UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Henry Clay 1
  
Henry Clay            
W-L: ( 7- 0) PR = 94.5657

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 305 H North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 9- 7 310 H Ballard Louisville ( 2- 7, 81.8) 24- 0 312 H Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8) 17- 4 321 H Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8) 8- 6 324 A Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 9- 7 328 H South Warren ( 6- 1, 91.1) 12- 6 330 A Frederick Douglass ( 4- 6, 91.6) 7- 6 418 H Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 422 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9) 428 H Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 501 A Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8) 504 H Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 505 H Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H North Oldham            9- 7       2     2           0.19
   310 H Ballard Louisville     24- 0      24    13           0.00
   312 H Dixie Heights          17- 4      13     4           0.96
   321 H Lexington Christian     8- 6       2     2          -0.01
   324 A Eastern                 9- 7       2     3          -0.52
   328 H South Warren           12- 6       6     4           1.25
   330 A Frederick Douglass      7- 6       1     3          -1.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Henry Clay Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Atherton Henry Clay insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Ballard Louisville Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Bluegrass Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Bowling Green Henry Clay insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Bryan Station Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Central Hardin Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Christian Academy-Lo
Collins Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Cooper Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Covington Catholic Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
DeSales Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Dixie Heights Henry Clay Henry Clay  
DuPont Manual Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Eastern Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Frederick Douglass Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Great Crossing Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Greenwood Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Henry Clay insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Lafayette Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Lexington Catholic Henry Clay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Henry Clay
Lexington Christian Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Louisville Collegiat Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Male Henry Clay   Henry Clay
North Hardin Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
North Oldham Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Oldham County Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Owensboro Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Paul Laurence Dunbar Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Ryle Henry Clay Henry Clay   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sayre Sayre tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Sayre
Scott County Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Shelby County Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
South Oldham Henry Clay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Henry Clay
South Warren Henry Clay Henry Clay  
St Henry Henry Clay   Henry Clay
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Henry Clay Henry Clay   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Trinity Louisville
Walton-Verona Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Woodford County Woodford County tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Woodford County

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7- 2, 93.0)     9- 7       -6.90      23.36      -0.24         0.93            21.55
   0 H Ballard Louisv  ( 2- 7, 81.8)    24- 0      -18.14      12.12      -0.24         0.93            11.08
   0 H Dixie Heights   ( 4- 2, 90.8)    17- 4       -9.13      21.13      -0.24         0.93            19.47
   0 H Lexington Chri  ( 3- 4, 92.8)     8- 6       -7.10      23.16      -0.24         0.93            21.36
   0 A Eastern         ( 4- 5, 91.8)     9- 7       -8.10      22.16       0.24         0.93            20.88
   0 H South Warren    ( 6- 1, 91.1)    12- 6       -8.84      21.42      -0.24         0.93            19.74
   0 A Frederick Doug  ( 4- 6, 91.6)     7- 6       -8.28      21.98       0.24         0.93            20.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       134.77

winning pts = 134.7743 losing points = 0.0000

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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