First Colonial
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 82.4292
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
319 A Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 6
414 H Kellam (11- 2, 85.4) 4-13
417 A Ocean Lakes ( 3- 6, 75.7) 20- 8
421 H Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 5
424 A Tallwood ( 1-10, 70.8) 9- 3
425 A Cape Henry Collegiat (11- 5, 88.0) 6-12
427 A Norfolk Christian ( 9- 7, 83.1) 12-11
430 H Salem Virginia Beach ( 3- 8, 71.8) 14- 2
501 A Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 9- 3
505 H Bayside ( 0- 8, 66.6) 16- 3
508 A Kempsville ( 7- 3, 76.4) 13- 4
512 H Green Run ( 1- 7, 69.2) 18- 1
515 A Landstown ( 6- 5, 75.4)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 A Cox 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.85
414 H Kellam 4-13 -9 -3 - -2.49
417 A Ocean Lakes 20- 8 12 6 0.00
421 H Cox 4- 5 -1 0 -0.76
424 A Tallwood 9- 3 6 11 0.00
425 A Cape Henry Collegiat 6-12 -6 -6 0.00
427 A Norfolk Christian 12-11 1 -1 + 2.08
430 H Salem Virginia Beach 14- 2 12 11 0.00
501 A Princess Anne 9- 3 6 3 + 2.08
505 H Bayside 16- 3 13 16 0.00
508 A Kempsville 13- 4 9 6 0.00
512 H Green Run 18- 1 17 14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 H Kellam 4-13 -9 -3 - -2.49
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
427 A Norfolk Christian 12-11 1 -1 + 2.08
501 A Princess Anne 9- 3 6 3 + 2.08
|
First Colonial PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Albemarle |
Albemarle |
|
 
| Albemarle |
| Alexandria City |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Annandale |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Atlee |
Atlee |
|
 
| Atlee |
| Battlefield |
Battlefield |
|
 
| Battlefield |
| Bayside |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Benedictine |
Benedictine |
|
Benedictine   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Bishop Ireton |
Bishop Ireton |
|
 
| Bishop Ireton |
| Bishop OConnell |
Bishop OConnell |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Bishop OConnell |
| Blacksburg |
Blacksburg |
|
 
| Blacksburg |
| Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
| Brentsville |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
|
 
| Briar Woods |
| Broad Run |
Broad Run |
|
 
| Broad Run |
| Brooke Point |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
 
| |
| Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
Catholic HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Cave Spring |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Centreville |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Chantilly |
Chantilly |
|
 
| Chantilly |
| Charlottesville |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
| Christiansburg |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Clover Hill |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Colgan |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
Collegiate School   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Colonial Forge |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Cosby |
Cosby |
|
 
| Cosby |
| Covenant School |
Covenant School |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Covenant School |
| Cox |
Cox |
Cox |
 
| |
| Culpeper County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Deep Run |
First Colonial |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
First Colonial |
| Dominion |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
 
| Douglas Freeman |
| Eastern View |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| EC Glass |
EC Glass |
|
 
| EC Glass |
| Edison |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
| Eukarya Christian |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fairfax |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Falls Church |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fauquier |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fishburne Military A |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Flint Hill |
Flint Hill |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
Flint Hill |
| Fluvanna County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Forest Park |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fork Union Military |
Fork Union Military |
|
 
| Fork Union Military |
| Franklin County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fredericksburg Acade |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Fredericksburg Chris |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Freedom South Ridin |
Freedom South Ridin |
|
 
| Freedom South Ridin |
| Freedom Woodbridge |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Gainesville |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Gar-field |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Glen Allen |
Glen Allen |
|
Glen Allen   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Goochland |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Grafton LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Grassfield LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Green Run |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Handley |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Hanover |
Hanover |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Hanover |
| Hayfield |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Heritage Leesburg |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Herndon |
Herndon |
|
 
| Herndon |
| Hickory LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Hidden Valley |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Highland School |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Highland Springs |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Hylton |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Independence |
Independence |
|
 
| Independence |
| James Monroe |
James Monroe |
|
 
| James Monroe |
| James River |
James River |
|
 
| James River |
| Jamestown LC |
Jamestown LC |
|
 
| Jamestown LC |
| Jefferson Forest |
Jefferson Forest |
|
 
| Jefferson Forest |
| John Champe |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Justice |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Kellam |
Kellam |
Kellam |
 
| |
| Kempsville |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Kettle Run |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Lafayette LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Lake Braddock |
Lake Braddock |
|
 
| Lake Braddock |
| Landstown |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   8- 1 vs 4- 5 |
|
| Langley |
Langley |
|
 
