UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:47 PDT

boys Fitch Groton 1
  
Fitch  Groton         
W-L: ( 8- 4) PR = 81.6187

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 407 A Ledyard-Griswold ( 4-12, 74.5) 14- 2 409 H Woodstock Academy ( 9- 7, 79.9) 6- 3 411 H Newington ( 0-15, 73.9) 15- 3 421 H Waterford ( 9- 5, 82.4) 7- 9 423 H East Lyme (13- 2, 89.8) 5-14 428 A Stonington (11- 4, 82.7) 6- 7 430 H Montville ( 8- 8, 76.0) 10- 2 505 A St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 7- 5 507 A Norwich Tech ( 3-13, 69.9) 15- 1 512 H Bacon Academy ( 6-10, 79.5) 7- 5 518 A Old Lyme ( 3-13, 74.4) 10- 0 520 H St Bernard-Wheeler ( 8- 6, 81.4) 10-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Ledyard-Griswold       14- 2      12     7           0.00
   409 H Woodstock Academy       6- 3       3     2           0.95
   411 H Newington              15- 3      12     8           0.00
   421 H Waterford               7- 9      -2     0          -1.58
   423 H East Lyme               5-14      -9    -8           0.00
   428 A Stonington              6- 7      -1    -1           0.38
   430 H Montville              10- 2       8     6           0.00
   505 A St Bernard-Wheeler      7- 5       2     0    +      2.16
   507 A Norwich Tech           15- 1      14    11           0.00
   512 H Bacon Academy           7- 5       2     2          -0.44
   518 A Old Lyme               10- 0      10     7           0.00
   520 H St Bernard-Wheeler     10-11      -1     1          -1.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A St Bernard-Wheeler      7- 5       2     0    +      2.16

Fitch Groton PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional tied -  0- 1 Amity Regional
Avon HS Avon HS   Avon HS
Bacon Academy Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Berlin Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Bethel Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Branford Branford Branford   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied -  0- 1 Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Capital-Classical Pr   Capital-Classical Pr
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard tied -  1- 1 Conard
Cromwell Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Danbury Danbury   Danbury
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien   Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied -  1- 0 East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme East Lyme  
Ellington Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Enfield Enfield   Enfield
EO Smith Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe   Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep   Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington tied -  1- 0 Farmington
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial   Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS   Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford Guilford   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth tied -  1- 0 Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden tied -  1- 0 Hamden
Holy Cross Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Immaculate Danbury Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow   Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Lakeview United Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Ledyard-Griswold Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills   3- 0 vs 2- 1
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Maloney-Platt Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Masuk Masuk Masuk   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Middletown Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   2- 0 vs 1- 1
Montville Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Morgan School Fitch Groton tied -  1- 2 Fitch Groton
New Canaan New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied -  1- 0 New Milford
Newington Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Newtown Newtown   Newtown
North Branford North Branford tied -  1- 0 North Branford
North Haven Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 2 vs 0- 2
Northwest Catholic Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   2- 1 vs 1- 1
Norwalk Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   Norwich Free Academy
Norwich Tech Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Notre Dame-Fairfield Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Old Lyme Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook Old Saybrook   3- 0 vs 3- 1
Pomperaug Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Prince-Cheney Tech Prince-Cheney Tech   Prince-Cheney Tech
RHAM Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   5- 1 vs 2- 3
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Rocky Hill Fitch Groton tied -  1- 0 Fitch Groton
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shelton Shelton   Shelton
Simsbury Simsbury tied -  1- 0 Simsbury
Somers Somers   Somers
South Windsor South Windsor tied -  2- 1 South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler Fitch Groton tied -  4- 3 Fitch Groton
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull   St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples   Staples
Stonington Stonington Stonington  
Suffield Suffield tied -  1- 0 Suffield
Tolland Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   3- 1 vs 2- 1
Trumbull Trumbull   Trumbull
Valley Regional Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Watertown Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
West Haven Fitch Groton tied -  1- 1 Fitch Groton
Westhill Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield tied -  2- 0 Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Fitch Groton Fitch Groton   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Wolcott Fitch Groton   Fitch Groton
Woodstock Academy Fitch Groton Fitch Groton  
Xavier Xavier tied -  1- 1 Xavier

PairWisePlus = 40


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Ledyard-Griswo  ( 4-12, 74.5)    14- 2      -25.35      12.38       0.33         1.21            15.43
   0 H Woodstock Acad  ( 9- 7, 79.9)     6- 3      -20.00      17.73      -0.33         1.21            21.12
   0 H Newington       ( 0-15, 73.9)    15- 3      -25.99      11.74      -0.33         1.21            13.85
   0 H Waterford       ( 9- 5, 82.4)     7- 9      -17.52      20.21      -0.33         1.21           -21.68
   0 H East Lyme       (13- 2, 89.8)     5-14      -10.08      27.65      -0.33         1.21           -12.64
   0 A Stonington      (11- 4, 82.7)     6- 7      -17.23      20.50       0.33         1.21           -20.51
   0 H Montville       ( 8- 8, 76.0)    10- 2      -23.93      13.80      -0.33         1.21            16.35
   0 A St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 6, 81.4)     7- 5      -18.45      19.28       0.33         1.21            23.81
   0 A Norwich Tech    ( 3-13, 69.9)    15- 1      -30.00       7.73       0.33         1.21             9.79
   0 H Bacon Academy   ( 6-10, 79.5)     7- 5      -20.39      17.34      -0.33         1.21            20.65
   0 A Old Lyme        ( 3-13, 74.4)    10- 0      -25.51      12.22       0.33         1.21            15.24
   0 H St Bernard-Whe  ( 8- 6, 81.4)    10-11      -18.45      19.28      -0.33         1.21           -22.80
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        58.60

winning pts = 136.2306 losing points = -77.6292

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------