Great Mills
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 83.6631
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
320 H Westlake ( 0-13, 72.1) 16- 1
323 H Lackey ( 1-12, 76.6) 16- 1
325 A Chopticon (12- 4, 87.6) 1-18
327 H MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 79.8) 15- 7
408 H Leonardtown (13- 4, 90.4) 8-18
410 H North Point ( 4-10, 79.1) 19- 4
413 A Calvert ( 8- 6, 85.5) 4-15
417 H Northern Calvert ( 9- 7, 85.7) 6- 8
420 A Huntingtown (16- 1, 91.7) 3-16
422 A Arundel ( 4- 9, 81.7) 8- 7
424 A Thomas Stone ( 6- 7, 80.7) 15- 3
501 A Patuxent ( 7- 7, 83.9) 9- 8
508 A Oxon Hill ( 7- 5, 77.9) 14- 2
511 A Chopticon (12- 4, 87.6) 4-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
320 H Westlake 16- 1 15 12 0.00
323 H Lackey 16- 1 15 7 0.00
325 A Chopticon 1-18 -17 -4 -0.62
327 H MJ McDonough 15- 7 8 4 0.73
408 H Leonardtown 8-18 -10 -6 0.00
410 H North Point 19- 4 15 5 0.02
413 A Calvert 4-15 -11 -2 - -2.70
417 H Northern Calvert 6- 8 -2 -2 -0.36
420 A Huntingtown 3-16 -13 -8 0.00
422 A Arundel 8- 7 1 2 -0.54
424 A Thomas Stone 15- 3 12 3 + 2.43
501 A Patuxent 9- 8 1 -1 1.66
508 A Oxon Hill 14- 2 12 5 0.00
511 A Chopticon 4-18 -14 -4 -0.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
413 A Calvert 4-15 -11 -2 - -2.70
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 A Thomas Stone 15- 3 12 3 + 2.43
|
Great Mills PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Annapolis Area Chris |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Archbishop Curley |
Archbishop Curley |
|
 
| Archbishop Curley |
| Archbishop Spalding |
Archbishop Spalding |
|
 
| Archbishop Spalding |
| Beth TFiloh |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Bishop McNamara |
Bishop McNamara |
|
 
| Bishop McNamara |
| Boys Latin |
Boys Latin |
|
 
| Boys Latin |
| Bullis |
Bullis |
|
 
| Bullis |
| Calvert Hall |
Calvert Hall |
|
 
| Calvert Hall |
| Chapelgate Christian |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Concordia Prep |
Concordia Prep |
|
 
| Concordia Prep |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| DeMatha |
DeMatha |
|
 
| DeMatha |
| FCA LC |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Friends |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Garrett County LC |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Georgetown Day |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Georgetown Prep |
Georgetown Prep |
|
 
| Georgetown Prep |
| Gerstell Academy |
Gerstell Academy |
|
 
| Gerstell Academy |
| Gilman |
Gilman |
|
 
| Gilman |
| Glenelg Country |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Gonzaga |
Gonzaga |
|
 
| Gonzaga |
| Good Counsel |
Good Counsel |
|
 
| Good Counsel |
| Gunston School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Heights |
Heights |
|
 
| Heights |
| Indian Creek School |
Indian Creek School |
|
 
| Indian Creek School |
| Jemicy School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| John Carroll |
John Carroll |
|
 
| John Carroll |
| Key School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Landon |
Landon |
|
 
| Landon |
| Loyola-Blakefield |
Loyola-Blakefield |
|
 
| Loyola-Blakefield |
| Maret |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| McDonogh |
McDonogh |
|
 
| McDonogh |
| Mercersburg Academy |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Mount Carmel |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Mount St Joseph |
Mount St Joseph |
|
 
| Mount St Joseph |
| Park School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Salisbury School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Sandy Spring Friends |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Severn School |
Severn School |
|
 
| Severn School |
| Sidwell Friends |
Sidwell Friends |
|
 
| Sidwell Friends |
| St Albans |
St Albans |
|
 
| St Albans |
| St Andrews Episcopal |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| St James |
St James |
|
 
| St James |
| St Johns Catholic Pr |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| St Johns College HS |
St Johns College HS |
|
 
