UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:07 PDT

boys Johns Creek 1
  
Johns Creek           
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 87.9926

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Denmark ( 3-10, 84.3) 15- 3 213 A Lassiter (12- 1, 96.5) 1-21 217 H Roswell (11- 0, 99.9) 0-21 225 H Creekview ( 7- 9, 87.8) 5-10 227 H North Oconee ( 7- 6, 86.6) 16- 8 302 H Lakeside-DeKalb ( 3- 9, 81.1) 13- 4 307 H Centennial ( 8- 4, 89.1) 5- 9 309 H Woodstock ( 6- 9, 87.2) 12- 8 316 A Alpharetta ( 3-10, 83.0) 17- 6 320 A Midtown ( 7- 6, 85.3) 14- 9 325 A North Forsyth (10- 4, 88.5) 9-11 327 A Pace Academy ( 7- 4, 90.8) 8-13 331 H River Ridge ( 6- 7, 86.4) 8- 5 414 A Etowah ( 7- 6, 87.7) 417 H Chamblee Charter ( 6- 6, 82.5) 421 H Chattahoochee ( 3-12, 78.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Denmark                15- 3      12     4           1.44
   213 A Lassiter                1-21     -20    -9           0.00
   217 H Roswell                 0-21     -21   -12           0.00
   225 H Creekview               5-10      -5     0    --    -5.35
   227 H North Oconee           16- 8       8     2    +      3.48
   302 H Lakeside-DeKalb        13- 4       9     7           0.00
   307 H Centennial              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.04
   309 H Woodstock              12- 8       4     1    +      3.05
   316 A Alpharetta             17- 6      11     5           0.19
   320 A Midtown                14- 9       5     3    +      2.43
   325 A North Forsyth           9-11      -2    -1          -1.34
   327 A Pace Academy            8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.01
   331 H River Ridge             8- 5       3     2           1.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Creekview               5-10      -5     0    --    -5.35
   307 H Centennial              5- 9      -4    -1    -     -3.04
   327 A Pace Academy            8-13      -5    -3    -     -2.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H North Oconee           16- 8       8     2    +      3.48
   309 H Woodstock              12- 8       4     1    +      3.05
   320 A Midtown                14- 9       5     3    +      2.43

