UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Lake Mary 1
  
Lake Mary             
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 87.8225

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A West Orange (12- 6, 84.7) 6- 2 216 A Lake Brantley (14- 2, 87.4) 7- 8 218 H Winter Springs ( 9- 5, 80.0) 13- 3 223 H Lyman (10- 7, 77.5) 15- 0 225 A Seminole ( 6-10, 82.3) 11- 2 227 H Hagerty ( 1-13, 74.5) 16- 1 303 A Lake Highland Prep ( 8- 2, 89.3) 6- 8 304 H East River ( 6-11, 74.4) 17- 1 309 H Montverde Academy ( 6-11, 85.2) 7- 3 312 A Winter Park (15- 1, 92.4) 4- 8 321 H Ransom Everglades (13- 4, 87.4) 8- 9 324 A Oviedo (12- 4, 84.4) 6- 3 327 H Bolles (17- 0, 94.0) 4-10 331 H Bishop Moore (10- 4, 95.5) 2-16 402 H Lake Howell ( 6-10, 75.5) 17- 0

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A West Orange             6- 2       4     3           1.21
   216 A Lake Brantley           7- 8      -1     0          -1.12
   218 H Winter Springs         13- 3      10     8           0.00
   223 H Lyman                  15- 0      15    11           0.00
   225 A Seminole               11- 2       9     5           0.00
   227 H Hagerty                16- 1      15    14           0.00
   303 A Lake Highland Prep      6- 8      -2    -2          -0.22
   304 H East River             17- 1      16    14           0.00
   309 H Montverde Academy       7- 3       4     3           1.14
   312 A Winter Park             4- 8      -4    -5           0.88
   321 H Ransom Everglades       8- 9      -1     1          -1.73
   324 A Oviedo                  6- 3       3     3          -0.13
   327 H Bolles                  4-10      -6    -6           0.00
   331 H Bishop Moore            2-16     -14    -7           0.00
   402 H Lake Howell            17- 0      17    13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Lake Mary Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Admiral Farragut Aca Lake Mary   Lake Mary
All Saints Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Alonso Lake Mary   Lake Mary
American Heritage De Lake Mary   Lake Mary
American Heritage Pl American Heritage Pl   American Heritage Pl
Angeline Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Apopka Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Archbishop McCarthy Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Atlantic Coast Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Atlantic-Delray Beac Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Aubrey Rogers Aubrey Rogers   Aubrey Rogers
Barron Collier Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Bartow Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Bartram Trail Bartram Trail   Bartram Trail
Beachside Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Belen Jesuit Belen Jesuit insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Belen Jesuit
Benjamin School Benjamin School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep Berkeley Prep   Berkeley Prep
Bishop McLaughlin Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Bishop Moore Bishop Moore Bishop Moore  
Bishop Verot Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Bloomingdale Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Boca Ciega Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Boca Raton Boca Raton   Boca Raton
Bolles Bolles Bolles  
Boone Lake Mary tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Lake Mary
Bradenton Christian Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Buchholz Buchholz tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Buchholz
Calvary Christian Ac Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Calvary Christian HS Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Canterbury School Canterbury School   Canterbury School
Cardinal Gibbons Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Cardinal Mooney Lake Mary tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lake Mary
Cardinal Newman Cardinal Newman tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cardinal Newman
Celebration Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Chiles Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Clearwater Central C Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Cocoa Beach Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Colonial Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Columbus Catholic Columbus Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbus Catholic
Community School-Nap Community School-Nap   Community School-Nap
Cooper City Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Coral Glades Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Coral Reef Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Coral Shores Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Coral Springs Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Countryside Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Creekside Creekside tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Creekside
Cypress Bay Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Cypress Creek Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Cypress Lake Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Dr Phillips Lake Mary Lake Mary   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Durant Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Dwyer Lake Mary   Lake Mary
East Lake Lake Mary   Lake Mary
East Ridge Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 0 vs 0- 3
East River Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Eastside Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Edgewater Lake Mary insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Lake Mary
Edgewood Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Episcopal Jacksonvi Episcopal Jacksonvi tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Episcopal Jacksonvi
Estero Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Evans Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Father Lopez Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Fernandina Beach Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
First Academy Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lake Mary
Flagler Palm Coast Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Fleming Island Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Fletcher Fletcher tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Fletcher
Florida Christian Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Forest Lake Mary tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Mary
Fort Myers Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Fort Walton Beach Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Foundation Academy Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Freedom Orlando Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Freedom Tampa Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Golden Gate Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Gulf Breeze Gulf Breeze tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Gulliver Prep Gulliver Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gulliver Prep
Hagerty Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Holy Trinity Episcop Holy Trinity Episcop tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Holy Trinity Episcop
Horizon Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 0 vs 0- 2
IMG Academy-White IMG Academy-White tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) IMG Academy-White
Immaculata LaSalle Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Immokalee Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Indian Rocks Christi Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Innovation Lake Mary insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Lake Mary
Jensen Beach Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Jesuit Tampa Jesuit Tampa tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jesuit Tampa
John Carroll Catholi Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Jupiter Jupiter insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jupiter
Jupiter Christian Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Key West Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Keys Gate Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Kings Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lake Brantley Lake Brantley Lake Brantley  
Lake Buena Vista Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep Lake Highland Prep  
Lake Howell Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Lake Minneola Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Nona Lake Mary insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Lake Mary
Lake Wales Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lakeland Christian Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lakeland HS Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Lakewood Ranch Lakewood Ranch   Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lely Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Leon Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lincoln Tallahassee Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Lyman Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Maclay Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Manatee Manatee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Manatee
Mandarin Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Marco Island Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Martin County Martin County   Martin County
Matanzas Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Melbourne Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Melbourne Central Ca Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Menendez Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Merritt Island Lake Mary insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lake Mary
Miami Country Day Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Miami Palmetto Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Milton Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Mitchell Mitchell   Mitchell
Montverde Academy Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Naples Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Navarre Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Nease Nease tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nease
Newberry Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Newsome Newsome tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newsome
Niceville Niceville   Niceville
North Bay Haven Lake Mary   Lake Mary
North Broward Prep Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Northeast St Petersb Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Northside Christian Lake Mary   Lake Mary
NSU University Schoo Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Oak Hall Oak Hall tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oak Hall
Ocoee Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Okeechobee Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Olympia Lake Mary insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Olympic Heights Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Osceola Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Out-of-Door Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Oviedo Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Oxbridge Academy Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Palm Beach Central Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Palm Beach Gardens Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Palm Harbor Universi Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Palmer Trinity Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Palmetto Ridge Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Park Vista Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Pasco Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Paxon Institute Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Pensacola Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Pensacola Catholic Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Pine Crest Pine Crest   Pine Crest
Plant Plant tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Plant
Pompano Beach Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra Ponte Vedra   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Providence School Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades Ransom Everglades  
Rickards Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Riverdale Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Riverside Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Riverview Sarasota Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Robinson Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Rockledge Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Sandalwood Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Santa Fe Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Sarasota HS Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Satellite Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Sebastian River Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Seminole Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Seminole Ridge Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Sickles Lake Mary   Lake Mary
South Fork Lake Mary   Lake Mary
South Lake Lake Mary   Lake Mary
South Plantation Lake Mary   Lake Mary
South Walton South Walton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) South Walton
Spanish River Lake Mary   Lake Mary
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Augustine St Augustine   St Augustine
St Brendan Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
St Cloud Lake Mary tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Lake Mary
St Edwards School St Edwards School tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) St Edwards School
St John Paul II Acad St John Paul II Acad   St John Paul II Acad
St Joseph Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
St Petersburg Cathol Lake Mary   Lake Mary
St Petersburg HS Lake Mary   Lake Mary
St Stephens Episcopa Lake Mary   Lake Mary
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Steinbrenner Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Stoneman Douglas Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Suncoast Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Sunlake Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Tampa Catholic Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Tampa Prep Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Taravella Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Timber Creek Lake Mary tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 3) Lake Mary
Tocoi Creek Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Tohopekaliga Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Trinity Catholic Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Trinity Prep Lake Mary Lake Mary   5- 1 vs 2- 4
University Orlando Lake Mary Lake Mary   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Venice Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Vero Beach Vero Beach   Vero Beach
Viera Lake Mary insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Lake Mary
Village School Naple Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Washington Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Wellington Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Wesley Chapel Lake Mary   Lake Mary
West Boca Raton Lake Mary   Lake Mary
West Broward Lake Mary   Lake Mary
West Florida Lake Mary   Lake Mary
West Orange Lake Mary Lake Mary  
West Shore Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Western Davie Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Westminster Academy Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Westminster Christia Lake Mary insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Mary
Wharton Lake Mary   Lake Mary
Windermere HS Lake Mary insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Lake Mary
Windermere Prep Lake Mary Lake Mary   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Winter Haven Lake Mary tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Mary
Winter Park Winter Park Winter Park  
Winter Springs Lake Mary Lake Mary  
Wiregrass Ranch Lake Mary   Lake Mary

