UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:36 PDT

boys Mill Creek 1
  
Mill Creek            
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 92.1072

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Hebron Christian (15- 3, 92.4) 13-12 210 A Collins Hill ( 4-14, 73.2) 12- 2 219 H West Forsyth (13- 5, 91.7) 14- 6 220 A North Oconee (11- 7, 87.5) 12- 5 224 A South Forsyth (11- 9, 92.4) 11-10 227 A Greater Atlanta Chri ( 3-12, 80.6) 12- 3 302 A Mountain View ( 5-13, 76.0) 13- 4 303 A Fellowship Christian (10- 8, 91.4) 8-16 309 H Lassiter (16- 3, 96.6) 8-17 320 H Peachtree Ridge (10- 8, 79.9) 14- 2 324 A Marietta ( 9- 8, 91.4) 8- 9 330 H Buford (15- 4, 96.8) 7-15 414 H North Gwinnett ( 7-11, 86.1) 10- 6 416 A George Walton Academ ( 8- 5, 88.5) 9- 5 417 H Dacula (12- 4, 84.8) 12- 3 428 H Forsyth Central ( 5-11, 80.4) 15- 1 501 A Marietta ( 9- 8, 91.4) 11- 9 505 A Buford (15- 4, 96.8) 8-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Hebron Christian       13-12       1    -1           1.64
   210 A Collins Hill           12- 2      10    19           0.00
   219 H West Forsyth           14- 6       8     1    ++     4.23
   220 A North Oconee           12- 5       7     4           0.73
   224 A South Forsyth          11-10       1    -1           1.69
   227 A Greater Atlanta Chri   12- 3       9    11           0.00
   302 A Mountain View          13- 4       9    16           0.00
   303 A Fellowship Christian    8-16      -8     0    --    -5.34
   309 H Lassiter                8-17      -9    -4          -0.94
   320 H Peachtree Ridge        14- 2      12    13           0.00
   324 A Marietta                8- 9      -1     0          -1.31
   330 H Buford                  7-15      -8    -4          -0.65
   414 H North Gwinnett         10- 6       4     6          -1.00
   416 A George Walton Academ    9- 5       4     3           0.75
   417 H Dacula                 12- 3       9     8           0.00
   428 H Forsyth Central        15- 1      14    12           0.00
   501 A Marietta               11- 9       2     0           1.69
   505 A Buford                  8-18     -10    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Fellowship Christian    8-16      -8     0    --    -5.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H West Forsyth           14- 6       8     1    ++     4.23

