UPDATED: 04-04-26 09:08 PDT

boys First Colonial 1
  
First Colonial        
W-L: ( 0- 1) PR = 83.0152

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 A Cox ( 1- 2, 85.2) 4- 6 410 A Cape Henry Collegiat ( 5- 3, 86.1) 414 H Kellam ( 1- 2, 79.4) 417 A Ocean Lakes ( 0- 1, 83.7) 421 H Cox ( 1- 2, 85.2) 424 A Tallwood ( 0- 3, 74.8) 427 A Norfolk Christian ( 5- 1, 85.7) 428 H Salem Virginia Beach ( 1- 2, 78.3) 501 A Princess Anne ( 1- 1, 85.6) 505 H Bayside ( 0- 0, 85.3) 508 A Kempsville ( 1- 0, 86.3) 512 H Green Run ( 0- 0, 85.3) 515 A Landstown ( 2- 1, 82.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Cox                     4- 6      -2    -2           0.27

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

First Colonial Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Albemarle   Albemarle
Alexandria City Alexandria City   Alexandria City
Annandale First Colonial   First Colonial
Atlee Atlee   Atlee
Battlefield Battlefield   Battlefield
Bayside Bayside   Bayside
Benedictine Benedictine   Benedictine
Bishop Ireton Bishop Ireton   Bishop Ireton
Bishop OConnell Bishop OConnell   Bishop OConnell
Blacksburg Blacksburg   Blacksburg
Blue Ridge School Blue Ridge School   Blue Ridge School
Brentsville Brentsville   Brentsville
Briar Woods Briar Woods   Briar Woods
Broad Run Broad Run   Broad Run
Brooke Point First Colonial   First Colonial
Cape Henry Collegiat Cape Henry Collegiat insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cape Henry Collegiat
Catholic HS Catholic HS   Catholic HS
Cave Spring Cave Spring   Cave Spring
Centreville Centreville   Centreville
Chantilly Chantilly   Chantilly
Charlottesville First Colonial   First Colonial
Christchurch Christchurch   Christchurch
Christiansburg Christiansburg   Christiansburg
Clover Hill First Colonial   First Colonial
Colgan Colgan   Colgan
Collegiate School Collegiate School   Collegiate School
Colonial Forge Colonial Forge   Colonial Forge
Cosby Cosby   Cosby
Covenant School Covenant School   Covenant School
Cox Cox Cox  
Culpeper County First Colonial   First Colonial
Deep Run First Colonial   First Colonial
Dominion Dominion   Dominion
Douglas Freeman Douglas Freeman   Douglas Freeman
Eastern View First Colonial   First Colonial
EC Glass EC Glass   EC Glass
Edison First Colonial   First Colonial
Episcopal Episcopal   Episcopal
Eukarya Christian Eukarya Christian   Eukarya Christian
Fairfax Fairfax   Fairfax
Falls Church First Colonial   First Colonial
Fauquier Fauquier   Fauquier
Fishburne Military A Fishburne Military A   Fishburne Military A
Flint Hill First Colonial   First Colonial
Fluvanna County Fluvanna County   Fluvanna County
Forest Park Forest Park   Forest Park
Fork Union Military Fork Union Military   Fork Union Military
Franklin County First Colonial   First Colonial
Fredericksburg Acade First Colonial   First Colonial
Fredericksburg Chris Fredericksburg Chris   Fredericksburg Chris
Freedom South Ridin Freedom South Ridin   Freedom South Ridin
Freedom Woodbridge Freedom Woodbridge   Freedom Woodbridge
Gainesville Gainesville   Gainesville
Gar-field First Colonial   First Colonial
Glen Allen Glen Allen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Glen Allen
Goochland Goochland   Goochland
Grafton LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Grassfield LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Green Run Green Run   Green Run
Handley Handley   Handley
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Hayfield First Colonial   First Colonial
Heritage Leesburg Heritage Leesburg   Heritage Leesburg
Herndon Herndon   Herndon
Hickory LC Hickory LC   Hickory LC
Hidden Valley First Colonial   First Colonial
Highland School First Colonial   First Colonial
Highland Springs Highland Springs   Highland Springs
Hylton First Colonial   First Colonial
Independence Independence   Independence
James Monroe James Monroe   James Monroe
James River James River   James River
Jamestown LC Jamestown LC   Jamestown LC
Jefferson Forest Jefferson Forest   Jefferson Forest
John Champe First Colonial   First Colonial
Justice First Colonial   First Colonial
Kellam First Colonial   First Colonial
Kempsville Kempsville   Kempsville
Kettle Run First Colonial   First Colonial
Lafayette LC Lafayette LC   Lafayette LC
Lake Braddock Lake Braddock   Lake Braddock
Landstown First Colonial   First Colonial
Langley Langley   Langley
Lewis First Colonial   First Colonial
Liberty Bealeton First Colonial   First Colonial
