UPDATED: 05-14-26 08:50 PDT

boys First Colonial 1
  
First Colonial        
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 82.4292

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 6 414 H Kellam (11- 2, 85.4) 4-13 417 A Ocean Lakes ( 3- 6, 75.7) 20- 8 421 H Cox ( 8- 5, 83.1) 4- 5 424 A Tallwood ( 1-10, 70.8) 9- 3 425 A Cape Henry Collegiat (11- 5, 88.0) 6-12 427 A Norfolk Christian ( 9- 7, 83.1) 12-11 430 H Salem Virginia Beach ( 3- 8, 71.8) 14- 2 501 A Princess Anne ( 7- 3, 79.1) 9- 3 505 H Bayside ( 0- 8, 66.6) 16- 3 508 A Kempsville ( 7- 3, 76.4) 13- 4 512 H Green Run ( 1- 7, 69.2) 18- 1 515 A Landstown ( 6- 5, 75.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Cox                     4- 6      -2    -1          -0.85
   414 H Kellam                  4-13      -9    -3    -     -2.49
   417 A Ocean Lakes            20- 8      12     6           0.00
   421 H Cox                     4- 5      -1     0          -0.76
   424 A Tallwood                9- 3       6    11           0.00
   425 A Cape Henry Collegiat    6-12      -6    -6           0.00
   427 A Norfolk Christian      12-11       1    -1    +      2.08
   430 H Salem Virginia Beach   14- 2      12    11           0.00
   501 A Princess Anne           9- 3       6     3    +      2.08
   505 H Bayside                16- 3      13    16           0.00
   508 A Kempsville             13- 4       9     6           0.00
   512 H Green Run              18- 1      17    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Kellam                  4-13      -9    -3    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Norfolk Christian      12-11       1    -1    +      2.08
   501 A Princess Anne           9- 3       6     3    +      2.08

