UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:52 PDT

boys Lewis Mills 1
  
Lewis Mills           
W-L: (17- 3) PR = 84.4258

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 409 H Northwest Catholic ( 2-13, 78.4) 13- 2 411 A Valley Regional ( 3-13, 71.1) 18- 0 413 A Pomperaug ( 5-11, 79.9) 12- 6 415 H Bristol Co-Op ( 7-10, 77.5) 22- 5 417 H Watertown ( 8- 8, 76.7) 19- 2 420 H Farmington (13- 5, 86.6) 6-13 423 A RHAM ( 4-12, 76.8) 12- 5 428 H St Paul Catholic ( 9- 8, 79.3) 18- 3 429 H Newington ( 0-16, 72.6) 19- 1 502 A Stonington (11- 6, 81.3) 14-12 505 A East Catholic ( 6-10, 82.4) 18-14 507 H Wethersfield (14- 5, 84.4) 16-10 509 A Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 78.6) 17- 4 513 A South Windsor ( 9- 9, 81.4) 8- 6 519 A Tolland ( 6-10, 77.5) 19- 4 521 H Berlin ( 8- 9, 78.2) 18- 6 526 H South Windsor ( 9- 9, 81.4) 12- 8 528 H Wethersfield (14- 5, 84.4) 9-17 603 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 7, 80.4) 13- 2 606 A Haddam-Killingworth (16- 5, 87.1) 12-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Northwest Catholic     13- 2      11     7           0.00
   411 A Valley Regional        18- 0      18    13           0.00
   413 A Pomperaug              12- 6       6     4           1.13
   415 H Bristol Co-Op          22- 5      17     8           0.00
   417 H Watertown              19- 2      17     8           0.00
   420 H Farmington              6-13      -7    -1    -     -3.50
   423 A RHAM                   12- 5       7     7           0.00
   428 H St Paul Catholic       18- 3      15     6           0.00
   429 H Newington              19- 1      18    12           0.00
   502 A Stonington             14-12       2     3          -0.52
   505 A East Catholic          18-14       4     1    +      2.59
   507 H Wethersfield           16-10       6     1    ++     4.38
   509 A Bacon Academy          17- 4      13     5           0.00
   513 A South Windsor           8- 6       2     2          -0.43
   519 A Tolland                19- 4      15     6           0.00
   521 H Berlin                 18- 6      12     7           0.00
   526 H South Windsor          12- 8       4     4           0.29
   528 H Wethersfield            9-17      -8     1    --    -5.62
   603 H St Bernard-Wheeler     13- 2      11     5           0.35
   606 A Haddam-Killingworth    12-14      -2    -3           1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   528 H Wethersfield            9-17      -8     1    --    -5.62
   420 H Farmington              6-13      -7    -1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 H Wethersfield           16-10       6     1    ++     4.38
   505 A East Catholic          18-14       4     1    +      2.59

Lewis Mills PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied -  1- 0 Amity Regional
Avon HS Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   5- 1 vs 4- 2
Bacon Academy Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Berlin Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Bethel Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Branford Branford tied -  1- 0 Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon   Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Brookfield Brookfield tied -  1- 0 Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canton Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   5- 1 vs 4- 1
Capital-Classical Pr Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   1- 0 vs 1- 1
Conard Conard tied -  4- 1 Conard
Cromwell Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Danbury Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
East Lyme East Lyme tied -  4- 0 East Lyme
Ellington Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Enfield Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 1 vs 2- 1
EO Smith Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Groton Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Foran Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   1- 1 vs 1- 2
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   5- 2 vs 4- 3
Hamden Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Holy Cross Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Immaculate Danbury Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied -  1- 0 Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lakeview United Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Ledyard-Griswold Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Lyman Hall Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Maloney-Platt Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Masuk Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Middletown Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montville Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Morgan School Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 1 vs 1- 2
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
New Milford Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Newington Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Newtown Newtown tied -  1- 0 Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied -  1- 1 North Branford
North Haven Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Northwest Catholic Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Norwalk Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Norwich Free Academy Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Norwich Tech Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Notre Dame-Fairfield Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Old Saybrook Lewis Mills tied -  2- 1 Lewis Mills
Pomperaug Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Prince-Cheney Tech Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
RHAM Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Lewis Mills tied -  1- 0 Lewis Mills
Rocky Hill Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Sheehan Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Shelton Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury   5- 0 vs 4- 1
Somers Somers Somers   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Windsor Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Southington Southington Southington   4- 0 vs 3- 1
St Bernard-Wheeler Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Stamford Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Suffield Suffield tied -  2- 0 Suffield
Tolland Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Watertown Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
West Haven Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Westhill Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Weston Weston tied -  1- 0 Weston
Wethersfield Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   8- 1 vs 7- 2
Wilbur Cross Lewis Mills   Lewis Mills
Wilton Wilton tied -  1- 0 Wilton
Windsor Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wolcott Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Woodstock Academy Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Xavier Xavier tied -  2- 0 Xavier

PairWisePlus = 63


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Northwest Cath  ( 2-13, 78.4)    13- 2      -21.50      16.94      -0.64         0.82            13.32
   0 A Valley Regiona  ( 3-13, 71.1)    18- 0      -28.84       9.60       0.64         0.82             8.37
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-11, 79.9)    12- 6      -19.99      18.45       0.64         0.82            15.60
   0 H Bristol Co-Op   ( 7-10, 77.5)    22- 5      -22.39      16.05      -0.64         0.82            12.59
   0 H Watertown       ( 8- 8, 76.7)    19- 2      -23.23      15.20      -0.64         0.82            11.90
   0 H Farmington      (13- 5, 86.6)     6-13      -13.34      25.10      -0.64         0.82           -11.42
   0 A RHAM            ( 4-12, 76.8)    12- 5      -23.07      15.37       0.64         0.82            13.08
   0 H St Paul Cathol  ( 9- 8, 79.3)    18- 3      -20.61      17.82      -0.64         0.82            14.04
   0 H Newington       ( 0-16, 72.6)    19- 1      -27.32      11.12      -0.64         0.82             8.57
   0 A Stonington      (11- 6, 81.3)    14-12      -18.63      19.81       0.64         0.82            16.71
   0 A East Catholic   ( 6-10, 82.4)    18-14      -17.52      20.91       0.64         0.82            17.61
   0 H Wethersfield    (14- 5, 84.4)    16-10      -15.46      22.98      -0.64         0.82            18.26
   0 A Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 78.6)    17- 4      -21.31      17.13       0.64         0.82            14.52
   0 A South Windsor   ( 9- 9, 81.4)     8- 6      -18.54      19.89       0.64         0.82            16.78
   0 A Tolland         ( 6-10, 77.5)    19- 4      -22.44      16.00       0.64         0.82            13.60
   0 H Berlin          ( 8- 9, 78.2)    18- 6      -21.68      16.76      -0.64         0.82            13.17
   0 H South Windsor   ( 9- 9, 81.4)    12- 8      -18.54      19.89      -0.64         0.82            15.74
   0 H Wethersfield    (14- 5, 84.4)     9-17      -15.46      22.98      -0.64         0.82           -13.15
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 7, 80.4)    13- 2      -19.48      18.95      -0.64         0.82            14.97
   0 A Haddam-Killing  (16- 5, 87.1)    12-14      -12.78      25.66       0.64         0.82            -9.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       204.32

winning pts = 238.8109 losing points = -34.4909

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------