UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Mill Creek 1
  
Mill Creek            
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 91.5011

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Hebron Christian (10- 2, 91.5) 13-12 210 A Collins Hill ( 3-12, 72.5) 12- 2 219 H West Forsyth (10- 3, 91.5) 14- 6 220 A North Oconee ( 7- 6, 86.6) 12- 5 224 A South Forsyth ( 7- 7, 91.5) 11-10 227 A Greater Atlanta Chri ( 3- 8, 81.1) 12- 3 302 A Mountain View ( 3-12, 75.1) 13- 4 303 A Fellowship Christian ( 6- 7, 90.9) 8-16 309 H Lassiter (12- 1, 96.5) 8-17 320 H Peachtree Ridge (10- 6, 79.9) 14- 2 324 A Marietta ( 7- 6, 91.3) 8- 9 330 H Buford (10- 4, 96.0) 7-15 414 H North Gwinnett ( 7- 7, 85.6) 416 A George Walton Academ ( 6- 4, 87.8) 417 H Dacula ( 9- 2, 85.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 A Hebron Christian       13-12       1     0           1.20
   210 A Collins Hill           12- 2      10    19           0.00
   219 H West Forsyth           14- 6       8     0    ++     4.84
   220 A North Oconee           12- 5       7     5           0.29
   224 A South Forsyth          11-10       1     0           1.16
   227 A Greater Atlanta Chri   12- 3       9    10           0.00
   302 A Mountain View          13- 4       9    16           0.00
   303 A Fellowship Christian    8-16      -8     0    --    -5.43
   309 H Lassiter                8-17      -9    -5          -0.16
   320 H Peachtree Ridge        14- 2      12    12           0.00
   324 A Marietta                8- 9      -1     0          -1.08
   330 H Buford                  7-15      -8    -4          -0.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Fellowship Christian    8-16      -8     0    --    -5.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H West Forsyth           14- 6       8     0    ++     4.84

Mill Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona Allatoona   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Alpharetta Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mill Creek
Archer Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Benedictine Military Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Blessed Trinity
Bremen Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Brookwood Mill Creek tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Mill Creek
Buford Buford Buford  
Calvary Day Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Cambridge Cambridge insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Cambridge
Campbell Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Carrollton Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Centennial Mill Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Chamblee Charter Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Chattahoochee Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mill Creek
Cherokee Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Cherokee Bluff Mill Creek insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Mill Creek
Collins Hill Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Creekview Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Dacula Mill Creek tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Mill Creek
Dalton Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Darlington Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Decatur Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mill Creek
Denmark Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mill Creek
Druid Hills Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Duluth Mill Creek insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Mill Creek
Dunwoody Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Dutchtown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Eagles Landing Chris Mill Creek   Mill Creek
East Coweta Mill Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mill Creek
East Forsyth Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mill Creek
East Paulding Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Effingham County Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Etowah Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Evans Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Fayette County Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian  
Flowery Branch Mill Creek Mill Creek   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Forsyth Central Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Gainesville Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
George Walton Academ Mill Creek insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mill Creek
Grayson Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Greater Atlanta Chri Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Greenbrier Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Grovetown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Harrison Harrison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Harrison
Hebron Christian Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Hillgrove Mill Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Holy Innocents Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Islands Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Jackson Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Jackson County Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Johns Creek Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mill Creek
Johnson Savannah Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Kell Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Kennesaw Mountain Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Kings Ridge Christia Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Lakeside-DeKalb Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Lakeside-Evans Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Lambert Lambert insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Lambert
Lanier Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter  
Lovett Lovett Lovett   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Marietta Marietta Marietta  
Marist Marist tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marist
Mays Mill Creek   Mill Creek
McEachern Mill Creek   Mill Creek
McIntosh Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Midtown Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Milton Milton insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Milton
Mount Bethel Christi Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mount Paran Christia Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mount Pisgah Christi Mill Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mill Creek
Mount Vernon Presbyt Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Mountain View Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Newnan Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Norcross Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
North Atlanta Mill Creek   Mill Creek
North Cobb Mill Creek   Mill Creek
North Cobb Christian Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mill Creek
North Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 0 vs 0- 3
North Gwinnett Mill Creek insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Mill Creek
North Oconee Mill Creek Mill Creek  
North Paulding North Paulding North Paulding   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Springs Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Northgate Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Northview Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Oconee County Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Ola Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Pace Academy Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Parkview Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Peachtree Ridge Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Pope Pope tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Pope
Richmond Hill Mill Creek   Mill Creek
River Ridge Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Riverwood Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Roswell Roswell Roswell   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Savannah Christian Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Savannah Country Day Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Seckinger Mill Creek Mill Creek   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Sequoyah Mill Creek Mill Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 3
South Effingham Mill Creek   Mill Creek
South Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Southwest DeKalb Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Sprayberry Mill Creek   Mill Creek
St Pius X Mill Creek Mill Creek   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Starrs Mill
Strong Rock Christia Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Trinity Christian Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Union Grove Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Walker School Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Walton Walton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Walton
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Wesleyan School
West Forsyth Mill Creek Mill Creek  
Westminster Mill Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Wheeler Mill Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mill Creek
Whitefield Academy Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Whitewater Mill Creek   Mill Creek
Woodstock Mill Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mill Creek
Woodward Academy Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mill Creek

PowerWise = 102


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hebron Christi  (10- 2, 91.5)    13-12       -8.35      28.13       0.16         0.91            25.84
   0 A Collins Hill    ( 3-12, 72.5)    12- 2      -27.35       9.13       0.16         0.91             8.49
   0 H West Forsyth    (10- 3, 91.5)    14- 6       -8.40      28.09      -0.16         0.91            25.50
   0 A North Oconee    ( 7- 6, 86.6)    12- 5      -13.27      23.22       0.16         0.91            21.35
   0 A South Forsyth   ( 7- 7, 91.5)    11-10       -8.40      28.09       0.16         0.91            25.80
   0 A Greater Atlant  ( 3- 8, 81.1)    12- 3      -18.85      17.64       0.16         0.91            16.25
   0 A Mountain View   ( 3-12, 75.1)    13- 4      -24.75      11.73       0.16         0.91            10.86
   0 A Fellowship Chr  ( 6- 7, 90.9)     8-16       -8.99      27.50       0.16         0.91            -8.06
   0 H Lassiter        (12- 1, 96.5)     8-17       -3.40      33.08      -0.16         0.91            -3.25
   0 H Peachtree Ridg  (10- 6, 79.9)    14- 2      -19.96      16.52      -0.16         0.91            14.95
   0 A Marietta        ( 7- 6, 91.3)     8- 9       -8.63      27.85       0.16         0.91            -7.74
   0 H Buford          (10- 4, 96.0)     7-15       -3.91      32.58      -0.16         0.91            -3.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       126.26

winning pts = 149.0302 losing points = -22.7667

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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