Great Falls
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 90.2852
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 13- 6
412 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 12-13
412 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 7- 6
418 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5-13
425 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 6
425 H Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 4- 8
428 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 6- 5
430 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 5- 3
502 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 6- 3
509 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 9-14
509 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 4
516 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 5-10
516 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Helena East 13- 6 7 0 ++ 4.56
412 H Helena East 12-13 -1 1 -1.92
412 H Helena West 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.53
418 H Missoula Wild 5-13 -8 0 -- -4.66
425 A Bozeman White 7- 6 1 2 -0.79
425 H Billings Beartooth 4- 8 -4 -4 0.13
428 H Missoula Wild 6- 5 1 0 1.34
430 H Helena East 5- 3 2 1 1.08
502 H Helena West 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.53
509 A Billings Beartooth 9-14 -5 -5 -0.38
509 H Bozeman White 7- 4 3 2 0.72
516 H Helena West 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.47
516 H Missoula Wild 9-13 -4 0 - -3.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 H Missoula Wild 5-13 -8 0 -- -4.66
516 H Helena West 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.47
516 H Missoula Wild 9-13 -4 0 - -3.66
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Helena East 13- 6 7 0 ++ 4.56
502 H Helena West 6- 3 3 -2 ++ 4.53
412 H Helena West 7- 6 1 -2 + 2.53
|
Great Falls PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
Billings Beartooth |
 
| |
| Bozeman Black |
Bozeman Black |
|
 
| Bozeman Black |
| Bozeman White |
Great Falls |
Great Falls |
 
| |
| Cody |
Cody |
|
 
| Cody |
| Helena East |
Great Falls |
Great Falls |
 
|
| Helena West |
Great Falls |
Great Falls |
 
|
| Missoula Wild |
Missoula Wild |
Missoula Wild |
 
|
| Northwest Black |
Northwest Black |
|
Northwest Black   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Northwest Green |
Northwest Green |
|
 
| Northwest Green |
| Sheridan |
Sheridan |
|
 
| Sheridan |
PairWisePlus = 3

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 13- 6 -10.30 1.36 0.24 0.52 0.83
0 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 12-13 -10.30 1.36 -0.24 0.52 -5.45
0 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 7- 6 -7.85 3.81 -0.24 0.52 1.84
0 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5-13 -9.03 2.62 -0.24 0.52 -4.80
0 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 6 -11.65 1.00 0.24 0.52 0.64
0 H Billings Beart (10- 1, 94.7) 4- 8 -5.24 6.41 -0.24 0.52 -2.84
0 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 6- 5 -9.03 2.62 -0.24 0.52 1.23
0 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 5- 3 -10.30 1.36 -0.24 0.52 0.58
0 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 6- 3 -7.85 3.81 -0.24 0.52 1.84
0 A Billings Beart (10- 1, 94.7) 9-14 -5.24 6.41 0.24 0.52 -2.59
0 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 4 -11.65 1.00 -0.24 0.52 0.39
0 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 5-10 -7.85 3.81 -0.24 0.52 -4.19
0 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9-13 -9.03 2.62 -0.24 0.52 -4.80
------
-17.30
|
winning pts = 7.3600 losing points = -24.6568
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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