UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Ballard Louisville 1
  
Ballard Louisville    
W-L: ( 2- 7) PR = 81.7649

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 1-14 310 A Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6) 0-24 313 H Oldham County ( 0- 8, 69.6) 13- 0 314 H Atherton ( 4- 4, 84.8) 7-10 319 A Kentucky Country Day ( 4- 3, 92.8) 2-18 326 H Atherton ( 4- 4, 84.8) 7-10 327 A Atherton ( 4- 4, 84.8) 7-10 331 H Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8) 4-21 402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6) 20- 3 414 H Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 415 H Male ( 2- 3, 78.7) 417 A DuPont Manual ( 1- 4, 83.1) 421 A Trinity Louisville ( 4- 1, 98.2) 424 H DeSales ( 1- 2, 78.9) 427 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 5- 2, 95.5) 505 H Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 1, 87.3) 507 H Frederick Douglass ( 4- 6, 91.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Bowling Green           1-14     -13    -6           0.00
   310 A Henry Clay              0-24     -24   -13           0.00
   313 H Oldham County          13- 0      13    12           0.00
   314 H Atherton                7-10      -3    -3          -0.22
   319 A Kentucky Country Day    2-18     -16   -11           0.00
   326 H Atherton                7-10      -3    -3          -0.22
   327 A Atherton                7-10      -3    -3           0.26
   331 H Lexington Christian     4-21     -17   -11           0.00
   402 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   20- 3      17     5           0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Ballard Louisville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Atherton Atherton  
Bluegrass Bluegrass   Bluegrass
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Ballard Louisville   Ballard Louisville
Central Hardin Central Hardin tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Central Hardin
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Collins Collins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Collins
Cooper Ballard Louisville   Ballard Louisville
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic   Covington Catholic
DeSales Ballard Louisville   Ballard Louisville
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dixie Heights
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual   DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Great Crossing   Great Crossing
Greenwood Greenwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greenwood
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Lafayette tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lafayette
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Louisville Collegiat
Male Ballard Louisville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ballard Louisville
North Hardin Ballard Louisville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ballard Louisville
North Oldham North Oldham insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) North Oldham
Oldham County Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville  
Owensboro Ballard Louisville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ballard Louisville
Paul Laurence Dunbar Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville  
Ryle Ryle   Ryle
Sayre Sayre insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sayre
Scott County Ballard Louisville   Ballard Louisville
Shelby County Shelby County tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shelby County
South Oldham South Oldham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) South Oldham
South Warren South Warren insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) South Warren
St Henry Ballard Louisville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ballard Louisville
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Tates Creek tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tates Creek
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Walton-Verona tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Walton-Verona
Woodford County Woodford County insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Woodford County

PowerWise = 10


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bowling Green   ( 7- 2, 87.6)     1-14      -12.26      18.00       0.24         0.72            -8.71
   0 A Henry Clay      ( 7- 0, 94.6)     0-24       -5.33      24.93       0.24         0.72            -3.69
   0 H Oldham County   ( 0- 8, 69.6)    13- 0      -30.26       1.00      -0.24         0.72             0.55
   0 H Atherton        ( 4- 4, 84.8)     7-10      -15.11      15.15      -0.24         0.72           -11.13
   0 A Kentucky Count  ( 4- 3, 92.8)     2-18       -7.12      23.14       0.24         0.72            -4.99
   0 H Atherton        ( 4- 4, 84.8)     7-10      -15.11      15.15      -0.24         0.72           -11.13
   0 A Atherton        ( 4- 4, 84.8)     7-10      -15.11      15.15       0.24         0.72           -10.78
   0 H Lexington Chri  ( 3- 4, 92.8)     4-21       -7.10      23.16      -0.24         0.72            -5.32
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 0- 5, 76.6)    20- 3      -23.28       6.98       0.24         0.72             5.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -49.97

winning pts = 5.7820 losing points = -55.7530

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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