UPDATED: 04-28-26 08:46 PDT

boys Fairfield Warde 1
  
Fairfield Warde       
W-L: ( 4- 4) PR = 88.9881

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Greenwich HS ( 3- 3, 93.3) 1-11 407 H Darien ( 5- 0, 99.5) 0-21 409 A Norwalk ( 3- 5, 80.2) 18- 1 411 A Bethel ( 5- 5, 84.0) 19- 9 414 H Brookfield ( 4- 5, 87.4) 12- 5 418 H Trumbull ( 5- 3, 88.9) 9-10 421 H St Joseph Trumbull ( 5- 2, 92.8) 3-14 427 H Holy Cross ( 3- 4, 81.5) 18- 5 430 H Westhill ( 1- 7, 78.6) 502 A Hamden ( 5- 3, 85.3) 504 H Sheehan ( 3- 6, 84.2) 509 A Fairfield Ludlowe ( 4- 4, 92.6) 512 A Brien McMahon ( 3- 4, 86.7) 514 H Stamford ( 2- 5, 83.1) 521 A Shelton ( 1- 6, 82.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Greenwich HS            1-11     -10    -4          -0.60
   407 H Darien                  0-21     -21   -10           0.00
   409 A Norwalk                18- 1      17     9           0.00
   411 A Bethel                 19- 9      10     5           0.14
   414 H Brookfield             12- 5       7     2    +      3.27
   418 H Trumbull                9-10      -1     0          -1.22
   421 H St Joseph Trumbull      3-14     -11    -4          -1.32
   427 H Holy Cross             18- 5      13     8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Brookfield             12- 5       7     2    +      3.27

Fairfield Warde PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
Avon HS Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Bacon Academy Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Berlin Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Bethel Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Branford Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Brien McMahon Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
Bristol Co-Op Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Brookfield Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Bunnell-Stratford Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canton Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Capital-Classical Pr Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard   Conard
Cromwell Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Danbury Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien Darien  
East Catholic Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
East Lyme East Lyme   East Lyme
Ellington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Enfield Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
EO Smith Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep tied -  0- 1 Fairfield Prep
Farmington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Fitch Groton Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Foran Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS Greenwich HS  
Guilford Guilford Guilford   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Hamden Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
Holy Cross Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Immaculate Danbury Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Jonathan Law Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Lakeview United Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ledyard-Griswold Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Lewis Mills Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Lyman Hall Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Maloney-Platt Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Masuk Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 2 vs 0- 3
Middletown Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Montville Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Morgan School Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied -  1- 0 New Fairfield
New Milford Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Newington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Newtown Newtown Newtown   2- 0 vs 1- 1
North Branford North Branford   North Branford
North Haven Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Northwest Catholic Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Norwalk Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Norwich Free Academy Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Norwich Tech Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Notre Dame-Fairfield Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Old Saybrook Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Pomperaug Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Prince-Cheney Tech Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
RHAM Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Rockville Co-op Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Rocky Hill Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Sheehan Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Shelton Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
Simsbury Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull  
St Paul Catholic Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Stamford Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Suffield Suffield   Suffield
Tolland Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Trumbull Trumbull Trumbull  
Valley Regional Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Waterford Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Watertown Fairfield Warde tied -  1- 0 Fairfield Warde
West Haven Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Westhill Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Weston Weston tied -  1- 1 Weston
Wethersfield Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Wilbur Cross Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Wilton Wilton tied -  0- 1 Wilton
Windsor Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Wolcott Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodstock Academy Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Xavier Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde

PairWisePlus = 72


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.67

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Greenwich HS    ( 3- 3, 93.3)     1-11       -6.63      25.53       0.12         0.83            -5.43
   0 H Darien          ( 5- 0, 99.5)     0-21       -0.36      31.80      -0.12         0.83            -0.40
   0 A Norwalk         ( 3- 5, 80.2)    18- 1      -19.68      12.48       0.12         0.83            10.49
   0 A Bethel          ( 5- 5, 84.0)    19- 9      -15.88      16.28       0.12         0.83            13.66
   0 H Brookfield      ( 4- 5, 87.4)    12- 5      -12.53      19.64      -0.12         0.83            16.27
   0 H Trumbull        ( 5- 3, 88.9)     9-10      -11.02      21.14      -0.12         0.83            -9.28
   0 H St Joseph Trum  ( 5- 2, 92.8)     3-14       -7.11      25.05      -0.12         0.83            -6.02
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 3- 4, 81.5)    18- 5      -18.38      13.78      -0.12         0.83            11.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        30.68

winning pts = 51.8104 losing points = -21.1303

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------