UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:54 PDT

boys Great Falls 1
  
Great Falls           
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 90.2852

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 13- 6 412 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 12-13 412 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 7- 6 418 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 5-13 425 A Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 6 425 H Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 4- 8 428 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 6- 5 430 H Helena East ( 4- 9, 89.6) 5- 3 502 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 6- 3 509 A Billings Beartooth (10- 1, 94.7) 9-14 509 H Bozeman White ( 1-10, 88.2) 7- 4 516 H Helena West ( 9- 5, 92.1) 5-10 516 H Missoula Wild ( 5- 6, 90.9) 9-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Helena East            13- 6       7     0    ++     4.56
   412 H Helena East            12-13      -1     1          -1.92
   412 H Helena West             7- 6       1    -2    +      2.53
   418 H Missoula Wild           5-13      -8     0    --    -4.66
   425 A Bozeman White           7- 6       1     2          -0.79
   425 H Billings Beartooth      4- 8      -4    -4           0.13
   428 H Missoula Wild           6- 5       1     0           1.34
   430 H Helena East             5- 3       2     1           1.08
   502 H Helena West             6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.53
   509 A Billings Beartooth      9-14      -5    -5          -0.38
   509 H Bozeman White           7- 4       3     2           0.72
   516 H Helena West             5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.47
   516 H Missoula Wild           9-13      -4     0    -     -3.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Missoula Wild           5-13      -8     0    --    -4.66
   516 H Helena West             5-10      -5    -2    -     -3.47
   516 H Missoula Wild           9-13      -4     0    -     -3.66

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Helena East            13- 6       7     0    ++     4.56
   502 H Helena West             6- 3       3    -2    ++     4.53
   412 H Helena West             7- 6       1    -2    +      2.53

Great Falls PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth Billings Beartooth  
Bozeman Black Bozeman Black   Bozeman Black
Bozeman White Great Falls Great Falls  
Cody Cody   Cody
Helena East Great Falls Great Falls  
Helena West Great Falls Great Falls  
Missoula Wild Missoula Wild Missoula Wild  
Northwest Black Northwest Black Northwest Black   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Northwest Green Northwest Green   Northwest Green
Sheridan Sheridan   Sheridan

PairWisePlus = 3


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.73

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)    13- 6      -10.30       1.36       0.24         0.52             0.83
   0 H Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)    12-13      -10.30       1.36      -0.24         0.52            -5.45
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     7- 6       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.52             1.84
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     5-13       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.52            -4.80
   0 A Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)     7- 6      -11.65       1.00       0.24         0.52             0.64
   0 H Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     4- 8       -5.24       6.41      -0.24         0.52            -2.84
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     6- 5       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.52             1.23
   0 H Helena East     ( 4- 9, 89.6)     5- 3      -10.30       1.36      -0.24         0.52             0.58
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     6- 3       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.52             1.84
   0 A Billings Beart  (10- 1, 94.7)     9-14       -5.24       6.41       0.24         0.52            -2.59
   0 H Bozeman White   ( 1-10, 88.2)     7- 4      -11.65       1.00      -0.24         0.52             0.39
   0 H Helena West     ( 9- 5, 92.1)     5-10       -7.85       3.81      -0.24         0.52            -4.19
   0 H Missoula Wild   ( 5- 6, 90.9)     9-13       -9.03       2.62      -0.24         0.52            -4.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -17.30

winning pts = 7.3600 losing points = -24.6568

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------