UPDATED: 04-05-26 08:40 PDT

boys Frederick Douglass 1
  
Frederick Douglass    
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 91.6206

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Kentucky Country Day ( 4- 3, 92.8) 9- 8 306 H South Oldham ( 4- 2, 93.9) 4- 6 309 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 5- 2, 95.5) 3-11 312 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9) 2- 7 321 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 10- 3 323 A Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 3-16 326 A Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4) 19- 1 327 H North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 6- 7 330 H Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6) 6- 7 402 A Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 19- 0 416 H Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8) 417 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0) 422 H Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8) 428 A Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8) 502 A Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8) 507 A Ballard Louisville ( 2- 7, 81.8)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Kentucky Country Day    9- 8       1    -1           1.92
   306 H South Oldham            4- 6      -2    -2           0.04
   309 A Christian Academy-Lo    3-11      -8    -4          -0.88
   312 A Lexington Catholic      2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.52
   321 A Ryle                   10- 3       7     3           1.80
   323 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   326 A Bryan Station          19- 1      18    12           0.00
   327 H North Oldham            6- 7      -1    -1           0.14
   330 H Henry Clay              6- 7      -1    -3           1.70
   402 A Scott County           19- 0      19    14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Lexington Catholic      2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.52

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Frederick Douglass Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Atherton Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Ballard Louisville Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Frederick Douglass
Bluegrass Frederick Douglass tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Frederick Douglass
Bowling Green Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Bryan Station Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Central Hardin Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo Christian Academy-Lo  
Collins Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Cooper Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Covington Catholic Frederick Douglass tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Frederick Douglass
DeSales Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Dixie Heights Frederick Douglass tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Frederick Douglass
DuPont Manual Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Frederick Douglass
Eastern Eastern tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Eastern
Great Crossing Frederick Douglass tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Frederick Douglass
Greenwood Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Lafayette Frederick Douglass tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Frederick Douglass
Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Lexington Christian
Louisville Collegiat Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Male Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
North Hardin Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
North Oldham North Oldham North Oldham  
Oldham County Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Frederick Douglass
Owensboro Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
Paul Laurence Dunbar Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
Ryle Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Sayre Sayre Sayre   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Scott County Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Shelby County Frederick Douglass tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Frederick Douglass
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren Frederick Douglass tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Frederick Douglass
St Henry Frederick Douglass   Frederick Douglass
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville   St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Frederick Douglass
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Walton-Verona Frederick Douglass insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Frederick Douglass
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PowerWise = 30


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Kentucky Count  ( 4- 3, 92.8)     9- 8       -7.12      23.14      -0.24         0.65            14.94
   0 H South Oldham    ( 4- 2, 93.9)     4- 6       -6.00      24.26      -0.24         0.65            -4.07
   0 A Christian Acad  ( 5- 2, 95.5)     3-11       -4.40      25.86       0.24         0.65            -2.71
   0 A Lexington Cath  ( 3- 3, 91.9)     2- 7       -8.04      22.22       0.24         0.65            -5.09
   0 A Ryle            ( 3- 4, 88.2)    10- 3      -11.72      18.54       0.24         0.65            12.25
   0 A Woodford Count  ( 8- 0, 99.9)     3-16       -0.00      30.26       0.24         0.65            -0.16
   0 A Bryan Station   ( 0- 6, 79.4)    19- 1      -20.47       9.79       0.24         0.65             6.54
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7- 2, 93.0)     6- 7       -6.90      23.36      -0.24         0.65            -4.66
   0 H Henry Clay      ( 7- 0, 94.6)     6- 7       -5.33      24.93      -0.24         0.65            -3.64
   0 A Scott County    ( 1- 5, 77.2)    19- 0      -22.71       7.55       0.24         0.65             5.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        18.48

winning pts = 38.8117 losing points = -20.3270

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------