UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys McDonogh 1
  
McDonogh              
W-L: ( 2- 1) PR = 96.4334

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Gonzaga ( 1- 4, 94.0) 11- 5 327 A Boys Latin ( 3- 1, 96.3) 12-13 331 H Archbishop Spalding ( 1- 2, 94.3) 12-11 407 A John Carroll ( 0- 4, 89.0) 410 A Calvert Hall ( 4- 0, 99.4) 414 H Loyola-Blakefield ( 2- 1, 94.7) 417 A Mount St Joseph ( 2- 2, 93.3) 421 H St Pauls ( 0- 2, 93.0) 428 H St Marys Annapolis ( 2- 2, 95.3) 501 A Severn School ( 4- 1, 96.9) 505 H Gilman ( 2- 3, 95.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Gonzaga                11- 5       6     2    +      2.96
   327 A Boys Latin             12-13      -1     0          -0.74
   331 H Archbishop Spalding    12-11       1     2          -1.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Gonzaga                11- 5       6     2    +      2.96

McDonogh Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris McDonogh   McDonogh
Archbishop Curley McDonogh   McDonogh
Archbishop Spalding McDonogh McDonogh  
Beth TFiloh McDonogh   McDonogh
Bishop McNamara McDonogh   McDonogh
Boys Latin Boys Latin Boys Latin  
Bullis McDonogh tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) McDonogh
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian McDonogh   McDonogh
Concordia Prep McDonogh   McDonogh
Cristo Rey Jesuit McDonogh   McDonogh
DeMatha McDonogh   McDonogh
FCA LC McDonogh   McDonogh
Friends McDonogh   McDonogh
Garrett County LC McDonogh   McDonogh
Georgetown Day McDonogh   McDonogh
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy McDonogh   McDonogh
Gilman McDonogh   McDonogh
Glenelg Country McDonogh   McDonogh
Gonzaga McDonogh McDonogh  
Good Counsel McDonogh   McDonogh
Gunston School McDonogh   McDonogh
Heights McDonogh   McDonogh
Indian Creek School McDonogh   McDonogh
Jemicy School McDonogh   McDonogh
John Carroll McDonogh insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) McDonogh
Key School McDonogh   McDonogh
Landon Landon tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Landon
Loyola-Blakefield McDonogh   McDonogh
Maret McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy McDonogh   McDonogh
Mount Carmel McDonogh   McDonogh
Mount St Joseph McDonogh tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) McDonogh
Park School McDonogh   McDonogh
Salisbury School McDonogh   McDonogh
Sandy Spring Friends McDonogh   McDonogh
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends McDonogh   McDonogh
St Albans McDonogh   McDonogh
St Andrews Episcopal McDonogh   McDonogh
St James McDonogh   McDonogh
St Johns Catholic Pr McDonogh   McDonogh
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis McDonogh   McDonogh
St Marys Ryken McDonogh   McDonogh
St Pauls McDonogh   McDonogh
St Vincent Pallotti McDonogh   McDonogh
Sts Peter & Paul McDonogh   McDonogh
Tome School McDonogh   McDonogh
Worcester Prep McDonogh   McDonogh
Aberdeen McDonogh   McDonogh
Academy for College McDonogh   McDonogh
Annapolis McDonogh   McDonogh
Arundel McDonogh   McDonogh
Atholton McDonogh   McDonogh
Baltimore Polytechni McDonogh   McDonogh
Bel Air McDonogh   McDonogh
Bethesda-Chevy Chase McDonogh   McDonogh
Bladensburg McDonogh   McDonogh
Blair McDonogh   McDonogh
Blake McDonogh   McDonogh
Bohemia Manor McDonogh   McDonogh
Boonsboro McDonogh   McDonogh
Bowie McDonogh   McDonogh
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick McDonogh   McDonogh
Calvert McDonogh   McDonogh
Cambridge SD McDonogh   McDonogh
Carver A&T McDonogh   McDonogh
Catoctin McDonogh   McDonogh
Catonsville McDonogh   McDonogh
Centennial McDonogh   McDonogh
Century McDonogh   McDonogh
CH Flowers McDonogh   McDonogh
Chesapeake AA McDonogh   McDonogh
Chesapeake BC McDonogh   McDonogh
Chopticon McDonogh   McDonogh
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg McDonogh   McDonogh
CM Wright McDonogh   McDonogh
Crofton McDonogh   McDonogh
Damascus McDonogh   McDonogh
Digital Harbor McDonogh   McDonogh
Dr Henry Wise McDonogh   McDonogh
Dulaney McDonogh   McDonogh
Dunbar McDonogh   McDonogh
Dundalk McDonogh   McDonogh
DuVal McDonogh   McDonogh
Eastern Tech McDonogh   McDonogh
Easton McDonogh   McDonogh
Edgewood McDonogh   McDonogh
Edmondson-Westside McDonogh   McDonogh
Einstein McDonogh   McDonogh
Eleanor Roosevelt McDonogh   McDonogh
Elkton McDonogh   McDonogh
Fairmont Heights McDonogh   McDonogh
Fallston McDonogh   McDonogh
Forest Park McDonogh   McDonogh
Francis Scott Key McDonogh   McDonogh
