Gardiner Area
W-L: ( 6- 5) PR = 86.9580
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
424 A North Yarmouth Acade ( 9- 2, 89.2) 4-10
428 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 15- 7
501 H Biddeford ( 2- 9, 80.3) 16- 2
512 H Messalonskee (10- 3, 91.1) 8-14
514 A Oak Hill ( 0-11, 80.2) 11- 4
515 H Greely ( 7- 4, 91.4) 10-18
518 A Mount Ararat ( 5- 5, 84.9) 10-11
520 H Brunswick ( 5- 6, 90.7) 12-13
522 H Cony ( 7- 3, 83.6) 11- 2
525 A Lawrence/Winslow ( 2- 9, 75.7) 20- 8
527 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 5, 82.3) 16- 4
529 H Brewer ( 3- 6, 74.8)
602 H Lewiston ( 5- 5, 84.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 A North Yarmouth Acade 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.72
428 A Morse/Boothbay 15- 7 8 2 + 2.54
501 H Biddeford 16- 2 14 7 0.00
512 H Messalonskee 8-14 -6 -4 -0.89
514 A Oak Hill 11- 4 7 7 0.00
515 H Greely 10-18 -8 -4 -0.54
518 A Mount Ararat 10-11 -1 2 - -3.07
520 H Brunswick 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.76
522 H Cony 11- 2 9 3 1.60
525 A Lawrence/Winslow 20- 8 12 11 0.00
527 A Erskine Academy 16- 4 12 5 0.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
424 A North Yarmouth Acade 4-10 -6 -2 - -2.72
518 A Mount Ararat 10-11 -1 2 - -3.07
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
428 A Morse/Boothbay 15- 7 8 2 + 2.54
520 H Brunswick 12-13 -1 -4 + 2.76
|
Gardiner Area PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Bangor |
Gardiner Area |
|
 
| Gardiner Area |
| Biddeford |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
| Bonny Eagle |
Bonny Eagle |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Bonny Eagle |
| Brewer |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Brunswick |
Brunswick |
Brunswick |
 
| |
| Camden Hills Regiona |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Cape Elizabeth |
Cape Elizabeth |
|
Cape Elizabeth   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Cheverus |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Gardiner Area |
| Cony |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
|
| Deering |
Deering |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Deering |
| Edward Little |
Edward Little |
|
Edward Little   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Erskine Academy |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
| Falmouth |
Falmouth |
|
Falmouth   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Freeport |
Freeport |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Freeport |
| Fryeburg Academy |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Gardiner Area |
| Gorham |
Gorham |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Gorham |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
|
tied -  0- 2 |
Gray/New Gloucester/ |
| Greely |
Greely |
Greely |
 
| |
| Hampden Academy |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Gardiner Area |
| Houlton/Hogdon |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| John Bapst Memorial |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Kennebunk |
Kennebunk |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Kennebunk |
| Lake Region |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lawrence/Winslow |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
| Lewiston |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Gardiner Area |
| Lincoln Academy |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   2- 1 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Maranacook-Winthrop |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Gardiner Area |
| Marshwood |
Marshwood |
|
Marshwood   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Massabesic |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Gardiner Area |
| MCI-Nokomis |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Messalonskee |
Messalonskee |
Messalonskee |
 
| |
| Morse/Boothbay |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
| Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
Mount Ararat |
 
|
| Mount Blue |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  1- 2 |
Gardiner Area |
| Noble/Sanford |
Noble/Sanford |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Noble/Sanford |
| North Yarmouth Acade |
North Yarmouth Acade |
North Yarmouth Acade |
 
| |
| Oak Hill |
Gardiner Area |
Gardiner Area |
 
| |
| Oxford Hills |
Gardiner Area |
|
Gardiner Area   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Portland |
Portland |
|
Portland   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Scarborough |
Scarborough |
|
Scarborough   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| South Portland |
South Portland |
|
South Portland   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Thornton Academy |
Thornton Academy |
|
Thornton Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Traip Academy |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Gardiner Area |
| Waynflete School |
Gardiner Area |
|
 
| Gardiner Area |
| Wells |
Wells |
|
Wells   3- 1 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Westbrook |
Gardiner Area |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Gardiner Area |
| Windham |
Windham |
|
 
| Windham |
| Yarmouth |
Yarmouth |
|
Yarmouth   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| York |
York |
|
York   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
PairWisePlus = 25

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A North Yarmouth ( 9- 2, 89.2) 4-10 -10.68 20.48 0.01 0.95 -10.08
0 A Morse/Boothbay ( 6- 5, 84.5) 15- 7 -15.41 15.74 0.01 0.95 14.89
0 H Biddeford ( 2- 9, 80.3) 16- 2 -19.60 11.55 -0.01 0.95 10.91
0 H Messalonskee (10- 3, 91.1) 8-14 -8.82 22.34 -0.01 0.95 -8.35
0 A Oak Hill ( 0-11, 80.2) 11- 4 -19.73 11.42 0.01 0.95 10.81
0 H Greely ( 7- 4, 91.4) 10-18 -8.47 22.68 -0.01 0.95 -8.02
0 A Mount Ararat ( 5- 5, 84.9) 10-11 -15.02 16.13 0.01 0.95 -14.20
0 H Brunswick ( 5- 6, 90.7) 12-13 -9.17 21.98 -0.01 0.95 -8.68
0 H Cony ( 7- 3, 83.6) 11- 2 -16.33 14.82 -0.01 0.95 14.01
0 A Lawrence/Winsl ( 2- 9, 75.7) 20- 8 -24.25 6.91 0.01 0.95 6.54
0 A Erskine Academ ( 8- 5, 82.3) 16- 4 -17.60 13.56 0.01 0.95 12.83
------
20.66
|
winning pts = 69.9859 losing points = -49.3257
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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