Saginaw Heritage
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 86.0467
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
325 A Bay City Western ( 5- 8, 79.8) 13- 7
407 A Bay City Central ( 9- 3, 81.6) 15- 7
409 A Midland ( 1- 8, 81.3) 13- 3
410 A Swartz Creek ( 2-10, 76.0) 17- 3
414 H Lapeer ( 0- 6, 75.8) 19- 4
416 H Davison ( 5- 6, 78.9) 16- 6
418 A Lake Orion ( 9- 1, 89.8) 6-15
421 H Grand Blanc ( 7- 3, 86.1) 10-11
423 A Bay City Western ( 5- 8, 79.8) 18- 3
425 H Haslett-Williamston ( 7- 4, 88.0) 7- 8
428 A Flint Powers ( 5- 4, 83.3)
430 A Midland Dow ( 7- 1, 88.9)
505 H DeWitt ( 3- 8, 84.3)
508 A Caledonia ( 8- 2, 93.1)
509 A South Lyon Unified ( 7- 4, 87.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
325 A Bay City Western 13- 7 6 6 0.00
407 A Bay City Central 15- 7 8 4 0.94
409 A Midland 13- 3 10 4 0.64
410 A Swartz Creek 17- 3 14 10 0.00
414 H Lapeer 19- 4 15 11 0.00
416 H Davison 16- 6 10 7 0.00
418 A Lake Orion 6-15 -9 -4 -0.81
421 H Grand Blanc 10-11 -1 0 -1.36
423 A Bay City Western 18- 3 15 6 0.00
425 H Haslett-Williamston 7- 8 -1 -2 0.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Saginaw Heritage PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Allen Park |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Anchor Bay |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Ann Arbor Father Gab |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Ann Arbor Greenhills |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Ann Arbor Huron |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer |
Ann Arbor Pioneer |
|
 
| Ann Arbor Pioneer |
| Ann Arbor Skyline |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Bay City Central |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| Bay City John Glenn |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Bay City Western |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| Bedford |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Belleville |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Birmingham United |
Birmingham United |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Birmingham United |
| Birmingham United B |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Bishop Foley |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Bloomfield Hills |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Brighton |
Brighton |
|
 
| Brighton |
| Brighton B |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Brother Rice |
Brother Rice |
|
 
| Brother Rice |
| Brother Rice Orange |
Brother Rice Orange |
|
 
| Brother Rice Orange |
| Brownstown Woodhaven |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Byron Center |
Byron Center |
|
 
| Byron Center |
| Cadillac |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Caledonia |
Caledonia |
|
 
| Caledonia |
| Canton |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Cass Tech |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Chelsea |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Chippewa Valley |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Clarkston |
Clarkston |
|
 
| Clarkston |
| Coopersville |
Coopersville |
|
 
| Coopersville |
| Cranbrook |
Cranbrook |
|
 
| Cranbrook |
| Dakota |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Davison |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| De La Salle |
De La Salle |
|
 
| De La Salle |
| Detroit Catholic Cen |
Detroit Catholic Cen |
|
 
| Detroit Catholic Cen |
| Detroit Country Day |
Detroit Country Day |
|
 
| Detroit Country Day |
| DeWitt |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Dexter |
Dexter |
|
Dexter   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Divine Child |
Divine Child |
|
 
| Divine Child |
| East Grand Rapids |
East Grand Rapids |
|
 
| East Grand Rapids |
| East Kentwood |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| East Lansing |
East Lansing |
|
 
| East Lansing |
| Farmington |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Fenton |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Flint Powers |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  3- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Forest Hills Central |
Forest Hills Central |
|
 
| Forest Hills Central |
| Forest Hills Eastern |
Forest Hills Eastern |
|
 
| Forest Hills Eastern |
| Forest Hills Norther |
Forest Hills Norther |
|
 
| Forest Hills Norther |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  4- 0 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Grand Blanc |
Grand Blanc |
Grand Blanc |
 
| |
| Grand Haven |
Grand Haven |
|
 
| Grand Haven |
| Grand Ledge |
Grand Ledge |
|
Grand Ledge   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Grand Rapids Catholi |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Grand Rapids Christi |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Grandville |
Grandville |
|
 
| Grandville |
| Grosse Ile |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Grosse Pointe North |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Grosse Pointe South |
Grosse Pointe South |
|
Grosse Pointe South   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Harper Creek |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Hartland |
Hartland |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Hartland |
| Haslett-Williamston |
Haslett-Williamston |
Haslett-Williamston |
 
