UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Thomas Jefferson 1
  
Thomas Jefferson      
W-L: ( 5- 4) PR = 75.4320

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A West Springfield ( 9- 6, 84.3) 1-15 414 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 6, 72.7) 4- 2 415 A Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 3-14 420 A Hayfield ( 6- 6, 78.6) 4- 8 425 A Edison ( 9- 2, 79.2) 1-15 429 H Justice ( 2- 8, 70.5) 10- 1 504 H Falls Church ( 6- 4, 76.9) 6- 4 507 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 72.3) 7- 6 511 H Lewis ( 1-10, 68.1) 10- 1 514 H Justice ( 2- 8, 70.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A West Springfield        1-15     -14    -9           0.00
   414 A Mount Vernon            4- 2       2     2          -0.31
   415 A Lightridge              3-14     -11   -11           0.00
   420 A Hayfield                4- 8      -4    -4          -0.41
   425 A Edison                  1-15     -14    -4          -0.78
   429 H Justice                10- 1       9     5           0.00
   504 H Falls Church            6- 4       2    -1    +      3.06
   507 A Annandale               7- 6       1     3          -1.70
   511 H Lewis                  10- 1       9     8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Falls Church            6- 4       2    -1    +      3.06

Thomas Jefferson PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City tied -  3- 1 Alexandria City
Annandale Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell tied -  0- 1 Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville tied -  0- 1 Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run tied -  0- 1 Broad Run
Brooke Point Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville Centreville   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Chantilly Chantilly Chantilly   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Charlottesville Charlottesville   Charlottesville
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Culpeper County   Culpeper County
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Edison Edison  
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax tied -  1- 1 Fairfax
Falls Church Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Fredericksburg Acade Fredericksburg Acade   Fredericksburg Acade
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin tied -  0- 1 Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Grafton LC   Grafton LC
Grassfield LC Grassfield LC   Grassfield LC
Green Run Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Hayfield Hayfield  
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon Herndon   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Highland School Highland School   Highland School
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton Hylton   Hylton
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe John Champe tied -  0- 1 John Champe
Justice Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run Kettle Run tied -  0- 1 Kettle Run
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Landstown Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Liberty Bealeton Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge  
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County tied -  0- 1 Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley Loudoun Valley tied -  0- 1 Loudoun Valley
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Marshall Thomas Jefferson tied -  1- 1 Thomas Jefferson
Massaponax Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School New Covenant School   New Covenant School
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Norfolk Collegiate   Norfolk Collegiate
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Northern VA Home Sch Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Osbourn Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Osbourn Park Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Park View Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Thomas Jefferson tied -  1- 1 Thomas Jefferson
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Powhatan Powhatan   Powhatan
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside Riverside   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Robinson Robinson Robinson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rock Ridge Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC Rockingham LC   Rockingham LC
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Seton School Seton School   Seton School
South County South County South County   1- 1 vs 0- 2
South Lakes South Lakes tied -  1- 0 South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School Steward School   Steward School
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Tandem Friends Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas Dale Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian tied -  1- 0 Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal Trinity Episcopal   Trinity Episcopal
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy Virginia Academy   Virginia Academy
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Wakefield School Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   1- 0 vs 0- 1
West Potomac West Potomac West Potomac   1- 0 vs 0- 1
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield  
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield Westfield   1- 1 vs 0- 2
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Woodgrove Woodgrove tied -  0- 1 Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson Woodson   1- 0 vs 0- 1
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown   1- 0 vs 0- 1

PairWisePlus = 37


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A West Springfie  ( 9- 6, 84.3)     1-15      -15.62      21.33       0.45         1.28           -19.34
   0 A Mount Vernon    ( 5- 6, 72.7)     4- 2      -27.23       9.71       0.45         1.28            12.97
   0 A Lightridge      (12- 2, 86.0)     3-14      -13.87      23.08       0.45         1.28           -17.11
   0 A Hayfield        ( 6- 6, 78.6)     4- 8      -21.33      15.62       0.45         1.28           -26.63
   0 A Edison          ( 9- 2, 79.2)     1-15      -20.70      16.24       0.45         1.28           -25.83
   0 H Justice         ( 2- 8, 70.5)    10- 1      -29.39       7.55      -0.45         1.28             9.06
   0 H Falls Church    ( 6- 4, 76.9)     6- 4      -22.96      13.99      -0.45         1.28            17.27
   0 A Annandale       ( 3- 9, 72.3)     7- 6      -27.62       9.32       0.45         1.28            12.47
   0 H Lewis           ( 1-10, 68.1)    10- 1      -31.83       5.12      -0.45         1.28             5.95
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -31.20

winning pts = 57.7122 losing points = -88.9103

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------