UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Morgan School 1
  
Morgan School         
W-L: ( 3- 2) PR = 79.8224

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7) 15- 1 407 A Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 8- 3 409 H North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 1-14 414 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9) 2-19 423 H Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 16- 0 428 A North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 430 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9) 502 H Branford ( 5- 3, 86.4) 504 A Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3) 505 H Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7) 509 H Waterford ( 3- 2, 83.3) 512 H Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 514 A Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 519 H Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3) 523 A Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Valley Regional        15- 1      14     6           0.00
   407 A Old Lyme                8- 3       5     6           0.00
   409 H North Branford          1-14     -13    -9           0.00
   414 H Haddam-Killingworth     2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   423 H Cromwell               16- 0      16    12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Morgan School PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional   Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   Bacon Academy
Berlin Berlin   Berlin
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford tied -  1- 0 Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Morgan School   Morgan School
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Morgan School   Morgan School
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Morgan School Morgan School  
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme   East Lyme
Ellington Ellington   Ellington
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith Morgan School   Morgan School
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied -  0- 1 Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Hall tied -  0- 1 Hall
Hamden Hamden   Hamden
Holy Cross Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Immaculate Danbury Morgan School   Morgan School
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Morgan School   Morgan School
Lakeview United Morgan School   Morgan School
Ledyard-Griswold Morgan School   Morgan School
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Morgan School   Morgan School
Masuk Masuk   Masuk
Middletown Morgan School   Morgan School
Montville Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Morgan School   Morgan School
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford  
North Haven North Haven tied -  0- 1 North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic   Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Norwalk   Norwalk
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
Notre Dame-Fairfield Morgan School   Morgan School
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Morgan School Morgan School  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook tied -  3- 2 Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Morgan School   Morgan School
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Morgan School   Morgan School
Rocky Hill Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
Sheehan Sheehan tied -  0- 1 Sheehan
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic   St Paul Catholic
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Morgan School   Morgan School
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Morgan School Morgan School  
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
Waterford Waterford   Waterford
Watertown Morgan School   Morgan School
West Haven Morgan School   Morgan School
Westhill Morgan School   Morgan School
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Morgan School   Morgan School
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Morgan School   Morgan School
Wolcott Morgan School   Morgan School
Woodstock Academy Woodstock Academy   Woodstock Academy
Xavier Xavier   Xavier

PairWisePlus = 27


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Valley Regiona  ( 2- 7, 73.7)    15- 1      -26.25       5.92       0.12         1.33             8.04
   0 A Old Lyme        ( 1- 6, 74.0)     8- 3      -25.95       6.22       0.12         1.33             8.44
   0 H North Branford  ( 6- 1, 89.4)     1-14      -10.47      21.70      -0.12         1.33           -14.11
   0 H Haddam-Killing  ( 7- 0, 91.9)     2-19       -8.02      24.14      -0.12         1.33           -10.85
   0 H Cromwell        ( 1- 6, 67.7)    16- 0      -32.16       1.00      -0.12         1.33             1.18
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -7.30

winning pts = 17.6643 losing points = -24.9614

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------