UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Middlebury Union 1
  
Middlebury Union      
W-L: ( 2- 1) PR = 95.8050

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 416 A South Burlington ( 1- 2, 94.8) 14-13 418 A Rice Memorial ( 4- 0, 95.6) 8-10 422 H Champlain Valley Uni ( 1- 1, 96.8) 425 A Bellows Free Academy ( 1- 2, 90.0) 20- 6 429 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 2- 1, 94.2) 502 H Woodstock Union ( 2- 1, 97.0) 505 A Essex Junction ( 0- 3, 89.8) 508 A South Burlington ( 1- 2, 94.8) 513 H Rice Memorial ( 4- 0, 95.6) 515 A Champlain Valley Uni ( 1- 1, 96.8) 519 H Bellows Free Academy ( 1- 2, 90.0) 522 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 2- 1, 94.2) 526 A Woodstock Union ( 2- 1, 97.0) 529 H Essex Junction ( 0- 3, 89.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A South Burlington       14-13       1     0           1.00
   418 A Rice Memorial           8-10      -2    -1          -1.21
   425 A Bellows Free Academy   20- 6      14     5           0.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Middlebury Union PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Bellows Free Academy Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Brattleboro Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Burlington Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni tied -  1- 0 Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Essex Junction Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Green Mountain Valle Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Hartford Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Harwood Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Lamoille Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Lyndon Institute Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton   Milton
Montpelier Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Mount Abraham Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Mt Anthony Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Mt Mansfield Union Middlebury Union tied -  1- 1 Middlebury Union
Otter Valley Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Randolph Union Middlebury Union tied -  0- 1 Middlebury Union
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial Rice Memorial  
Rutland Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
South Burlington Middlebury Union Middlebury Union  
Spaulding Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
St Johnsbury Academy Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Stowe Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Stratton Mountain Sc Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   Woodstock Union

PairWisePlus = 23


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 1.66

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A South Burlingt  ( 1- 2, 94.8)    14-13       -5.10       7.58       1.00         0.55             4.73
   0 A Rice Memorial   ( 4- 0, 95.6)     8-10       -4.30       8.37       1.00         0.55            -1.82
   0 A Bellows Free A  ( 1- 2, 90.0)    20- 6       -9.85       2.82       1.00         0.55             2.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         5.02

winning pts = 6.8428 losing points = -1.8226

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------