryfield
Dover Dover   Dover
Exeter HS Exeter HS   Exeter HS
Gilford Gilford   Gilford
Goffstown Goffstown   Goffstown
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline Hollis-Brookline  
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Inter-Lakes-Moultonb Inter-Lakes-Moultonb   Inter-Lakes-Moultonb
John Stark John Stark   John Stark
Kearsarge Kearsarge   Kearsarge
Keene-Monadnock Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Kennett Kennett   Kennett
Kingswood Kingswood Kingswood  
Laconia Laconia   Laconia
Lebanon Lebanon   Lebanon
Londonderry Londonderry   Londonderry
Manchester Memorial- Manchester Memorial-   Manchester Memorial-
Merrimack Merrimack Merrimack   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Milford Milford   Milford
Nashua North Nashua North   Nashua North
Nashua South Nashua South Nashua South   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oyster River-Newmark Oyster River-Newmark   Oyster River-Newmark
Pelham Pelham   Pelham
Pembroke Academy Pembroke Academy tied -  0- 3 Pembroke Academy
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy   Pinkerton Academy
Plymouth Regional Plymouth Regional   Plymouth Regional
Portsmouth Portsmouth Portsmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Salem Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Souhegan Souhegan Souhegan  
Spaulding Spaulding   Spaulding
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Stevens Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Timberlane Timberlane Timberlane   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Trinity Manchester Trinity Manchester   Trinity Manchester
Windham Windham   Windham
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet   Winnacunnet

PairWisePlus = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Kingswood       ( 2- 1, 91.8)     3-16       -8.12      10.61       0.04         1.28           -10.31
   0 H Hollis-Brookli  ( 2- 2, 90.1)     5-15       -9.79       8.94      -0.04         1.28           -12.56
   0 H Souhegan        ( 3- 1, 92.4)     5-13       -7.50      11.23      -0.04         1.28            -9.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -32.50

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -32.5041

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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