Johns Creek Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allatoona Allatoona   Allatoona
Alpharetta Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Archer Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Benedictine Military Benedictine Military tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Benedictine Military
Blessed Trinity Blessed Trinity insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Blessed Trinity
Bremen Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Brookwood Johns Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Buford Buford tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Buford
Calvary Day Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Cambridge Cambridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Cambridge
Campbell Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Johns Creek
Carrollton Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Centennial Centennial Centennial  
Chamblee Charter Johns Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Johns Creek
Chattahoochee Johns Creek Johns Creek   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Cherokee Johns Creek insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Johns Creek
Cherokee Bluff Johns Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Johns Creek
Collins Hill Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Creekview Creekview Creekview  
Dacula Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Dalton Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Darlington Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Decatur Decatur tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Decatur
Denmark Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Druid Hills Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Duluth Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Dunwoody Johns Creek tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Johns Creek
Dutchtown Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Eagles Landing Chris Johns Creek   Johns Creek
East Coweta Johns Creek   Johns Creek
East Forsyth Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Johns Creek
East Paulding Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Effingham County Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Etowah Johns Creek tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Johns Creek
Evans Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Fayette County Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Fellowship Christian Fellowship Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Fellowship Christian
Flowery Branch Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Forsyth Central Johns Creek Johns Creek   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Gainesville Johns Creek   Johns Creek
George Walton Academ Johns Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Johns Creek
Grayson Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Greater Atlanta Chri Johns Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Johns Creek
Greenbrier Johns Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Grovetown Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Harrison Harrison tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Harrison
Hebron Christian Hebron Christian insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Hebron Christian
Hillgrove Hillgrove insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hillgrove
Holy Innocents Holy Innocents tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Holy Innocents
Islands Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Jackson Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Jackson County Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Johnson Savannah Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Kell Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Kennesaw Mountain Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Kings Ridge Christia Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Lakeside-DeKalb Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Lakeside-Evans Johns Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Lambert Lambert insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lambert
Lanier Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Lassiter Lassiter Lassiter  
Lovett Lovett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lovett
Marietta Marietta tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Marietta
Marist Marist insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Marist
Mays Johns Creek   Johns Creek
McEachern Johns Creek   Johns Creek
McIntosh Johns Creek Johns Creek   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Midtown Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Mill Creek Mill Creek tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mill Creek
Milton Milton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Milton
Mount Bethel Christi Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Mount Paran Christia Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Johns Creek
Mount Pisgah Christi Johns Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Mount Vernon Presbyt Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Mountain View Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Newnan Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Norcross Johns Creek   Johns Creek
North Atlanta Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Johns Creek
North Cobb Johns Creek Johns Creek   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Cobb Christian Johns Creek   Johns Creek
North Forsyth North Forsyth North Forsyth  
North Gwinnett Johns Creek tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Johns Creek
North Oconee Johns Creek Johns Creek  
North Paulding North Paulding insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) North Paulding
North Springs Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Northgate Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Northview Johns Creek tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Oconee County Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Ola Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Pace Academy Pace Academy Pace Academy  
Parkview Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Peachtree Ridge Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Pope Pope tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) Pope
Richmond Hill Johns Creek   Johns Creek
River Ridge Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Riverwood Johns Creek insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Johns Creek
Roswell Roswell Roswell  
Savannah Christian Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Savannah Country Day Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Seckinger Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Sequoyah Johns Creek Johns Creek   4- 2 vs 1- 5
South Effingham Johns Creek   Johns Creek
South Forsyth South Forsyth South Forsyth   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Southwest DeKalb Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Sprayberry Johns Creek   Johns Creek
St Pius X Johns Creek insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Johns Creek
Starrs Mill Starrs Mill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Starrs Mill
Strong Rock Christia Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Trinity Christian Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Union Grove Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Johns Creek
Walker School Johns Creek   Johns Creek
Walton Walton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Walton
Wesleyan School Wesleyan School   Wesleyan School
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Westminster Westminster insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westminster
Wheeler Johns Creek tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Johns Creek
Whitefield Academy Johns Creek insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Johns Creek
Whitewater Whitewater tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Whitewater
Woodstock Johns Creek Johns Creek  
Woodward Academy Johns Creek   Johns Creek

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Denmark         ( 3-10, 84.3)    15- 3      -15.62      20.86       0.16         0.84            17.72
   0 A Lassiter        (12- 1, 96.5)     1-21       -3.40      33.08       0.16         0.84            -2.73
   0 H Roswell         (11- 0, 99.9)     0-21       -0.00      36.49      -0.16         0.84            -0.13
   0 H Creekview       ( 7- 9, 87.8)     5-10      -12.10      24.39      -0.16         0.84           -10.33
   0 H North Oconee    ( 7- 6, 86.6)    16- 8      -13.27      23.22      -0.16         0.84            19.44
   0 H Lakeside-DeKal  ( 3- 9, 81.1)    13- 4      -18.82      17.67      -0.16         0.84            14.76
   0 H Centennial      ( 8- 4, 89.1)     5- 9      -10.79      25.70      -0.16         0.84            -9.23
   0 H Woodstock       ( 6- 9, 87.2)    12- 8      -12.70      23.78      -0.16         0.84            19.91
   0 A Alpharetta      ( 3-10, 83.0)    17- 6      -16.88      19.61       0.16         0.84            16.66
   0 A Midtown         ( 7- 6, 85.3)    14- 9      -14.64      21.85       0.16         0.84            18.55
   0 A North Forsyth   (10- 4, 88.5)     9-11      -11.41      25.08       0.16         0.84            -9.48
   0 A Pace Academy    ( 7- 4, 90.8)     8-13       -9.08      27.41       0.16         0.84            -7.52
   0 H River Ridge     ( 6- 7, 86.4)     8- 5      -13.49      22.99      -0.16         0.84            19.25
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        86.87

winning pts = 126.2966 losing points = -39.4279

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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