Middle Creek
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 99.9000
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 H Apex Friendship (12- 1, 98.2) 11- 5
227 A Northwest Guilford ( 6- 6, 90.2) 13- 3
306 A Christ School ( 1- 4, 96.2) 11- 5
310 A Wake Forest ( 3- 7, 85.1) 18- 1
314 H Topsail (10- 3, 98.2) 5- 7
318 H Green Level (11- 3, 96.9) 13- 4
320 H Heritage ( 3- 7, 89.4) 16- 4
324 A Holly Springs ( 8- 2, 95.6) 13- 5
327 H Sanderson ( 7- 4, 91.2) 17- 5
328 A Providence Day ( 5- 4, 97.2) 8- 3
408 A Cary HS ( 1-11, 76.3) 25- 0
409 H Apex ( 7- 6, 94.8) 9- 2
410 H Lake Norman HS ( 9- 1, 99.7) 4-11
415 H Cardinal Gibbons ( 8- 3, 99.2) 9- 8
421 H Cary HS ( 1-11, 76.3)
422 A Athens Drive (11- 2, 95.1)
424 A Heritage ( 3- 7, 89.4)
428 H Holly Springs ( 8- 2, 95.6)
430 A Green Hope ( 9- 6, 92.0)
501 A Sanderson ( 7- 4, 91.2)
505 A Cardinal Gibbons ( 8- 3, 99.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Apex Friendship 11- 5 6 2 + 2.93
227 A Northwest Guilford 13- 3 10 9 0.00
306 A Christ School 11- 5 6 3 1.59
310 A Wake Forest 18- 1 17 15 0.00
314 H Topsail 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.04
318 H Green Level 13- 4 9 3 1.66
320 H Heritage 16- 4 12 11 0.00
324 A Holly Springs 13- 5 8 4 1.02
327 H Sanderson 17- 5 12 9 0.00
328 A Providence Day 8- 3 5 2 + 2.63
408 A Cary HS 25- 0 25 23 0.00
409 H Apex 9- 2 7 5 0.00
410 H Lake Norman HS 4-11 -7 1 -- -5.57
415 H Cardinal Gibbons 9- 8 1 1 -0.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
314 H Topsail 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.04
410 H Lake Norman HS 4-11 -7 1 -- -5.57
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 H Apex Friendship 11- 5 6 2 + 2.93
328 A Providence Day 8- 3 5 2 + 2.63
|
Middle Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Apex |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Apex Friendship |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Ardrey Kell |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Asheville HS |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Asheville School |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Ashley |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Athens Drive |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Atkins |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Ballantyne Ridge |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Bishop McGuinness |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Bradford Prep |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Broughton |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Butler |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Cannon School |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Cape Fear Academy |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cape Fear HS |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Carrboro |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cary Academy |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cary Christian |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cary HS |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Cedar Ridge |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Chapel Hill |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Charlotte Catholic |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Charlotte CDS |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Charlotte Christian |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Charlotte Latin |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Christ School |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Christ The King |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Clayton |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Cleveland |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Community School-Dav |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Corinth Holders |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Cornerstone Charter |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Croatan |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Cuthbertson |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Davie |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| DH Conley |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Durham Academy |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| East Chapel Hill |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| East Forsyth |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Eastern Alamance |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Eastern Guilford |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Enloe |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Fike |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| First Flight |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Forsyth Country Day |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Fuquay-Varina |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Garner |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Glenn |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Grays Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Green Hope |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
| Green Level |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Greensboro Day |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Grimsley |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Havelock |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Heritage |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Hickory |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| High Point Central |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Hillsborough Orange |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Hoggard |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Holly Springs |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Hough |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Hunt |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Independence |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Jack Britt |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Jacksonville |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| JF Webb |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| JH Rose |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| John Paul II Catholi |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Jordan |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Lake Norman Charter |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
 
| |
| Laney |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Leesville Road |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Lincoln Charter |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Marvin Ridge |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Millbrook |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Mooresville |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Mount Tabor |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Mountain Island Char |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Myers Park |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| New Bern |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| New Hanover |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| North Brunswick |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| North Davidson |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| North Lincoln |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| North Raleigh Christ |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Northern Durham |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Northern Guilford |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Northside |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Northwest Guilford |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Northwood |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Page |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Panther Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Parkwood |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Patton Morganton |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Pine Forest |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Pine Lake Prep |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Pinecrest |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Porter Ridge |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Providence |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Providence Day |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Queens Grant |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Ragsdale |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Ravenscroft School |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Reagan |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Riverside Durham |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| RJ Reynolds |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Rolesville |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| Roxboro Community |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Sanderson |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Seaforth |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| South Brunswick |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| South Garner |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| South Iredell |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| South Mecklenburg |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| South View |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Southeast Alamance |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Southeast Guilford |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Southern Alamance |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Southlake Christian |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Southwest Guilford |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| St Davids School |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| St Stephens |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Sun Valley |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Swansboro |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| TC Roberson |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Terry Sanford |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Topsail |
Topsail |
Topsail |
 
| |
| Union Pines |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Vance Charter |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Voyager Academy |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Wake Forest |
Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
 
| |
| Wake Prep |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Wakefield |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Middle Creek |
| Walter M Williams |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Watauga |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Weddington |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| West Brunswick |
Middle Creek |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| West Carteret |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| West Forsyth |
Middle Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middle Creek |
| West Stokes |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Western Alamance |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Western Guilford |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Willow Spring |
Middle Creek |
|
Middle Creek   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
PowerWise = 146

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Apex Friendshi (12- 1, 98.2) 11- 5 -1.75 28.28 -0.32 0.67 18.79
0 A Northwest Guil ( 6- 6, 90.2) 13- 3 -9.74 20.29 0.32 0.67 13.85
0 A Christ School ( 1- 4, 96.2) 11- 5 -3.73 26.30 0.32 0.67 17.89
0 A Wake Forest ( 3- 7, 85.1) 18- 1 -14.82 15.21 0.32 0.67 10.43
0 H Topsail (10- 3, 98.2) 5- 7 -1.72 28.31 -0.32 0.67 -1.37
0 H Green Level (11- 3, 96.9) 13- 4 -3.02 27.01 -0.32 0.67 17.94
0 H Heritage ( 3- 7, 89.4) 16- 4 -10.46 19.56 -0.32 0.67 12.93
0 A Holly Springs ( 8- 2, 95.6) 13- 5 -4.30 25.73 0.32 0.67 17.50
0 H Sanderson ( 7- 4, 91.2) 17- 5 -8.67 21.36 -0.32 0.67 14.14
0 A Providence Day ( 5- 4, 97.2) 8- 3 -2.69 27.34 0.32 0.67 18.59
0 A Cary HS ( 1-11, 76.3) 25- 0 -23.64 6.39 0.32 0.67 4.51
0 H Apex ( 7- 6, 94.8) 9- 2 -5.10 24.93 -0.32 0.67 16.54
0 H Lake Norman HS ( 9- 1, 99.7) 4-11 -0.25 29.78 -0.32 0.67 -0.38
0 H Cardinal Gibbo ( 8- 3, 99.2) 9- 8 -0.73 29.29 -0.32 0.67 19.47
------
180.85
|
winning pts = 182.5969 losing points = -1.7483
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------