UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:38 PDT

boys Helena East 1
  
Helena East           
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 89.6047

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 H Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 6-13 411 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 7-10 412 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 13-12 414 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 8- 7 416 A Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 7-11 424 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 11- 6 425 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 8- 9 430 A Great Falls ( 7- 6, 90.3) 3- 5 502 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 10- 8 507 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 4- 8 508 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 6- 8 515 A Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 8- 9 516 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Great Falls             6-13      -7     0    --    -4.56
   411 A Billings Beartooth      7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00
   412 A Great Falls            13-12       1    -1           1.92
   414 H Missoula Wild           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.02
   416 A Helena West             7-11      -4    -3          -1.31
   424 A Bozeman White          11- 6       5     1    +      3.89
   425 A Missoula Wild           8- 9      -1    -2           0.51
   430 A Great Falls             3- 5      -2    -1          -1.08
   502 H Bozeman White          10- 8       2     2           0.40
   507 H Helena West             4- 8      -4    -2          -1.79
   508 A Billings Beartooth      6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00
   515 A Missoula Wild           8- 9      -1    -2           0.51
   516 A Bozeman White           7-13      -6     1    ---   -6.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A Bozeman White           7-13      -6     1    ---   -6.11
   404 H Great Falls             6-13      -7     0    --    -4.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Billings Beartooth      7-10      -3    -5    +      2.00
   414 H Missoula Wild           8- 7       1    -1    +      2.02
   424 A Bozeman White          11- 6       5     1    +      3.89
   508 A Billings Beartooth      6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.00

Helena East PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Bozeman Black Bozeman Black   Bozeman Black
Bozeman White Helena East Helena East  
Cody Cody   Cody
Great Falls Great Falls Great Falls  
Helena West Helena West Helena West  
Missoula Wild Missoula Wild Missoula Wild  
Northwest Black Northwest Black Northwest Black   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northwest Green Northwest Green   Northwest Green
Sheridan Sheridan   Sheridan

PairWisePlus = 1


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)     6-13       -9.61       2.04      -0.24         0.52            -5.10
   0 A Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     7-10       -5.24       6.41       0.24         0.52            -2.59
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)    13-12       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.52             1.18
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     8- 7       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.52             1.23
   0 A Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     7-11       -7.85       3.81       0.24         0.52            -3.93
   0 A Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    11- 6      -11.65       1.00       0.24         0.52             0.64
   0 A Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     8- 9       -9.03       2.62       0.24         0.52            -4.55
   0 A Great Falls     ( 7- 6, 90.3)     3- 5       -9.61       2.04       0.24         0.52            -4.85
   0 H Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)    10- 8      -11.65       1.00      -0.24         0.52             0.39
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     4- 8       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.52            -4.19
   0 A Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     6- 8       -5.24       6.41       0.24         0.52            -2.59
   0 A Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     8- 9       -9.03       2.62       0.24         0.52            -4.55
   0 A Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)     7-13      -11.65       1.00       0.24         0.52            -5.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -34.79

winning pts = 3.4477 losing points = -38.2374

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------