Kettle Run
W-L: ( 1- 6) PR = 82.1920
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
317 A Lightridge ( 3- 0, 90.3) 3-17
319 H Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1) 13-14
321 H Fluvanna County ( 3- 3, 84.9) 13-14
323 A Orange County ( 1- 2, 80.3) 12- 8
326 A Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 6-16
330 H Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7) 8- 9
331 H Monticello ( 2- 2, 83.6) 5-18
413 A Culpeper County ( 2- 3, 81.7)
415 A Meridian ( 4- 0, 91.3)
420 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 2, 77.8)
424 A Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1)
429 H Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7)
506 H Tuscarora ( 0- 1, 74.7)
507 H Liberty Bealeton ( 2- 2, 79.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Lightridge 3-17 -14 -8 0.00
319 H Fauquier 13-14 -1 -3 1.81
321 H Fluvanna County 13-14 -1 -3 1.65
323 A Orange County 12- 8 4 2 + 2.23
326 A Brentsville 6-16 -10 -5 -0.45
330 H Culpeper County 8- 9 -1 1 -1.60
331 H Monticello 5-18 -13 -1 - -3.69
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
331 H Monticello 5-18 -13 -1 - -3.69
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
323 A Orange County 12- 8 4 2 + 2.23
|
Kettle Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
Alexandria City |
|
 
| Alexandria City |
| Annandale |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
Bayside |
|
 
| Bayside |
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
 
| Benedictine |
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
 
| Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
Brentsville |
Brentsville |
 
| |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Brooke Point |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
|
 
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
| Cave Spring |
Cave Spring |
|
 
| Cave Spring |
| Centreville |
Centreville |
|
 
| Centreville |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
Kettle Run |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Kettle Run |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
Christiansburg |
|
 
| Christiansburg |
| Clover Hill |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Colgan |
Colgan |
|
 
| Colgan |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
| Colonial Forge |
Colonial Forge |
|
 
| Colonial Forge |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
 
| Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
|
 
| Cox |
| Culpeper County |
Culpeper County |
Culpeper County |
 
| |
| Deep Run |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Dominion |
Dominion |
|
 
| Dominion |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
Kettle Run |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kettle Run |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
Eukarya Christian |
|
 
| Eukarya Christian |
| Fairfax |
Fairfax |
|
 
| Fairfax |
| Falls Church |
Falls Church |
|
 
| Falls Church |
| Fauquier |
Fauquier |
Fauquier |
 
| |
| First Colonial |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fishburne Military A |
Fishburne Military A |
|
 
| Fishburne Military A |
| Flint Hill |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
Fluvanna County |
 
| |
| Forest Park |
Forest Park |
|
 
| Forest Park |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
Franklin County |
|
 
| Franklin County |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
Fredericksburg Chris |
|
 
| Fredericksburg Chris |
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
Freedom Woodbridge |
|
 
| Freedom Woodbridge |
| Gainesville |
Gainesville |
|
 
| Gainesville |
| Gar-field |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
 
| Glen Allen |
| Goochland |
Goochland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Goochland |
| Grafton LC |
Grafton LC |
|
 
| Grafton LC |
| Grassfield LC |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Green Run |
Green Run |
|
 
| Green Run |
| Handley |
Handley |
|
 
| Handley |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
 
| Hanover |
| Hayfield |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Heritage Leesburg |
Heritage Leesburg |
|
 
| Heritage Leesburg |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
Hickory LC |
|
 
| Hickory LC |
| Hidden Valley |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Highland School |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Highland Springs |
Highland Springs |
|
 
| Highland Springs |
| Hylton |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
James Monroe   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Justice |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Kellam |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Kempsville |
Kempsville |
|
 
| Kempsville |
| Lafayette LC |
Lafayette LC |
|
 
| Lafayette LC |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
Landstown |
|
 
| Landstown |
| Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
| Lewis |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Liberty Bealeton |
Kettle Run |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kettle Run |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
Lightridge |
 
