UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Great Mills 1
  
Great Mills           
W-L: ( 3- 1) PR = 86.2966

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 H Westlake ( 0- 4, 78.2) 16- 1 323 H Lackey ( 0- 5, 81.8) 16- 1 325 A Chopticon ( 2- 1, 90.5) 1-18 327 H MJ McDonough ( 0- 3, 81.8) 15- 7 408 H Leonardtown ( 4- 1, 93.5) 410 H North Point ( 2- 1, 83.2) 413 A Calvert ( 2- 0, 89.3) 417 H Northern Calvert ( 4- 2, 87.4) 420 A Huntingtown ( 4- 0, 96.0) 422 A Arundel ( 1- 2, 85.3) 424 A Thomas Stone ( 0- 2, 82.8) 501 A Patuxent ( 2- 2, 86.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Westlake               16- 1      15     9           0.00
   323 H Lackey                 16- 1      15     5           0.11
   325 A Chopticon               1-18     -17    -5          -0.35
   327 H MJ McDonough           15- 7       8     5           0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Great Mills Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Annapolis Area Chris   Annapolis Area Chris
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley   Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Great Mills   Great Mills
Bishop McNamara Bishop McNamara   Bishop McNamara
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Great Mills   Great Mills
Concordia Prep Concordia Prep   Concordia Prep
Cristo Rey Jesuit Cristo Rey Jesuit   Cristo Rey Jesuit
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC FCA LC   FCA LC
Friends Friends   Friends
Garrett County LC Garrett County LC   Garrett County LC
Georgetown Day Georgetown Day   Georgetown Day
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Gerstell Academy   Gerstell Academy
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Glenelg Country   Glenelg Country
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Great Mills   Great Mills
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Indian Creek School   Indian Creek School
Jemicy School Great Mills   Great Mills
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Great Mills   Great Mills
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Great Mills   Great Mills
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Mercersburg Academy   Mercersburg Academy
Mount Carmel Great Mills   Great Mills
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Park School   Park School
Salisbury School Salisbury School   Salisbury School
Sandy Spring Friends Sandy Spring Friends   Sandy Spring Friends
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Sidwell Friends   Sidwell Friends
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Great Mills   Great Mills
St James St James   St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Great Mills   Great Mills
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti St Vincent Pallotti   St Vincent Pallotti
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Tome School   Tome School
Worcester Prep Worcester Prep   Worcester Prep
Aberdeen Great Mills   Great Mills
Academy for College Academy for College   Academy for College
Annapolis Annapolis   Annapolis
Arundel Great Mills   Great Mills
Atholton Atholton   Atholton
Baltimore Polytechni Baltimore Polytechni   Baltimore Polytechni
Bel Air Bel Air   Bel Air
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Bethesda-Chevy Chase   Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Bladensburg Great Mills   Great Mills
Blair Blair   Blair
Blake Blake   Blake
Bohemia Manor Great Mills   Great Mills
Boonsboro Great Mills   Great Mills
Bowie Bowie   Bowie
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Great Mills   Great Mills
Calvert Calvert tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Calvert
Cambridge SD Cambridge SD   Cambridge SD
Carver A&T Great Mills   Great Mills
Catoctin Catoctin   Catoctin
Catonsville Catonsville   Catonsville
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Century Century   Century
CH Flowers Great Mills   Great Mills
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA   Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Great Mills   Great Mills
Chopticon Chopticon Chopticon  
City College City College   City College
Clarksburg Great Mills   Great Mills
CM Wright CM Wright   CM Wright
Crofton Crofton   Crofton
Damascus Great Mills   Great Mills
Digital Harbor Digital Harbor   Digital Harbor
Dr Henry Wise Great Mills   Great Mills
Dulaney Dulaney   Dulaney
Dunbar Dunbar   Dunbar
Dundalk Great Mills   Great Mills
DuVal Great Mills   Great Mills
Eastern Tech Eastern Tech   Eastern Tech
Easton Great Mills   Great Mills
Edgewood Great Mills   Great Mills
Edmondson-Westside Edmondson-Westside   Edmondson-Westside
Einstein Great Mills   Great Mills
Eleanor Roosevelt Great Mills   Great Mills
Elkton Great Mills   Great Mills
Fairmont Heights Great Mills   Great Mills
Fallston Fallston   Fallston
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Francis Scott Key Great Mills   Great Mills
Franklin Franklin   Franklin
Frederick Great Mills   Great Mills
Frederick Douglass B Great Mills   Great Mills
Frederick Douglass P Frederick Douglass P   Frederick Douglass P
Friendly Friendly   Friendly
Gaithersburg Gaithersburg   Gaithersburg
Glen Burnie Glen Burnie   Glen Burnie
