UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Morgan School 1
  
Morgan School         
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 80.7998

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.9) 15- 1 407 A Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 8- 3 409 H North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 1-14 414 H Haddam-Killingworth (13- 3, 88.5) 2-19 423 H Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 16- 0 428 A North Branford (14- 2, 87.5) 2-10 430 A Haddam-Killingworth (13- 3, 88.5) 6-21 502 H Branford (12- 4, 85.3) 3-11 504 A Old Saybrook (11- 5, 84.6) 3- 7 505 H Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.9) 12- 1 509 H Waterford ( 9- 5, 82.4) 6-10 512 H Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 17- 4 515 A Cromwell ( 2-14, 65.3) 16- 1 521 H Old Saybrook (11- 5, 84.6) 7- 6 523 A Stonington (11- 4, 82.7) 4- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Valley Regional        15- 1      14     9           0.00
   407 A Old Lyme                8- 3       5     6           0.00
   409 H North Branford          1-14     -13    -6           0.00
   414 H Haddam-Killingworth     2-19     -17    -7           0.00
   423 H Cromwell               16- 0      16    16           0.00
   428 A North Branford          2-10      -8    -7           0.00
   430 A Haddam-Killingworth     6-21     -15    -8           0.00
   502 H Branford                3-11      -8    -4          -0.88
   504 A Old Saybrook            3- 7      -4    -4           0.08
   505 H Valley Regional        12- 1      11     9           0.00
   509 H Waterford               6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.76
   512 H Old Lyme               17- 4      13     7           0.00
   515 A Cromwell               16- 1      15    15           0.00
   521 H Old Saybrook            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.42
   523 A Stonington              4- 6      -2    -2           0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Waterford               6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Old Saybrook            7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.42

Morgan School PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy Bacon Academy   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Berlin Morgan School   Morgan School
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford Branford  
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Morgan School   Morgan School
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Morgan School   Morgan School
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Morgan School Morgan School  
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic   East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ellington Morgan School   Morgan School
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith Morgan School   Morgan School
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Fitch Groton Fitch Groton tied -  1- 2 Fitch Groton
Foran Foran tied -  0- 2 Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied -  0- 1 Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Hall tied -  0- 1 Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Holy Cross Morgan School tied -  0- 1 Morgan School
Immaculate Danbury Morgan School   Morgan School
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Morgan School tied -  0- 1 Morgan School
Lakeview United Morgan School   Morgan School
Ledyard-Griswold Morgan School Morgan School   1- 3 vs 0- 3
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Maloney-Platt Morgan School   Morgan School
Masuk Masuk Masuk   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Middletown Morgan School   Morgan School
Montville Morgan School tied -  2- 2 Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford   New Milford
Newington Morgan School   Morgan School
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford North Branford  
North Haven Morgan School tied -  0- 3 Morgan School
Northwest Catholic Morgan School   Morgan School
Norwalk Morgan School   Morgan School
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Morgan School tied -  1- 1 Morgan School
Notre Dame-Fairfield Morgan School   Morgan School
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Morgan School Morgan School  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   4- 2 vs 3- 3
Pomperaug Morgan School   Morgan School
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Morgan School   Morgan School
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Morgan School   Morgan School
Rocky Hill Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Shelton Shelton tied -  0- 1 Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Somers Somers Somers   1- 0 vs 1- 1
South Windsor South Windsor   South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler Morgan School Morgan School   1- 3 vs 0- 3
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Morgan School   Morgan School
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington  
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Morgan School   Morgan School
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Morgan School Morgan School  
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Morgan School tied -  1- 0 Morgan School
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Morgan School   Morgan School
West Haven Morgan School tied -  0- 2 Morgan School
Westhill Morgan School   Morgan School
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield   Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Morgan School Morgan School   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Morgan School   Morgan School
Wolcott Morgan School   Morgan School
Woodstock Academy Morgan School tied -  0- 2 Morgan School
Xavier Xavier   Xavier

PairWisePlus = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Valley Regiona  ( 3-13, 71.9)    15- 1      -28.05       9.68       0.33         0.97             9.73
   0 A Old Lyme        ( 3-13, 74.4)     8- 3      -25.51      12.22       0.33         0.97            12.19
   0 H North Branford  (14- 2, 87.5)     1-14      -12.36      25.37      -0.33         0.97           -12.33
   0 H Haddam-Killing  (13- 3, 88.5)     2-19      -11.43      26.30      -0.33         0.97           -11.42
   0 H Cromwell        ( 2-14, 65.3)    16- 0      -34.57       3.16      -0.33         0.97             2.74
   0 A North Branford  (14- 2, 87.5)     2-10      -12.36      25.37       0.33         0.97           -11.68
   0 A Haddam-Killing  (13- 3, 88.5)     6-21      -11.43      26.30       0.33         0.97           -10.77
   0 H Branford        (12- 4, 85.3)     3-11      -14.65      23.09      -0.33         0.97           -14.55
   0 A Old Saybrook    (11- 5, 84.6)     3- 7      -15.35      22.38       0.33         0.97           -14.58
   0 H Valley Regiona  ( 3-13, 71.9)    12- 1      -28.05       9.68      -0.33         0.97             9.08
   0 H Waterford       ( 9- 5, 82.4)     6-10      -17.52      20.21      -0.33         0.97           -17.34
   0 H Old Lyme        ( 3-13, 74.4)    17- 4      -25.51      12.22      -0.33         0.97            11.54
   0 A Cromwell        ( 2-14, 65.3)    16- 1      -34.57       3.16       0.33         0.97             3.39
   0 H Old Saybrook    (11- 5, 84.6)     7- 6      -15.35      22.38      -0.33         0.97            21.41
   0 A Stonington      (11- 4, 82.7)     4- 6      -17.23      20.50       0.33         0.97           -16.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -39.00

winning pts = 70.0759 losing points = -109.0742

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------