UPDATED: 04-23-26 10:35 PDT

boys Merrimack 1
  
Merrimack             
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 94.9849

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 413 H Nashua North ( 1- 3, 87.4) 15- 6 414 A Hollis-Brookline ( 2- 2, 90.1) 11- 2 417 A Pinkerton Academy ( 4- 0, 99.9) 2-17 421 H Keene-Monadnock ( 1- 2, 84.4) 15- 1 427 A Londonderry ( 1- 3, 92.0) 429 A Souhegan ( 3- 1, 92.4) 504 H Nashua South ( 2- 3, 93.7) 506 H Exeter HS ( 3- 0, 98.6) 508 A Windham ( 3- 1, 93.7) 512 H Concord ( 2- 3, 89.9) 514 A Bishop Guertin ( 2- 0, 96.8) 516 A Goffstown ( 2- 2, 90.0) 518 A Bedford ( 3- 0, 98.5) 520 A Salem ( 0- 4, 82.9) 522 H Dover ( 3- 2, 94.9) 527 H Manchester Memorial- ( 0- 4, 87.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Nashua North           15- 6       9     8           0.00
   414 A Hollis-Brookline       11- 2       9     5           0.17
   417 A Pinkerton Academy       2-17     -15    -5          -0.04
   421 H Keene-Monadnock        15- 1      14    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Merrimack PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne Merrimack   Merrimack
Bedford Bedford   Bedford
Bishop Brady Merrimack   Merrimack
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin   Bishop Guertin
Bow Merrimack   Merrimack
Campbell Merrimack   Merrimack
Coe-Brown Coe-Brown   Coe-Brown
Concord Merrimack tied -  1- 0 Merrimack
ConVal Merrimack   Merrimack
Derryfield Derryfield   Derryfield
Dover Merrimack tied -  1- 1 Merrimack
Exeter HS Exeter HS   Exeter HS
Gilford Merrimack   Merrimack
Goffstown Merrimack   Merrimack
Hanover Merrimack   Merrimack
Hollis-Brookline Merrimack Merrimack  
Hopkinton Merrimack   Merrimack
Inter-Lakes-Moultonb Merrimack   Merrimack
John Stark Merrimack   Merrimack
Kearsarge Merrimack   Merrimack
Keene-Monadnock Merrimack Merrimack  
Kennett Merrimack   Merrimack
Kingswood Merrimack   Merrimack
Laconia Merrimack   Merrimack
Lebanon Merrimack   Merrimack
Londonderry Merrimack tied -  1- 0 Merrimack
Manchester Memorial- Merrimack   Merrimack
Merrimack Valley Merrimack Merrimack   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Milford Merrimack   Merrimack
Nashua North Merrimack Merrimack  
Nashua South Merrimack tied -  1- 1 Merrimack
Oyster River-Newmark Merrimack   Merrimack
Pelham Merrimack   Merrimack
Pembroke Academy Merrimack Merrimack   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy  
Plymouth Regional Plymouth Regional   Plymouth Regional
Portsmouth Portsmouth   Portsmouth
Salem Merrimack Merrimack   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Souhegan Merrimack   Merrimack
Spaulding Merrimack   Merrimack
St Thomas Aquinas Merrimack   Merrimack
Stevens Merrimack   Merrimack
Timberlane Timberlane   Timberlane
Trinity Manchester Merrimack   Merrimack
Windham Merrimack   Merrimack
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet   Winnacunnet

PairWisePlus = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Nashua North    ( 1- 3, 87.4)    15- 6      -12.49       6.24      -0.04         0.96             5.93
   0 A Hollis-Brookli  ( 2- 2, 90.1)    11- 2       -9.79       8.94       0.04         0.96             8.60
   0 A Pinkerton Acad  ( 4- 0, 99.9)     2-17       -0.00      18.73       0.04         0.96            -0.04
   0 H Keene-Monadnoc  ( 1- 2, 84.4)    15- 1      -15.51       3.22      -0.04         0.96             3.04
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.52

winning pts = 17.5662 losing points = -0.0426

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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