Fairfield Warde
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 88.9881
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 A Greenwich HS ( 3- 3, 93.3) 1-11
407 H Darien ( 5- 0, 99.5) 0-21
409 A Norwalk ( 3- 5, 80.2) 18- 1
411 A Bethel ( 5- 5, 84.0) 19- 9
414 H Brookfield ( 4- 5, 87.4) 12- 5
418 H Trumbull ( 5- 3, 88.9) 9-10
421 H St Joseph Trumbull ( 5- 2, 92.8) 3-14
427 H Holy Cross ( 3- 4, 81.5) 18- 5
430 H Westhill ( 1- 7, 78.6)
502 A Hamden ( 5- 3, 85.3)
504 H Sheehan ( 3- 6, 84.2)
509 A Fairfield Ludlowe ( 4- 4, 92.6)
512 A Brien McMahon ( 3- 4, 86.7)
514 H Stamford ( 2- 5, 83.1)
521 A Shelton ( 1- 6, 82.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 A Greenwich HS 1-11 -10 -4 -0.60
407 H Darien 0-21 -21 -10 0.00
409 A Norwalk 18- 1 17 9 0.00
411 A Bethel 19- 9 10 5 0.14
414 H Brookfield 12- 5 7 2 + 3.27
418 H Trumbull 9-10 -1 0 -1.22
421 H St Joseph Trumbull 3-14 -11 -4 -1.32
427 H Holy Cross 18- 5 13 8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 H Brookfield 12- 5 7 2 + 3.27
|
Fairfield Warde PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Amity Regional |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| Avon HS |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Bacon Academy |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Berlin |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Bethel |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
| Branford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Brien McMahon |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| Bristol Co-Op |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Brookfield |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
| Bunnell-Stratford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Canton |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Capital-Classical Pr |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Cheshire HS |
Cheshire HS |
|
 
| Cheshire HS |
| Conard |
Conard |
|
 
| Conard |
| Cromwell |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Danbury |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Daniel Hand |
Daniel Hand |
|
 
| Daniel Hand |
| Darien |
Darien |
Darien |
 
| |
| East Catholic |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| East Lyme |
East Lyme |
|
 
| East Lyme |
| Ellington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Enfield |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| EO Smith |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Fairfield Ludlowe |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
|
Fairfield Ludlowe   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Fairfield Prep |
Fairfield Prep |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Fairfield Prep |
| Farmington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Fitch Groton |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Foran |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| Glastonbury |
Glastonbury |
|
 
| Glastonbury |
| Granby Memorial |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
Greenwich HS |
 
| |
| Guilford |
Guilford |
|
Guilford   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Haddam-Killingworth |
Haddam-Killingworth |
|
 
| Haddam-Killingworth |
| Hall |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Hamden |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| Holy Cross |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
| Immaculate Danbury |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Joel Barlow |
Joel Barlow |
|
Joel Barlow   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Jonathan Law |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Lakeview United |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Ledyard-Griswold |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Lewis Mills |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Lyman Hall |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Maloney-Platt |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Masuk |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Middletown |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Montville |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Morgan School |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| New Canaan |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| New Fairfield |
New Fairfield |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
New Fairfield |
| New Milford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Newington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Newtown |
Newtown |
|
Newtown   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| North Branford |
North Branford |
|
 
| North Branford |
| North Haven |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Northwest Catholic |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Norwalk |
Fairfield Warde |
Fairfield Warde |
 
| |
| Norwich Free Academy |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Norwich Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Notre Dame-Fairfield |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Notre Dame-West Have |
Notre Dame-West Have |
|
 
| Notre Dame-West Have |
| Old Lyme |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Old Saybrook |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Pomperaug |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Prince-Cheney Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| RHAM |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Ridgefield |
Ridgefield |
|
Ridgefield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Rockville Co-op |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Rocky Hill |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Sheehan |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Shelton |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| Simsbury |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Somers |
Somers |
|
 
| Somers |
| South Windsor |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Southington |
Southington |
|
 
| Southington |
| St Bernard-Wheeler |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
St Joseph Trumbull |
 
| |
| St Paul Catholic |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Stamford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Staples |
Staples |
|
 
| Staples |
| Stonington |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Suffield |
Suffield |
|
 
| Suffield |
| Tolland |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Trumbull |
Trumbull |
Trumbull |
 
| |
| Valley Regional |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Vinal/Goodwin Tech |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Waterford |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Watertown |
Fairfield Warde |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield Warde |
| West Haven |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Westhill |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Weston |
Weston |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Weston |
| Wethersfield |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Wilbur Cross |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Wilton |
Wilton |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Wilton |
| Windsor |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Wolcott |
Fairfield Warde |
|
Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodstock Academy |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
| Xavier |
Fairfield Warde |
|
 
| Fairfield Warde |
PairWisePlus = 72

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Greenwich HS ( 3- 3, 93.3) 1-11 -6.63 25.53 0.12 0.83 -5.43
0 H Darien ( 5- 0, 99.5) 0-21 -0.36 31.80 -0.12 0.83 -0.40
0 A Norwalk ( 3- 5, 80.2) 18- 1 -19.68 12.48 0.12 0.83 10.49
0 A Bethel ( 5- 5, 84.0) 19- 9 -15.88 16.28 0.12 0.83 13.66
0 H Brookfield ( 4- 5, 87.4) 12- 5 -12.53 19.64 -0.12 0.83 16.27
0 H Trumbull ( 5- 3, 88.9) 9-10 -11.02 21.14 -0.12 0.83 -9.28
0 H St Joseph Trum ( 5- 2, 92.8) 3-14 -7.11 25.05 -0.12 0.83 -6.02
0 H Holy Cross ( 3- 4, 81.5) 18- 5 -18.38 13.78 -0.12 0.83 11.39
------
30.68
|
winning pts = 51.8104 losing points = -21.1303
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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