Lexington Catholic
W-L: ( 3- 3) PR = 91.8588
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
303 H Trinity Louisville ( 4- 1, 98.2) 4-19
307 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 11- 9
312 H Frederick Douglass ( 4- 6, 91.6) 7- 2
318 A Covington Catholic ( 3- 3, 86.0) 12- 7
325 H Kentucky Country Day ( 4- 3, 92.8) 6- 9
328 H Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8) 2-15
416 A Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8)
422 H Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6)
425 H South Warren ( 6- 1, 91.1)
430 A Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9)
502 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0- 5, 76.6)
504 A Lafayette ( 8- 1, 90.3)
506 H Tates Creek ( 3- 5, 84.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
303 H Trinity Louisville 4-19 -15 -6 0.00
307 A Ryle 11- 9 2 3 -1.44
312 H Frederick Douglass 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.52
318 A Covington Catholic 12- 7 5 6 0.00
325 H Kentucky Country Day 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.32
328 H Sayre 2-15 -13 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 H Kentucky Country Day 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.32
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 H Frederick Douglass 7- 2 5 0 ++ 4.52
|
Lexington Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Atherton |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Ballard Louisville |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Bluegrass |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Bowling Green |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Bryan Station |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Central Hardin |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Christian Academy-Lo |
| Collins |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Cooper |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Covington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
| DeSales |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Dixie Heights |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lexington Catholic |
| DuPont Manual |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Eastern |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Frederick Douglass |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
| Great Crossing |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Greenwood |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Henry Clay |
| Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
 
| |
| Lafayette |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
|
 
| Lexington Christian |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Male |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| North Hardin |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
North Oldham |
| Oldham County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Owensboro |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| Ryle |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
| Sayre |
Sayre |
Sayre |
 
| |
| Scott County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Shelby County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
South Oldham |
| South Warren |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
| St Henry |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Xavier Louisville |
| Tates Creek |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
 
| |
| Walton-Verona |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Woodford County |
PowerWise = 31

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Trinity Louisv ( 4- 1, 98.2) 4-19 -1.66 28.60 -0.24 1.09 -2.07
0 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 11- 9 -11.72 18.54 0.24 1.09 20.42
0 H Frederick Doug ( 4- 6, 91.6) 7- 2 -8.28 21.98 -0.24 1.09 23.64
0 A Covington Cath ( 3- 3, 86.0) 12- 7 -13.88 16.38 0.24 1.09 18.07
0 H Kentucky Count ( 4- 3, 92.8) 6- 9 -7.12 23.14 -0.24 1.09 -8.01
0 H Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8) 2-15 -2.09 28.17 -0.24 1.09 -2.54
------
49.51
|
winning pts = 62.1239 losing points = -12.6094
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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