UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Montpelier 1
  
Montpelier            
W-L: ( 8- 3) PR = 92.2421

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3) 10- 7 428 H Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 9- 6 430 H Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 4-11 504 H Green Mountain Valle ( 3- 5, 86.9) 14- 4 507 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 9- 7 511 H Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 3-11 513 A Bellows Free Academy ( 7- 5, 89.2) 16-10 516 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 16- 0 518 A Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 3-15 521 H Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 16- 3 526 A Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8- 6 528 A Rutland ( 3- 7, 85.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A St Johnsbury Academy   10- 7       3     3           0.04
   428 H Burlington              9- 6       3     4          -1.15
   430 H Stowe                   4-11      -7     1    --    -5.59
   504 H Green Mountain Valle   14- 4      10     5           0.00
   507 A Milton                  9- 7       2    -1    +      2.85
   511 H Hartford Union          3-11      -8    -5           0.00
   513 A Bellows Free Academy   16-10       6     3           1.97
   516 H Lyndon Institute       16- 0      16     8           0.00
   518 A Harwood Union           3-15     -12    -5           0.00
   521 H Colchester             16- 3      13     5           0.03
   526 A Mount Abraham           8- 6       2     0           1.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Stowe                   4-11      -7     1    --    -5.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Milton                  9- 7       2    -1    +      2.85

Montpelier PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Montpelier Montpelier  
Bellows Free Academy Montpelier tied -  2- 0 Montpelier
Brattleboro Union Montpelier   Montpelier
Burlington Montpelier Montpelier  
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Montpelier Montpelier  
Essex Junction Montpelier   Montpelier
Green Mountain Valle Montpelier Montpelier  
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Montpelier   Montpelier
Lyndon Institute Montpelier Montpelier  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Montpelier Montpelier  
Mount Abraham Montpelier Montpelier  
Mt Anthony Union Montpelier Montpelier   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Montpelier Montpelier   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Randolph Union Montpelier Montpelier   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   Rice Memorial
Rutland Montpelier   Montpelier
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Montpelier Montpelier   7- 2 vs 1- 8
St Johnsbury Academy Montpelier Montpelier  
Stowe Stowe Stowe  
Stratton Mountain Sc Montpelier tied -  1- 0 Montpelier
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PairWisePlus = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Johnsbury A  ( 5- 8, 89.3)    10- 7      -10.62       5.17       0.01         0.99             5.13
   0 H Burlington      ( 2- 9, 88.1)     9- 6      -11.80       4.00      -0.01         0.99             3.95
   0 H Stowe           ( 7- 6, 91.7)     4-11       -8.24       7.56      -0.01         0.99            -8.17
   0 H Green Mountain  ( 3- 5, 86.9)    14- 4      -13.00       2.80      -0.01         0.99             2.76
   0 A Milton          (10- 3, 93.1)     9- 7       -6.82       8.98       0.01         0.99             8.90
   0 H Hartford Union  (12- 1, 97.4)     3-11       -2.50      13.30      -0.01         0.99            -2.49
   0 A Bellows Free A  ( 7- 5, 89.2)    16-10      -10.70       5.10       0.01         0.99             5.06
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 0-11, 84.4)    16- 0      -15.49       1.00      -0.01         0.99             0.98
   0 A Harwood Union   (11- 1, 97.6)     3-15       -2.35      13.45       0.01         0.99            -2.32
   0 H Colchester      ( 3- 9, 87.3)    16- 3      -12.62       3.18      -0.01         0.99             3.14
   0 A Mount Abraham   ( 8- 4, 92.0)     8- 6       -7.85       7.94       0.01         0.99             7.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        24.84

winning pts = 37.8095 losing points = -12.9729

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------