UPDATED: 05-01-26 10:11 PDT

boys Collins 1
  
Collins               
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 84.8612

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H South Oldham ( 5- 3, 93.9) 3-14 305 A Shelby County (11- 5, 80.8) 17- 1 310 H Walton-Verona ( 4- 7, 78.0) 19- 4 311 H Male ( 3- 7, 73.5) 20- 1 316 A Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6) 4- 9 320 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 7- 4 324 A North Hardin ( 1-13, 72.2) 15- 0 407 H Shelby County (11- 5, 80.8) 13- 6 411 A Covington Catholic ( 4- 6, 82.5) 15- 7 414 H Central Hardin ( 3- 8, 78.0) 15- 2 416 A Louisville Collegiat ( 8- 4, 85.8) 4-13 421 H North Oldham (11- 3, 91.6) 6-16 429 A Oldham County ( 1-12, 68.9) 501 A Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H South Oldham            3-14     -11    -9           0.00
   305 A Shelby County          17- 1      16     4           1.45
   310 H Walton-Verona          19- 4      15     7           0.00
   311 H Male                   20- 1      19    12           0.00
   316 A Lafayette               4- 9      -5    -4          -0.76
   320 H Atherton                7- 4       3     4          -0.70
   324 A North Hardin           15- 0      15    12           0.00
   407 H Shelby County          13- 6       7     4           0.51
   411 A Covington Catholic     15- 7       8     2    +      3.10
   414 H Central Hardin         15- 2      13     7           0.00
   416 A Louisville Collegiat    4-13      -9    -1    -     -3.62
   421 H North Oldham            6-16     -10    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Louisville Collegiat    4-13      -9    -1    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Covington Catholic     15- 7       8     2    +      3.10

Collins PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Collins   Collins
Atherton Collins Collins  
Ballard Louisville Collins Collins   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Bluegrass Collins Collins   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bowling Green Collins tied -  2- 0 Collins
Bryan Station Collins Collins   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Central Hardin Collins Collins  
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   Christian Academy-Lo
Cooper Collins Collins   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Covington Catholic Collins Collins  
DeSales Collins tied -  2- 1 Collins
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights tied -  1- 0 Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual Collins tied -  3- 2 Collins
Eastern Eastern Eastern   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass tied -  0- 2 Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Collins Collins   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Greenwood Collins Collins   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic tied -  1- 0 Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat  
Male Collins Collins  
North Hardin Collins Collins  
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Oldham County Collins Collins   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Owensboro Collins   Collins
Paul Laurence Dunbar Collins Collins   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Ryle Ryle tied -  2- 2 Ryle
Sayre Sayre   Sayre
Scott County Collins Collins   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Shelby County Collins Collins  
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren South Warren South Warren   3- 0 vs 2- 1
St Henry Collins Collins   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tates Creek Collins Collins   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walton-Verona Collins Collins  
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   3- 0 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Oldham    ( 5- 3, 93.9)     3-14       -5.96      25.07      -0.47         0.88            -5.66
   0 A Shelby County   (11- 5, 80.8)    17- 1      -19.06      11.97       0.47         0.88            10.96
   0 H Walton-Verona   ( 4- 7, 78.0)    19- 4      -21.91       9.12      -0.47         0.88             7.62
   0 H Male            ( 3- 7, 73.5)    20- 1      -26.38       4.65      -0.47         0.88             3.69
   0 A Lafayette       (11- 2, 88.6)     4- 9      -11.26      19.77       0.47         0.88            -9.51
   0 H Atherton        ( 5- 5, 81.6)     7- 4      -18.27      12.76      -0.47         0.88            10.83
   0 A North Hardin    ( 1-13, 72.2)    15- 0      -27.71       3.32       0.47         0.88             3.33
   0 H Shelby County   (11- 5, 80.8)    13- 6      -19.06      11.97      -0.47         0.88            10.13
   0 A Covington Cath  ( 4- 6, 82.5)    15- 7      -17.41      13.62       0.47         0.88            12.42
   0 H Central Hardin  ( 3- 8, 78.0)    15- 2      -21.91       9.12      -0.47         0.88             7.62
   0 A Louisville Col  ( 8- 4, 85.8)     4-13      -14.13      16.91       0.47         0.88           -12.03
   0 H North Oldham    (11- 3, 91.6)     6-16       -8.27      22.76      -0.47         0.88            -7.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        31.70

winning pts = 66.6009 losing points = -34.8986

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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