UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Kettle Run 1
  
Kettle Run            
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 76.5312

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 3-17 319 H Fauquier (12- 2, 80.9) 13-14 321 H Fluvanna County ( 7- 6, 79.3) 13-14 323 A Orange County ( 3-10, 74.2) 12- 8 326 A Brentsville (11- 2, 81.7) 6-16 330 H Culpeper County ( 6- 8, 76.8) 8- 9 331 H Monticello ( 3-10, 77.8) 5-18 413 A Culpeper County ( 6- 8, 76.8) 6-13 415 A Meridian (14- 0, 86.1) 5-16 424 A Fauquier (12- 2, 80.9) 5- 8 506 H Tuscarora ( 0-10, 70.8) 17- 7 507 H Liberty Bealeton ( 3- 9, 73.7) 19- 3 511 H Brentsville (11- 2, 81.7) 4-10 514 H Rock Ridge ( 0- 8, 72.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Lightridge              3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   319 H Fauquier               13-14      -1    -4    +      2.88
   321 H Fluvanna County        13-14      -1    -2           1.33
   323 A Orange County          12- 8       4     2    +      2.10
   326 A Brentsville             6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   330 H Culpeper County         8- 9      -1     0          -1.16
   331 H Monticello              5-18     -13    -1    --    -4.15
   413 A Culpeper County         6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.25
   415 A Meridian                5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   424 A Fauquier                5- 8      -3    -5           1.78
   506 H Tuscarora              17- 7      10     6           0.00
   507 H Liberty  Bealeton      19- 3      16     3           1.68
   511 H Brentsville             4-10      -6    -5          -0.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Monticello              5-18     -13    -1    --    -4.15
   413 A Culpeper County         6-13      -7    -1    --    -4.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Fauquier               13-14      -1    -4    +      2.88
   323 A Orange County          12- 8       4     2    +      2.10

Kettle Run PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle Albemarle   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied -  0- 1 Alexandria City
Annandale Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell tied -  0- 1 Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville Brentsville  
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Broad Run Broad Run tied -  1- 2 Broad Run
Brooke Point Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville Kettle Run Kettle Run   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Colgan Colgan tied -  0- 1 Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County Culpeper County  
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion tied -  1- 1 Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Kettle Run Kettle Run   2- 1 vs 0- 3
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison   Edison
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax tied -  0- 1 Fairfax
Falls Church Falls Church   Falls Church
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier  
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County Fluvanna County  
Forest Park Forest Park tied -  0- 2 Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Fredericksburg Acade Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied -  0- 2 Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland Goochland   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Handley Handley tied -  1- 0 Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield   Hayfield
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 2 Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Highland School Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe James Monroe   4- 0 vs 1- 3
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe John Champe tied -  1- 2 John Champe
Justice Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Liberty Bealeton Kettle Run Kettle Run  
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge  
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied -  1- 1 Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley tied -  0- 2 Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Marshall Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Massaponax Kettle Run Kettle Run   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Meridian Meridian Meridian  
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Monticello Monticello Monticello  
Mount Vernon Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Northern VA Home Sch Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Orange County Kettle Run Kettle Run  
Osbourn Kettle Run Kettle Run   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Osbourn Park Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Park View Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot tied -  0- 1 Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Kettle Run tied -  0- 2 Kettle Run
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Powhatan Powhatan Powhatan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend tied -  1- 0 Riverbend
Riverside Riverside Riverside   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Kettle Run tied -  0- 2 Kettle Run
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford tied -  1- 0 Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Tandem Friends Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Thomas Dale Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Thomas Jefferson Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Kettle Run Kettle Run  
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Kettle Run tied -  1- 0 Kettle Run
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Wakefield School Kettle Run   Kettle Run
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied -  1- 1 Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 45


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lightridge      (12- 2, 86.0)     3-17      -13.87      23.08       0.45         0.88           -11.85
   0 H Fauquier        (12- 2, 80.9)    13-14      -19.04      17.91      -0.45         0.88           -17.21
   0 H Fluvanna Count  ( 7- 6, 79.3)    13-14      -20.58      16.36      -0.45         0.88           -18.58
   0 A Orange County   ( 3-10, 74.2)    12- 8      -25.72      11.22       0.45         0.88            10.31
   0 A Brentsville     (11- 2, 81.7)     6-16      -18.16      18.78       0.45         0.88           -15.64
   0 H Culpeper Count  ( 6- 8, 76.8)     8- 9      -23.07      13.87      -0.45         0.88           -20.78
   0 H Monticello      ( 3-10, 77.8)     5-18      -22.07      14.88      -0.45         0.88           -19.89
   0 A Culpeper Count  ( 6- 8, 76.8)     6-13      -23.07      13.87       0.45         0.88           -19.98
   0 A Meridian        (14- 0, 86.1)     5-16      -13.80      23.15       0.45         0.88           -11.78
   0 A Fauquier        (12- 2, 80.9)     5- 8      -19.04      17.91       0.45         0.88           -16.41
   0 H Tuscarora       ( 0-10, 70.8)    17- 7      -29.12       7.82      -0.45         0.88             6.51
   0 H Liberty  Beale  ( 3- 9, 73.7)    19- 3      -26.24      10.71      -0.45         0.88             9.06
   0 H Brentsville     (11- 2, 81.7)     4-10      -18.16      18.78      -0.45         0.88           -16.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -142.68

winning pts = 25.8746 losing points = -168.5571

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------