UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Collins 1
  
Collins               
W-L: ( 5- 2) PR = 87.4095

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H South Oldham ( 4- 2, 93.9) 3-14 305 A Shelby County ( 6- 4, 83.2) 17- 1 310 H Walton-Verona ( 3- 4, 83.2) 19- 4 311 H Male ( 2- 3, 78.7) 20- 1 316 A Lafayette ( 8- 1, 90.3) 4- 9 320 H Atherton ( 4- 4, 84.8) 7- 4 324 A North Hardin ( 1- 8, 73.9) 15- 0 407 H Shelby County ( 6- 4, 83.2) 411 A Covington Catholic ( 3- 3, 86.0) 414 H Central Hardin ( 2- 5, 81.9) 416 A Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 1, 87.3) 421 H North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 423 A Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 427 A Oldham County ( 0- 8, 69.6) 501 A Tates Creek ( 3- 5, 84.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H South Oldham            3-14     -11    -6           0.00
   305 A Shelby County          17- 1      16     4           1.06
   310 H Walton-Verona          19- 4      15     4           0.59
   311 H Male                   20- 1      19     9           0.00
   316 A Lafayette               4- 9      -5    -3          -1.86
   320 H Atherton                7- 4       3     3           0.14
   324 A North Hardin           15- 0      15    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Collins Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Collins   Collins
Atherton Collins Collins  
Ballard Louisville Collins insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collins
Bluegrass Collins insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collins
Bowling Green Bowling Green tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bowling Green
Bryan Station Collins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Collins
Central Hardin Collins tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Collins
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   Christian Academy-Lo
Cooper Collins insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Collins
Covington Catholic Collins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Collins
DeSales Collins tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Collins
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights   Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual Collins   Collins
Eastern Eastern tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Collins insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Collins
Greenwood Collins insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collins
Henry Clay Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiat Collins tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Collins
Male Collins Collins  
North Hardin Collins Collins  
North Oldham North Oldham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) North Oldham
Oldham County Collins Collins   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Owensboro Collins   Collins
Paul Laurence Dunbar Collins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Collins
Ryle Ryle   Ryle
Sayre Sayre   Sayre
Scott County Collins insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Collins
Shelby County Collins Collins  
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren South Warren tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Warren
St Henry Collins insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Collins
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Collins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Collins
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Collins Collins  
Woodford County Woodford County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodford County

PowerWise = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Oldham    ( 4- 2, 93.9)     3-14       -6.00      24.26      -0.24         0.93            -5.82
   0 A Shelby County   ( 6- 4, 83.2)    17- 1      -16.67      13.59       0.24         0.93            12.89
   0 H Walton-Verona   ( 3- 4, 83.2)    19- 4      -16.66      13.60      -0.24         0.93            12.45
   0 H Male            ( 2- 3, 78.7)    20- 1      -21.25       9.01      -0.24         0.93             8.18
   0 A Lafayette       ( 8- 1, 90.3)     4- 9       -9.60      20.66       0.24         0.93            -8.72
   0 H Atherton        ( 4- 4, 84.8)     7- 4      -15.11      15.15      -0.24         0.93            13.89
   0 A North Hardin    ( 1- 8, 73.9)    15- 0      -25.96       4.30       0.24         0.93             4.24
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        37.11

winning pts = 51.6423 losing points = -14.5357

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------