Morgan School
W-L: ( 3- 2) PR = 79.8224
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 A Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7) 15- 1
407 A Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 8- 3
409 H North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 1-14
414 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9) 2-19
423 H Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 16- 0
428 A North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4)
430 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 7- 0, 91.9)
502 H Branford ( 5- 3, 86.4)
504 A Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3)
505 H Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7)
509 H Waterford ( 3- 2, 83.3)
512 H Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0)
514 A Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7)
519 H Old Saybrook ( 5- 2, 87.3)
523 A Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Valley Regional 15- 1 14 6 0.00
407 A Old Lyme 8- 3 5 6 0.00
409 H North Branford 1-14 -13 -9 0.00
414 H Haddam-Killingworth 2-19 -17 -12 0.00
423 H Cromwell 16- 0 16 12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Morgan School PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
 
| Amity Regional |
| Avon HS |
Avon HS |
|
 
| Avon HS |
| Bacon Academy |
Bacon Academy |
|
 
| Bacon Academy |
| Berlin |
Berlin |
|
 
| Berlin |
| Bethel |
Bethel |
|
 
| Bethel |
| Branford |
Branford |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Branford |
| Brien McMahon |
Brien McMahon |
|
 
| Brien McMahon |
| Bristol Co-Op |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Brookfield |
Brookfield |
|
 
| Brookfield |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Canton |
Canton |
|
 
| Canton |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Capital-Classical Pr |
|
 
| Capital-Classical Pr |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
 
| Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
Conard |
|
 
| Conard |
| Cromwell |
Morgan School |
Morgan School |
 
| |
| Danbury |
Danbury |
|
 
| Danbury |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
 
| Daniel Hand |
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Catholic |
East Catholic |
|
 
| East Catholic |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Ellington |
Ellington |
|
 
| Ellington |
| Enfield |
Enfield |
|
 
| Enfield |
| EO Smith |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
 
| Fairfield Prep |
| Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Farmington |
Farmington |
|
 
| Farmington |
| Fitch Groton |
Fitch Groton |
|
 
| Fitch Groton |
| Foran |
Foran |
|
 
| Foran |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
 
| Glastonbury |
| Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Granby Memorial |
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
 
| Guilford |
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
 
| |
| Hall |
Hall |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Hall |
| Hamden |
Hamden |
|
 
| Hamden |
| Holy Cross |
Holy Cross |
|
 
| Holy Cross |
| Immaculate Danbury |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
 
| Joel Barlow |
| Jonathan Law |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Lakeview United |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Ledyard-Griswold |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Lyman Hall |
Lyman Hall |
|
 
| Lyman Hall |
| Maloney-Platt |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Masuk |
Masuk |
|
 
| Masuk |
| Middletown |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Montville |
Morgan School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Morgan School |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
 
| New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
New Milford |
|
 
| New Milford |
| Newington |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
 
| Newtown |
| North Branford |
North Branford |
North Branford |
 
| |
| North Haven |
North Haven |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
North Haven |
| Northwest Catholic |
Northwest Catholic |
|
 
| Northwest Catholic |
| Norwalk |
Norwalk |
|
 
| Norwalk |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Norwich Free Academy |
|
 
| Norwich Free Academy |
| Norwich Tech |
Morgan School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Morgan School |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
 
| Notre Dame-West Have |
| Old Lyme |
Morgan School |
Morgan School |
 
| |
| Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  3- 2 |
Old Saybrook |
| Pomperaug |
Pomperaug |
|
 
| Pomperaug |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Prince-Cheney Tech |
|
 
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
| RHAM |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Rocky Hill |
Morgan School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Morgan School |
| Sheehan |
Sheehan |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Sheehan |
| Shelton |
Shelton |
|
 
| Shelton |
| Simsbury |
Simsbury |
|
 
| Simsbury |
| Somers |
Somers |
|
 
| Somers |
| South Windsor |
South Windsor |
|
 
| South Windsor |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
 
| Southington |
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
St Bernard-Wheeler |
|
 
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
St Paul Catholic |
|
 
| St Paul Catholic |
| Stamford |
Stamford |
|
 
| Stamford |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
Stonington |
|
 
| Stonington |
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
|
 
| Trumbull |
| Valley Regional |
Morgan School |
Morgan School |
 
| |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Morgan School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Morgan School |
| Waterford |
Waterford |
|
 
| Waterford |
| Watertown |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| West Haven |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Westhill |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
 
| Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Wethersfield |
|
 
| Wethersfield |
| Wilbur Cross |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
| Windsor |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Wolcott |
Morgan School |
|
 
| Morgan School |
| Woodstock Academy |
Woodstock Academy |
|
 
| Woodstock Academy |
| Xavier |
Xavier |
|
 
| Xavier |
PairWisePlus = 27

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Valley Regiona ( 2- 7, 73.7) 15- 1 -26.25 5.92 0.12 1.33 8.04
0 A Old Lyme ( 1- 6, 74.0) 8- 3 -25.95 6.22 0.12 1.33 8.44
0 H North Branford ( 6- 1, 89.4) 1-14 -10.47 21.70 -0.12 1.33 -14.11
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 7- 0, 91.9) 2-19 -8.02 24.14 -0.12 1.33 -10.85
0 H Cromwell ( 1- 6, 67.7) 16- 0 -32.16 1.00 -0.12 1.33 1.18
------
-7.30
|
winning pts = 17.6643 losing points = -24.9614
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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