UPDATED: 04-16-26 09:38 PDT

boys Forsyth Country Day 1
  
Forsyth Country Day   
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 89.1731

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H Page (13- 4, 91.1) 0-13 306 H Charlotte CDS (13- 0, 98.6) 5-18 310 A St Davids School ( 0- 5, 76.8) 20- 1 314 A Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 24- 4 324 A Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6) 8-14 327 H Ravenscroft School ( 4- 8, 89.1) 11-10 402 A Charlotte Christian ( 6- 3, 96.0) 8-17 408 A Charlotte Latin ( 4- 5, 93.3) 13-17 411 A Cape Fear Academy ( 5- 3, 89.6) 11- 9 413 H John Paul II Catholi ( 1- 8, 80.2) 15- 6 417 H Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6) 428 H Mooresville ( 4- 9, 86.3) 430 H Asheville School ( 1- 4, 85.7)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Page                    0-13     -13    -2    -     -3.43
   306 H Charlotte CDS           5-18     -13    -9           0.00
   310 A St Davids School       20- 1      19    12           0.00
   314 A Cary Christian         24- 4      20     9           0.00
   324 A Greensboro Day          8-14      -6    -5          -0.29
   327 H Ravenscroft School     11-10       1     0           0.60
   402 A Charlotte Christian     8-17      -9    -7           0.00
   408 A Charlotte Latin        13-17      -4    -4           0.47
   411 A Cape Fear Academy      11- 9       2    -1    +      2.75
   413 H John Paul II Catholi   15- 6       9     9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Page                    0-13     -13    -2    -     -3.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Cape Fear Academy      11- 9       2    -1    +      2.75

Forsyth Country Day Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Asheville HS Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Asheville School Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Forsyth Country Day
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Bradford Prep Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Cannon School Cannon School tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
Cape Fear HS Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) Cary Academy
Cary Christian Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
Cary HS Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Cedar Ridge Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Chapel Hill Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS  
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian  
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin  
Christ School Christ School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Christ The King
Clayton Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Cleveland Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Cornerstone Charter Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Durham Academy Durham Academy insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Eastern Alamance Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Eastern Guilford Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Enloe Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fike Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Fuquay-Varina Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Garner Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Glenn Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Grays Creek Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Green Hope Green Hope tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day Greensboro Day  
Grimsley Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Havelock Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
High Point Central Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Independence Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Jack Britt Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Jacksonville Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
JF Webb Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
JH Rose Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
John Paul II Catholi Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
Jordan Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Lincoln Charter Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Millbrook
Mooresville Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Mount Tabor Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Mountain Island Char Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Myers Park
New Bern Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
New Hanover Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
North Brunswick Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
North Davidson Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northern Durham Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northern Guilford
Northside Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Page Page Page  
Panther Creek Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Parkwood Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Patton Morganton Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Pine Forest Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Queens Grant Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Ravenscroft School Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
Reagan Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Riverside Durham Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Roxboro Community Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
South Brunswick Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
South Garner Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
South Iredell Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
South Mecklenburg Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
South View Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Southeast Alamance Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Southeast Guilford Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Southern Alamance Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
St Davids School Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day  
St Stephens Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Sun Valley Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Swansboro Forsyth Country Day insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Forsyth Country Day
TC Roberson Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Terry Sanford Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines   Union Pines
Vance Charter Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Voyager Academy Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Wake Forest Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Wake Prep Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Watauga Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Weddington Weddington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Weddington
West Brunswick Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
West Carteret Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Forsyth Country Day
West Forsyth Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
West Stokes Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Western Alamance Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Western Guilford Forsyth Country Day tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Forsyth Country Day
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 92


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Page            (13- 4, 91.1)     0-13       -8.84      21.19      -0.32         0.94            -8.62
   0 H Charlotte CDS   (13- 0, 98.6)     5-18       -1.27      28.76      -0.32         0.94            -1.50
   0 A St Davids Scho  ( 0- 5, 76.8)    20- 1      -23.14       6.88       0.32         0.94             6.78
   0 A Cary Christian  ( 0- 5, 79.5)    24- 4      -20.43       9.60       0.32         0.94             9.33
   0 A Greensboro Day  ( 8- 2, 93.6)     8-14       -6.34      23.69       0.32         0.94            -5.67
   0 H Ravenscroft Sc  ( 4- 8, 89.1)    11-10      -10.80      19.22      -0.32         0.94            17.79
   0 A Charlotte Chri  ( 6- 3, 96.0)     8-17       -3.93      26.10       0.32         0.94            -3.39
   0 A Charlotte Lati  ( 4- 5, 93.3)    13-17       -6.58      23.45       0.32         0.94            -5.89
   0 A Cape Fear Acad  ( 5- 3, 89.6)    11- 9      -10.30      19.73       0.32         0.94            18.86
   0 H John Paul II C  ( 1- 8, 80.2)    15- 6      -19.75      10.28      -0.32         0.94             9.37
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        37.07

winning pts = 62.1273 losing points = -25.0585

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------