UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Sayre 1
  
Sayre                 
W-L: ( 6- 1) PR = 97.8073

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 5- 2, 95.5) 14- 7 305 H Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 9- 4 310 A Kentucky Country Day ( 4- 3, 92.8) 18- 7 314 H Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 23- 1 319 A Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 7-11 326 H Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 19- 1 328 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9) 15- 2 415 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6) 418 H Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8) 422 A Frederick Douglass ( 4- 6, 91.6) 423 H Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4) 429 A Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8) 501 H Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Christian Academy-Lo   14- 7       7     2    +      2.93
   305 H Eastern                 9- 4       5     6           0.00
   310 A Kentucky Country Day   18- 7      11     5           0.21
   314 H Scott County           23- 1      22    21           0.00
   319 A Woodford County         7-11      -4    -2          -1.67
   326 H Great Crossing         19- 1      18    15           0.00
   328 A Lexington Catholic     15- 2      13     6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Christian Academy-Lo   14- 7       7     2    +      2.93

Sayre Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Sayre   Sayre
Atherton Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Ballard Louisville Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Bluegrass Sayre tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sayre
Bowling Green Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Bryan Station Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Central Hardin Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Christian Academy-Lo Sayre Sayre  
Collins Sayre   Sayre
Cooper Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Covington Catholic Sayre insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Sayre
DeSales Sayre   Sayre
Dixie Heights Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
DuPont Manual Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Eastern Sayre Sayre  
Frederick Douglass Sayre Sayre   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Great Crossing Sayre Sayre  
Greenwood Sayre   Sayre
Henry Clay Sayre tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sayre
Kentucky Country Day Sayre Sayre  
Lafayette Sayre   Sayre
Lexington Catholic Sayre Sayre  
Lexington Christian Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Sayre
Louisville Collegiat Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Male Sayre   Sayre
North Hardin Sayre Sayre   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Oldham Sayre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sayre
Oldham County Sayre   Sayre
Owensboro Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Paul Laurence Dunbar Sayre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sayre
Ryle Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
Scott County Sayre Sayre  
Shelby County Sayre   Sayre
South Oldham Sayre tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sayre
South Warren Sayre   Sayre
St Henry Sayre insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Sayre
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Sayre   Sayre
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Sayre insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Sayre
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PowerWise = 38


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Christian Acad  ( 5- 2, 95.5)    14- 7       -4.40      25.86       0.24         0.93            24.33
   0 H Eastern         ( 4- 5, 91.8)     9- 4       -8.10      22.16      -0.24         0.93            20.43
   0 A Kentucky Count  ( 4- 3, 92.8)    18- 7       -7.12      23.14       0.24         0.93            21.79
   0 H Scott County    ( 1- 5, 77.2)    23- 1      -22.71       7.55      -0.24         0.93             6.81
   0 A Woodford Count  ( 8- 0, 99.9)     7-11       -0.00      30.26       0.24         0.93            -0.22
   0 H Great Crossing  ( 4- 2, 83.0)    19- 1      -16.93      13.33      -0.24         0.93            12.20
   0 A Lexington Cath  ( 3- 3, 91.9)    15- 2       -8.04      22.22       0.24         0.93            20.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       106.26

winning pts = 106.4852 losing points = -0.2245

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------