UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys East Lyme 1
  
East Lyme             
W-L: (13- 2) PR = 89.8226

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Conard (11- 4, 88.3) 12-11 407 H Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 79.5) 14- 5 409 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 74.5) 18- 1 411 H South Windsor ( 9- 7, 82.2) 14- 4 416 H Notre Dame-West Have (11- 3, 93.5) 10-21 421 H Woodstock Academy ( 9- 7, 79.9) 13- 2 423 A Fitch Groton ( 8- 4, 81.6) 14- 5 428 A Waterford ( 9- 5, 82.4) 15- 2 430 H Stonington (11- 4, 82.7) 15- 4 502 H Xavier ( 7- 9, 85.8) 16- 7 505 A Montville ( 8- 8, 76.0) 18- 1 507 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 18- 8 514 A Amity Regional (10- 6, 88.8) 7- 6 516 A Guilford (13- 3, 92.6) 8- 9 519 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 8, 85.7) 9- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Conard                 12-11       1     2          -0.90
   407 H Bacon Academy          14- 5       9    11           0.00
   409 A Ledyard-Griswold       18- 1      17    15           0.00
   411 H South Windsor          14- 4      10     8           0.00
   416 H Notre Dame-West Have   10-21     -11    -3          -1.63
   421 H Woodstock Academy      13- 2      11    10           0.00
   423 A Fitch  Groton          14- 5       9     8           0.00
   428 A Waterford              15- 2      13     7           0.00
   430 H Stonington             15- 4      11     7           0.00
   502 H Xavier                 16- 7       9     4           0.67
   505 A Montville              18- 1      17    14           0.00
   507 H St Bernard-Wheeler     18- 8      10     9           0.00
   514 A Amity Regional          7- 6       1     1           0.27
   516 A Guilford                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.12
   519 H Brien McMahon           9- 5       4     4          -0.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Guilford                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.12

East Lyme PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional East Lyme East Lyme  
Avon HS East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bacon Academy East Lyme East Lyme  
Berlin East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bethel East Lyme East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Branford East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Brien McMahon East Lyme East Lyme  
Bristol Co-Op East Lyme   East Lyme
Brookfield East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bunnell-Stratford East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Canton East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Capital-Classical Pr East Lyme   East Lyme
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Conard East Lyme East Lyme  
Cromwell East Lyme   East Lyme
Danbury East Lyme   East Lyme
Daniel Hand East Lyme East Lyme   3- 2 vs 2- 3
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Lyme East Lyme   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Ellington East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Enfield East Lyme tied -  1- 0 East Lyme
EO Smith East Lyme   East Lyme
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Fairfield Warde East Lyme tied -  1- 0 East Lyme
Farmington East Lyme tied -  2- 0 East Lyme
Fitch Groton East Lyme East Lyme  
Foran East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Glastonbury Glastonbury tied -  1- 1 Glastonbury
Granby Memorial East Lyme tied -  1- 0 East Lyme
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford  
Haddam-Killingworth East Lyme   East Lyme
Hall East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hamden East Lyme East Lyme   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Holy Cross East Lyme   East Lyme
Immaculate Danbury East Lyme   East Lyme
Joel Barlow East Lyme East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Jonathan Law East Lyme East Lyme   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lakeview United East Lyme   East Lyme
Ledyard-Griswold East Lyme East Lyme  
Lewis Mills East Lyme tied -  3- 0 East Lyme
Lyman Hall East Lyme East Lyme   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Maloney-Platt East Lyme   East Lyme
Masuk East Lyme tied -  1- 0 East Lyme
Middletown East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Montville East Lyme East Lyme  
Morgan School East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Canaan New Canaan tied -  1- 0 New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  0- 2 New Fairfield
New Milford East Lyme East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Newington East Lyme East Lyme   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Newtown Newtown tied -  0- 1 Newtown
North Branford East Lyme   East Lyme
North Haven East Lyme East Lyme   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Northwest Catholic East Lyme East Lyme   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Norwalk East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Norwich Free Academy East Lyme   East Lyme
Norwich Tech East Lyme East Lyme   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Notre Dame-Fairfield East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have  
Old Lyme East Lyme East Lyme   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Old Saybrook East Lyme tied -  2- 0 East Lyme
Pomperaug East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Prince-Cheney Tech East Lyme   East Lyme
RHAM East Lyme East Lyme   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op East Lyme   East Lyme
Rocky Hill East Lyme   East Lyme
Sheehan East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Shelton East Lyme East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Simsbury East Lyme tied -  3- 1 East Lyme
Somers East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
South Windsor East Lyme East Lyme  
Southington East Lyme East Lyme   2- 1 vs 1- 2
St Bernard-Wheeler East Lyme East Lyme  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull tied -  1- 0 St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Stamford East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Staples Staples tied -  1- 0 Staples
Stonington East Lyme East Lyme  
Suffield Suffield tied -  1- 0 Suffield
Tolland East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Trumbull East Lyme East Lyme   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Valley Regional East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Vinal/Goodwin Tech East Lyme   East Lyme
Waterford East Lyme East Lyme  
Watertown East Lyme   East Lyme
West Haven East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Westhill East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Weston Weston Weston   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Wethersfield East Lyme East Lyme   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Wilbur Cross East Lyme East Lyme   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilton Wilton Wilton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Windsor East Lyme   East Lyme
Wolcott East Lyme   East Lyme
Woodstock Academy East Lyme East Lyme  
Xavier East Lyme East Lyme  

PairWisePlus = 81


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Conard          (11- 4, 88.3)    12-11      -11.64      26.09      -0.33         0.97            25.01
   0 H Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 79.5)    14- 5      -20.39      17.34      -0.33         0.97            16.52
   0 A Ledyard-Griswo  ( 4-12, 74.5)    18- 1      -25.35      12.38       0.33         0.97            12.35
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 7, 82.2)    14- 4      -17.71      20.02      -0.33         0.97            19.11
   0 H Notre Dame-Wes  (11- 3, 93.5)    10-21       -6.37      31.36      -0.33         0.97            -6.51
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 7, 79.9)    13- 2      -20.00      17.73      -0.33         0.97            16.90
   0 A Fitch  Groton   ( 8- 4, 81.6)    14- 5      -18.28      19.45       0.33         0.97            19.21
   0 A Waterford       ( 9- 5, 82.4)    15- 2      -17.52      20.21       0.33         0.97            19.95
   0 H Stonington      (11- 4, 82.7)    15- 4      -17.23      20.50      -0.33         0.97            19.58
   0 H Xavier          ( 7- 9, 85.8)    16- 7      -14.07      23.66      -0.33         0.97            22.65
   0 A Montville       ( 8- 8, 76.0)    18- 1      -23.93      13.80       0.33         0.97            13.73
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 6, 81.4)    18- 8      -18.45      19.28      -0.33         0.97            18.39
   0 A Amity Regional  (10- 6, 88.8)     7- 6      -11.14      26.59       0.33         0.97            26.14
   0 A Guilford        (13- 3, 92.6)     8- 9       -7.29      30.44       0.33         0.97            -6.76
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 8, 85.7)     9- 5      -14.20      23.53      -0.33         0.97            22.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       238.78

winning pts = 252.0468 losing points = -13.2716

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------