Loudoun Valley
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 79.2890
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 H Washington-Liberty ( 8- 6, 83.6) 7-13
319 A Briar Woods ( 9- 4, 85.0) 1-17
324 A Stone Bridge (11- 2, 88.2) 1-23
407 A John Champe ( 3- 9, 78.6) 8-12
409 H Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 6-19
414 H Potomac Falls ( 2-11, 75.2) 14- 1
421 H Heritage Leesburg ( 5- 8, 81.8) 8-12
423 H Woodgrove ( 6- 7, 82.1) 9- 8
428 A Loudoun County ( 6- 6, 83.3) 4- 7
501 A Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 16- 1
505 H Broad Run ( 6- 7, 82.6) 7-10
508 H Freedom South Ridin ( 9- 5, 86.0) 6-14
511 A Fauquier (12- 2, 80.9) 7-10
512 A Dominion ( 4- 8, 79.0) 8- 5
519 H Tuscarora ( 0-10, 70.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Washington-Liberty 7-13 -6 -4 -1.17
319 A Briar Woods 1-17 -16 -6 0.00
324 A Stone Bridge 1-23 -22 -9 0.00
407 A John Champe 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.26
409 H Lightridge 6-19 -13 -6 0.00
414 H Potomac Falls 14- 1 13 5 0.48
421 H Heritage Leesburg 8-12 -4 -2 -1.96
423 H Woodgrove 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.40
428 A Loudoun County 4- 7 -3 -4 1.42
501 A Rock Ridge 16- 1 15 7 0.00
505 H Broad Run 7-10 -3 -3 -0.17
508 H Freedom South Ridin 6-14 -8 -6 0.00
511 A Fauquier 7-10 -3 -2 -0.98
512 A Dominion 8- 5 3 0 + 3.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
407 A John Champe 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.26
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 H Woodgrove 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.40
512 A Dominion 8- 5 3 0 + 3.21
|
Loudoun Valley PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
 
| Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Brentsville |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
 
| |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
Broad Run |
 
| |
| Brooke Point |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Christiansburg |
|
 
| Christiansburg |
| Clover Hill |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Colgan |
Colgan |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Colgan |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
| Culpeper County |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Deep Run |
Deep Run |
|
 
| Deep Run |
| Dominion |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
 
|
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
 
| Fairfax |
| Falls Church |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Fauquier |
Fauquier |
Fauquier |
 
| |
| First Colonial |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fishburne Military A |
Fishburne Military A |
|
 
| Fishburne Military A |
| Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
 
| Flint Hill |
| Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Fluvanna County |
| Forest Park |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
 
| |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
 
| Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
| Grassfield LC |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Green Run |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
 
| |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
| Hidden Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Highland School |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Highland Springs |
Highland Springs |
|
 
| Highland Springs |
| Hylton |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
Independence   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
John Champe |
John Champe |
 
|
| Justice |
Loudoun Valley |
|
Loudoun Valley   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Kellam |
Kellam |
|
 
| Kellam |
| Kempsville |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Kettle Run |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
Lake Braddock   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Landstown |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Langley |
Langley |
|
Langley   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lewis |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
Lightridge |
 
| |
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
| Lord Botetourt |
Lord Botetourt |
|
 
| Lord Botetourt |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Marshall |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Massaponax |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Matoaca |
Matoaca |
|
 
| Matoaca |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
Meridian   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Mills Godwin |
|
 
| Mills Godwin |
| Monacan |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Monticello |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Mount Vernon |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
| New Covenant School |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
 
| Norfolk Christian |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Orange County |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Osbourn |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Osbourn Park |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Park View |
Loudoun Valley |
|
Loudoun Valley   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Patriot |
|
Patriot   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
 
| |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Powhatan |
Powhatan |
|
 
| Powhatan |
| Princess Anne |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Riverbend |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
Riverside  10- 1 vs 3- 8 |
|
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
 
| |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
 
| Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Seton School |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| South County |
South County |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
South County |
| South Lakes |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Loudoun Valley |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Steward School |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
 
| |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Tandem Friends |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Thomas Dale |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Trinity Episcopal |
|
 
| Trinity Episcopal |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
| Tuscarora |
Loudoun Valley |
|
Loudoun Valley   2- 5 vs 0- 7 |
|
| Unity Reed |
Unity Reed |
|
 
| Unity Reed |
| Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
| Virginia Academy |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
| Wakefield HS |
Loudoun Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Loudoun Valley |
| Wakefield School |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
 
| |
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
West Potomac   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Loudoun Valley |
|
 
| Loudoun Valley |
| Woodgrove |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun Valley |
 
|
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
Woodson   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| York LC |
York LC |
|
 
| York LC |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
Yorktown   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
PairWisePlus = 64

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Washington-Lib ( 8- 6, 83.6) 7-13 -16.33 20.61 -0.45 0.82 -13.76
0 A Briar Woods ( 9- 4, 85.0) 1-17 -14.85 22.09 0.45 0.82 -11.81
0 A Stone Bridge (11- 2, 88.2) 1-23 -11.73 25.22 0.45 0.82 -9.25
0 A John Champe ( 3- 9, 78.6) 8-12 -21.33 15.62 0.45 0.82 -17.12
0 H Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 6-19 -13.87 23.08 -0.45 0.82 -11.74
0 H Potomac Falls ( 2-11, 75.2) 14- 1 -24.68 12.27 -0.45 0.82 9.69
0 H Heritage Lees ( 5- 8, 81.8) 8-12 -18.12 18.83 -0.45 0.82 -15.23
0 H Woodgrove ( 6- 7, 82.1) 9- 8 -17.75 19.19 -0.45 0.82 15.37
0 A Loudoun County ( 6- 6, 83.3) 4- 7 -16.65 20.30 0.45 0.82 -13.28
0 A Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2) 16- 1 -27.72 9.23 0.45 0.82 7.94
0 H Broad Run ( 6- 7, 82.6) 7-10 -17.33 19.62 -0.45 0.82 -14.58
0 H Freedom South ( 9- 5, 86.0) 6-14 -13.91 23.03 -0.45 0.82 -11.78
0 A Fauquier (12- 2, 80.9) 7-10 -19.04 17.91 0.45 0.82 -15.24
0 A Dominion ( 4- 8, 79.0) 8- 5 -20.85 16.09 0.45 0.82 13.57
------
-87.23
|
winning pts = 46.5620 losing points = -133.7902
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------