UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Monacan 1
  
Monacan               
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 75.5002

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Cosby (12- 3, 90.0) 0-19 406 A James River ( 9- 4, 86.0) 3-17 408 A Midlothian (10- 4, 86.6) 0-16 411 A Atlee ( 8- 5, 85.8) 5-16 413 H James River ( 9- 4, 86.0) 5-24 415 A Manchester ( 1- 8, 70.3) 15- 6 420 H Powhatan ( 9- 6, 80.1) 5-11 424 A Eastern View ( 1-12, 69.2) 12- 3 428 A Clover Hill ( 1-13, 70.5) 17- 1 429 H Manchester ( 1- 8, 70.3) 13- 4 504 A Powhatan ( 9- 6, 80.1) 5-13 506 H James Monroe (13- 0, 82.8) 4-17 511 A Hanover ( 9- 4, 85.9) 1-21 520 H Thomas Dale ( 3- 6, 70.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Cosby                   0-19     -19   -14           0.00
   406 A James River             3-17     -14   -11           0.00
   408 A Midlothian              0-16     -16   -12           0.00
   411 A Atlee                   5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   413 H James River             5-24     -19   -10           0.00
   415 A Manchester             15- 6       9     5           0.25
   420 H Powhatan                5-11      -6    -4          -0.89
   424 A Eastern View           12- 3       9     6           0.00
   428 A Clover Hill            17- 1      16     5           0.47
   429 H Manchester             13- 4       9     6           0.00
   504 A Powhatan                5-13      -8    -5           0.00
   506 H James Monroe            4-17     -13    -7           0.00
   511 A Hanover                 1-21     -20   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Monacan PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle tied -  0- 1 Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Monacan   Monacan
Atlee Atlee Atlee  
Battlefield Battlefield tied -  0- 1 Battlefield
Bayside Monacan   Monacan
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Monacan   Monacan
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Charlottesville tied -  1- 1 Charlottesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Monacan Monacan  
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby Cosby  
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County tied -  1- 2 Culpeper County
Deep Run Deep Run tied -  0- 4 Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Eastern View Monacan Monacan  
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison   Edison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County tied -  0- 1 Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Monacan   Monacan
Fredericksburg Acade Fredericksburg Acade tied -  0- 1 Fredericksburg Acade
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Monacan   Monacan
Glen Allen Glen Allen Glen Allen   3- 4 vs 2- 5
Goochland Goochland Goochland   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Monacan   Monacan
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover Hanover  
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Monacan   Monacan
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Hylton   Hylton
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe  
James River James River James River  
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   1- 0 vs 0- 1
John Champe John Champe   John Champe
Justice Monacan   Monacan
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Monacan   Monacan
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Monacan   Monacan
Liberty Bealeton Monacan tied -  1- 0 Monacan
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley   Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Monacan Monacan  
Marshall Monacan   Monacan
Massaponax Monacan   Monacan
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   3- 2 vs 2- 3
Menchville LC Monacan   Monacan
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian Midlothian  
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Monticello Monticello tied -  0- 1 Monticello
Mount Vernon Monacan   Monacan
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Monacan tied -  1- 1 Monacan
Northern VA Home Sch Northern VA Home Sch   Northern VA Home Sch
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Monacan tied -  1- 1 Monacan
Osbourn Monacan   Monacan
Osbourn Park Monacan Monacan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Park View Monacan   Monacan
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla tied -  1- 5 Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Monacan   Monacan
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Monacan   Monacan
Powhatan Powhatan Powhatan  
Princess Anne Princess Anne tied -  0- 1 Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend tied -  1- 1 Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson Robinson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rock Ridge Monacan   Monacan
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem Salem   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Salem Virginia Beach Monacan   Monacan
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Monacan   Monacan
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Monacan   Monacan
Tandem Friends Monacan   Monacan
Thomas Dale Monacan tied -  2- 1 Monacan
Thomas Jefferson Monacan   Monacan
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal tied -  0- 1 Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Monacan   Monacan
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Virginia Academy   Virginia Academy
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Monacan   Monacan
Wakefield School Monacan   Monacan
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodbridge Monacan   Monacan
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Cosby           (12- 3, 90.0)     0-19       -9.93      27.02      -0.45         0.88            -9.17
   0 A James River     ( 9- 4, 86.0)     3-17      -13.91      23.04       0.45         0.88           -11.88
   0 A Midlothian      (10- 4, 86.6)     0-16      -13.33      23.61       0.45         0.88           -11.37
   0 A Atlee           ( 8- 5, 85.8)     5-16      -14.13      22.82       0.45         0.88           -12.08
   0 H James River     ( 9- 4, 86.0)     5-24      -13.91      23.04      -0.45         0.88           -12.68
   0 A Manchester      ( 1- 8, 70.3)    15- 6      -29.60       7.35       0.45         0.88             6.89
   0 H Powhatan        ( 9- 6, 80.1)     5-11      -19.83      17.11      -0.45         0.88           -17.92
   0 A Eastern View    ( 1-12, 69.2)    12- 3      -30.70       6.25       0.45         0.88             5.92
   0 A Clover Hill     ( 1-13, 70.5)    17- 1      -29.38       7.57       0.45         0.88             7.08
   0 H Manchester      ( 1- 8, 70.3)    13- 4      -29.60       7.35      -0.45         0.88             6.09
   0 A Powhatan        ( 9- 6, 80.1)     5-13      -19.83      17.11       0.45         0.88           -17.12
   0 H James Monroe    (13- 0, 82.8)     4-17      -17.05      19.89      -0.45         0.88           -15.46
   0 A Hanover         ( 9- 4, 85.9)     1-21      -13.97      22.98       0.45         0.88           -11.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -93.62

winning pts = 25.9774 losing points = -119.6007

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------