UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys Kettle Run 1
  
Kettle Run            
W-L: ( 1- 6) PR = 82.1920

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Lightridge ( 3- 0, 90.3) 3-17 319 H Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1) 13-14 321 H Fluvanna County ( 3- 3, 84.9) 13-14 323 A Orange County ( 1- 2, 80.3) 12- 8 326 A Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 6-16 330 H Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7) 8- 9 331 H Monticello ( 2- 2, 83.6) 5-18 413 A Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7) 415 A Meridian ( 4- 0, 91.3) 420 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 2, 77.8) 424 A Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1) 429 H Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 506 H Tuscarora ( 0- 1, 74.7) 507 H Liberty Bealeton ( 2- 2, 79.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Lightridge              3-17     -14    -8           0.00
   319 H Fauquier               13-14      -1    -3           1.81
   321 H Fluvanna County        13-14      -1    -3           1.65
   323 A Orange County          12- 8       4     2    +      2.23
   326 A Brentsville             6-16     -10    -5          -0.45
   330 H Culpeper County         8- 9      -1     1          -1.60
   331 H Monticello              5-18     -13    -1    -     -3.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Monticello              5-18     -13    -1    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Orange County          12- 8       4     2    +      2.23

Kettle Run Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Kettle Run insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Kettle Run
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County Culpeper County  
Deep Run Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Kettle Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kettle Run
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier  
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County Fluvanna County  
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Franklin County   Franklin County
Fredericksburg Acade Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Highland School Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe   2- 0 vs 0- 2
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Justice Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Kellam Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Landstown   Landstown
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Liberty Bealeton Kettle Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kettle Run
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge  
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Marshall Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Massaponax Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mount Vernon Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Kettle Run   Kettle Run
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Northern VA Home Sch Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Kettle Run Kettle Run  
Osbourn Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Potomac Falls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potomac Falls
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Powhatan Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Kettle Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kettle Run
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Seton School Kettle Run   Kettle Run
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Kettle Run   Kettle Run
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale Thomas Dale   Thomas Dale
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty Kettle Run   Kettle Run
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Kettle Run tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kettle Run
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 47


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lightridge      ( 3- 0, 90.3)     3-17       -9.57      18.19       0.08         0.47            -4.43
   0 H Fauquier        ( 5- 0, 85.1)    13-14      -14.81      12.95      -0.08         0.47            -6.95
   0 H Fluvanna Count  ( 3- 3, 84.9)    13-14      -14.98      12.78      -0.08         0.47            -7.02
   0 A Orange County   ( 1- 2, 80.3)    12- 8      -19.56       8.20       0.08         0.47             3.86
   0 A Brentsville     ( 3- 1, 86.7)     6-16      -13.24      14.52       0.08         0.47            -6.14
   0 H Culpeper Count  ( 2- 3, 81.7)     8- 9      -18.23       9.53      -0.08         0.47            -8.54
   0 H Monticello      ( 2- 2, 83.6)     5-18      -16.31      11.45      -0.08         0.47            -7.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -36.86

winning pts = 3.8618 losing points = -40.7253

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------