UPDATED: 05-01-26 10:11 PDT

boys Tates Creek 1
  
Tates Creek           
W-L: ( 7- 8) PR = 82.0865

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Dixie Heights ( 6- 4, 87.5) 1-17 312 A Central Hardin ( 3- 8, 78.0) 10- 3 314 A Lexington Christian ( 6- 6, 90.4) 0-18 319 H Bryan Station ( 2- 9, 74.5) 23- 5 321 H Bowling Green ( 7- 4, 84.2) 4-11 325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-11, 69.1) 19- 1 327 H Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6) 3-12 401 A Ryle ( 6- 6, 86.2) 6-12 416 A Eastern (10- 7, 89.6) 4-19 418 H Woodford County (13- 0, 98.3) 2-15 420 A Shelby County (11- 5, 80.8) 6- 7 421 H Cooper ( 4- 9, 78.3) 13- 8 424 H Atherton ( 5- 5, 81.6) 6- 3 428 H Scott County ( 3-10, 73.4) 17- 1 429 A Great Crossing ( 5- 4, 78.0) 12- 4 501 H Collins ( 8- 4, 84.9) 506 A Lexington Catholic ( 4- 6, 89.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Dixie Heights           1-17     -16    -6           0.00
   312 A Central Hardin         10- 3       7     4           1.37
   314 A Lexington Christian     0-18     -18    -9           0.00
   319 H Bryan Station          23- 5      18     8           0.00
   321 H Bowling Green           4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.37
   325 H Paul Laurence Dunbar   19- 1      18    13           0.00
   327 H Lafayette               3-12      -9    -6           0.00
   401 A Ryle                    6-12      -6    -5          -0.41
   416 A Eastern                 4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   418 H Woodford County         2-15     -13   -16           0.00
   420 A Shelby County           6- 7      -1     1          -1.78
   421 H Cooper                 13- 8       5     4           0.70
   424 H Atherton                6- 3       3     1    +      2.08
   428 H Scott County           17- 1      16     9           0.00
   429 A Great Crossing         12- 4       8     4           1.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Bowling Green           4-11      -7    -2    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Atherton                6- 3       3     1    +      2.08

Tates Creek PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Anderson County   Anderson County
Atherton Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Ballard Louisville Tates Creek Tates Creek   2- 3 vs 1- 4
Bluegrass Tates Creek tied -  1- 0 Tates Creek
Bowling Green Bowling Green Bowling Green  
Bryan Station Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Central Hardin Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Collins Collins Collins   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Cooper Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Covington Catholic Covington Catholic tied -  2- 3 Covington Catholic
DeSales Tates Creek tied -  2- 1 Tates Creek
Dixie Heights Dixie Heights Dixie Heights  
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual tied -  1- 2 DuPont Manual
Eastern Eastern Eastern  
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Great Crossing Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Greenwood Tates Creek tied -  1- 3 Tates Creek
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lafayette Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat Louisville Collegiat   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Male Tates Creek Tates Creek   1- 2 vs 0- 3
North Hardin Tates Creek Tates Creek   5- 2 vs 0- 7
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Oldham County Tates Creek Tates Creek   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Owensboro Tates Creek tied -  0- 2 Tates Creek
Paul Laurence Dunbar Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Ryle Ryle Ryle  
Sayre Sayre Sayre   7- 1 vs 4- 4
Scott County Tates Creek Tates Creek  
Shelby County Shelby County Shelby County  
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   1- 1 vs 0- 2
South Warren South Warren South Warren   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Henry Tates Creek Tates Creek   2- 3 vs 0- 5
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Walton-Verona Tates Creek Tates Creek   3- 2 vs 2- 3
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PairWisePlus = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Dixie Heights   ( 6- 4, 87.5)     1-17      -12.44      18.59       0.47         0.70            -8.44
   0 A Central Hardin  ( 3- 8, 78.0)    10- 3      -21.91       9.12       0.47         0.70             6.76
   0 A Lexington Chri  ( 6- 6, 90.4)     0-18       -9.48      21.55       0.47         0.70            -6.35
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 2- 9, 74.5)    23- 5      -25.43       5.60      -0.47         0.70             3.62
   0 H Bowling Green   ( 7- 4, 84.2)     4-11      -15.71      15.32      -0.47         0.70           -11.40
   0 H Paul Laurence   ( 0-11, 69.1)    19- 1      -30.76       1.00      -0.47         0.70             0.37
   0 H Lafayette       (11- 2, 88.6)     3-12      -11.26      19.77      -0.47         0.70            -8.27
   0 A Ryle            ( 6- 6, 86.2)     6-12      -13.69      17.34       0.47         0.70            -9.32
   0 A Eastern         (10- 7, 89.6)     4-19      -10.27      20.76       0.47         0.70            -6.91
   0 H Woodford Count  (13- 0, 98.3)     2-15       -1.64      29.39      -0.47         0.70            -1.49
   0 A Shelby County   (11- 5, 80.8)     6- 7      -19.06      11.97       0.47         0.70           -13.10
   0 H Cooper          ( 4- 9, 78.3)    13- 8      -21.65       9.38      -0.47         0.70             6.28
   0 H Atherton        ( 5- 5, 81.6)     6- 3      -18.27      12.76      -0.47         0.70             8.66
   0 H Scott County    ( 3-10, 73.4)    17- 1      -26.47       4.56      -0.47         0.70             2.88
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 5- 4, 78.0)    12- 4      -21.92       9.11       0.47         0.70             6.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -29.95

winning pts = 35.3291 losing points = -65.2824

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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