| St Johns College HS |
| St Marys Annapolis |
St Marys Annapolis |
|
 
| St Marys Annapolis |
| St Marys Ryken |
St Marys Ryken |
|
 
| St Marys Ryken |
| St Pauls |
St Pauls |
|
 
| St Pauls |
| St Vincent Pallotti |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Sts Peter & Paul |
Sts Peter & Paul |
|
 
| Sts Peter & Paul |
| Tome School |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Worcester Prep |
Worcester Prep |
|
 
| Worcester Prep |
| Aberdeen |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Academy for College |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Annapolis |
Annapolis |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Annapolis |
| Arundel |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Atholton |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Baltimore Polytechni |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Bel Air |
Bel Air |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Bel Air |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
|
 
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase |
| Bladensburg |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Blair |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Blake |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Bohemia Manor |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Boonsboro |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Bowie |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Great Mills |
| Broadneck |
Broadneck |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Broadneck |
| Brunswick |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Calvert |
Calvert |
Calvert |
 
|
| Cambridge SD |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Carver A&T |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Catoctin |
Catoctin |
|
 
| Catoctin |
| Catonsville |
Catonsville |
|
 
| Catonsville |
| Centennial |
Centennial |
|
 
| Centennial |
| Century |
Century |
|
 
| Century |
| CH Flowers |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Chesapeake AA |
Chesapeake AA |
|
Chesapeake AA   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Chesapeake BC |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Chopticon |
Chopticon |
Chopticon |
 
| |
| City College |
City College |
|
 
| City College |
| Clarksburg |
Clarksburg |
|
 
| Clarksburg |
| CM Wright |
CM Wright |
|
 
| CM Wright |
| Crofton |
Crofton |
|
Crofton   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Damascus |
Damascus |
|
 
| Damascus |
| Digital Harbor |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Dr Henry Wise |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Dulaney |
Dulaney |
|
 
| Dulaney |
| Dunbar |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Dundalk |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| DuVal |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Eastern Tech |
Eastern Tech |
|
 
| Eastern Tech |
| Easton |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Edgewood |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Edmondson-Westside |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Einstein |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Eleanor Roosevelt |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Elkton |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Fairmont Heights |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Fallston |
Fallston |
|
 
| Fallston |
| Forest Park |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Francis Scott Key |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Franklin |
Franklin |
|
 
| Franklin |
| Frederick |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Frederick Douglass B |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Frederick Douglass P |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Friendly |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Gaithersburg |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Glen Burnie |
Glen Burnie |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Glen Burnie |
| Glenelg HS |
Glenelg HS |
|
Glenelg HS   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Gov Thomas Johnson |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Guilford Park |
Guilford Park |
|
 
| Guilford Park |
| Gwynn Park |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Great Mills |
| Hammond |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Harford Tech |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Havre De Grace |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Hereford |
Hereford |
|
 
| Hereford |
| High Point |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Howard |
Howard |
|
 
| Howard |
| Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
Huntingtown |
 
| |
| JM Bennett |
JM Bennett |
|
 
| JM Bennett |
| Joppatowne |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Kennedy |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Kent County |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Kent Island |
Kent Island |
|
 
| Kent Island |
| Kenwood |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| La Plata |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  6- 4 |
Great Mills |
| Lackey |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Lake Clifton |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Lansdowne |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Laurel |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
Leonardtown |
 
| |
| Liberty |
Liberty |
|
Liberty   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Linganore |
Linganore |
|
Linganore   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Loch Raven |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Long Reach |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Magruder |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Manchester Valley |
Manchester Valley |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Manchester Valley |
| Marriotts Ridge |
Marriotts Ridge |
|
 
| Marriotts Ridge |
| Meade |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Mergenthaler |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Middletown |
Middletown |
|
 
| Middletown |
| Milford Mill |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| MJ McDonough |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Mount Hebron |
Mount Hebron |
|
 
| Mount Hebron |
| National Academy Fou |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| New Town |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| North Caroline |
North Caroline |
|
 
| North Caroline |
| North County |
North County |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
North County |
| North Dorchester |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| North East Cecil |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| North Hagerstown |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| North Harford |
North Harford |
|
 
| North Harford |
| North Point |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Northeast AA |
Northeast AA |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Northeast AA |
| Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
Northern Calvert |
 