| |
| Lloyd C Bird |
Lloyd C Bird |
|
 
| Lloyd C Bird |
| Lord Botetourt |
Lord Botetourt |
|
 
| Lord Botetourt |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Marshall |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Massaponax |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Matoaca |
Matoaca |
|
 
| Matoaca |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
Mechanicsville |
|
 
| Mechanicsville |
| Menchville LC |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Monacan |
Monacan |
|
 
| Monacan |
| Monticello |
Monticello |
Monticello |
 
| |
| Mount Vernon |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
 
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
| New Covenant School |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
Norfolk Christian |
|
 
| Norfolk Christian |
| Norfolk Collegiate |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
Ocean Lakes |
|
 
| Ocean Lakes |
| Orange County |
Kettle Run |
Kettle Run |
 
| |
| Osbourn |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Osbourn Park |
Osbourn Park |
|
 
| Osbourn Park |
| Park View |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
Patriot |
|
 
| Patriot |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
Potomac Falls |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Potomac Falls |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
| Potomac-Dumfries |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Powhatan |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Princess Anne |
Princess Anne |
|
 
| Princess Anne |
| Riverbend |
Riverbend |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Riverbend |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
Kettle Run |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kettle Run |
| Rockbridge County |
Rockbridge County |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rockbridge County |
| Rockingham LC |
Rockingham LC |
|
 
| Rockingham LC |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Seton School |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| South County |
South County |
|
 
| South County |
| South Lakes |
South Lakes |
|
 
| South Lakes |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
Stafford |
|
 
| Stafford |
| Steward School |
Steward School |
|
 
| Steward School |
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
Strasburg LC |
|
 
| Strasburg LC |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Tandem Friends |
Tandem Friends |
|
 
| Tandem Friends |
| Thomas Dale |
Thomas Dale |
|
 
| Thomas Dale |
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
 
| Thomas Jefferson |
| Trinity Christian |
Trinity Christian |
|
 
| Trinity Christian |
| Trinity Episcopal |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Trinity Meadow View |
Trinity Meadow View |
|
 
| Trinity Meadow View |
| Tuscarora |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Unity Reed |
Unity Reed |
|
 
| Unity Reed |
| Veritas School |
Veritas School |
|
 
| Veritas School |
| Virginia Academy |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Virginia Episcopal S |
Virginia Episcopal S |
|
 
| Virginia Episcopal S |
| Wakefield HS |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| Wakefield School |
Wakefield School |
|
 
| Wakefield School |
| Washington-Liberty |
Kettle Run |
|
 
| Kettle Run |
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
William Fleming |
|
 
| William Fleming |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
 
| Woodberry Forest |
| Woodbridge |
Kettle Run |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Kettle Run |
| Woodgrove |
Woodgrove |
|
 
| Woodgrove |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
| York LC |
York LC |
|
 
| York LC |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PowerWise = 47

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lightridge ( 3- 0, 90.3) 3-17 -9.57 18.19 0.08 0.47 -4.43
0 H Fauquier ( 5- 0, 85.1) 13-14 -14.81 12.95 -0.08 0.47 -6.95
0 H Fluvanna Count ( 3- 3, 84.9) 13-14 -14.98 12.78 -0.08 0.47 -7.02
0 A Orange County ( 1- 2, 80.3) 12- 8 -19.56 8.20 0.08 0.47 3.86
0 A Brentsville ( 3- 1, 86.7) 6-16 -13.24 14.52 0.08 0.47 -6.14
0 H Culpeper Count ( 2- 3, 81.7) 8- 9 -18.23 9.53 -0.08 0.47 -8.54
0 H Monticello ( 2- 2, 83.6) 5-18 -16.31 11.45 -0.08 0.47 -7.65
------
-36.86
|
winning pts = 3.8618 losing points = -40.7253
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------