UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Monticello 1
  
Monticello            
W-L: ( 2- 2) PR = 83.5880

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 2- 6 327 H Charlottesville ( 2- 4, 80.5) 11- 7 331 A Kettle Run ( 1- 6, 82.2) 18- 5 331 H Liberty Bealeton ( 2- 2, 79.0) 401 H Orange County ( 1- 2, 80.3) 403 A Fluvanna County ( 3- 3, 84.9) 4-11 414 H Albemarle ( 2- 2, 87.6) 417 A Goochland ( 1- 0, 87.7) 424 H Tandem Friends ( 0- 0, 85.3) 428 A Charlottesville ( 2- 4, 80.5) 501 A Western Albemarle ( 1- 2, 90.8) 505 H Fluvanna County ( 3- 3, 84.9) 508 A Albemarle ( 2- 2, 87.6) 511 H Goochland ( 1- 0, 87.7) 513 A James Monroe ( 3- 0, 89.3) 518 A Hanover ( 4- 0, 95.3) 520 A Orange County ( 1- 2, 80.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Brentsville             2- 6      -4    -3          -1.01
   327 H Charlottesville        11- 7       4     3           0.87
   331 A Kettle Run             18- 5      13     1    +      3.69
   403 A Fluvanna County         4-11      -7    -1    -     -3.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Fluvanna County         4-11      -7    -1    -     -3.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Kettle Run             18- 5      13     1    +      3.69

Monticello Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Monticello   Monticello
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Monticello   Monticello
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Monticello Monticello  
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Monticello   Monticello
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Monticello tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Monticello
Deep Run Monticello   Monticello
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Monticello insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monticello
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Monticello   Monticello
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Monticello   Monticello
Fauquier Fauquier tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fauquier
First Colonial Monticello   Monticello
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Monticello   Monticello
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County Fluvanna County  
Forest Park Monticello   Monticello
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Monticello   Monticello
Fredericksburg Acade Monticello   Monticello
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Monticello   Monticello
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Monticello   Monticello
Grassfield LC Monticello   Monticello
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hanover
Hayfield Monticello   Monticello
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Monticello   Monticello
Highland School Monticello   Monticello
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Monticello   Monticello
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Monticello   Monticello
Justice Monticello   Monticello
Kellam Monticello   Monticello
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Monticello Monticello  
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Monticello   Monticello
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Monticello   Monticello
Liberty Bealeton Monticello insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Monticello
Lightridge Lightridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Monticello   Monticello
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Monticello   Monticello
Marshall Monticello   Monticello
Massaponax Monticello   Monticello
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Monticello   Monticello
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Monticello   Monticello
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Mount Vernon Monticello   Monticello
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Monticello   Monticello
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Monticello   Monticello
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Monticello   Monticello
Northern VA Home Sch Monticello   Monticello
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Monticello insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Monticello
Osbourn Monticello   Monticello
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Monticello   Monticello
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Monticello   Monticello
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Monticello   Monticello
Powhatan Monticello   Monticello
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Monticello   Monticello
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Monticello   Monticello
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Monticello   Monticello
Seton School Monticello   Monticello
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Monticello   Monticello
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Monticello   Monticello
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Monticello   Monticello
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale Monticello   Monticello
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Monticello   Monticello
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Monticello   Monticello
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Monticello   Monticello
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Monticello   Monticello
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Monticello   Monticello
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 59


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Brentsville     ( 3- 1, 86.7)     2- 6      -13.24      14.52      -0.08         0.82           -10.87
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 2- 4, 80.5)    11- 7      -19.37       8.39      -0.08         0.82             6.79
   0 A Kettle Run      ( 1- 6, 82.2)    18- 5      -17.71      10.05       0.08         0.82             8.27
   0 A Fluvanna Count  ( 3- 3, 84.9)     4-11      -14.98      12.78       0.08         0.82           -12.16
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -7.97

winning pts = 15.0598 losing points = -23.0342

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------