boys Grand Ledge 1

  
Grand Ledge           
W-L: ( 9- 2)  PR =    93.5264
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 320 H Byron Center                         ( 5- 5, 89.7)    16- 7   
 321 A Brother Rice                         ( 4- 1, 96.1)     5-16   
 323 A Hartland                             ( 8- 4, 91.0)     8- 7   
 324 H Grand Blanc                          ( 7- 3, 86.1)    13- 1   
 409 H Holt                                 ( 6- 3, 89.9)    13- 7   
 414 A East Lansing                         ( 3- 5, 86.1)    20-11   
 416 A Haslett-Williamston                  ( 7- 4, 88.0)    10- 1   
 418 A Forest Hills Central                 ( 1- 8, 90.6)     7- 4   
 421 H Okemos                               ( 9- 2, 92.2)    10- 8   
 423 A Detroit Country Day                  ( 9- 0, 99.9)     6-16   
 425 H Forest Hills Norther                 ( 6- 2, 91.7)     6- 3   
 428 H DeWitt                               ( 3- 8, 84.3)   
 430 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie                  ( 3- 7, 77.7)   
 504 H East Grand Rapids                    ( 5- 1, 95.7)   
 506 A Rockford                             ( 7- 2, 97.7)   
 511 H Harper Creek                         ( 4- 6, 85.1)   
 513 H Clarkston                            ( 4- 4, 89.8)   
 515 H Lowell                               ( 3- 7, 86.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Byron Center           16- 7       9     4           0.77
   321 A Brother Rice            5-16     -11    -3    -     -2.05
   323 A Hartland                8- 7       1     2          -1.12
   324 H Grand Blanc            13- 1      12     8           0.00
   409 H Holt                   13- 7       6     4           1.03
   414 A East Lansing           20-11       9     7           0.00
   416 A Haslett-Williamston    10- 1       9     5           0.00
   418 A Forest Hills Central    7- 4       3     3           0.48
   421 H Okemos                 10- 8       2     2           0.24
   423 A Detroit Country Day     6-16     -10    -7           0.00
   425 H Forest Hills Norther    6- 3       3     2           0.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Brother Rice            5-16     -11    -3    -     -2.05

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Grand Ledge PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Allen Park	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Anchor Bay	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Father Gab	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Greenhills	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Huron	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Pioneer	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Skyline	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bay City Central	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bay City John Glenn	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bay City Western	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bedford	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Belleville	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Birmingham United	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Birmingham United B	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bishop Foley	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bloomfield Hills	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brighton	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brighton B	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brother Rice	Brother Rice	Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brownstown Woodhaven	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Byron Center	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Cadillac	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Caledonia	Grand Ledge		tied - 2- 1	Grand Ledge
Canton	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cass Tech	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Chelsea	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Chippewa Valley	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Clarkston	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Coopersville	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Cranbrook	Cranbrook		tied - 0- 2	Cranbrook
Dakota	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Davison	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
De La Salle	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Detroit Catholic Cen	Detroit Catholic Cen		Detroit Catholic Cen 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Detroit Country Day	Detroit Country Day	Detroit Country Day
DeWitt	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Dexter	Grand Ledge		tied - 1- 0	Grand Ledge
Divine Child	Grand Ledge		tied - 2- 0	Grand Ledge
East Grand Rapids	East Grand Rapids		tied - 2- 1	East Grand Rapids
East Kentwood	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
East Lansing	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Farmington	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Fenton	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Flint Powers	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Hills Central	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Forest Hills Eastern	Grand Ledge		tied - 1- 0	Grand Ledge
Forest Hills Norther	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Goodrich/Lake Fenton	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grand Blanc	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Grand Haven	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Catholi	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grand Rapids Christi	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grandville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grosse Ile	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grosse Pointe North	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grosse Pointe South	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Harper Creek	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hartland	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Haslett-Williamston	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Henry Ford II	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Holland Christian	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Holland West Ottawa	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Holt	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Howell	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Hudsonville	Hudsonville		tied - 2- 0	Hudsonville
Jackson	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Jenison	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Kalamazoo United	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Kenowa Hills	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
L'Anse Creuse	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
L'Anse Creuse North	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lake Orion	Grand Ledge		tied - 1- 0	Grand Ledge
Lake Shore	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lakeview	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lansing Catholic	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lapeer	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lincoln Ypsilanti	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Linden	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Livonia United	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lowell	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Mattawan	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Midland	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Midland Dow	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Mona Shores	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northview	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Northville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame Prep	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Novi	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Okemos	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Orchard Lake St Mary	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Ortonville Brandon	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oxford	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Pennfield	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Petoskey	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Pinckney	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Plymouth	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Port Huron United	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Portage Central	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Portage Northern	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Reeths Puffer	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Riverview Gabriel Ri	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester Adams	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester HS	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester Stoney Cre	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rockford	Rockford		tied - 3- 1	Rockford
Romeo	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Royal Oak HS	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Royal Oak Shrine	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Saginaw Heritage	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Salem	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Saline	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Sault Area	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
South Lyon Unified	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Spring Lake	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Clair	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Mary Catholic Cen	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Swartz Creek	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tecumseh	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Traverse City Centra	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Traverse City West	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Troy	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Troy Athens	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
University Detroit J	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
University Liggett	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Utica Eisenhower	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Vicksburg	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Walled Lake Northern	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Walled Lake Western	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Waterford United	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
West Bloomfield	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
White Lake Lakeland	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Zeeland	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge

PairWisePlus = 127

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.90

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Byron Center    ( 5- 5, 89.7)    16- 7      -10.22      18.49      -0.39         0.81            14.66
   0 A Brother Rice    ( 4- 1, 96.1)     5-16       -3.81      24.90       0.39         0.81            -2.77
   0 A Hartland        ( 8- 4, 91.0)     8- 7       -8.88      19.83       0.39         0.81            16.37
   0 H Grand Blanc     ( 7- 3, 86.1)    13- 1      -13.82      14.89      -0.39         0.81            11.74
   0 H Holt            ( 6- 3, 89.9)    13- 7       -9.95      18.76      -0.39         0.81            14.87
   0 A East Lansing    ( 3- 5, 86.1)    20-11      -13.80      14.91       0.39         0.81            12.38
   0 A Haslett-Willia  ( 7- 4, 88.0)    10- 1      -11.88      16.83       0.39         0.81            13.94
   0 A Forest Hills C  ( 1- 8, 90.6)     7- 4       -9.28      19.43       0.39         0.81            16.04
   0 H Okemos          ( 9- 2, 92.2)    10- 8       -7.75      20.97      -0.39         0.81            16.66
   0 A Detroit Countr  ( 9- 0, 99.9)     6-16       -0.00      28.71       0.39         0.81            -0.31
   0 H Forest Hills N  ( 6- 2, 91.7)     6- 3       -8.21      20.50      -0.39         0.81            16.28
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       129.84

winning pts = 132.9243 losing points = -3.0840

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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