Lewis Mills
W-L: ( 6- 1) PR = 86.5475
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
409 H Northwest Catholic ( 2- 5, 80.0) 13- 2
411 A Valley Regional ( 2- 7, 73.7) 18- 0
413 A Pomperaug ( 4- 4, 84.2) 12- 6
415 H Bristol Co-Op ( 1- 4, 76.5) 22- 5
417 H Watertown ( 4- 3, 79.6) 19- 2
420 H Farmington ( 5- 2, 89.0) 6-13
423 A RHAM ( 2- 6, 78.4) 12- 5
428 H St Paul Catholic ( 3- 4, 80.3)
430 H Newington ( 0- 7, 75.3)
502 A Stonington ( 4- 2, 84.0)
505 A East Catholic ( 4- 4, 84.0)
507 H Wethersfield ( 5- 2, 85.3)
509 A Bacon Academy ( 2- 5, 81.0)
514 A South Windsor ( 6- 4, 83.1)
519 A Tolland ( 3- 5, 76.9)
521 H Berlin ( 4- 3, 82.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
409 H Northwest Catholic 13- 2 11 7 0.00
411 A Valley Regional 18- 0 18 13 0.00
413 A Pomperaug 12- 6 6 2 + 2.80
415 H Bristol Co-Op 22- 5 17 10 0.00
417 H Watertown 19- 2 17 7 0.00
420 H Farmington 6-13 -7 -2 - -2.70
423 A RHAM 12- 5 7 8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
420 H Farmington 6-13 -7 -2 - -2.70
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
413 A Pomperaug 12- 6 6 2 + 2.80
|
Lewis Mills PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Amity Regional |
|
 
| Amity Regional |
| Avon HS |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lewis Mills |
| Bacon Academy |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Berlin |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Bethel |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Branford |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Brien McMahon |
Brien McMahon |
|
 
| Brien McMahon |
| Bristol Co-Op |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Brookfield |
Brookfield |
|
 
| Brookfield |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Canton |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
 
| Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
Conard |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Conard |
| Cromwell |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Danbury |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
 
| Daniel Hand |
| Darien |
Darien |
|
 
| Darien |
| East Catholic |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lewis Mills |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Ellington |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Enfield |
Enfield |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Enfield |
| EO Smith |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
 
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
 
| Fairfield Prep |
| Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Farmington |
Farmington |
Farmington |
 
| |
| Fitch Groton |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Foran |
Foran |
|
 
| Foran |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Glastonbury |
| Granby Memorial |
Granby Memorial |
|
 
| Granby Memorial |
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
|
 
| Greenwich HS |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
 
| Guilford |
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Haddam-Killingworth |
| Hall |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lewis Mills |
| Hamden |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Holy Cross |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Immaculate Danbury |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
 
| Joel Barlow |
| Jonathan Law |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Lakeview United |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Ledyard-Griswold |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lyman Hall |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Maloney-Platt |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Masuk |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Middletown |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Montville |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Morgan School |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
 
| New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Newington |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
 
| Newtown |
| North Branford |
North Branford |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
North Branford |
| North Haven |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Northwest Catholic |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Norwalk |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Norwich Tech |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
 
| Notre Dame-West Have |
| Old Lyme |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Old Saybrook |
Old Saybrook |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Old Saybrook |
| Pomperaug |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| RHAM |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
 
| Ridgefield |
| Rockville Co-op |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Rocky Hill |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Sheehan |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Shelton |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Simsbury |
Simsbury |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Simsbury |
| Somers |
Somers |
|
Somers   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| South Windsor |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
Southington   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
|
 
| St Joseph Trumbull |
| St Paul Catholic |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Stamford |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
|
 
| Trumbull |
| Valley Regional |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Waterford |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Watertown |
Lewis Mills |
Lewis Mills |
 
| |
| West Haven |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Westhill |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Weston |
Weston |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Lewis Mills |
| Wilbur Cross |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
 
| Wilton |
| Windsor |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
| Wolcott |
Lewis Mills |
|
Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodstock Academy |
Lewis Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Lewis Mills |
| Xavier |
Lewis Mills |
|
 
| Lewis Mills |
PairWisePlus = 62

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Northwest Cath ( 2- 5, 80.0) 13- 2 -19.88 12.28 -0.12 0.95 11.58
0 A Valley Regiona ( 2- 7, 73.7) 18- 0 -26.25 5.92 0.12 0.95 5.74
0 A Pomperaug ( 4- 4, 84.2) 12- 6 -15.67 16.49 0.12 0.95 15.82
0 H Bristol Co-Op ( 1- 4, 76.5) 22- 5 -23.36 8.81 -0.12 0.95 8.28
0 H Watertown ( 4- 3, 79.6) 19- 2 -20.31 11.85 -0.12 0.95 11.18
0 H Farmington ( 5- 2, 89.0) 6-13 -10.93 21.23 -0.12 0.95 -10.52
0 A RHAM ( 2- 6, 78.4) 12- 5 -21.54 10.62 0.12 0.95 10.22
------
52.30
|
winning pts = 62.8240 losing points = -10.5236
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------