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS   Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Great Mills   Great Mills
Guilford Park Guilford Park   Guilford Park
Gwynn Park Gwynn Park   Gwynn Park
Hammond Great Mills   Great Mills
Harford Tech Great Mills   Great Mills
Havre De Grace Great Mills   Great Mills
Hereford Hereford   Hereford
High Point High Point   High Point
Howard Great Mills   Great Mills
Huntingtown Huntingtown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett JM Bennett   JM Bennett
Joppatowne Great Mills   Great Mills
Kennedy Great Mills   Great Mills
Kent County Great Mills   Great Mills
Kent Island Kent Island   Kent Island
Kenwood Great Mills   Great Mills
La Plata La Plata   La Plata
Lackey Great Mills Great Mills  
Lake Clifton Great Mills   Great Mills
Lansdowne Great Mills   Great Mills
Laurel Great Mills   Great Mills
Leonardtown Leonardtown insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Liberty   Liberty
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Loch Raven   Loch Raven
Long Reach Great Mills   Great Mills
Magruder Magruder   Magruder
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley   Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge   Marriotts Ridge
Meade Great Mills   Great Mills
Mergenthaler Great Mills   Great Mills
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Great Mills   Great Mills
MJ McDonough Great Mills Great Mills  
Mount Hebron Mount Hebron   Mount Hebron
National Academy Fou National Academy Fou   National Academy Fou
New Town New Town   New Town
North Caroline Great Mills   Great Mills
North County North County   North County
North Dorchester Great Mills   Great Mills
North East Cecil Great Mills   Great Mills
North Hagerstown Great Mills   Great Mills
North Harford North Harford   North Harford
North Point Great Mills tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Great Mills
Northeast AA Northeast AA   Northeast AA
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northern Calvert
Northwest Great Mills   Great Mills
Northwestern PG Great Mills   Great Mills
Northwood Great Mills   Great Mills
Oakdale Great Mills   Great Mills
Oakland Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Old Mill Great Mills   Great Mills
Overlea Great Mills   Great Mills
Owings Mills Great Mills   Great Mills
Oxon Hill Oxon Hill   Oxon Hill
Paint Branch Great Mills   Great Mills
Parkdale Parkdale   Parkdale
Parkside Parkside   Parkside
Parkville Parkville   Parkville
Patapsco Patapsco   Patapsco
Patterson HS Great Mills   Great Mills
Patterson Mill Great Mills   Great Mills
Patuxent Patuxent tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Patuxent
Perry Hall Perry Hall   Perry Hall
Perryville Perryville   Perryville
Pikesville Pikesville   Pikesville
Poolesville Poolesville   Poolesville
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Quince Orchard   Quince Orchard
Randallstown Great Mills   Great Mills
Reginald F Lewis Great Mills   Great Mills
Reservoir Reservoir   Reservoir
Richard Montgomery Richard Montgomery   Richard Montgomery
Rising Sun Rising Sun   Rising Sun
River Hill River Hill   River Hill
Rockville Rockville   Rockville
Seneca Valley Seneca Valley   Seneca Valley
Severn Run Great Mills   Great Mills
Severna Park Severna Park   Severna Park
Sherwood Sherwood   Sherwood
Smithsburg Smithsburg   Smithsburg
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Great Mills   Great Mills
South River South River   South River
Southern AA Great Mills   Great Mills
Sparrows Point Great Mills   Great Mills
Springbrook Great Mills   Great Mills
St Charles Great Mills   Great Mills
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur   Stephen Decatur
Suitland Suitland   Suitland
Surrattsville Surrattsville   Surrattsville
Thomas Stone Great Mills   Great Mills
Towson Towson   Towson
Tuscarora Great Mills   Great Mills
Urbana Urbana   Urbana
Walkersville Walkersville   Walkersville
Walt Whitman Walt Whitman   Walt Whitman
Walter Johnson Walter Johnson   Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill Great Mills   Great Mills
Western STES Western STES   Western STES
Westlake Great Mills Great Mills  
Westminster Westminster   Westminster
Wheaton Great Mills   Great Mills
Wicomico Great Mills   Great Mills
Wilde Lake Wilde Lake   Wilde Lake
Winston Churchill Great Mills   Great Mills
Winters Mill Great Mills   Great Mills
Woodlawn Woodlawn   Woodlawn
Wootton Wootton   Wootton
Archbishop Carroll Great Mills   Great Mills
DC International PCS Great Mills   Great Mills
Jackson Reed Jackson Reed   Jackson Reed

PowerWise = 84


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.26

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Westlake        ( 0- 4, 78.2)    16- 1      -21.74       3.32      -0.41         0.82             2.38
   0 H Lackey          ( 0- 5, 81.8)    16- 1      -18.08       6.98      -0.41         0.82             5.36
   0 A Chopticon       ( 2- 1, 90.5)     1-18       -9.36      15.71       0.41         0.82            -7.30
   0 H MJ McDonough    ( 0- 3, 81.8)    15- 7      -18.09       6.98      -0.41         0.82             5.36
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         5.80

winning pts = 13.1000 losing points = -7.3016

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------