UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Hereford 1
  
Hereford              
W-L: ( 4- 2) PR = 90.2401

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Archbishop Curley ( 3- 1, 91.7) 4- 7 324 A Westminster ( 1- 2, 89.6) 11-10 326 A Gerstell Academy ( 0- 2, 88.5) 10- 9 328 H Fallston ( 4- 0, 92.5) 4- 7 330 H Manchester Valley ( 2- 1, 87.9) 15-10 331 A Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 10- 6 414 H Franklin ( 1- 1, 92.5) 416 H Towson ( 3- 0, 96.9) 421 A Catonsville ( 4- 2, 95.5) 423 A Dulaney ( 1- 3, 91.4) 427 A Bel Air ( 2- 3, 86.9) 428 A Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 429 H Sparrows Point ( 1- 2, 86.3) 430 H Franklin ( 1- 1, 92.5)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Archbishop Curley       4- 7      -3    -1          -1.90
   324 A Westminster            11-10       1     0           0.81
   326 A Gerstell Academy       10- 9       1     1          -0.34
   328 H Fallston                4- 7      -3    -2          -1.18
   330 H Manchester Valley      15-10       5     3    +      2.24
   331 A Sparrows Point         10- 6       4     4           0.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Manchester Valley      15-10       5     3    +      2.24

Hereford Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Hereford   Hereford
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley  
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Hereford   Hereford
Bishop McNamara Hereford   Hereford
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Hereford   Hereford
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Hereford   Hereford
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Hereford   Hereford
Garrett County LC Hereford   Hereford
Georgetown Day Hereford   Hereford
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Hereford Hereford  
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Hereford   Hereford
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Hereford   Hereford
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Hereford   Hereford
John Carroll Hereford   Hereford
Key School Hereford   Hereford
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Hereford   Hereford
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Hereford   Hereford
Mount Carmel Hereford   Hereford
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Hereford   Hereford
Sandy Spring Friends Hereford   Hereford
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Hereford   Hereford
St James St James tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Hereford   Hereford
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Hereford   Hereford
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Hereford   Hereford
Atholton Hereford   Hereford
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Hereford   Hereford
Blair Hereford   Hereford
Blake Hereford   Hereford
Bohemia Manor Hereford   Hereford
Boonsboro Hereford   Hereford
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Hereford   Hereford
Calvert Hereford   Hereford
Cambridge SD Hereford   Hereford
Carver A&T Hereford   Hereford
Catoctin Hereford   Hereford
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Hereford   Hereford
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Hereford   Hereford
Chopticon Chopticon   Chopticon
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Hereford   Hereford
CM Wright Hereford   Hereford
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Hereford   Hereford
Digital Harbor Hereford   Hereford
Dr Henry Wise Hereford   Hereford
Dulaney Dulaney tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dulaney
Dunbar Hereford   Hereford
Dundalk Hereford   Hereford
DuVal Hereford   Hereford
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Hereford   Hereford
Edgewood Hereford   Hereford
Edmondson-Westside Hereford   Hereford
Einstein Hereford   Hereford
Eleanor Roosevelt Hereford   Hereford
Elkton Hereford   Hereford
Fairmont Heights Hereford   Hereford
Fallston Fallston Fallston  
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Hereford insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hereford
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Hereford   Hereford
Frederick Douglass B Hereford   Hereford
Frederick Douglass P Hereford   Hereford
Friendly Hereford   Hereford
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Hereford   Hereford
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Hereford   Hereford
Great Mills Hereford   Hereford
Guilford Park Hereford   Hereford
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Hereford   Hereford
Harford Tech Hereford   Hereford
Havre De Grace Hereford   Hereford
High Point Hereford   Hereford
Howard Hereford   Hereford
Huntingtown Huntingtown   Huntingtown
JM Bennett Hereford   Hereford
Joppatowne Hereford   Hereford
Kennedy Hereford   Hereford
Kent County Hereford   Hereford
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Hereford   Hereford
La Plata Hereford   Hereford
Lackey Hereford   Hereford
Lake Clifton Hereford   Hereford
Lansdowne Hereford   Hereford
Laurel Hereford   Hereford
Leonardtown Leonardtown   Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Hereford   Hereford
Long Reach Hereford   Hereford
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Hereford Hereford  
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Hereford   Hereford
Mergenthaler Hereford   Hereford
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Hereford   Hereford
MJ McDonough Hereford   Hereford
Mount Hebron Hereford   Hereford
National Academy Fou Hereford   Hereford
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Hereford   Hereford
North County Hereford   Hereford
North Dorchester Hereford   Hereford
North East Cecil Hereford   Hereford
North Hagerstown Hereford   Hereford
North Harford Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
North Point Hereford   Hereford
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Hereford   Hereford
Northwest Hereford   Hereford
Northwestern PG Hereford   Hereford
Northwood Hereford   Hereford
Oakdale Hereford Hereford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oakland Mills Hereford   Hereford
Old Mill Hereford   Hereford
Overlea Hereford   Hereford
Owings Mills Hereford   Hereford
Oxon Hill Hereford   Hereford
Paint Branch Hereford   Hereford
Parkdale Hereford   Hereford
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Hereford   Hereford
Patapsco Hereford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hereford
Patterson HS Hereford   Hereford
Patterson Mill Hereford   Hereford
Patuxent Hereford   Hereford
Perry Hall Hereford   Hereford
Perryville Hereford   Hereford
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Hereford   Hereford
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Hereford   Hereford
Reginald F Lewis Hereford   Hereford
Reservoir Hereford   Hereford
Richard Montgomery Hereford   Hereford
Rising Sun Hereford   Hereford
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Hereford   Hereford
Severn Run Hereford   Hereford
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Hereford   Hereford
South Carroll Hereford   Hereford
South Hagerstown Hereford   Hereford
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Hereford   Hereford
Sparrows Point Hereford Hereford  
Springbrook Hereford   Hereford
St Charles Hereford   Hereford
Stephen Decatur Hereford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hereford
Suitland Hereford   Hereford
Surrattsville Hereford   Hereford
Thomas Stone Hereford   Hereford
Towson Towson tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Towson
Tuscarora Hereford   Hereford
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Hereford   Hereford
Western STES Hereford   Hereford
Westlake Hereford   Hereford
Westminster Hereford Hereford  
Wheaton Hereford   Hereford
Wicomico Hereford   Hereford
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Hereford   Hereford
Winters Mill Hereford   Hereford
Woodlawn Hereford   Hereford
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Hereford   Hereford
DC International PCS Hereford   Hereford
Jackson Reed Hereford   Hereford

PowerWise = 145


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Archbishop Cur  ( 3- 1, 91.7)     4- 7       -8.15      16.91      -0.41         0.54            -4.65
   0 A Westminster     ( 1- 2, 89.6)    11-10      -10.25      14.81       0.41         0.54             8.27
   0 A Gerstell Acade  ( 0- 2, 88.5)    10- 9      -11.40      13.66       0.41         0.54             7.65
   0 H Fallston        ( 4- 0, 92.5)     4- 7       -7.44      17.63      -0.41         0.54            -4.26
   0 H Manchester Val  ( 2- 1, 87.9)    15-10      -12.02      13.05      -0.41         0.54             6.87
   0 A Sparrows Point  ( 1- 2, 86.3)    10- 6      -13.61      11.46       0.41         0.54             6.45
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        20.33

winning pts = 29.2399 losing points = -8.9127

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------