| |
| Henry Ford II |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Holland Christian |
Holland Christian |
|
 
| Holland Christian |
| Holland West Ottawa |
Holland West Ottawa |
|
 
| Holland West Ottawa |
| Holt |
Holt |
|
Holt   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Howell |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Hudsonville |
Hudsonville |
|
 
| Hudsonville |
| Jackson |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Jenison |
Jenison |
|
Jenison   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Kalamazoo United |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Kenowa Hills |
Kenowa Hills |
|
 
| Kenowa Hills |
| L'Anse Creuse |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| L'Anse Creuse North |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Lake Orion |
Lake Orion |
Lake Orion |
 
| |
| Lake Shore |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Lakeview |
Lakeview |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Lakeview |
| Lansing Catholic |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Lapeer |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| Lincoln Ypsilanti |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Linden |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Livonia United |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Lowell |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Mattawan |
Mattawan |
|
 
| Mattawan |
| Midland |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| Midland Dow |
Midland Dow |
|
tied -  4- 0 |
Midland Dow |
| Mona Shores |
Mona Shores |
|
 
| Mona Shores |
| Northview |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Northville |
Northville |
|
 
| Northville |
| Notre Dame Prep |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Novi |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Okemos |
Okemos |
|
Okemos   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Orchard Lake St Mary |
Orchard Lake St Mary |
|
 
| Orchard Lake St Mary |
| Ortonville Brandon |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Oxford |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Pennfield |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Petoskey |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   1- 0 vs 0- 0 |
|
| Pinckney |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Plymouth |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Port Huron United |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Portage Central |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Portage Northern |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Reeths Puffer |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Riverview Gabriel Ri |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Rochester Adams |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Rochester HS |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Saginaw Heritage |
| Rochester Stoney Cre |
Rochester Stoney Cre |
|
 
| Rochester Stoney Cre |
| Rockford |
Rockford |
|
 
| Rockford |
| Romeo |
Romeo |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Romeo |
| Royal Oak HS |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Royal Oak Shrine |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Salem |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Saline |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Sault Area |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| South Lyon Unified |
South Lyon Unified |
|
 
| South Lyon Unified |
| Spring Lake |
Spring Lake |
|
 
| Spring Lake |
| St Clair |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| St Mary Catholic Cen |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Swartz Creek |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
| Tecumseh |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Traverse City Centra |
Traverse City Centra |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Traverse City Centra |
| Traverse City West |
Traverse City West |
|
 
| Traverse City West |
| Troy |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Troy Athens |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| University Detroit J |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| University Liggett |
University Liggett |
|
 
| University Liggett |
| Utica Eisenhower |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Vicksburg |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Walled Lake Northern |
Walled Lake Northern |
|
 
| Walled Lake Northern |
| Walled Lake Western |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Waterford United |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| West Bloomfield |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
Saginaw Heritage   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| White Lake Lakeland |
Saginaw Heritage |
|
 
| Saginaw Heritage |
| Zeeland |
Zeeland |
|
 
| Zeeland |
PairWisePlus = 83

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Bay City Weste ( 5- 8, 79.8) 13- 7 -20.11 8.60 0.39 0.89 8.00
0 A Bay City Centr ( 9- 3, 81.6) 15- 7 -18.31 10.41 0.39 0.89 9.61
0 A Midland ( 1- 8, 81.3) 13- 3 -18.60 10.11 0.39 0.89 9.35
0 A Swartz Creek ( 2-10, 76.0) 17- 3 -23.85 4.86 0.39 0.89 4.67
0 H Lapeer ( 0- 6, 75.8) 19- 4 -24.08 4.63 -0.39 0.89 3.78
0 H Davison ( 5- 6, 78.9) 16- 6 -20.95 7.76 -0.39 0.89 6.56
0 A Lake Orion ( 9- 1, 89.8) 6-15 -10.05 18.66 0.39 0.89 -8.60
0 H Grand Blanc ( 7- 3, 86.1) 10-11 -13.82 14.89 -0.39 0.89 -12.65
0 A Bay City Weste ( 5- 8, 79.8) 18- 3 -20.11 8.60 0.39 0.89 8.00
0 H Haslett-Willia ( 7- 4, 88.0) 7- 8 -11.88 16.83 -0.39 0.89 -10.92
------
17.79
|
winning pts = 49.9737 losing points = -32.1808
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------