UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Kentucky Country Day 1
  
Kentucky Country Day  
W-L: ( 4- 3) PR = 92.7774

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Frederick Douglass ( 4- 6, 91.6) 8- 9 308 H Trinity Louisville ( 4- 1, 98.2) 6-15 310 H Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8) 7-18 319 H Ballard Louisville ( 2- 7, 81.8) 18- 2 325 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9) 9- 6 327 H Walton-Verona ( 3- 4, 83.2) 14- 2 331 A Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 1, 87.3) 11- 4 415 A North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 422 H Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 424 A Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 427 H Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8) 428 A DuPont Manual ( 1- 4, 83.1) 430 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 5- 2, 95.5) 505 H South Oldham ( 4- 2, 93.9) 506 H Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Frederick Douglass      8- 9      -1     1          -1.92
   308 H Trinity Louisville      6-15      -9    -5           0.00
   310 H Sayre                   7-18     -11    -5          -0.21
   319 H Ballard Louisville     18- 2      16    11           0.00
   325 A Lexington Catholic      9- 6       3     1    +      2.32
   327 H Walton-Verona          14- 2      12    10           0.00
   331 A Louisville Collegiat   11- 4       7     5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Lexington Catholic      9- 6       3     1    +      2.32

Kentucky Country Day Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Atherton Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Ballard Louisville Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Bluegrass Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Bowling Green Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky Country Day
Bryan Station Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Central Hardin Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky Country Day
Cooper Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Covington Catholic Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
DeSales Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Dixie Heights Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
DuPont Manual Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Eastern Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Kentucky Country Day
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Kentucky Country Day
Greenwood Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Henry Clay Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Henry Clay
Lafayette Kentucky Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Kentucky Country Day
Lexington Catholic Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiat Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Male Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
North Hardin Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
North Oldham North Oldham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Oldham
Oldham County Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Owensboro Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Paul Laurence Dunbar Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
Ryle Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Kentucky Country Day
Sayre Sayre Sayre  
Scott County Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Kentucky Country Day
Shelby County Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Kentucky Country Day
South Oldham South Oldham insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) South Oldham
South Warren Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
St Henry Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Kentucky Country Day   Kentucky Country Day
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Frederick Doug  ( 4- 6, 91.6)     8- 9       -8.28      21.98       0.24         0.93            -7.49
   0 H Trinity Louisv  ( 4- 1, 98.2)     6-15       -1.66      28.60      -0.24         0.93            -1.77
   0 H Sayre           ( 6- 1, 97.8)     7-18       -2.09      28.17      -0.24         0.93            -2.17
   0 H Ballard Louisv  ( 2- 7, 81.8)    18- 2      -18.14      12.12      -0.24         0.93            11.08
   0 A Lexington Cath  ( 3- 3, 91.9)     9- 6       -8.04      22.22       0.24         0.93            20.93
   0 H Walton-Verona   ( 3- 4, 83.2)    14- 2      -16.66      13.60      -0.24         0.93            12.45
   0 A Louisville Col  ( 6- 1, 87.3)    11- 4      -12.56      17.70       0.24         0.93            16.72
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        49.74

winning pts = 61.1780 losing points = -11.4372

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------