UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys Heritage Leesburg 1
  
Heritage  Leesburg    
W-L: ( 5- 8) PR = 81.7803

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Stone Bridge (11- 2, 88.2) 1- 4 319 H Riverside (12- 1, 90.0) 4-16 325 H South Lakes ( 2-12, 79.1) 12- 9 409 A Briar Woods ( 9- 4, 85.0) 6- 8 414 H John Champe ( 3- 9, 78.6) 15- 5 417 H Dominion ( 4- 8, 79.0) 4- 6 421 A Loudoun Valley ( 4-10, 79.3) 12- 8 423 A Loudoun County ( 6- 6, 83.3) 7-10 428 H Fauquier (12- 2, 80.9) 9-10 430 A Broad Run ( 6- 7, 82.6) 9- 5 506 A Lightridge (12- 2, 86.0) 8-16 508 A Woodgrove ( 6- 7, 82.1) 8-16 512 H Potomac Falls ( 2-11, 75.2) 20- 2

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Stone Bridge            1- 4      -3    -6    +      2.00
   319 H Riverside               4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   325 H South Lakes            12- 9       3     3          -0.11
   409 A Briar Woods             6- 8      -2    -4           1.72
   414 H John Champe            15- 5      10     4           1.34
   417 H Dominion                4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.19
   421 A Loudoun Valley         12- 8       4     2           1.96
   423 A Loudoun County          7-10      -3    -2          -1.07
   428 H Fauquier                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.37
   430 A Broad Run               9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.24
   506 A Lightridge              8-16      -8    -5          -0.29
   508 A Woodgrove               8-16      -8    -1    --    -4.18
   512 H Potomac Falls          20- 2      18     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Dominion                4- 6      -2     3    --    -5.19
   508 A Woodgrove               8-16      -8    -1    --    -4.18
   428 H Fauquier                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Broad Run               9- 5       4    -1    ++     5.24
   317 H Stone Bridge            1- 4      -3    -6    +      2.00

Heritage Leesburg PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Annandale Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell tied -  0- 1 Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Briar Woods Briar Woods Briar Woods  
Broad Run Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Brooke Point Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat   Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Centreville Heritage Leesburg tied -  1- 0 Heritage Leesburg
Chantilly Chantilly tied -  1- 0 Chantilly
Charlottesville Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Clover Hill Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Colgan Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox   Cox
Culpeper County Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Deep Run Deep Run   Deep Run
Dominion Dominion Dominion  
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Fairfax Heritage Leesburg tied -  1- 0 Heritage Leesburg
Falls Church Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Fauquier Fauquier Fauquier  
First Colonial First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Flint Hill Flint Hill   Flint Hill
Fluvanna County Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Forest Park Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Fredericksburg Acade Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   6- 4 vs 3- 7
Freedom Woodbridge Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Glen Allen Glen Allen   Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Grassfield LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Green Run Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon tied -  1- 0 Herndon
Hickory LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Hidden Valley Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Highland School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Highland Springs Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Hylton Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Independence Independence Independence   4- 0 vs 1- 3
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Justice Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Kellam Kellam   Kellam
Kempsville Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Kettle Run Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 2 Heritage Leesburg
Lafayette LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Landstown Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Langley Langley Langley   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Lewis Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Liberty Bealeton Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Lightridge Lightridge Lightridge  
Lloyd C Bird Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Lord Botetourt Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Loudoun County Loudoun County Loudoun County  
Loudoun Valley Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Madison Madison tied -  1- 0 Madison
Manchester Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Marshall Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Massaponax Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Matoaca Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Menchville LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Meridian Meridian Meridian   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin Mills Godwin   Mills Godwin
Monacan Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Monticello Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Mount Vernon Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Northern VA Home Sch Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Oakton Oakton tied -  1- 1 Oakton
Ocean Lakes Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Orange County Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Osbourn Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Osbourn Park Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Park View Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Patrick Henry Ashla Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot tied -  1- 0 Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Powhatan Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Princess Anne Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Riverbend Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Riverside Riverside Riverside  
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Rockbridge County Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Rockingham LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Seton School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
South County Heritage Leesburg tied -  1- 0 Heritage Leesburg
South Lakes Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg  
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Steward School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge Stone Bridge  
Strasburg LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Tandem Friends Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Thomas Dale Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Thomas Jefferson Heritage Leesburg tied -  0- 1 Heritage Leesburg
Trinity Christian Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Trinity Episcopal Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Trinity Meadow View Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Tuscarora Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   2- 5 vs 0- 7
Unity Reed Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Veritas School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Virginia Academy Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Wakefield School Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty tied -  2- 0 Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac tied -  0- 1 West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield tied -  1- 0 Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Woodgrove Woodgrove Woodgrove  
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 97


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Stone Bridge    (11- 2, 88.2)     1- 4      -11.73      25.22      -0.45         0.88           -10.76
   0 H Riverside       (12- 1, 90.0)     4-16       -9.89      27.06      -0.45         0.88            -9.13
   0 H South Lakes     ( 2-12, 79.1)    12- 9      -20.78      16.17      -0.45         0.88            13.88
   0 A Briar Woods     ( 9- 4, 85.0)     6- 8      -14.85      22.09       0.45         0.88           -12.72
   0 H John Champe     ( 3- 9, 78.6)    15- 5      -21.33      15.62      -0.45         0.88            13.39
   0 H Dominion        ( 4- 8, 79.0)     4- 6      -20.85      16.09      -0.45         0.88           -18.82
   0 A Loudoun Valley  ( 4-10, 79.3)    12- 8      -20.61      16.34       0.45         0.88            14.83
   0 A Loudoun County  ( 6- 6, 83.3)     7-10      -16.65      20.30       0.45         0.88           -14.30
   0 H Fauquier        (12- 2, 80.9)     9-10      -19.04      17.91      -0.45         0.88           -17.21
   0 A Broad Run       ( 6- 7, 82.6)     9- 5      -17.33      19.62       0.45         0.88            17.72
   0 A Lightridge      (12- 2, 86.0)     8-16      -13.87      23.08       0.45         0.88           -11.85
   0 A Woodgrove       ( 6- 7, 82.1)     8-16      -17.75      19.19       0.45         0.88           -15.28
   0 H Potomac Falls   ( 2-11, 75.2)    20- 2      -24.68      12.27      -0.45         0.88            10.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -39.81

winning pts = 70.2536 losing points = -110.0621

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------