| |
| Northwest |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Northwestern PG |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Northwood |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Oakdale |
Oakdale |
|
 
| Oakdale |
| Oakland Mills |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Old Mill |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Overlea |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Owings Mills |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Oxon Hill |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Paint Branch |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Parkdale |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Parkside |
Parkside |
|
 
| Parkside |
| Parkville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Patapsco |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Patterson HS |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Patterson Mill |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Patuxent |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
|
| Perry Hall |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Great Mills |
| Perryville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Pikesville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Poolesville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Queen Annes County |
Queen Annes County |
|
Queen Annes County   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Quince Orchard |
Quince Orchard |
|
 
| Quince Orchard |
| Randallstown |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Reginald F Lewis |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Reservoir |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Richard Montgomery |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Rising Sun |
Rising Sun |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Rising Sun |
| River Hill |
River Hill |
|
 
| River Hill |
| Rockville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Seneca Valley |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Severn Run |
Great Mills |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Great Mills |
| Severna Park |
Severna Park |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Severna Park |
| Sherwood |
Sherwood |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Sherwood |
| Smithsburg |
Smithsburg |
|
 
| Smithsburg |
| South Carroll |
South Carroll |
|
 
| South Carroll |
| South Hagerstown |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| South River |
South River |
|
South River   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Southern AA |
Southern AA |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Southern AA |
| Sparrows Point |
Sparrows Point |
|
 
| Sparrows Point |
| Springbrook |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| St Charles |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Stephen Decatur |
Stephen Decatur |
|
Stephen Decatur   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Suitland |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Surrattsville |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Thomas Stone |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
 
| Towson |
| Tuscarora |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Urbana |
Urbana |
|
Urbana   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Walkersville |
Walkersville |
|
 
| Walkersville |
| Walt Whitman |
Walt Whitman |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Walt Whitman |
| Walter Johnson |
Walter Johnson |
|
 
| Walter Johnson |
| Watkins Mill |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Western STES |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Westlake |
Great Mills |
Great Mills |
 
| |
| Westminster |
Westminster |
|
 
| Westminster |
| Wheaton |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Wicomico |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Wilde Lake |
Wilde Lake |
|
 
| Wilde Lake |
| Winston Churchill |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Winters Mill |
Winters Mill |
|
 
| Winters Mill |
| Woodlawn |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Wootton |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| Archbishop Carroll |
Great Mills |
|
 
| Great Mills |
| DC International PCS |
Great Mills |
|
Great Mills   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Jackson Reed |
Jackson Reed |
|
 
| Jackson Reed |
PairWisePlus = 128

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Westlake ( 0-13, 72.1) 16- 1 -27.76 6.27 -0.42 0.86 5.04
0 H Lackey ( 1-12, 76.6) 16- 1 -23.26 10.77 -0.42 0.86 8.92
0 A Chopticon (12- 4, 87.6) 1-18 -12.28 21.75 0.42 0.86 -10.22
0 H MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 79.8) 15- 7 -20.09 13.93 -0.42 0.86 11.65
0 H Leonardtown (13- 4, 90.4) 8-18 -9.54 24.49 -0.42 0.86 -8.57
0 H North Point ( 4-10, 79.1) 19- 4 -20.80 13.23 -0.42 0.86 11.04
0 A Calvert ( 8- 6, 85.5) 4-15 -14.35 19.67 0.42 0.86 -12.01
0 H Northern Calve ( 9- 7, 85.7) 6- 8 -14.19 19.84 -0.42 0.86 -12.58
0 A Huntingtown (16- 1, 91.7) 3-16 -8.17 25.85 0.42 0.86 -6.68
0 A Arundel ( 4- 9, 81.7) 8- 7 -18.19 15.83 0.42 0.86 14.00
0 A Thomas Stone ( 6- 7, 80.7) 15- 3 -19.22 14.81 0.42 0.86 13.12
0 A Patuxent ( 7- 7, 83.9) 9- 8 -15.99 18.03 0.42 0.86 15.90
0 A Oxon Hill ( 7- 5, 77.9) 14- 2 -21.98 12.05 0.42 0.86 10.74
0 A Chopticon (12- 4, 87.6) 4-18 -12.28 21.75 0.42 0.86 -10.22
------
30.11
|
winning pts = 90.4037 losing points = -60.2895
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------