Franklin McDonogh   McDonogh
Frederick McDonogh   McDonogh
Frederick Douglass B McDonogh   McDonogh
Frederick Douglass P McDonogh   McDonogh
Friendly McDonogh   McDonogh
Gaithersburg McDonogh   McDonogh
Glen Burnie McDonogh   McDonogh
Glenelg HS McDonogh   McDonogh
Gov Thomas Johnson McDonogh   McDonogh
Great Mills McDonogh   McDonogh
Guilford Park McDonogh   McDonogh
Gwynn Park McDonogh   McDonogh
Hammond McDonogh   McDonogh
Harford Tech McDonogh   McDonogh
Havre De Grace McDonogh   McDonogh
Hereford McDonogh   McDonogh
High Point McDonogh   McDonogh
Howard McDonogh   McDonogh
Huntingtown McDonogh   McDonogh
JM Bennett McDonogh   McDonogh
Joppatowne McDonogh   McDonogh
Kennedy McDonogh   McDonogh
Kent County McDonogh   McDonogh
Kent Island McDonogh   McDonogh
Kenwood McDonogh   McDonogh
La Plata McDonogh   McDonogh
Lackey McDonogh   McDonogh
Lake Clifton McDonogh   McDonogh
Lansdowne McDonogh   McDonogh
Laurel McDonogh   McDonogh
Leonardtown McDonogh   McDonogh
Liberty McDonogh   McDonogh
Linganore McDonogh   McDonogh
Loch Raven McDonogh   McDonogh
Long Reach McDonogh   McDonogh
Magruder McDonogh   McDonogh
Manchester Valley McDonogh   McDonogh
Marriotts Ridge McDonogh   McDonogh
Meade McDonogh   McDonogh
Mergenthaler McDonogh   McDonogh
Middletown McDonogh   McDonogh
Milford Mill McDonogh   McDonogh
MJ McDonough McDonogh   McDonogh
Mount Hebron McDonogh   McDonogh
National Academy Fou McDonogh   McDonogh
New Town McDonogh   McDonogh
North Caroline McDonogh   McDonogh
North County McDonogh   McDonogh
North Dorchester McDonogh   McDonogh
North East Cecil McDonogh   McDonogh
North Hagerstown McDonogh   McDonogh
North Harford McDonogh   McDonogh
North Point McDonogh   McDonogh
Northeast AA McDonogh   McDonogh
Northern Calvert McDonogh   McDonogh
Northwest McDonogh   McDonogh
Northwestern PG McDonogh   McDonogh
Northwood McDonogh   McDonogh
Oakdale McDonogh   McDonogh
Oakland Mills McDonogh   McDonogh
Old Mill McDonogh   McDonogh
Overlea McDonogh   McDonogh
Owings Mills McDonogh   McDonogh
Oxon Hill McDonogh   McDonogh
Paint Branch McDonogh   McDonogh
Parkdale McDonogh   McDonogh
Parkside McDonogh   McDonogh
Parkville McDonogh   McDonogh
Patapsco McDonogh   McDonogh
Patterson HS McDonogh   McDonogh
Patterson Mill McDonogh   McDonogh
Patuxent McDonogh   McDonogh
Perry Hall McDonogh   McDonogh
Perryville McDonogh   McDonogh
Pikesville McDonogh   McDonogh
Poolesville McDonogh   McDonogh
Queen Annes County McDonogh   McDonogh
Quince Orchard McDonogh   McDonogh
Randallstown McDonogh   McDonogh
Reginald F Lewis McDonogh   McDonogh
Reservoir McDonogh   McDonogh
Richard Montgomery McDonogh   McDonogh
Rising Sun McDonogh   McDonogh
River Hill McDonogh   McDonogh
Rockville McDonogh   McDonogh
Seneca Valley McDonogh   McDonogh
Severn Run McDonogh   McDonogh
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood McDonogh   McDonogh
Smithsburg McDonogh   McDonogh
South Carroll McDonogh   McDonogh
South Hagerstown McDonogh   McDonogh
South River McDonogh   McDonogh
Southern AA McDonogh   McDonogh
Sparrows Point McDonogh   McDonogh
Springbrook McDonogh   McDonogh
St Charles McDonogh   McDonogh
Stephen Decatur McDonogh   McDonogh
Suitland McDonogh   McDonogh
Surrattsville McDonogh   McDonogh
Thomas Stone McDonogh   McDonogh
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora McDonogh   McDonogh
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville McDonogh   McDonogh
Walt Whitman McDonogh   McDonogh
Walter Johnson McDonogh   McDonogh
Watkins Mill McDonogh   McDonogh
Western STES McDonogh   McDonogh
Westlake McDonogh   McDonogh
Westminster McDonogh   McDonogh
Wheaton McDonogh   McDonogh
Wicomico McDonogh   McDonogh
Wilde Lake McDonogh   McDonogh
Winston Churchill McDonogh   McDonogh
Winters Mill McDonogh   McDonogh
Woodlawn McDonogh   McDonogh
Wootton McDonogh   McDonogh
Archbishop Carroll McDonogh   McDonogh
DC International PCS McDonogh   McDonogh
Jackson Reed McDonogh   McDonogh

PowerWise = 210


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Gonzaga         ( 1- 4, 94.0)    11- 5       -5.91      19.15       0.41         1.09            21.26
   0 A Boys Latin      ( 3- 1, 96.3)    12-13       -3.61      21.45       0.41         1.09            -3.49
   0 H Archbishop Spa  ( 1- 2, 94.3)    12-11       -5.56      19.51      -0.41         1.09            20.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        38.54

winning pts = 42.0252 losing points = -3.4883

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------