Forsyth Country Day
W-L: ( 5- 5) PR = 89.1731
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
227 H Page (13- 4, 91.1) 0-13
306 H Charlotte CDS (13- 0, 98.6) 5-18
310 A St Davids School ( 0- 5, 76.8) 20- 1
314 A Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 24- 4
324 A Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6) 8-14
327 H Ravenscroft School ( 4- 8, 89.1) 11-10
402 A Charlotte Christian ( 6- 3, 96.0) 8-17
408 A Charlotte Latin ( 4- 5, 93.3) 13-17
411 A Cape Fear Academy ( 5- 3, 89.6) 11- 9
413 H John Paul II Catholi ( 1- 8, 80.2) 15- 6
417 H Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6)
428 H Mooresville ( 4- 9, 86.3)
430 H Asheville School ( 1- 4, 85.7)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H Page 0-13 -13 -2 - -3.43
306 H Charlotte CDS 5-18 -13 -9 0.00
310 A St Davids School 20- 1 19 12 0.00
314 A Cary Christian 24- 4 20 9 0.00
324 A Greensboro Day 8-14 -6 -5 -0.29
327 H Ravenscroft School 11-10 1 0 0.60
402 A Charlotte Christian 8-17 -9 -7 0.00
408 A Charlotte Latin 13-17 -4 -4 0.47
411 A Cape Fear Academy 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.75
413 H John Paul II Catholi 15- 6 9 9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H Page 0-13 -13 -2 - -3.43
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Cape Fear Academy 11- 9 2 -1 + 2.75
|
Forsyth Country Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Apex |
Apex |
|
 
| Apex |
| Apex Friendship |
Apex Friendship |
|
 
| Apex Friendship |
| Ardrey Kell |
Ardrey Kell |
|
 
| Ardrey Kell |
| Arendell Parrott Aca |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Asheville HS |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Asheville School |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Ashley |
Ashley |
|
 
| Ashley |
| Athens Drive |
Athens Drive |
|
 
| Athens Drive |
| Atkins |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Ballantyne Ridge |
Ballantyne Ridge |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Ballantyne Ridge |
| Bishop McGuinness |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Bradford Prep |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Broughton |
Broughton |
|
 
| Broughton |
| Butler |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Cannon School |
Cannon School |
|
tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) |
Cannon School |
| Cape Fear Academy |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| Cape Fear HS |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Cardinal Gibbons |
Cardinal Gibbons |
|
 
| Cardinal Gibbons |
| Carrboro |
Carrboro |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Carrboro |
| Cary Academy |
Cary Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Cary Academy |
| Cary Christian |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| Cary HS |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Cedar Ridge |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Chapel Hill |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Charlotte Catholic |
Charlotte Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Charlotte Catholic |
| Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
Charlotte CDS |
 
| |
| Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
Charlotte Christian |
 
| |
| Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
Charlotte Latin |
 
| |
| Christ School |
Christ School |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Christ School |
| Christ The King |
Christ The King |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Christ The King |
| Clayton |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Cleveland |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Community School-Dav |
Community School-Dav |
|
 
| Community School-Dav |
| Corinth Holders |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Cornerstone Charter |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Croatan |
Croatan |
|
 
| Croatan |
| Cuthbertson |
Cuthbertson |
|
 
| Cuthbertson |
| Davie |
Davie |
|
 
| Davie |
| DH Conley |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Durham Academy |
Durham Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Durham Academy |
| East Chapel Hill |
East Chapel Hill |
|
 
| East Chapel Hill |
| East Forsyth |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Eastern Alamance |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Eastern Guilford |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Enloe |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Fike |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| First Flight |
First Flight |
|
 
| First Flight |
| Fuquay-Varina |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Garner |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Glenn |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Grays Creek |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Green Hope |
Green Hope |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Green Hope |
| Green Level |
Green Level |
|
 
| Green Level |
| Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
Greensboro Day |
 
| |
| Grimsley |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Havelock |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Heritage |
Heritage |
|
 
| Heritage |
| Hickory |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| High Point Central |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Hillsborough Orange |
Hillsborough Orange |
|
 
