UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:50 PDT

boys Messalonskee 1
  
Messalonskee          
W-L: (10- 3) PR = 91.0815

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H Oak Hill ( 0-11, 80.2) 14- 0 421 A Kennebunk ( 4- 7, 90.6) 9- 5 424 H Greely ( 7- 4, 91.4) 8- 7 428 A Hampden Academy ( 7- 2, 85.5) 14- 4 429 H Mount Blue ( 4- 6, 82.4) 12- 1 501 H Cape Elizabeth ( 5- 7, 94.0) 7- 6 505 H Brunswick ( 5- 6, 90.7) 11-16 512 A Gardiner Area ( 6- 5, 87.0) 14- 8 514 A Camden Hills Regiona ( 3- 8, 79.0) 13- 1 519 A Yarmouth ( 9- 3, 97.5) 3-16 520 H Portland ( 7- 5, 89.9) 11-14 526 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 11- 5 527 A Mount Ararat ( 5- 5, 84.9) 13- 3 603 H Camden Hills Regiona ( 3- 8, 79.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Oak Hill               14- 0      14    11           0.00
   421 A Kennebunk               9- 5       4     1    +      3.49
   424 H Greely                  8- 7       1     0           1.34
   428 A Hampden Academy        14- 4      10     6           0.00
   429 H Mount Blue             12- 1      11     9           0.00
   501 H Cape Elizabeth          7- 6       1    -3    +      3.93
   505 H Brunswick              11-16      -5     0    --    -5.36
   512 A Gardiner Area          14- 8       6     4           0.89
   514 A Camden Hills Regiona   13- 1      12    12           0.00
   519 A Yarmouth                3-16     -13    -6           0.00
   520 H Portland               11-14      -3     1    --    -4.21
   526 A Morse/Boothbay         11- 5       6     7           0.00
   527 A Mount Ararat           13- 3      10     6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Brunswick              11-16      -5     0    --    -5.36
   520 H Portland               11-14      -3     1    --    -4.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Kennebunk               9- 5       4     1    +      3.49
   501 H Cape Elizabeth          7- 6       1    -3    +      3.93

Messalonskee PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Messalonskee   Messalonskee
Biddeford Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bonny Eagle Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Brewer Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick  
Camden Hills Regiona Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Cape Elizabeth Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Cheverus Messalonskee   Messalonskee
Cony Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Deering Deering Deering   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Edward Little Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Erskine Academy Messalonskee Messalonskee   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Falmouth Falmouth Falmouth   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Freeport Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Fryeburg Academy Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Gardiner Area Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Gorham Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gray/New Gloucester/ Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greely Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Hampden Academy Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Houlton/Hogdon Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
John Bapst Memorial Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kennebunk Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Lake Region Messalonskee   Messalonskee
Lawrence/Winslow Messalonskee Messalonskee   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Lewiston Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Lincoln Academy Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Maranacook-Winthrop Messalonskee tied -  1- 0 Messalonskee
Marshwood Marshwood tied -  3- 0 Marshwood
Massabesic Messalonskee tied -  0- 1 Messalonskee
MCI-Nokomis Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Morse/Boothbay Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Mount Ararat Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Mount Blue Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford   Noble/Sanford
North Yarmouth Acade Messalonskee Messalonskee   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Oak Hill Messalonskee Messalonskee  
Oxford Hills Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Portland Portland Portland  
Scarborough Scarborough Scarborough   4- 1 vs 3- 2
South Portland South Portland tied -  1- 1 South Portland
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Traip Academy Messalonskee   Messalonskee
Waynflete School Messalonskee   Messalonskee
Wells Messalonskee tied -  3- 0 Messalonskee
Westbrook Messalonskee Messalonskee   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Windham Windham tied -  3- 2 Windham
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth  
York York tied -  3- 2 York

PairWisePlus = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.40

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Oak Hill        ( 0-11, 80.2)    14- 0      -19.73      11.42      -0.01         0.80             9.13
   0 A Kennebunk       ( 4- 7, 90.6)     9- 5       -9.34      21.82       0.01         0.80            17.46
   0 H Greely          ( 7- 4, 91.4)     8- 7       -8.47      22.68      -0.01         0.80            18.14
   0 A Hampden Academ  ( 7- 2, 85.5)    14- 4      -14.37      16.78       0.01         0.80            13.43
   0 H Mount Blue      ( 4- 6, 82.4)    12- 1      -17.50      13.65      -0.01         0.80            10.92
   0 H Cape Elizabeth  ( 5- 7, 94.0)     7- 6       -5.88      25.28      -0.01         0.80            20.21
   0 H Brunswick       ( 5- 6, 90.7)    11-16       -9.17      21.98      -0.01         0.80            -7.34
   0 A Gardiner Area   ( 6- 5, 87.0)    14- 8      -12.94      18.21       0.01         0.80            14.58
   0 A Camden Hills R  ( 3- 8, 79.0)    13- 1      -20.95      10.21       0.01         0.80             8.17
   0 A Yarmouth        ( 9- 3, 97.5)     3-16       -2.44      28.71       0.01         0.80            -1.95
   0 H Portland        ( 7- 5, 89.9)    11-14      -10.02      21.13      -0.01         0.80            -8.02
   0 A Morse/Boothbay  ( 6- 5, 84.5)    11- 5      -15.41      15.74       0.01         0.80            12.60
   0 A Mount Ararat    ( 5- 5, 84.9)    13- 3      -15.02      16.13       0.01         0.80            12.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       120.24

winning pts = 137.5543 losing points = -17.3148

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------