First Colonial PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City First Colonial   First Colonial
Annandale First Colonial   First Colonial
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside First Colonial First Colonial  
Benedictine Benedictine Benedictine   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell tied -  0- 1 Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville First Colonial   First Colonial
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point First Colonial   First Colonial
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat  
Catholic HS Catholic HS Catholic HS   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Cave Spring First Colonial   First Colonial
Centreville First Colonial   First Colonial
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville First Colonial   First Colonial
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg First Colonial   First Colonial
Clover Hill First Colonial   First Colonial
Colgan First Colonial   First Colonial
Collegiate School Collegiate School Collegiate School   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Colonial Forge First Colonial   First Colonial
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School tied -  1- 0 Covenant School
Cox Cox Cox  
Culpeper County First Colonial   First Colonial
Deep Run First Colonial tied -  0- 1 First Colonial
Dominion First Colonial   First Colonial
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View First Colonial   First Colonial
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison First Colonial   First Colonial
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian First Colonial   First Colonial
Fairfax First Colonial   First Colonial
Falls Church First Colonial   First Colonial
Fauquier First Colonial   First Colonial
Fishburne Military A First Colonial   First Colonial
Flint Hill Flint Hill tied -  0- 1 Flint Hill
Fluvanna County First Colonial   First Colonial
Forest Park First Colonial   First Colonial
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County First Colonial   First Colonial
Fredericksburg Acade First Colonial   First Colonial
Fredericksburg Chris First Colonial First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge First Colonial   First Colonial
Gainesville First Colonial   First Colonial
Gar-field First Colonial   First Colonial
Glen Allen Glen Allen Glen Allen   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Goochland First Colonial   First Colonial
Grafton LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Grassfield LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Green Run First Colonial First Colonial  
Handley First Colonial   First Colonial
Hanover Hanover tied -  1- 0 Hanover
Hayfield First Colonial   First Colonial
Heritage Leesburg First Colonial   First Colonial
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Hidden Valley First Colonial   First Colonial
Highland School First Colonial   First Colonial
Highland Springs First Colonial   First Colonial
Hylton First Colonial   First Colonial
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe First Colonial   First Colonial
Justice First Colonial   First Colonial
Kellam Kellam Kellam  
Kempsville First Colonial First Colonial  
Kettle Run First Colonial   First Colonial
Lafayette LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown First Colonial First Colonial   8- 1 vs 4- 5
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis First Colonial   First Colonial
Liberty Bealeton First Colonial   First Colonial
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird First Colonial   First Colonial
Lord Botetourt First Colonial   First Colonial
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley First Colonial   First Colonial
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester First Colonial   First Colonial
Marshall First Colonial   First Colonial
Massaponax First Colonial   First Colonial
Matoaca First Colonial   First Colonial
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville First Colonial   First Colonial
Menchville LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin First Colonial   First Colonial
Monacan First Colonial   First Colonial
Monticello First Colonial   First Colonial
Mount Vernon First Colonial   First Colonial
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   2- 2 vs 1- 3
New Covenant School First Colonial First Colonial   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy tied -  1- 1 Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian First Colonial First Colonial  
Norfolk Collegiate First Colonial tied -  0- 1 First Colonial
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford First Colonial   First Colonial
Northern VA Home Sch First Colonial First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes First Colonial First Colonial  
Orange County First Colonial   First Colonial
Osbourn First Colonial   First Colonial
Osbourn Park First Colonial   First Colonial
Park View First Colonial   First Colonial
Patrick Henry Ashla First Colonial   First Colonial
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot First Colonial   First Colonial
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls First Colonial   First Colonial
Potomac School Potomac School Potomac School   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Potomac-Dumfries First Colonial   First Colonial
Powhatan First Colonial   First Colonial
Princess Anne First Colonial First Colonial  
Riverbend First Colonial   First Colonial
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge First Colonial   First Colonial
Rockbridge County First Colonial   First Colonial
Rockingham LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach First Colonial First Colonial  
Seton School First Colonial   First Colonial
South County First Colonial   First Colonial
South Lakes First Colonial   First Colonial
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre First Colonial   First Colonial
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford First Colonial   First Colonial
Steward School First Colonial First Colonial   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood First Colonial First Colonial  
Tandem Friends First Colonial   First Colonial
Thomas Dale First Colonial   First Colonial
Thomas Jefferson First Colonial   First Colonial
Trinity Christian First Colonial   First Colonial
Trinity Episcopal First Colonial   First Colonial
Trinity Meadow View First Colonial   First Colonial
Tuscarora First Colonial   First Colonial
Unity Reed First Colonial   First Colonial
Veritas School First Colonial   First Colonial
Virginia Academy First Colonial First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Virginia Episcopal S First Colonial First Colonial   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wakefield HS First Colonial   First Colonial
Wakefield School First Colonial   First Colonial
Washington-Liberty Washington-Liberty   Washington-Liberty
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming First Colonial   First Colonial
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Woodbridge First Colonial   First Colonial
Woodgrove First Colonial   First Colonial
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PairWisePlus = 109


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.48

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cox             ( 8- 5, 83.1)     4- 6      -16.78      20.17       0.45         0.96           -15.62
   0 H Kellam          (11- 2, 85.4)     4-13      -14.51      22.44      -0.45         0.96           -14.31
   0 A Ocean Lakes     ( 3- 6, 75.7)    20- 8      -24.21      12.74       0.45         0.96            12.62
   0 H Cox             ( 8- 5, 83.1)     4- 5      -16.78      20.17      -0.45         0.96           -16.48
   0 A Tallwood        ( 1-10, 70.8)     9- 3      -29.08       7.87       0.45         0.96             7.96
   0 A Cape Henry Col  (11- 5, 88.0)     6-12      -11.91      25.03       0.45         0.96           -10.96
   0 A Norfolk Christ  ( 9- 7, 83.1)    12-11      -16.85      20.10       0.45         0.96            19.66
   0 H Salem Virginia  ( 3- 8, 71.8)    14- 2      -28.14       8.81      -0.45         0.96             7.99
   0 A Princess Anne   ( 7- 3, 79.1)     9- 3      -20.85      16.10       0.45         0.96            15.84
   0 H Bayside         ( 0- 8, 66.6)    16- 3      -33.26       3.69      -0.45         0.96             3.10
   0 A Kempsville      ( 7- 3, 76.4)    13- 4      -23.50      13.45       0.45         0.96            13.30
   0 H Green Run       ( 1- 7, 69.2)    18- 1      -30.67       6.27      -0.45         0.96             5.57
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        28.67

winning pts = 86.0402 losing points = -57.3749

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------