Lightridge Lightridge   Lightridge
Lloyd C Bird Lloyd C Bird   Lloyd C Bird
Lord Botetourt Lord Botetourt   Lord Botetourt
Loudoun County Loudoun County   Loudoun County
Loudoun Valley First Colonial   First Colonial
Madison Madison   Madison
Manchester First Colonial   First Colonial
Marshall First Colonial   First Colonial
Massaponax First Colonial   First Colonial
Matoaca Matoaca   Matoaca
Maury LC Maury LC   Maury LC
McLean McLean   McLean
Mechanicsville Mechanicsville   Mechanicsville
Menchville LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Meridian Meridian   Meridian
Midlothian Midlothian   Midlothian
Mills Godwin First Colonial   First Colonial
Monacan Monacan   Monacan
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Mount Vernon First Colonial   First Colonial
Mountain View Mountain View   Mountain View
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Nansemond-Suffolk Ac   Nansemond-Suffolk Ac
New Covenant School First Colonial   First Colonial
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy   Norfolk Academy
Norfolk Christian Norfolk Christian   Norfolk Christian
Norfolk Collegiate First Colonial   First Colonial
North Cross School North Cross School   North Cross School
North Stafford First Colonial   First Colonial
Northern VA Home Sch First Colonial   First Colonial
Oakton Oakton   Oakton
Ocean Lakes Ocean Lakes   Ocean Lakes
Orange County First Colonial   First Colonial
Osbourn First Colonial   First Colonial
Osbourn Park Osbourn Park   Osbourn Park
Park View First Colonial   First Colonial
Patrick Henry Ashla Patrick Henry Ashla   Patrick Henry Ashla
Patrick Henry Roano Patrick Henry Roano   Patrick Henry Roano
Patriot Patriot   Patriot
Paul VI Paul VI   Paul VI
Potomac Falls First Colonial   First Colonial
Potomac School Potomac School   Potomac School
Potomac-Dumfries First Colonial   First Colonial
Powhatan First Colonial   First Colonial
Princess Anne Princess Anne   Princess Anne
Riverbend Riverbend   Riverbend
Riverside Riverside   Riverside
Robinson Robinson   Robinson
Rock Ridge First Colonial   First Colonial
Rockbridge County Rockbridge County   Rockbridge County
Rockingham LC First Colonial   First Colonial
Salem Salem   Salem
Salem Virginia Beach First Colonial   First Colonial
Seton School First Colonial   First Colonial
South County South County   South County
South Lakes South Lakes   South Lakes
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield   St Annes-Belfield
St Christophers St Christophers   St Christophers
St John Paul the Gre First Colonial   First Colonial
St Stephen-St Agnes St Stephen-St Agnes   St Stephen-St Agnes
Stafford Stafford   Stafford
Steward School First Colonial   First Colonial
Stone Bridge Stone Bridge   Stone Bridge
Strasburg LC Strasburg LC   Strasburg LC
Tabb LC Tabb LC   Tabb LC
Tallwood First Colonial   First Colonial
Tandem Friends Tandem Friends   Tandem Friends
Thomas Dale First Colonial   First Colonial
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Trinity Christian Trinity Christian   Trinity Christian
Trinity Episcopal First Colonial   First Colonial
Trinity Meadow View Trinity Meadow View   Trinity Meadow View
Tuscarora First Colonial   First Colonial
Unity Reed Unity Reed   Unity Reed
Veritas School Veritas School   Veritas School
Virginia Academy First Colonial   First Colonial
Virginia Episcopal S Virginia Episcopal S   Virginia Episcopal S
Wakefield HS First Colonial   First Colonial
Wakefield School Wakefield School   Wakefield School
Washington-Liberty First Colonial   First Colonial
West Potomac West Potomac   West Potomac
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Western Albemarle Western Albemarle   Western Albemarle
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
William Byrd William Byrd   William Byrd
William Fleming William Fleming   William Fleming
Woodberry Forest Woodberry Forest   Woodberry Forest
Woodbridge First Colonial   First Colonial
Woodgrove Woodgrove   Woodgrove
Woodson Woodson   Woodson
York LC York LC   York LC
Yorktown Yorktown   Yorktown

PowerWise = 57


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.27

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cox             ( 1- 2, 85.2)     4- 6      -14.70      13.06       0.08         3.27           -47.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -47.73

winning pts = 0.0000 losing points = -47.7341

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------