East Lyme
W-L: ( 6- 1) PR = 90.4251
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 H Conard ( 7- 1, 90.3) 12-11
407 H Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0) 14- 5
409 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 1- 8, 75.0) 18- 1
411 H South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1) 14- 4
416 H Notre Dame-West Have ( 7- 1, 95.1) 10-21
421 H Woodstock Academy ( 3- 4, 80.5) 13- 2
423 A Fitch Groton ( 3- 2, 82.3) 14- 5
428 A Waterford ( 3- 2, 83.3)
430 H Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0)
502 H Xavier ( 2- 5, 85.4)
505 A Montville ( 4- 3, 77.0)
507 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 3- 2, 81.6)
514 A Amity Regional ( 7- 2, 89.0)
516 A Guilford ( 7- 1, 95.3)
519 H Brien McMahon ( 3- 4, 86.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Conard 12-11 1 0 0.72
407 H Bacon Academy 14- 5 9 10 0.00
409 A Ledyard-Griswold 18- 1 17 15 0.00
411 H South Windsor 14- 4 10 7 0.00
416 H Notre Dame-West Have 10-21 -11 -5 -0.47
421 H Woodstock Academy 13- 2 11 10 0.00
423 A Fitch Groton 14- 5 9 8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
East Lyme PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Avon HS |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bacon Academy |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Berlin |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bethel |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Branford |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Brien McMahon |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Bristol Co-Op |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Brookfield |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Canton |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Cromwell |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Danbury |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Daniel Hand |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Catholic |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Ellington |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Enfield |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| EO Smith |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
 
| Fairfield Prep |
| Fairfield Warde |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Farmington |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Fitch Groton |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Foran |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
 
| Glastonbury |
| Granby Memorial |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
Guilford   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
 
| Haddam-Killingworth |
| Hall |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Hamden |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Holy Cross |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Immaculate Danbury |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Joel Barlow |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Jonathan Law |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Lakeview United |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Ledyard-Griswold |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Lewis Mills |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Lyman Hall |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Maloney-Platt |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Masuk |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Middletown |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Montville |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Morgan School |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Newington |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
 
| Newtown |
| North Branford |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| North Haven |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Northwest Catholic |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Norwalk |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Norwich Free Academy |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Norwich Tech |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
 
| |
| Old Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Old Saybrook |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Pomperaug |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| RHAM |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Rocky Hill |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Sheehan |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Shelton |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
East Lyme |
| Simsbury |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Somers |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| South Windsor |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Southington |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
East Lyme |
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Stamford |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
East Lyme |
|
East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Trumbull |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Valley Regional |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Waterford |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Watertown |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| West Haven |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Westhill |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
 
| Weston |
| Wethersfield |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
East Lyme |
| Wilbur Cross |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
| Windsor |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Wolcott |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Woodstock Academy |
East Lyme |
East Lyme |
 
| |
| Xavier |
East Lyme |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
East Lyme |
PairWisePlus = 80

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Conard ( 7- 1, 90.3) 12-11 -9.64 22.52 -0.12 0.95 21.34
0 H Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0) 14- 5 -18.89 13.27 -0.12 0.95 12.53
0 A Ledyard-Griswo ( 1- 8, 75.0) 18- 1 -24.86 7.31 0.12 0.95 7.07
0 H South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1) 14- 4 -16.81 15.35 -0.12 0.95 14.51
0 H Notre Dame-Wes ( 7- 1, 95.1) 10-21 -4.83 27.33 -0.12 0.95 -4.71
0 H Woodstock Acad ( 3- 4, 80.5) 13- 2 -19.39 12.77 -0.12 0.95 12.05
0 A Fitch Groton ( 3- 2, 82.3) 14- 5 -17.58 14.59 0.12 0.95 14.00
------
76.79
|
winning pts = 81.5032 losing points = -4.7085
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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