PowerWise = 183


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A West Orange     (12- 6, 84.7)     6- 2      -15.16      20.03       0.29         0.83            16.81
   0 A Lake Brantley   (14- 2, 87.4)     7- 8      -12.48      22.70       0.29         0.83           -10.09
   0 H Winter Springs  ( 9- 5, 80.0)    13- 3      -19.89      15.30      -0.29         0.83            12.42
   0 H Lyman           (10- 7, 77.5)    15- 0      -22.39      12.80      -0.29         0.83            10.35
   0 A Seminole        ( 6-10, 82.3)    11- 2      -17.61      17.58       0.29         0.83            14.78
   0 H Hagerty         ( 1-13, 74.5)    16- 1      -25.38       9.81      -0.29         0.83             7.88
   0 A Lake Highland   ( 8- 2, 89.3)     6- 8      -10.59      24.60       0.29         0.83            -8.52
   0 H East River      ( 6-11, 74.4)    17- 1      -25.49       9.70      -0.29         0.83             7.78
   0 H Montverde Acad  ( 6-11, 85.2)     7- 3      -14.65      20.54      -0.29         0.83            16.75
   0 A Winter Park     (15- 1, 92.4)     4- 8       -7.48      27.71       0.29         0.83            -5.95
   0 H Ransom Evergla  (13- 4, 87.4)     8- 9      -12.52      22.67      -0.29         0.83           -10.60
   0 A Oviedo          (12- 4, 84.4)     6- 3      -15.50      19.69       0.29         0.83            16.53
   0 H Bolles          (17- 0, 94.0)     4-10       -5.87      29.32      -0.29         0.83            -5.09
   0 H Bishop Moore    (10- 4, 95.5)     2-16       -4.41      30.78      -0.29         0.83            -3.89
   0 H Lake Howell     ( 6-10, 75.5)    17- 0      -24.40      10.79      -0.29         0.83             8.69
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        67.84

winning pts = 111.9893 losing points = -44.1446

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------