UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Tates Creek 1
  
Tates Creek           
W-L: ( 3- 5) PR = 84.3166

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8) 1-17 312 A Central Hardin ( 2- 5, 81.9) 10- 3 314 A Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8) 0-18 319 H Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4) 22- 5 321 H Bowling Green ( 7- 2, 87.6) 4-11 325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6) 19- 2 327 H Lafayette ( 8- 1, 90.3) 3-12 401 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 6-12 416 A Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 418 H Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 420 A Shelby County ( 6- 4, 83.2) 421 H Cooper ( 1- 6, 78.2) 424 H Atherton ( 4- 4, 84.8) 428 H Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 429 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 501 H Collins ( 5- 2, 87.4) 506 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Dixie Heights           1-17     -16    -7           0.00
   312 A Central Hardin         10- 3       7     2    +      2.83
   314 A Lexington Christian     0-18     -18    -9           0.00
   319 H Bryan Station          22- 5      17     5           0.00
   321 H Bowling Green           4-11      -7    -3          -1.92
   325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar   19- 2      17     8           0.00
   327 H Lafayette               3-12      -9    -6           0.00
   401 A Ryle                    6-12      -6    -4          -0.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Central Hardin         10- 3       7     2    +      2.83

Tates Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Atherton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Atherton
Ballard Louisville Tates Creek tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Tates Creek
Bluegrass Tates Creek   Tates Creek
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Central Hardin Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Collins Collins tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Collins
Cooper Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Tates Creek
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Covington Catholic
DeSales Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tates Creek
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights Dixie Heights  
DuPont Manual Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tates Creek
Eastern Eastern   Eastern
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Frederick Douglass
Great Crossing Tates Creek tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Tates Creek
Greenwood Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Tates Creek
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   Louisville Collegiat
Male Tates Creek   Tates Creek
North Hardin Tates Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Tates Creek
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oldham County Tates Creek   Tates Creek
Owensboro Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tates Creek
Paul Laurence Dunbar Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Ryle Ryle Ryle  
Sayre Sayre   Sayre
Scott County Tates Creek   Tates Creek
Shelby County Tates Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Tates Creek
South Oldham South Oldham   South Oldham
South Warren South Warren insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) South Warren
St Henry Tates Creek   Tates Creek
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Tates Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Tates Creek
Woodford County Woodford County insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Woodford County

PowerWise = 18


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Dixie Heights   ( 4- 2, 90.8)     1-17       -9.13      21.13       0.24         0.82            -7.25
   0 A Central Hardin  ( 2- 5, 81.9)    10- 3      -17.99      12.27       0.24         0.82            10.20
   0 A Lexington Chri  ( 3- 4, 92.8)     0-18       -7.10      23.16       0.24         0.82            -5.59
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 0- 6, 79.4)    22- 5      -20.47       9.79      -0.24         0.82             7.78
   0 H Bowling Green   ( 7- 2, 87.6)     4-11      -12.26      18.00      -0.24         0.82           -10.19
   0 H Paul Laurence   ( 0- 5, 76.6)    19- 2      -23.28       6.98      -0.24         0.82             5.49
   0 H Lafayette       ( 8- 1, 90.3)     3-12       -9.60      20.66      -0.24         0.82            -8.02
   0 A Ryle            ( 3- 4, 88.2)     6-12      -11.72      18.54       0.24         0.82            -9.36
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -16.95

winning pts = 23.4777 losing points = -40.4238

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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