UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:56 PDT

boys Lafayette 1
  
Lafayette             
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 89.3291

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Cooper ( 4-11, 77.4) 16- 4 310 H DeSales ( 5- 4, 78.8) 12- 6 313 A Walton-Verona ( 6- 9, 78.3) 9- 1 316 H Collins (11- 5, 85.0) 9- 4 318 A Lexington Christian ( 8- 8, 89.1) 8-13 323 H Covington Catholic ( 5- 7, 81.8) 15- 6 327 A Tates Creek ( 7-11, 81.4) 12- 3 331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-15, 68.0) 16- 0 402 H Bryan Station ( 2-11, 73.4) 16- 2 415 H North Hardin ( 1-15, 71.1) 14- 1 420 H Woodford County (18- 1, 97.3) 3-16 423 A Male ( 3- 9, 72.5) 17- 2 428 A Ryle ( 8- 8, 85.7) 11- 7 504 H Lexington Catholic ( 7- 8, 87.7) 18-11 506 A Frederick Douglass ( 9- 8, 89.9) 4-11 507 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 0-15, 68.0) 21- 4 509 N Lexington Christian ( 8- 8, 89.1) 14- 8 511 N Woodford County (18- 1, 97.3) 4-19 513 A South Oldham ( 9- 4, 94.2) 4-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Cooper                 16- 4      12    11           0.00
   310 H DeSales                12- 6       6    11           0.00
   313 A Walton-Verona           9- 1       8    10           0.00
   316 H Collins                 9- 4       5     5           0.09
   318 A Lexington Christian     8-13      -5     0    --    -4.65
   323 H Covington Catholic     15- 6       9     8           0.00
   327 A Tates Creek            12- 3       9     7           0.00
   331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   16- 0      16    21           0.00
   402 H Bryan Station          16- 2      14    16           0.00
   415 H North Hardin           14- 1      13    19           0.00
   420 H Woodford County         3-16     -13    -7           0.00
   423 A Male                   17- 2      15    16           0.00
   428 A Ryle                   11- 7       4     3           0.89
   504 H Lexington Catholic     18-11       7     2    +      2.77
   506 A Frederick Douglass      4-11      -7    -1    -     -3.84
   507 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   21- 4      17    21           0.00
   509 N Lexington Christian    14- 8       6     0    ++     4.78
   511 N Woodford County         4-19     -15    -8           0.00
   513 A South Oldham            4-16     -12    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Lexington Christian     8-13      -5     0    --    -4.65
   506 A Frederick Douglass      4-11      -7    -1    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 N Lexington Christian    14- 8       6     0    ++     4.78
   504 H Lexington Catholic     18-11       7     2    +      2.77

Lafayette PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Lafayette   Lafayette
Atherton Lafayette Lafayette   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Ballard Louisville Lafayette Lafayette   5- 1 vs 2- 3
Bluegrass Lafayette Lafayette   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bowling Green Lafayette tied -  1- 0 Lafayette
Bryan Station Lafayette Lafayette  
Central Hardin Lafayette Lafayette   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo   2- 1 vs 1- 3
Collins Lafayette Lafayette  
Cooper Lafayette Lafayette  
Covington Catholic Lafayette Lafayette  
DeSales Lafayette Lafayette  
Dixie Heights Lafayette tied -  6- 1 Lafayette
DuPont Manual Lafayette Lafayette   4- 0 vs 3- 1
Eastern Eastern Eastern   5- 1 vs 4- 3
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Lafayette Lafayette   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Greenwood Lafayette Lafayette   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay   4- 1 vs 3- 3
Kentucky Country Day Lafayette Lafayette   3- 4 vs 2- 4
Lexington Catholic Lafayette Lafayette  
Lexington Christian Lafayette tied -  5- 2 Lafayette
Louisville Collegiat Lafayette tied -  4- 0 Lafayette
Male Lafayette Lafayette  
North Hardin Lafayette Lafayette  
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham   5- 2 vs 4- 4
Oldham County Lafayette Lafayette   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Owensboro Lafayette   Lafayette
Paul Laurence Dunbar Lafayette Lafayette  
Ryle Lafayette Lafayette  
Sayre Sayre Sayre   6- 1 vs 5- 3
Scott County Lafayette Lafayette   6- 1 vs 2- 5
Shelby County Lafayette Lafayette   7- 1 vs 6- 2
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren Lafayette Lafayette   2- 0 vs 1- 1
St Henry Lafayette Lafayette   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Tates Creek Lafayette Lafayette  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   3- 1 vs 2- 2
Walton-Verona Lafayette Lafayette  
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PairWisePlus = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.95

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cooper          ( 4-11, 77.4)    16- 4      -22.50       9.68       0.56         0.73             7.52
   0 H DeSales         ( 5- 4, 78.8)    12- 6      -21.09      11.09      -0.56         0.73             7.73
   0 A Walton-Verona   ( 6- 9, 78.3)     9- 1      -21.56      10.62       0.56         0.73             8.21
   0 H Collins         (11- 5, 85.0)     9- 4      -14.91      17.26      -0.56         0.73            12.26
   0 A Lexington Chri  ( 8- 8, 89.1)     8-13      -10.79      21.39       0.56         0.73            -7.51
   0 H Covington Cath  ( 5- 7, 81.8)    15- 6      -18.06      14.11      -0.56         0.73             9.95
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 7-11, 81.4)    12- 3      -18.45      13.72       0.56         0.73            10.49
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 0-15, 68.0)    16- 0      -31.91       1.00       0.56         0.73             1.15
   0 H Bryan Station   ( 2-11, 73.4)    16- 2      -26.47       5.70      -0.56         0.73             3.78
   0 H North Hardin    ( 1-15, 71.1)    14- 1      -28.77       3.40      -0.56         0.73             2.09
   0 H Woodford Count  (18- 1, 97.3)     3-16       -2.56      29.61      -0.56         0.73            -2.30
   0 A Male            ( 3- 9, 72.5)    17- 2      -27.39       4.79       0.56         0.73             3.93
   0 A Ryle            ( 8- 8, 85.7)    11- 7      -14.24      17.93       0.56         0.73            13.58
   0 H Lexington Cath  ( 7- 8, 87.7)    18-11      -12.23      19.94      -0.56         0.73            14.23
   0 A Frederick Doug  ( 9- 8, 89.9)     4-11       -9.98      22.20       0.56         0.73            -6.91
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 0-15, 68.0)    21- 4      -31.91       1.00       0.56         0.73             1.15
   0 N Lexington Chri  ( 8- 8, 89.1)    14- 8      -10.79      21.39      -0.00         0.73            15.70
   0 N Woodford Count  (18- 1, 97.3)     4-19       -2.56      29.61      -0.00         0.73            -1.88
   0 A South Oldham    ( 9- 4, 94.2)     4-16       -5.65      26.52       0.56         0.73            -3.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        89.43

winning pts = 111.7644 losing points = -22.3361

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------