UPDATED: 05-28-26 10:02 PDT

boys Mount Abraham 1
  
Mount Abraham         
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 92.0473

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 11- 6 424 H Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 2- 9 428 A Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 14- 2 501 A Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 13- 7 506 H Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 11- 0 508 A St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3) 8- 4 512 H Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 4-12 514 A Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 7- 2 518 A Otter Valley Union ( 0- 8, 91.4) 1- 0 521 H Hartford Union (12- 1, 97.4) 3-11 523 A Bellows Free Academy ( 7- 5, 89.2) 12- 5 526 H Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 6- 8 530 A Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Burlington             11- 6       5     4           1.05
   424 H Milton                  2- 9      -7    -1    -     -3.98
   428 A Spaulding              14- 2      12     8           0.00
   501 A Burlington             13- 7       6     4           1.07
   506 H Lyndon Institute       11- 0      11     8           0.00
   508 A St Johnsbury Academy    8- 4       4     3           1.24
   512 H Harwood Union           4-12      -8    -5           0.00
   514 A Colchester              7- 2       5     5           0.25
   521 H Hartford Union          3-11      -8    -5           0.00
   523 A Bellows Free Academy   12- 5       7     3    +      2.17
   526 H Montpelier              6- 8      -2     0          -1.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Milton                  2- 9      -7    -1    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 A Bellows Free Academy   12- 5       7     3    +      2.17

Mount Abraham PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bellows Free Academy Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Bellows Free Academy Mount Abraham tied -  2- 0 Mount Abraham
Brattleboro Union Mount Abraham   Mount Abraham
Burlington Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Burr and Burton Acad Burr and Burton Acad   Burr and Burton Acad
Champlain Valley Uni Champlain Valley Uni   Champlain Valley Uni
Colchester Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Essex Junction Mount Abraham   Mount Abraham
Green Mountain Valle Mount Abraham Mount Abraham   3- 3 vs 2- 4
Hartford Union Hartford Union Hartford Union  
Harwood Union Harwood Union Harwood Union  
Lamoille Union Mount Abraham   Mount Abraham
Lyndon Institute Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Middlebury Union Middlebury Union   Middlebury Union
Milton Milton Milton  
Montpelier Montpelier Montpelier  
Mt Anthony Union Mount Abraham Mount Abraham   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Mt Mansfield Union Mt Mansfield Union tied -  0- 1 Mt Mansfield Union
Otter Valley Union Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Randolph Union Mount Abraham Mount Abraham   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Rice Memorial Rice Memorial   Rice Memorial
Rutland Mount Abraham tied -  2- 0 Mount Abraham
South Burlington South Burlington   South Burlington
Spaulding Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
St Johnsbury Academy Mount Abraham Mount Abraham  
Stowe Mount Abraham tied -  6- 4 Mount Abraham
Stratton Mountain Sc Mount Abraham tied -  1- 0 Mount Abraham
Woodstock Union Woodstock Union Woodstock Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Burlington      ( 2- 9, 88.1)    11- 6      -11.80       4.00      -0.01         0.91             3.62
   0 H Milton          (10- 3, 93.1)     2- 9       -6.82       8.98      -0.01         0.91            -6.20
   0 A Spaulding       ( 2-10, 84.1)    14- 2      -15.80       1.00       0.01         0.91             0.92
   0 A Burlington      ( 2- 9, 88.1)    13- 7      -11.80       4.00       0.01         0.91             3.64
   0 H Lyndon Institu  ( 0-11, 84.4)    11- 0      -15.49       1.00      -0.01         0.91             0.90
   0 A St Johnsbury A  ( 5- 8, 89.3)     8- 4      -10.62       5.17       0.01         0.91             4.71
   0 H Harwood Union   (11- 1, 97.6)     4-12       -2.35      13.45      -0.01         0.91            -2.14
   0 A Colchester      ( 3- 9, 87.3)     7- 2      -12.62       3.18       0.01         0.91             2.90
   0 A Otter Valley U  ( 0- 8, 91.4)     1- 0       -8.48       7.32       0.01         0.91             6.65
   0 H Hartford Union  (12- 1, 97.4)     3-11       -2.50      13.30      -0.01         0.91            -2.28
   0 A Bellows Free A  ( 7- 5, 89.2)    12- 5      -10.70       5.10       0.01         0.91             4.64
   0 H Montpelier      ( 8- 3, 92.2)     6- 8       -7.66       8.14      -0.01         0.91            -6.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        10.39

winning pts = 27.9724 losing points = -17.5847

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------