boys Grand Ledge 1

  
Grand Ledge           
W-L: (16- 3)  PR =    94.6782
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 320 H Byron Center                         ( 8- 9, 90.0)    16- 7   
 321 A Brother Rice                         (10- 2, 96.7)     5-16   
 323 A Hartland                             (18- 4, 93.8)     8- 7   
 324 H Grand Blanc                          (12- 6, 85.9)    13- 1   
 409 H Holt                                 (13- 5, 90.0)    13- 7   
 414 A East Lansing                         ( 7- 7, 86.9)    20-11   
 416 A Haslett-Williamston                  (12- 6, 88.3)    10- 1   
 418 A Forest Hills Central                 ( 8-10, 92.6)     7- 4   
 421 H Okemos                               (13- 6, 92.4)    10- 8   
 423 A Detroit Country Day                  (15- 0, 99.9)     6-16   
 425 H Forest Hills Norther                 ( 9- 7, 91.7)     6- 3   
 428 H DeWitt                               ( 4-15, 84.5)    13- 1   
 430 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie                  ( 4-12, 76.4)    18- 0   
 504 H East Grand Rapids                    (12- 5, 96.4)    14-13   
 506 A Rockford                             (14- 3, 97.8)     4-13   
 511 H Harper Creek                         ( 8-10, 86.8)    12- 6   
 514 H Mona Shores                          (12- 7, 90.8)    10- 5   
 521 H Northview                            ( 4-16, 81.4)    20- 2   
 527 N Holt                                 (13- 5, 90.0)    15- 4   
 530 H Romeo                                (13- 7, 89.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Byron Center           16- 7       9     5           0.00
   321 A Brother Rice            5-16     -11    -3    -     -2.22
   323 A Hartland                8- 7       1     0           0.89
   324 H Grand Blanc            13- 1      12    10           0.00
   409 H Holt                   13- 7       6     5           0.00
   414 A East Lansing           20-11       9     7           0.00
   416 A Haslett-Williamston    10- 1       9     6           0.00
   418 A Forest Hills Central    7- 4       3     1           1.73
   421 H Okemos                 10- 8       2     3          -1.03
   423 A Detroit Country Day     6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   425 H Forest Hills Norther    6- 3       3     4          -0.76
   428 H DeWitt                 13- 1      12    11           0.00
   430 A St Johns/Ovid-Elsie    18- 0      18    18           0.00
   504 H East Grand Rapids      14-13       1    -1           1.90
   506 A Rockford                4-13      -9    -4          -1.13
   511 H Harper Creek           12- 6       6     9           0.00
   514 H Mona Shores            10- 5       5     5           0.32
   521 H Northview              20- 2      18    14           0.00
   527 N Holt                   15- 4      11     5           0.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Brother Rice            5-16     -11    -3    -     -2.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Grand Ledge PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Allen Park	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Anchor Bay	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Father Gab	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Greenhills	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ann Arbor Huron	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Pioneer	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Ann Arbor Skyline	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bay City Central	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 1
Bay City John Glenn	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bay City Western	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bedford	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Belleville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Birmingham United	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Birmingham United B	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bishop Foley	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Bloomfield Hills	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Brighton	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Brighton B	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brother Rice	Brother Rice	Brother Rice
Brother Rice Orange	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Brownstown Woodhaven	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Byron Center	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Cadillac	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Caledonia	Grand Ledge		tied - 4- 2	Grand Ledge
Canton	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Cass Tech	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Chelsea	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Chippewa Valley	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Clarkston	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Coopersville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 0 vs 3- 1
Cranbrook	Cranbrook		tied - 0- 2	Cranbrook
Dakota	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Davison	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
De La Salle	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Detroit Catholic Cen	Detroit Catholic Cen		Detroit Catholic Cen 3- 1 vs 1- 3
Detroit Country Day	Detroit Country Day	Detroit Country Day
DeWitt	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Dexter	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Divine Child	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 2- 1
East Grand Rapids	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
East Kentwood	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
East Lansing	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Farmington	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Fenton	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Flint Powers	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Forest Hills Central	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Forest Hills Eastern	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 7- 1 vs 4- 4
Forest Hills Norther	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Goodrich/Lake Fenton	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Grand Blanc	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Grand Haven	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Grand Rapids Catholi	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 5- 1 vs 0- 6
Grand Rapids Christi	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 2- 1
Grandville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 5- 0 vs 3- 2
Grosse Ile	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grosse Pointe North	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Grosse Pointe South	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Harper Creek	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Hartland	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Haslett-Williamston	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Henry Ford II	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Holland Christian	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Holland West Ottawa	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Holt	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Howell	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Hudsonville	Hudsonville		tied - 4- 1	Hudsonville
Jackson	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Jenison	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 1 vs 3- 2
Kalamazoo United	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kenowa Hills	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 5- 0 vs 2- 2
L'Anse Creuse	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
L'Anse Creuse North	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lake Orion	Grand Ledge		tied - 1- 0	Grand Ledge
Lake Shore	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lakeview	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 6- 0 vs 2- 4
Lansing Catholic	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Lapeer	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lincoln Ypsilanti	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Linden	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Livonia United	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lowell	Grand Ledge		tied - 4- 0	Grand Ledge
Mattawan	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 0 vs 3- 1
Midland	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Midland Dow	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 2- 1
Mona Shores	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Northview	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Northville	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame Prep	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Novi	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Okemos	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
Orchard Lake St Mary	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Ortonville Brandon	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Oxford	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Pennfield	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Petoskey	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Pinckney	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Plymouth	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Port Huron United	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Portage Central	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Portage Northern	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Reeths Puffer	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Riverview Gabriel Ri	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester Adams	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester HS	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rochester Stoney Cre	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Rockford	Rockford	Rockford
Romeo	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 5- 1 vs 2- 4
Royal Oak HS	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Royal Oak Shrine	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
Saginaw Heritage	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Salem	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Saline	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sault Area	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
South Lyon Unified	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Spring Lake	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 4- 1 vs 0- 5
St Clair	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie	Grand Ledge	Grand Ledge
St Mary Catholic Cen	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Swartz Creek	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Tecumseh	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Traverse City Centra	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Traverse City West	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Troy	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Troy Athens	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
University Detroit J	Grand Ledge		tied - 0- 1	Grand Ledge
University Liggett	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Utica Eisenhower	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Vicksburg	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Walled Lake Northern	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Walled Lake Western	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
Waterford United	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
West Bloomfield	Grand Ledge			Grand Ledge
White Lake Lakeland	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Zeeland	Grand Ledge		Grand Ledge 2- 1 vs 0- 3

