UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Heritage 1
  
Heritage              
W-L: ( 3- 7) PR = 89.4367

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Leesville Road ( 5- 7, 88.9) 9- 8 303 A Wakefield ( 8- 3, 91.2) 8-10 305 A Cardinal Gibbons ( 8- 3, 99.2) 2-18 310 H Sanderson ( 7- 4, 91.2) 10-11 317 A Holly Springs ( 8- 2, 95.6) 4-14 320 A Middle Creek (12- 2, 99.9) 4-16 324 H Wake Forest ( 3- 7, 85.1) 12- 2 407 A Green Hope ( 9- 6, 92.0) 15-16 410 A Cary HS ( 1-11, 76.3) 21- 1 414 A Sanderson ( 7- 4, 91.2) 7-12 421 H Holly Springs ( 8- 2, 95.6) 424 H Middle Creek (12- 2, 99.9) 428 A Wake Forest ( 3- 7, 85.1) 429 H East Chapel Hill ( 6- 4, 89.4) 505 H Cary HS ( 1-11, 76.3)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Leesville Road          9- 8       1     1           0.18
   303 A Wakefield               8-10      -2    -2           0.08
   305 A Cardinal Gibbons        2-18     -16   -10           0.00
   310 H Sanderson              10-11      -1    -1           0.48
   317 A Holly Springs           4-14     -10    -6           0.00
   320 A Middle Creek            4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   324 H Wake Forest            12- 2      10     5           0.32
   407 A Green Hope             15-16      -1    -3           1.90
   410 A Cary HS                21- 1      20    13           0.00
   414 A Sanderson               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Sanderson               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Heritage Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Heritage   Heritage
Asheville HS Heritage   Heritage
Asheville School Heritage   Heritage
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive Athens Drive   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Atkins Heritage   Heritage
Ballantyne Ridge Heritage   Heritage
Bishop McGuinness Heritage   Heritage
Bradford Prep Heritage   Heritage
Broughton Broughton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Broughton
Butler Heritage   Heritage
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Heritage   Heritage
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons  
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Heritage   Heritage
Cary HS Heritage Heritage  
Cedar Ridge Heritage   Heritage
Chapel Hill Heritage   Heritage
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Heritage   Heritage
Cleveland Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Heritage insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Heritage
Cornerstone Charter Heritage   Heritage
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Heritage   Heritage
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill Heritage   Heritage
East Forsyth Heritage   Heritage
Eastern Alamance Heritage   Heritage
Eastern Guilford Heritage   Heritage
Enloe Heritage tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Heritage
Fike Heritage   Heritage
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Heritage   Heritage
Fuquay-Varina Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
Garner Heritage insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Heritage
Glenn Heritage   Heritage
Grays Creek Heritage   Heritage
Green Hope Green Hope Green Hope  
Green Level Green Level insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Heritage   Heritage
Havelock Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Heritage   Heritage
High Point Central Heritage   Heritage
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs Holly Springs  
Hough Hough tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hough
Hunt Heritage   Heritage
Independence Heritage   Heritage
Jack Britt Heritage   Heritage
Jacksonville Heritage   Heritage
JF Webb Heritage   Heritage
JH Rose Heritage   Heritage
John Paul II Catholi Heritage   Heritage
Jordan Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Heritage Heritage  
Lincoln Charter Heritage   Heritage
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek Middle Creek  
Millbrook Millbrook insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Heritage   Heritage
Mount Tabor Heritage   Heritage
Mountain Island Char Heritage   Heritage
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern Heritage   Heritage
New Hanover Heritage   Heritage
North Brunswick Heritage   Heritage
North Davidson Heritage   Heritage
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Heritage insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Heritage
Northern Durham Heritage   Heritage
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Heritage   Heritage
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Heritage   Heritage
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Heritage insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Heritage
Parkwood Heritage   Heritage
Patton Morganton Heritage   Heritage
Pine Forest Heritage   Heritage
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Heritage   Heritage
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Providence Day
Queens Grant Heritage   Heritage
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Heritage   Heritage
Ravenscroft School Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
Reagan Heritage   Heritage
Riverside Durham Heritage tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Heritage
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Heritage Heritage   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Roxboro Community Heritage   Heritage
Sanderson Sanderson Sanderson  
Seaforth Heritage   Heritage
South Brunswick Heritage   Heritage
South Garner Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
South Iredell Heritage   Heritage
South Mecklenburg Heritage   Heritage
South View Heritage   Heritage
Southeast Alamance Heritage   Heritage
Southeast Guilford Heritage   Heritage
Southern Alamance Heritage   Heritage
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Heritage   Heritage
St Davids School Heritage   Heritage
St Stephens Heritage   Heritage
Sun Valley Heritage   Heritage
Swansboro Heritage   Heritage
TC Roberson Heritage   Heritage
Terry Sanford Heritage   Heritage
Topsail Topsail Topsail   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Heritage   Heritage
Voyager Academy Heritage insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Heritage
Wake Forest Heritage Heritage  
Wake Prep Heritage tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Heritage
Wakefield Wakefield Wakefield  
Walter M Williams Heritage   Heritage
Watauga Heritage   Heritage
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Heritage   Heritage
West Carteret Heritage   Heritage
West Forsyth Heritage   Heritage
West Stokes Heritage   Heritage
Western Alamance Heritage   Heritage
Western Guilford Heritage   Heritage
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 94


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Leesville Road  ( 5- 7, 88.9)     9- 8      -10.96      19.07      -0.32         0.94            17.64
   0 A Wakefield       ( 8- 3, 91.2)     8-10       -8.70      21.33       0.32         0.94            -7.88
   0 A Cardinal Gibbo  ( 8- 3, 99.2)     2-18       -0.73      29.29       0.32         0.94            -0.39
   0 H Sanderson       ( 7- 4, 91.2)    10-11       -8.67      21.36      -0.32         0.94            -8.46
   0 A Holly Springs   ( 8- 2, 95.6)     4-14       -4.30      25.73       0.32         0.94            -3.75
   0 A Middle Creek    (12- 2, 99.9)     4-16       -0.00      30.03       0.32         0.94            -0.30
   0 H Wake Forest     ( 3- 7, 85.1)    12- 2      -14.82      15.21      -0.32         0.94            14.01
   0 A Green Hope      ( 9- 6, 92.0)    15-16       -7.88      22.14       0.32         0.94            -7.12
   0 A Cary HS         ( 1-11, 76.3)    21- 1      -23.64       6.39       0.32         0.94             6.31
   0 A Sanderson       ( 7- 4, 91.2)     7-12       -8.67      21.36       0.32         0.94            -7.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         2.21

winning pts = 37.9600 losing points = -35.7500

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------