UPDATED: 08-07-26 18:56 PDT

boys Fryeburg Academy 1
  
Fryeburg Academy      
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 84.6770

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 424 H Maranacook-Winthrop (10- 6, 84.3) 11- 9 428 A Traip Academy ( 0-13, 68.5) 19- 4 501 A Westbrook ( 4- 9, 83.0) 12- 9 505 H Wells ( 8- 7, 85.4) 10- 5 508 A Portland ( 8- 7, 88.6) 11-16 512 H Lake Region ( 2- 8, 73.5) 19- 1 516 A Mount Ararat ( 8- 7, 83.6) 7- 8 519 A Lake Region ( 2- 8, 73.5) 17- 4 521 H Freeport ( 6- 9, 87.3) 3- 9 526 A Mount Blue ( 6- 8, 80.1) 15-11 529 H Noble/Sanford (11- 5, 89.2) 5-16 602 H North Yarmouth Acade (14- 3, 88.4) 6-10 604 A Gray/New Gloucester/ ( 8- 7, 86.3) 6- 9 609 A Brunswick ( 8- 8, 89.0) 7-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Maranacook-Winthrop    11- 9       2     1           1.43
   428 A Traip Academy          19- 4      15    16           0.00
   501 A Westbrook              12- 9       3     1           1.59
   505 H Wells                  10- 5       5    -1    ++     5.50
   508 A Portland               11-16      -5    -4          -0.88
   512 H Lake Region            19- 1      18    11           0.00
   516 A Mount Ararat            7- 8      -1     1          -1.87
   519 A Lake Region            17- 4      13    11           0.00
   521 H Freeport                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.58
   526 A Mount Blue             15-11       4     4          -0.36
   529 H Noble/Sanford           5-16     -11    -4          -0.70
   602 H North Yarmouth Acade    6-10      -4    -3          -0.53
   604 A Gray/New Gloucester/    6- 9      -3    -2          -1.17
   609 A Brunswick               7-21     -14    -5          -0.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 H Freeport                3- 9      -6    -2    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Wells                  10- 5       5    -1    ++     5.50

Fryeburg Academy PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Fryeburg Academy   Fryeburg Academy
Biddeford Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle tied -  1- 1 Bonny Eagle
Brewer Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Brunswick Brunswick Brunswick  
Camden Hills Regiona Fryeburg Academy tied -  0- 1 Fryeburg Academy
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cheverus Fryeburg Academy tied -  1- 3 Fryeburg Academy
Cony Cony Cony   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Deering Deering Deering   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Edward Little Edward Little Edward Little   4- 1 vs 3- 2
Erskine Academy Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Falmouth Falmouth Falmouth   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Freeport Freeport Freeport  
Gardiner Area Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Gorham Gorham Gorham   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/ Gray/New Gloucester/  
Greely Greely Greely   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Hampden Academy Fryeburg Academy tied -  1- 0 Fryeburg Academy
Houlton/Hogdon Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
John Bapst Memorial Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Kennebunk Kennebunk Kennebunk   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lake Region Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Lawrence/Winslow Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Lewiston Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Lincoln Academy Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Maranacook-Winthrop Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Massabesic Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   3- 3 vs 2- 4
MCI-Nokomis Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Messalonskee Messalonskee Messalonskee   2- 2 vs 1- 3
Morse/Boothbay Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   2- 3 vs 0- 5
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat Mount Ararat  
Mount Blue Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford Noble/Sanford  
North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade North Yarmouth Acade  
Oak Hill Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Oxford Hills Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Portland Portland Portland  
Scarborough Scarborough Scarborough   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Portland South Portland South Portland   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Traip Academy Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Waynflete School Fryeburg Academy   Fryeburg Academy
Wells Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Westbrook Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy  
Windham Windham Windham   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
York York York   4- 0 vs 0- 4

PairWisePlus = 25


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Maranacook-Win  (10- 6, 84.3)    11- 9      -15.57      15.80      -0.22         1.01            15.67
   0 A Traip Academy   ( 0-13, 68.5)    19- 4      -31.37       1.00       0.22         1.01             1.23
   0 A Westbrook       ( 4- 9, 83.0)    12- 9      -16.85      14.51       0.22         1.01            14.82
   0 H Wells           ( 8- 7, 85.4)    10- 5      -14.50      16.87      -0.22         1.01            16.74
   0 A Portland        ( 8- 7, 88.6)    11-16      -11.33      20.04       0.22         1.01           -11.17
   0 H Lake Region     ( 2- 8, 73.5)    19- 1      -26.45       4.92      -0.22         1.01             4.73
   0 A Mount Ararat    ( 8- 7, 83.6)     7- 8      -16.32      15.05       0.22         1.01           -16.19
   0 A Lake Region     ( 2- 8, 73.5)    17- 4      -26.45       4.92       0.22         1.01             5.17
   0 H Freeport        ( 6- 9, 87.3)     3- 9      -12.58      18.79      -0.22         1.01           -12.87
   0 A Mount Blue      ( 6- 8, 80.1)    15-11      -19.80      11.57       0.22         1.01            11.85
   0 H Noble/Sanford   (11- 5, 89.2)     5-16      -10.70      20.67      -0.22         1.01           -10.98
   0 H North Yarmouth  (14- 3, 88.4)     6-10      -11.53      19.84      -0.22         1.01           -11.82
   0 A Gray/New Glouc  ( 8- 7, 86.3)     6- 9      -13.61      17.75       0.22         1.01           -13.47
   0 A Brunswick       ( 8- 8, 89.0)     7-21      -10.86      20.50       0.22         1.01           -10.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -17.00

winning pts = 70.2055 losing points = -87.2091

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------