| Langley |
| Lewis |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Liberty Bealeton |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Lightridge |
Lightridge |
|
 
| Lightridge |
| Lloyd C Bird |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Lord Botetourt |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
| Loudoun Valley |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Madison |
Madison |
|
 
| Madison |
| Manchester |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Marshall |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Massaponax |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Matoaca |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Maury LC |
Maury LC |
|
 
| Maury LC |
| McLean |
McLean |
|
 
| McLean |
| Mechanicsville |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Menchville LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Meridian |
Meridian |
|
 
| Meridian |
| Midlothian |
Midlothian |
|
 
| Midlothian |
| Mills Godwin |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Monacan |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Monticello |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Mount Vernon |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Mountain View |
Mountain View |
|
 
| Mountain View |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
|
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   2- 2 vs 1- 3 |
|
| New Covenant School |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Norfolk Academy |
| Norfolk Christian |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
|
| Norfolk Collegiate |
First Colonial |
|
tied -  0- 1 |
First Colonial |
| North Cross School |
North Cross School |
|
 
| North Cross School |
| North Stafford |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Northern VA Home Sch |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Oakton |
Oakton |
|
 
| Oakton |
| Ocean Lakes |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Orange County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Osbourn |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Osbourn Park |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Park View |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Patrick Henry Ashla |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Patrick Henry Roano |
Patrick Henry Roano |
|
 
| Patrick Henry Roano |
| Patriot |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
| Potomac Falls |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
Potomac School   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Potomac-Dumfries |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Powhatan |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Princess Anne |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Riverbend |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Riverside |
Riverside |
|
 
| Riverside |
| Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
| Rock Ridge |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Rockbridge County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Rockingham LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Salem |
Salem |
|
 
| Salem |
| Salem Virginia Beach |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Seton School |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| South County |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| South Lakes |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
 
| St Annes-Belfield |
| St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
| St John Paul the Gre |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
| Stafford |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Steward School |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Stone Bridge |
Stone Bridge |
|
 
| Stone Bridge |
| Strasburg LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Tabb LC |
Tabb LC |
|
 
| Tabb LC |
| Tallwood |
First Colonial |
First Colonial |
 
| |
| Tandem Friends |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Thomas Dale |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Thomas Jefferson |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Trinity Christian |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Trinity Episcopal |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Trinity Meadow View |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Tuscarora |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Unity Reed |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Veritas School |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Virginia Academy |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Virginia Episcopal S |
First Colonial |
|
First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Wakefield HS |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Wakefield School |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Washington-Liberty |
Washington-Liberty |
|
 
| Washington-Liberty |
| West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
 
| West Potomac |
| West Springfield |
West Springfield |
|
 
| West Springfield |
| Western Albemarle |
Western Albemarle |
|
 
| Western Albemarle |
| Westfield |
Westfield |
|
 
| Westfield |
| William Byrd |
William Byrd |
|
 
| William Byrd |
| William Fleming |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
Woodberry Forest   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Woodbridge |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Woodgrove |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Woodson |
Woodson |
|
 
| Woodson |
| York LC |
First Colonial |
|
 
| First Colonial |
| Yorktown |
Yorktown |
|
 
| Yorktown |
PairWisePlus = 109

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 6 -16.78 20.17 0.45 0.96 -15.62
0 H Kellam (11- 2, 85.4) 4-13 -14.51 22.44 -0.45 0.96 -14.31
0 A Ocean Lakes ( 3- 6, 75.7) 20- 8 -24.21 12.74 0.45 0.96 12.62
0 H Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 5 -16.78 20.17 -0.45 0.96 -16.48
0 A Tallwood ( 1-10, 70.8) 9- 3 -29.08 7.87 0.45 0.96 7.96
0 A Cape Henry Col (11- 5, 88.0) 6-12 -11.91 25.03 0.45 0.96 -10.96
0 A Norfolk Christ ( 9- 7, 83.1) 12-11 -16.85 20.10 0.45 0.96 19.66
0 H Salem Virginia ( 3- 8, 71.8) 14- 2 -28.14 8.81 -0.45 0.96 7.99
0 A Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 9- 3 -20.85 16.10 0.45 0.96 15.84
0 H Bayside ( 0- 8, 66.6) 16- 3 -33.26 3.69 -0.45 0.96 3.10
0 A Kempsville ( 7- 3, 76.4) 13- 4 -23.50 13.45 0.45 0.96 13.30
0 H Green Run ( 1- 7, 69.2) 18- 1 -30.67 6.27 -0.45 0.96 5.57
------
28.67
|
winning pts = 86.0402 losing points = -57.3749
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------