Mill Creek PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona Allatoona   2- 1 vs 1- 3
Alpharetta Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Archer Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Benedictine Military Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Bremen Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Brookwood Mill Creek Mill Creek   6- 0 vs 5- 1
Buford Buford Buford  
Calvary Day Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Cambridge Cambridge Cambridge   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Campbell Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Carrollton Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Centennial Mill Creek tied -  0- 1 Mill Creek
Chamblee Charter Mill Creek tied -  1- 0 Mill Creek
Chattahoochee Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Cherokee Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Cherokee Bluff Mill Creek Mill Creek   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Collins Hill Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Creekview Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Dacula Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Dalton Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Darlington Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Decatur Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Denmark Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Druid Hills Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Duluth Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Dunwoody Mill Creek tied -  0- 1 Mill Creek
Dutchtown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Eagles Landing Chris Mill Creek   Mill Creek
East Coweta Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 1 vs 0- 1
East Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 1- 2
East Paulding Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Effingham County Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Etowah Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 2 vs 0- 4
Evans Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Fayette County Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian  
Flowery Branch Mill Creek Mill Creek   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Forsyth Central Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Gainesville Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
George Walton Academ Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Grayson Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Greater Atlanta Chri Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Greenbrier Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Grovetown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Harrison Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Hebron Christian Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Hillgrove Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 1- 1
Holy Innocents Mill Creek tied -  0- 1 Mill Creek
Islands Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Jackson Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Jackson County Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Johns Creek Mill Creek tied -  1- 1 Mill Creek
Johnson Savannah Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Kell Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Kennesaw Mountain Mill Creek tied -  0- 1 Mill Creek
Kings Ridge Christia Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Lakeside-DeKalb Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lakeside-Evans Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Lambert Lambert Lambert   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Lanier Mill Creek Mill Creek   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter  
Lovett Lovett Lovett   3- 0 vs 2- 2
Marietta Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Marist Marist tied -  0- 1 Marist
Mays Mill Creek   Mill Creek
McEachern Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
McIntosh Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Midtown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Milton Milton Milton   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Mount Bethel Christi Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mount Paran Christia Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mount Pisgah Christi Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Mount Vernon Presbyt Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mountain View Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Newnan Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Norcross Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 1- 1
North Atlanta Mill Creek   Mill Creek
North Cobb Mill Creek   Mill Creek
North Cobb Christian Mill Creek tied -  1- 0 Mill Creek
North Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek   5- 0 vs 2- 3
North Gwinnett Mill Creek Mill Creek  
North Oconee Mill Creek Mill Creek  
North Paulding North Paulding North Paulding   2- 2 vs 2- 3
North Springs Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Northgate Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Northview Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Oconee County Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Ola Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Pace Academy Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Parkview Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Peachtree Ridge Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Pope Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Richmond Hill Mill Creek   Mill Creek
River Ridge Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Riverwood Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Roswell Roswell Roswell   4- 0 vs 2- 3
Savannah Christian Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Savannah Country Day Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Seckinger Mill Creek Mill Creek   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Sequoyah Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 1 vs 1- 4
South Effingham Mill Creek   Mill Creek
South Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Southwest DeKalb Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Sprayberry Mill Creek   Mill Creek
St Pius X Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill Starrs Mill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Strong Rock Christia Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Trinity Christian Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Union Grove Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Walker School Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Walton Walton Walton   3- 2 vs 3- 3
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School Wesleyan School   4- 1 vs 3- 2
West Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Westminster Mill Creek tied -  1- 1 Mill Creek
Wheeler Mill Creek Mill Creek   1- 1 vs 0- 1
Whitefield Academy Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Whitewater Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Woodstock Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Woodward Academy Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 2- 1

PairWisePlus = 105


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hebron Christi  (15- 3, 92.4)    13-12       -7.54      30.83       0.38         0.83            25.88
   0 A Collins Hill    ( 4-14, 73.2)    12- 2      -26.72      11.65       0.38         0.83             9.98
   0 H West Forsyth    (13- 5, 91.7)    14- 6       -8.18      30.19      -0.38         0.83            24.71
   0 A North Oconee    (11- 7, 87.5)    12- 5      -12.45      25.92       0.38         0.83            21.81
   0 A South Forsyth   (11- 9, 92.4)    11-10       -7.49      30.88       0.38         0.83            25.92
   0 A Greater Atlant  ( 3-12, 80.6)    12- 3      -19.26      19.11       0.38         0.83            16.16
   0 A Mountain View   ( 5-13, 76.0)    13- 4      -23.87      14.50       0.38         0.83            12.34
   0 A Fellowship Chr  (10- 8, 91.4)     8-16       -8.52      29.85       0.38         0.83            -6.75
   0 H Lassiter        (16- 3, 96.6)     8-17       -3.35      35.02      -0.38         0.83            -3.09
   0 H Peachtree Ridg  (10- 8, 79.9)    14- 2      -20.00      18.37      -0.38         0.83            14.92
   0 A Marietta        ( 9- 8, 91.4)     8- 9       -8.49      29.89       0.38         0.83            -6.72
   0 H Buford          (15- 4, 96.8)     7-15       -3.06      35.31      -0.38         0.83            -2.85
   0 H North Gwinnett  ( 7-11, 86.1)    10- 6      -13.80      24.57      -0.38         0.83            20.06
   0 A George Walton   ( 8- 5, 88.5)     9- 5      -11.42      26.95       0.38         0.83            22.66
   0 H Dacula          (12- 4, 84.8)    12- 3      -15.12      23.25      -0.38         0.83            18.97
   0 H Forsyth Centra  ( 5-11, 80.4)    15- 1      -19.46      18.91      -0.38         0.83            15.36
   0 A Marietta        ( 9- 8, 91.4)    11- 9       -8.49      29.89       0.38         0.83            25.10
   0 A Buford          (15- 4, 96.8)     8-18       -3.06      35.31       0.38         0.83            -2.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       232.24

winning pts = 253.8742 losing points = -21.6364

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------