UPDATED: 05-01-26 10:11 PDT

boys Lexington Catholic 1
  
Lexington Catholic    
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 89.1271

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Trinity Louisville ( 6- 1, 98.8) 4-19 307 A Ryle ( 6- 6, 86.2) 11- 9 312 H Frederick Douglass ( 6- 8, 90.2) 7- 2 318 A Covington Catholic ( 4- 6, 82.5) 12- 7 325 H Kentucky Country Day ( 6- 6, 90.9) 6- 9 328 H Sayre (11- 1, 95.0) 2-15 416 A Lexington Christian ( 6- 6, 90.4) 6-18 422 H Henry Clay ( 8- 1, 92.7) 9-17 425 H South Warren ( 8- 2, 88.5) 13- 9 430 A Woodford County (13- 0, 98.3) 3-19 502 H Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-11, 69.1) 504 A Lafayette (11- 2, 88.6) 506 H Tates Creek ( 7- 8, 82.1)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Trinity Louisville      4-19     -15    -9           0.00
   307 A Ryle                   11- 9       2     2          -0.45
   312 H Frederick Douglass      7- 2       5    -1    ++     5.61
   318 A Covington Catholic     12- 7       5     6           0.00
   325 H Kentucky Country Day    6- 9      -3    -1          -1.72
   328 H Sayre                   2-15     -13    -5           0.00
   416 A Lexington Christian     6-18     -12    -2    -     -3.24
   422 H Henry Clay              9-17      -8    -3          -1.86
   425 H South Warren           13- 9       4     1    +      2.90
   430 A Woodford County         3-19     -16   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Lexington Christian     6-18     -12    -2    -     -3.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Frederick Douglass      7- 2       5    -1    ++     5.61
   425 H South Warren           13- 9       4     1    +      2.90

Lexington Catholic PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Atherton Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Ballard Louisville Lexington Catholic tied -  0- 4 Lexington Catholic
Bluegrass Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Bowling Green Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bryan Station Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Central Hardin Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Collins Lexington Catholic tied -  1- 0 Lexington Catholic
Cooper Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Covington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
DeSales Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Dixie Heights Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   3- 2 vs 2- 3
DuPont Manual Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Eastern Eastern Eastern   2- 5 vs 1- 6
Frederick Douglass Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Great Crossing Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Greenwood Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Lexington Catholic tied -  2- 2 Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Male Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
North Hardin Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Oldham County Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Owensboro Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Paul Laurence Dunbar Lexington Catholic tied -  0- 2 Lexington Catholic
Ryle Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Sayre Sayre Sayre  
Scott County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Shelby County Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
South Oldham South Oldham tied -  1- 2 South Oldham
South Warren Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
St Henry Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tates Creek Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PairWisePlus = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Trinity Louisv  ( 6- 1, 98.8)     4-19       -1.05      29.98      -0.47         1.06            -1.61
   0 A Ryle            ( 6- 6, 86.2)    11- 9      -13.69      17.34       0.47         1.06            18.82
   0 H Frederick Doug  ( 6- 8, 90.2)     7- 2       -9.70      21.33      -0.47         1.06            22.06
   0 A Covington Cath  ( 4- 6, 82.5)    12- 7      -17.41      13.62       0.47         1.06            14.90
   0 H Kentucky Count  ( 6- 6, 90.9)     6- 9       -9.02      22.01      -0.47         1.06           -10.03
   0 H Sayre           (11- 1, 95.0)     2-15       -4.95      26.08      -0.47         1.06            -5.73
   0 A Lexington Chri  ( 6- 6, 90.4)     6-18       -9.48      21.55       0.47         1.06            -9.53
   0 H Henry Clay      ( 8- 1, 92.7)     9-17       -7.16      23.87      -0.47         1.06            -8.07
   0 H South Warren    ( 8- 2, 88.5)    13- 9      -11.41      19.62      -0.47         1.06            20.25
   0 A Woodford Count  (13- 0, 98.3)     3-19       -1.64      29.39       0.47         1.06            -1.24
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        39.82

winning pts = 76.0268 losing points = -36.2024

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------