PairWisePlus = 128

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Byron Center    ( 8- 9, 90.0)    16- 7       -9.91      20.37      -0.78         0.82            16.10
   0 A Brother Rice    (10- 2, 96.7)     5-16       -3.22      27.06       0.78         0.82            -2.01
   0 A Hartland        (18- 4, 93.8)     8- 7       -6.11      24.17       0.78         0.82            20.50
   0 H Grand Blanc     (12- 6, 85.9)    13- 1      -14.04      16.24      -0.78         0.82            12.71
   0 H Holt            (13- 5, 90.0)    13- 7       -9.87      20.41      -0.78         0.82            16.13
   0 A East Lansing    ( 7- 7, 86.9)    20-11      -12.97      17.31       0.78         0.82            14.87
   0 A Haslett-Willia  (12- 6, 88.3)    10- 1      -11.61      18.67       0.78         0.82            15.99
   0 A Forest Hills C  ( 8-10, 92.6)     7- 4       -7.27      23.01       0.78         0.82            19.55
   0 H Okemos          (13- 6, 92.4)    10- 8       -7.47      22.81      -0.78         0.82            18.11
   0 A Detroit Countr  (15- 0, 99.9)     6-16       -0.00      30.28       0.78         0.82            -0.64
   0 H Forest Hills N  ( 9- 7, 91.7)     6- 3       -8.20      22.08      -0.78         0.82            17.51
   0 H DeWitt          ( 4-15, 84.5)    13- 1      -15.42      14.86      -0.78         0.82            11.58
   0 A St Johns/Ovid-  ( 4-12, 76.4)    18- 0      -23.54       6.74       0.78         0.82             6.18
   0 H East Grand Rap  (12- 5, 96.4)    14-13       -3.54      26.74      -0.78         0.82            21.33
   0 A Rockford        (14- 3, 97.8)     4-13       -2.13      28.16       0.78         0.82            -1.11
   0 H Harper Creek    ( 8-10, 86.8)    12- 6      -13.14      17.15      -0.78         0.82            13.45
   0 H Mona Shores     (12- 7, 90.8)    10- 5       -9.13      21.16      -0.78         0.82            16.75
   0 H Northview       ( 4-16, 81.4)    20- 2      -18.52      11.76      -0.78         0.82             9.02
   0 N Holt            (13- 5, 90.0)    15- 4       -9.87      20.41      -0.00         0.82            16.77
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       242.80

winning pts = 246.5524 losing points = -3.7534

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------