| Hillsborough Orange |
| Hoggard |
Hoggard |
|
 
| Hoggard |
| Holly Springs |
Holly Springs |
|
 
| Holly Springs |
| Hough |
Hough |
|
 
| Hough |
| Hunt |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Independence |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Jack Britt |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Jacksonville |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| JF Webb |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| JH Rose |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| John Paul II Catholi |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| Jordan |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Lake Norman Charter |
Lake Norman Charter |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Norman Charter |
| Lake Norman HS |
Lake Norman HS |
|
 
| Lake Norman HS |
| Laney |
Laney |
|
 
| Laney |
| Leesville Road |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Lincoln Charter |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Marvin Ridge |
Marvin Ridge |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Marvin Ridge |
| Middle Creek |
Middle Creek |
|
 
| Middle Creek |
| Millbrook |
Millbrook |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Millbrook |
| Mooresville |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Mount Tabor |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Mountain Island Char |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Myers Park |
Myers Park |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Myers Park |
| New Bern |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| New Hanover |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| North Brunswick |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| North Davidson |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| North Lincoln |
North Lincoln |
|
 
| North Lincoln |
| North Raleigh Christ |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
Forsyth Country Day   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Northern Durham |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Northern Guilford |
Northern Guilford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northern Guilford |
| Northside |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Northwest Guilford |
Northwest Guilford |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Northwest Guilford |
| Northwood |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Page |
Page |
Page |
 
| |
| Panther Creek |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Parkwood |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Patton Morganton |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Pine Forest |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Pine Lake Prep |
Pine Lake Prep |
|
 
| Pine Lake Prep |
| Pinecrest |
Pinecrest |
|
 
| Pinecrest |
| Porter Ridge |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Providence |
Providence |
|
 
| Providence |
| Providence Day |
Providence Day |
|
Providence Day   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Queens Grant |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee |
| Ragsdale |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Ravenscroft School |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| Reagan |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Riverside Durham |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| RJ Reynolds |
RJ Reynolds |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
RJ Reynolds |
| Rolesville |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Roxboro Community |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Sanderson |
Sanderson |
|
 
| Sanderson |
| Seaforth |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| South Brunswick |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| South Garner |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| South Iredell |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| South Mecklenburg |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| South View |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Southeast Alamance |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Southeast Guilford |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Southern Alamance |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Southlake Christian |
Southlake Christian |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Southlake Christian |
| Southwest Guilford |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| St Davids School |
Forsyth Country Day |
Forsyth Country Day |
 
| |
| St Stephens |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Sun Valley |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Swansboro |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| TC Roberson |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Terry Sanford |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Topsail |
Topsail |
|
 
| Topsail |
| Union Pines |
Union Pines |
|
 
| Union Pines |
| Vance Charter |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Voyager Academy |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Wake Forest |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Wake Prep |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Wakefield |
Wakefield |
|
 
| Wakefield |
| Walter M Williams |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Watauga |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Weddington |
Weddington |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Weddington |
| West Brunswick |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| West Carteret |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| West Forsyth |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| West Stokes |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Western Alamance |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
 
| Forsyth Country Day |
| Western Guilford |
Forsyth Country Day |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Forsyth Country Day |
| Willow Spring |
Willow Spring |
|
 
| Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 92

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.41
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Page (13- 4, 91.1) 0-13 -8.84 21.19 -0.32 0.94 -8.62
0 H Charlotte CDS (13- 0, 98.6) 5-18 -1.27 28.76 -0.32 0.94 -1.50
0 A St Davids Scho ( 0- 5, 76.8) 20- 1 -23.14 6.88 0.32 0.94 6.78
0 A Cary Christian ( 0- 5, 79.5) 24- 4 -20.43 9.60 0.32 0.94 9.33
0 A Greensboro Day ( 8- 2, 93.6) 8-14 -6.34 23.69 0.32 0.94 -5.67
0 H Ravenscroft Sc ( 4- 8, 89.1) 11-10 -10.80 19.22 -0.32 0.94 17.79
0 A Charlotte Chri ( 6- 3, 96.0) 8-17 -3.93 26.10 0.32 0.94 -3.39
0 A Charlotte Lati ( 4- 5, 93.3) 13-17 -6.58 23.45 0.32 0.94 -5.89
0 A Cape Fear Acad ( 5- 3, 89.6) 11- 9 -10.30 19.73 0.32 0.94 18.86
0 H John Paul II C ( 1- 8, 80.2) 15- 6 -19.75 10.28 -0.32 0.94 9.37
------
37.07
|
winning pts = 62.1273 losing points = -25.0585
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------