UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Monticello 1
  
Monticello            
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 77.8342

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Brentsville (11- 2, 81.7) 2- 6 327 H Charlottesville ( 5- 8, 76.1) 11- 7 331 A Kettle Run ( 3-10, 76.5) 18- 5 331 H Liberty Bealeton ( 3- 9, 73.7) 403 A Fluvanna County ( 7- 6, 79.3) 4-11 414 H Albemarle ( 9- 4, 85.8) 3-16 417 A Goochland ( 9- 3, 82.1) 7-12 424 H Tandem Friends ( 0- 1, 70.2) 427 H Orange County ( 3-10, 74.2) 12- 4 428 A Charlottesville ( 5- 8, 76.1) 9-11 501 A Western Albemarle ( 7- 6, 85.7) 5-20 505 H Fluvanna County ( 7- 6, 79.3) 6- 9 508 A Albemarle ( 9- 4, 85.8) 4-19 511 H Goochland ( 9- 3, 82.1) 3-11 513 A James Monroe (13- 0, 82.8) 7- 9 518 A Hanover ( 9- 4, 85.9) 520 A Orange County ( 3-10, 74.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Brentsville             2- 6      -4    -3          -0.55
   327 H Charlottesville        11- 7       4     2           1.84
   331 A Kettle Run             18- 5      13     1    ++     4.15
   403 A Fluvanna County         4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.06
   414 H Albemarle               3-16     -13    -7           0.00
   417 A Goochland               7-12      -5    -5          -0.32
   427 H Orange County          12- 4       8     4           0.89
   428 A Charlottesville         9-11      -2     1    -     -3.25
   501 A Western Albemarle       5-20     -15    -8           0.00
   505 H Fluvanna County         6- 9      -3    -1          -1.97
   508 A Albemarle               4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   511 H Goochland               3-11      -8    -4          -1.22
   513 A James Monroe            7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Fluvanna County         4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.06
   428 A Charlottesville         9-11      -2     1    -     -3.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Kettle Run             18- 5      13     1    ++     4.15
   513 A James Monroe            7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.00

Monticello PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle Albemarle  
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Monticello   Monticello
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Monticello   Monticello
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Monticello   Monticello
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Monticello Monticello   1- 4 vs 0- 5
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Monticello tied -  1- 3 Monticello
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Eastern View Monticello Monticello   2- 2 vs 0- 3
EC Glass EC Glass EC Glass   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Edison Edison   Edison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Monticello   Monticello
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier   2- 0 vs 1- 1
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County Fluvanna County  
Forest Park Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Monticello   Monticello
Fredericksburg Acade Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Monticello   Monticello
Glen Allen Glen Allen Glen Allen   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Goochland Goochland Goochland  
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Monticello   Monticello
Green Run Monticello   Monticello
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover Hanover   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Monticello   Monticello
Highland School Monticello   Monticello
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe  
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   1- 1 vs 0- 2
John Champe John Champe   John Champe
Justice Monticello   Monticello
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Monticello   Monticello
Kettle Run Monticello Monticello  
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Monticello   Monticello
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Monticello   Monticello
Liberty Bealeton Monticello Monticello   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley   Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Monticello   Monticello
Marshall Monticello   Monticello
Massaponax Monticello Monticello   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Menchville LC Monticello   Monticello
Meridian Meridian Meridian   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Midlothian Midlothian Midlothian   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin tied -  0- 1 Mills Godwin
Monacan Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Mount Vernon Monticello   Monticello
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School North Cross School   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Stafford Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Northern VA Home Sch Monticello   Monticello
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Monticello   Monticello
Orange County Monticello Monticello  
Osbourn Monticello   Monticello
Osbourn Park Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Park View Monticello   Monticello
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla tied -  0- 1 Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Monticello   Monticello
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Monticello   Monticello
Powhatan Powhatan tied -  0- 2 Powhatan
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend tied -  1- 1 Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Monticello   Monticello
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem Salem   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Salem Virginia Beach Monticello   Monticello
Seton School Monticello   Monticello
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Monticello   Monticello
Tandem Friends Monticello   Monticello
Thomas Dale Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Thomas Jefferson Monticello   Monticello
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Monticello Monticello   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Monticello   Monticello
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Monticello   Monticello
Wakefield School Monticello   Monticello
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle  
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 51


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Brentsville     (11- 2, 81.7)     2- 6      -18.16      18.78      -0.45         0.88           -16.44
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 5- 8, 76.1)    11- 7      -23.77      13.18      -0.45         0.88            11.23
   0 A Kettle Run      ( 3-10, 76.5)    18- 5      -23.37      13.58       0.45         0.88            12.39
   0 A Fluvanna Count  ( 7- 6, 79.3)     4-11      -20.58      16.36       0.45         0.88           -17.78
   0 H Albemarle       ( 9- 4, 85.8)     3-16      -14.12      22.83      -0.45         0.88           -12.87
   0 A Goochland       ( 9- 3, 82.1)     7-12      -17.84      19.11       0.45         0.88           -15.35
   0 H Orange County   ( 3-10, 74.2)    12- 4      -25.72      11.22      -0.45         0.88             9.51
   0 A Charlottesvill  ( 5- 8, 76.1)     9-11      -23.77      13.18       0.45         0.88           -20.59
   0 A Western Albema  ( 7- 6, 85.7)     5-20      -14.16      22.78       0.45         0.88           -12.11
   0 H Fluvanna Count  ( 7- 6, 79.3)     6- 9      -20.58      16.36      -0.45         0.88           -18.58
   0 A Albemarle       ( 9- 4, 85.8)     4-19      -14.12      22.83       0.45         0.88           -12.06
   0 H Goochland       ( 9- 3, 82.1)     3-11      -17.84      19.11      -0.45         0.88           -16.15
   0 A James Monroe    (13- 0, 82.8)     7- 9      -17.05      19.89       0.45         0.88           -14.66
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -123.44

winning pts = 33.1362 losing points = -156.5809

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------