Middlebury Union
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 96.4538
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
416 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 14-13
418 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 8-10
425 A Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 20- 6
429 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 12-14
502 H Woodstock Union ( 9- 4, 97.6) 11-13
508 A South Burlington (10- 3, 99.9) 6-17
509 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 14- 4
513 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 13- 7
515 A Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 7-12
518 H Bellows Free Academy ( 3- 9, 90.5) 9- 4
520 H Champlain Valley Uni (10- 3, 99.0) 9- 6
522 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 6- 6, 95.2) 9-10
526 A Woodstock Union ( 9- 4, 97.6) 11-10
529 H Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A South Burlington 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.46
418 A Rice Memorial 8-10 -2 2 - -3.81
425 A Bellows Free Academy 20- 6 14 6 0.00
429 A Mt Mansfield Union 12-14 -2 1 - -3.24
502 H Woodstock Union 11-13 -2 -1 -0.89
508 A South Burlington 6-17 -11 -3 -1.54
509 A Essex Junction 14- 4 10 6 0.00
513 H Rice Memorial 13- 7 6 2 + 3.17
515 A Champlain Valley Uni 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.48
518 H Bellows Free Academy 9- 4 5 6 0.00
520 H Champlain Valley Uni 9- 6 3 -3 ++ 5.50
522 H Mt Mansfield Union 9-10 -1 1 - -2.26
526 A Woodstock Union 11-10 1 -1 + 2.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Rice Memorial 8-10 -2 2 - -3.81
429 A Mt Mansfield Union 12-14 -2 1 - -3.24
515 A Champlain Valley Uni 7-12 -5 -3 - -2.48
522 H Mt Mansfield Union 9-10 -1 1 - -2.26
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 A South Burlington 14-13 1 -3 ++ 4.46
520 H Champlain Valley Uni 9- 6 3 -3 ++ 5.50
513 H Rice Memorial 13- 7 6 2 + 3.17
526 A Woodstock Union 11-10 1 -1 + 2.13
|
Middlebury Union PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
 
| |
| Brattleboro Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Burlington |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
Burr and Burton Acad   2- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
|
Champlain Valley Uni   6- 0 vs 5- 4 |
|
| Colchester |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Essex Junction |
Middlebury Union |
Middlebury Union |
 
| |
| Green Mountain Valle |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Hartford Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Harwood Union |
Harwood Union |
|
Harwood Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lamoille Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Milton |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Montpelier |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Mount Abraham |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Mt Anthony Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
Mt Mansfield Union |
 
| |
| Otter Valley Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Randolph Union |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Rice Memorial |
Rice Memorial |
|
Rice Memorial   3- 2 vs 4- 3 |
|
| Rutland |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
|
South Burlington   4- 2 vs 5- 4 |
|
| Spaulding |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| St Johnsbury Academy |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Stowe |
Middlebury Union |
|
Middlebury Union   1- 1 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
Middlebury Union |
|
 
| Middlebury Union |
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
|
tied -  2- 2 |
Woodstock Union |
PairWisePlus = 21

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 14-13 -0.00 15.80 0.01 0.84 13.25
0 A Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 8-10 -5.26 10.53 0.01 0.84 -4.40
0 A Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 20- 6 -9.40 6.39 0.01 0.84 5.37
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 6- 6, 95.2) 12-14 -4.70 11.10 0.01 0.84 -3.93
0 H Woodstock Unio ( 9- 4, 97.6) 11-13 -2.32 13.47 -0.01 0.84 -1.96
0 A South Burlingt (10- 3, 99.9) 6-17 -0.00 15.80 0.01 0.84 -0.01
0 A Essex Junction ( 1-10, 90.3) 14- 4 -9.63 6.16 0.01 0.84 5.17
0 H Rice Memorial ( 7- 5, 94.6) 13- 7 -5.26 10.53 -0.01 0.84 8.82
0 A Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 7-12 -0.93 14.86 0.01 0.84 -0.77
0 H Bellows Free A ( 3- 9, 90.5) 9- 4 -9.40 6.39 -0.01 0.84 5.35
0 H Champlain Vall (10- 3, 99.0) 9- 6 -0.93 14.86 -0.01 0.84 12.45
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 6- 6, 95.2) 9-10 -4.70 11.10 -0.01 0.84 -3.95
0 A Woodstock Unio ( 9- 4, 97.6) 11-10 -2.32 13.47 0.01 0.84 11.30
------
46.70
|
winning pts = 61.7162 losing points = -15.0177
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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