Hartford Union
W-L: (12- 1) PR = 97.3999
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
416 H Mt Anthony Union ( 2- 9, 85.1) 16- 0
421 A Woodstock Union ( 9- 4, 97.6) 4- 8
427 H Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 15- 1
428 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 8- 3
501 H Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 26- 1
504 H St Johnsbury Academy ( 5- 8, 89.3) 12- 2
508 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-11, 84.4) 21- 1
511 A Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 11- 3
512 H Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 14- 1
515 A Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 8- 5
521 A Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 11- 3
523 H Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 14- 1
526 A Green Mountain Valle ( 3- 5, 86.9) 15- 3
528 H Bellows Free Academy ( 7- 5, 89.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
416 H Mt Anthony Union 16- 0 16 12 0.00
421 A Woodstock Union 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.81
427 H Colchester 15- 1 14 10 0.00
428 A Milton 8- 3 5 4 0.69
501 H Spaulding 26- 1 25 13 0.00
504 H St Johnsbury Academy 12- 2 10 8 0.00
508 A Lyndon Institute 21- 1 20 13 0.00
511 A Montpelier 11- 3 8 5 0.00
512 H Stowe 14- 1 13 6 0.00
515 A Harwood Union 8- 5 3 0 + 3.16
521 A Mount Abraham 11- 3 8 5 0.00
523 H Burlington 14- 1 13 9 0.00
526 A Green Mountain Valle 15- 3 12 10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
421 A Woodstock Union 4- 8 -4 0 - -3.81
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
515 A Harwood Union 8- 5 3 0 + 3.16
|
Hartford Union PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bellows Free Academy |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union  10- 0 vs 6- 4 |
|
| Bellows Free Academy |
Hartford Union |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Hartford Union |
| Brattleboro Union |
Hartford Union |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Hartford Union |
| Burlington |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Burr and Burton Acad |
Burr and Burton Acad |
|
Burr and Burton Acad   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Champlain Valley Uni |
Champlain Valley Uni |
|
Champlain Valley Uni   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Colchester |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Essex Junction |
Hartford Union |
|
 
| Hartford Union |
| Green Mountain Valle |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Harwood Union |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Lamoille Union |
Hartford Union |
|
 
| Hartford Union |
| Lyndon Institute |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Middlebury Union |
Hartford Union |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Hartford Union |
| Milton |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Montpelier |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Mount Abraham |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Mt Anthony Union |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Mt Mansfield Union |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Otter Valley Union |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Randolph Union |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Rice Memorial |
Hartford Union |
|
 
| Hartford Union |
| Rutland |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| South Burlington |
South Burlington |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
South Burlington |
| Spaulding |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| St Johnsbury Academy |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Stowe |
Hartford Union |
Hartford Union |
 
| |
| Stratton Mountain Sc |
Hartford Union |
|
Hartford Union   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
Woodstock Union |
 
| |
PairWisePlus = 24

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mt Anthony Uni ( 2- 9, 85.1) 16- 0 -14.78 1.01 -0.01 0.84 0.84
0 A Woodstock Unio ( 9- 4, 97.6) 4- 8 -2.32 13.47 0.01 0.84 -1.94
0 H Colchester ( 3- 9, 87.3) 15- 1 -12.62 3.18 -0.01 0.84 2.66
0 A Milton (10- 3, 93.1) 8- 3 -6.82 8.98 0.01 0.84 7.53
0 H Spaulding ( 2-10, 84.1) 26- 1 -15.80 1.00 -0.01 0.84 0.83
0 H St Johnsbury A ( 5- 8, 89.3) 12- 2 -10.62 5.17 -0.01 0.84 4.33
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-11, 84.4) 21- 1 -15.49 1.00 0.01 0.84 0.85
0 A Montpelier ( 8- 3, 92.2) 11- 3 -7.66 8.14 0.01 0.84 6.83
0 H Stowe ( 7- 6, 91.7) 14- 1 -8.24 7.56 -0.01 0.84 6.33
0 A Harwood Union (11- 1, 97.6) 8- 5 -2.35 13.45 0.01 0.84 11.28
0 A Mount Abraham ( 8- 4, 92.0) 11- 3 -7.85 7.94 0.01 0.84 6.67
0 H Burlington ( 2- 9, 88.1) 14- 1 -11.80 4.00 -0.01 0.84 3.34
0 A Green Mountain ( 3- 5, 86.9) 15- 3 -13.00 2.80 0.01 0.84 2.35
------
51.90
|
winning pts = 53.8352 losing points = -1.9394
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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