Tates Creek
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 82.0865
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
306 A Dixie Heights ( 6- 4, 87.5) 1-17
312 A Central Hardin ( 3- 8, 78.0) 10- 3
314 A Lexington Christian ( 6- 6, 90.4) 0-18
319 H Bryan Station ( 2- 9, 74.5) 23- 5
321 H Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.2) 4-11
325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-11, 69.1) 19- 1
327 H Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6) 3-12
401 A Ryle ( 6- 6, 86.2) 6-12
416 A Eastern (10- 7, 89.6) 4-19
418 H Woodford County (13- 0, 98.3) 2-15
420 A Shelby County (11- 5, 80.8) 6- 7
421 H Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 13- 8
424 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 6- 3
428 H Scott County ( 3-10, 73.4) 17- 1
429 A Great Crossing ( 5- 4, 78.0) 12- 4
501 H Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9)
506 A Lexington Catholic ( 4- 6, 89.1)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Dixie Heights 1-17 -16 -6 0.00
312 A Central Hardin 10- 3 7 4 1.37
314 A Lexington Christian 0-18 -18 -9 0.00
319 H Bryan Station 23- 5 18 8 0.00
321 H Bowling Green 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.37
325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar 19- 1 18 13 0.00
327 H Lafayette 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
401 A Ryle 6-12 -6 -5 -0.41
416 A Eastern 4-19 -15 -8 0.00
418 H Woodford County 2-15 -13 -16 0.00
420 A Shelby County 6- 7 -1 1 -1.78
421 H Cooper 13- 8 5 4 0.70
424 H Atherton 6- 3 3 1 + 2.08
428 H Scott County 17- 1 16 9 0.00
429 A Great Crossing 12- 4 8 4 1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Bowling Green 4-11 -7 -2 - -3.37
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 H Atherton 6- 3 3 1 + 2.08
|
Tates Creek PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Anderson County |
|
 
| Anderson County |
| Atherton |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Ballard Louisville |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   2- 3 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Bluegrass |
Tates Creek |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Tates Creek |
| Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
Bowling Green |
 
| |
| Bryan Station |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Central Hardin |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
|
Christian Academy-Lo   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Collins |
Collins |
|
Collins   3- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Cooper |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Covington Catholic |
Covington Catholic |
|
tied -  2- 3 |
Covington Catholic |
| DeSales |
Tates Creek |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Tates Creek |
| Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
Dixie Heights |
 
| |
| DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
DuPont Manual |
| Eastern |
Eastern |
Eastern |
 
| |
| Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
|
Frederick Douglass   5- 2 vs 3- 4 |
|
| Great Crossing |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Greenwood |
Tates Creek |
|
tied -  1- 3 |
Tates Creek |
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
|
Kentucky Country Day   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lafayette |
Lafayette |
Lafayette |
 
| |
| Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
 
| |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Louisville Collegiat |
|
Louisville Collegiat   3- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Male |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| North Hardin |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   5- 2 vs 0- 7 |
|
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
|
North Oldham   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Oldham County |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Owensboro |
Tates Creek |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Tates Creek |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Ryle |
Ryle |
Ryle |
 
| |
| Sayre |
Sayre |
|
Sayre   7- 1 vs 4- 4 |
|
| Scott County |
Tates Creek |
Tates Creek |
 
| |
| Shelby County |
Shelby County |
Shelby County |
 
| |
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
South Oldham   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| South Warren |
South Warren |
|
South Warren   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| St Henry |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   2- 3 vs 0- 5 |
|
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
 
| St Xavier Louisville |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
Trinity Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Walton-Verona |
Tates Creek |
|
Tates Creek   3- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
 
| |
PairWisePlus = 17

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Dixie Heights ( 6- 4, 87.5) 1-17 -12.44 18.59 0.47 0.70 -8.44
0 A Central Hardin ( 3- 8, 78.0) 10- 3 -21.91 9.12 0.47 0.70 6.76
0 A Lexington Chri ( 6- 6, 90.4) 0-18 -9.48 21.55 0.47 0.70 -6.35
0 H Bryan Station ( 2- 9, 74.5) 23- 5 -25.43 5.60 -0.47 0.70 3.62
0 H Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.2) 4-11 -15.71 15.32 -0.47 0.70 -11.40
0 H Paul Laurence ( 0-11, 69.1) 19- 1 -30.76 1.00 -0.47 0.70 0.37
0 H Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6) 3-12 -11.26 19.77 -0.47 0.70 -8.27
0 A Ryle ( 6- 6, 86.2) 6-12 -13.69 17.34 0.47 0.70 -9.32
0 A Eastern (10- 7, 89.6) 4-19 -10.27 20.76 0.47 0.70 -6.91
0 H Woodford Count (13- 0, 98.3) 2-15 -1.64 29.39 -0.47 0.70 -1.49
0 A Shelby County (11- 5, 80.8) 6- 7 -19.06 11.97 0.47 0.70 -13.10
0 H Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 13- 8 -21.65 9.38 -0.47 0.70 6.28
0 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 6- 3 -18.27 12.76 -0.47 0.70 8.66
0 H Scott County ( 3-10, 73.4) 17- 1 -26.47 4.56 -0.47 0.70 2.88
0 A Great Crossing ( 5- 4, 78.0) 12- 4 -21.92 9.11 0.47 0.70 6.75
------
-29.95
|
winning pts = 35.3291 losing points = -65.2824
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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