UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Saginaw Heritage 1
  
Saginaw Heritage      
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 86.0467

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Bay City Western ( 5- 8, 79.8) 13- 7 407 A Bay City Central ( 9- 3, 81.6) 15- 7 409 A Midland ( 1- 8, 81.3) 13- 3 410 A Swartz Creek ( 2-10, 76.0) 17- 3 414 H Lapeer ( 0- 6, 75.8) 19- 4 416 H Davison ( 5- 6, 78.9) 16- 6 418 A Lake Orion ( 9- 1, 89.8) 6-15 421 H Grand Blanc ( 7- 3, 86.1) 10-11 423 A Bay City Western ( 5- 8, 79.8) 18- 3 425 H Haslett-Williamston ( 7- 4, 88.0) 7- 8 428 A Flint Powers ( 5- 4, 83.3) 430 A Midland Dow ( 7- 1, 88.9) 505 H DeWitt ( 3- 8, 84.3) 508 A Caledonia ( 8- 2, 93.1) 509 A South Lyon Unified ( 7- 4, 87.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Bay City Western       13- 7       6     6           0.00
   407 A Bay City Central       15- 7       8     4           0.94
   409 A Midland                13- 3      10     4           0.64
   410 A Swartz Creek           17- 3      14    10           0.00
   414 H Lapeer                 19- 4      15    11           0.00
   416 H Davison                16- 6      10     7           0.00
   418 A Lake Orion              6-15      -9    -4          -0.81
   421 H Grand Blanc            10-11      -1     0          -1.36
   423 A Bay City Western       18- 3      15     6           0.00
   425 H Haslett-Williamston     7- 8      -1    -2           0.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Saginaw Heritage PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Allen Park Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Anchor Bay Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Ann Arbor Father Gab Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Ann Arbor Greenhills Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Ann Arbor Huron Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer   Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Bay City Central Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Bay City John Glenn Saginaw Heritage tied -  3- 0 Saginaw Heritage
Bay City Western Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Bedford Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Belleville Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Birmingham United Birmingham United tied -  0- 1 Birmingham United
Birmingham United B Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Bishop Foley Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Bloomfield Hills Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Brother Rice Brother Rice   Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange Brother Rice Orange   Brother Rice Orange
Brownstown Woodhaven Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Cadillac Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Cass Tech Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Chelsea Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Chippewa Valley Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Coopersville Coopersville   Coopersville
Cranbrook Cranbrook   Cranbrook
Dakota Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 2 Saginaw Heritage
Davison Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
De La Salle De La Salle   De La Salle
Detroit Catholic Cen Detroit Catholic Cen   Detroit Catholic Cen
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Dexter Dexter Dexter   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
East Lansing East Lansing   East Lansing
Farmington Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Fenton Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Flint Powers Saginaw Heritage tied -  3- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Eastern Forest Hills Eastern   Forest Hills Eastern
Forest Hills Norther Forest Hills Norther   Forest Hills Norther
Goodrich/Lake Fenton Saginaw Heritage tied -  4- 0 Saginaw Heritage
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc Grand Blanc  
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grand Rapids Catholi Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Grand Rapids Christi Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Ile Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Grosse Pointe North Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Harper Creek Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Hartland Hartland tied -  1- 0 Hartland
Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston Haslett-Williamston  
Henry Ford II Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Holland Christian Holland Christian   Holland Christian
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holt Holt Holt   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Howell Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jackson Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Jenison Jenison Jenison   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kalamazoo United Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Kenowa Hills Kenowa Hills   Kenowa Hills
L'Anse Creuse Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
L'Anse Creuse North Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion  
Lake Shore Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Lakeview Lakeview tied -  0- 1 Lakeview
Lansing Catholic Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Lapeer Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Lincoln Ypsilanti Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Linden Saginaw Heritage tied -  1- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Livonia United Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Lowell Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Midland Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Midland Dow Midland Dow tied -  4- 0 Midland Dow
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Saginaw Heritage tied -  0- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Novi Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Okemos Okemos Okemos   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Orchard Lake St Mary Orchard Lake St Mary   Orchard Lake St Mary
Ortonville Brandon Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Oxford Saginaw Heritage tied -  1- 1 Saginaw Heritage
Pennfield Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Petoskey Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   1- 0 vs 0- 0
Pinckney Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Plymouth Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Port Huron United Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Portage Central Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Portage Northern Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Reeths Puffer Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Riverview Gabriel Ri Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Rochester Adams Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Rochester HS Saginaw Heritage tied -  1- 0 Saginaw Heritage
Rochester Stoney Cre Rochester Stoney Cre   Rochester Stoney Cre
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Romeo Romeo tied -  0- 1 Romeo
Royal Oak HS Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Royal Oak Shrine Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Salem Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Saline Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Sault Area Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Lyon Unified South Lyon Unified   South Lyon Unified
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Clair Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   1- 1 vs 0- 2
St Mary Catholic Cen Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Swartz Creek Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Tecumseh Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Traverse City Centra Traverse City Centra tied -  1- 0 Traverse City Centra
Traverse City West Traverse City West   Traverse City West
Troy Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Troy Athens Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
University Detroit J Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Vicksburg Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Walled Lake Northern Walled Lake Northern   Walled Lake Northern
Walled Lake Western Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Waterford United Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
West Bloomfield Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 1- 1
White Lake Lakeland Saginaw Heritage   Saginaw Heritage
Zeeland Zeeland   Zeeland

PairWisePlus = 83


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 5- 8, 79.8)    13- 7      -20.11       8.60       0.39         0.89             8.00
   0 A Bay City Centr  ( 9- 3, 81.6)    15- 7      -18.31      10.41       0.39         0.89             9.61
   0 A Midland         ( 1- 8, 81.3)    13- 3      -18.60      10.11       0.39         0.89             9.35
   0 A Swartz Creek    ( 2-10, 76.0)    17- 3      -23.85       4.86       0.39         0.89             4.67
   0 H Lapeer          ( 0- 6, 75.8)    19- 4      -24.08       4.63      -0.39         0.89             3.78
   0 H Davison         ( 5- 6, 78.9)    16- 6      -20.95       7.76      -0.39         0.89             6.56
   0 A Lake Orion      ( 9- 1, 89.8)     6-15      -10.05      18.66       0.39         0.89            -8.60
   0 H Grand Blanc     ( 7- 3, 86.1)    10-11      -13.82      14.89      -0.39         0.89           -12.65
   0 A Bay City Weste  ( 5- 8, 79.8)    18- 3      -20.11       8.60       0.39         0.89             8.00
   0 H Haslett-Willia  ( 7- 4, 88.0)     7- 8      -11.88      16.83      -0.39         0.89           -10.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.79

winning pts = 49.9737 losing points = -32.1808

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------