boys Frederick Douglass 1

  
Frederick Douglass    
W-L: ( 6- 8)  PR =    90.2037
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 304 H Kentucky Country Day                 ( 6- 6, 90.9)     9- 8   
 306 H South Oldham                         ( 5- 3, 93.9)     4- 6   
 309 A Christian Academy-Lo                 ( 8- 3, 93.5)     3-11   
 312 A Lexington Catholic                   ( 4- 6, 89.1)     2- 7   
 321 A Ryle                                 ( 6- 6, 86.2)    10- 3   
 323 A Woodford County                      (13- 0, 98.3)     3-16   
 326 A Bryan Station                        ( 2- 9, 74.5)    19- 1   
 327 H North Oldham                         (11- 3, 91.6)     6- 7   
 330 H Henry Clay                           ( 8- 1, 92.7)     6- 7   
 402 A Scott County                         ( 3-10, 73.4)    19- 0   
 416 H Dixie Heights                        ( 6- 4, 87.5)    13-10   
 417 A Great Crossing                       ( 5- 4, 78.0)    18- 5   
 422 H Sayre                                (11- 1, 95.0)     5- 6   
 430 A Eastern                              (10- 7, 89.6)     6- 7   
 502 A Lexington Christian                  ( 6- 6, 90.4)   
 507 A Ballard Louisville                   ( 3-10, 77.9)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Kentucky Country Day    9- 8       1     0           1.21
   306 H South Oldham            4- 6      -2    -3           1.27
   309 A Christian Academy-Lo    3-11      -8    -4          -1.22
   312 A Lexington Catholic      2- 7      -5     1    --    -5.61
   321 A Ryle                   10- 3       7     4           1.47
   323 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   326 A Bryan Station          19- 1      18    15           0.00
   327 H North Oldham            6- 7      -1    -1          -0.04
   330 H Henry Clay              6- 7      -1    -2           1.06
   402 A Scott County           19- 0      19    16           0.00
   416 H Dixie Heights          13-10       3     3          -0.21
   417 A Great Crossing         18- 5      13    12           0.00
   422 H Sayre                   5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.28
   430 A Eastern                 6- 7      -1     0          -1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Lexington Catholic      2- 7      -5     1    --    -5.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Sayre                   5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.28

Frederick Douglass PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Anderson County	Frederick Douglass			Frederick Douglass
Atherton	Frederick Douglass		tied - 0- 1	Frederick Douglass
Ballard Louisville	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 1- 3 vs 0- 4
Bluegrass	Frederick Douglass		tied - 1- 0	Frederick Douglass
Bowling Green	Frederick Douglass		tied - 0- 1	Frederick Douglass
Bryan Station	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
Central Hardin	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 2- 0 vs 1- 1
Christian Academy-Lo	Christian Academy-Lo	Christian Academy-Lo
Collins	Frederick Douglass		tied - 0- 2	Frederick Douglass
Cooper	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 2- 1 vs 1- 2
Covington Catholic	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 3- 2 vs 1- 4
DeSales	Frederick Douglass			Frederick Douglass
Dixie Heights	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
DuPont Manual	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 2- 3 vs 0- 5
Eastern	Eastern	Eastern
Great Crossing	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
Greenwood	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Henry Clay	Henry Clay	Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
Lafayette	Frederick Douglass		tied - 2- 1	Frederick Douglass
Lexington Catholic	Lexington Catholic	Lexington Catholic
Lexington Christian	Lexington Christian		Lexington Christian 3- 6 vs 2- 7
Louisville Collegiat	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 1- 2 vs 0- 3
Male	Frederick Douglass			Frederick Douglass
North Hardin	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Oldham	North Oldham	North Oldham
Oldham County	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 1- 3 vs 0- 4
Owensboro	Frederick Douglass		tied - 0- 1	Frederick Douglass
Paul Laurence Dunbar	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 2- 2 vs 0- 4
Ryle	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
Sayre	Sayre	Sayre
Scott County	Frederick Douglass	Frederick Douglass
Shelby County	Frederick Douglass		tied - 2- 2	Frederick Douglass
South Oldham	South Oldham	South Oldham
South Warren	Frederick Douglass		tied - 0- 2	Frederick Douglass
St Henry	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Xavier Louisville	St Xavier Louisville		St Xavier Louisville 1- 0 vs 0- 1
Tates Creek	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 5- 2 vs 3- 4
Trinity Louisville	Trinity Louisville		Trinity Louisville 5- 0 vs 1- 4
Walton-Verona	Frederick Douglass		Frederick Douglass 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Woodford County	Woodford County	Woodford County

PairWisePlus = 30

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.57

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Kentucky Count  ( 6- 6, 90.9)     9- 8       -9.02      22.01      -0.47         0.76            16.26
   0 H South Oldham    ( 5- 3, 93.9)     4- 6       -5.96      25.07      -0.47         0.76            -4.85
   0 A Christian Acad  ( 8- 3, 93.5)     3-11       -6.38      24.65       0.47         0.76            -4.46
   0 A Lexington Cath  ( 4- 6, 89.1)     2- 7      -10.77      20.26       0.47         0.76            -7.78
   0 A Ryle            ( 6- 6, 86.2)    10- 3      -13.69      17.34       0.47         0.76            13.44
   0 A Woodford Count  (13- 0, 98.3)     3-16       -1.64      29.39       0.47         0.76            -0.89
   0 A Bryan Station   ( 2- 9, 74.5)    19- 1      -25.43       5.60       0.47         0.76             4.58
   0 H North Oldham    (11- 3, 91.6)     6- 7       -8.27      22.76      -0.47         0.76            -6.60
   0 H Henry Clay      ( 8- 1, 92.7)     6- 7       -7.16      23.87      -0.47         0.76            -5.76
   0 A Scott County    ( 3-10, 73.4)    19- 0      -26.47       4.56       0.47         0.76             3.80
   0 H Dixie Heights   ( 6- 4, 87.5)    13-10      -12.44      18.59      -0.47         0.76            13.68
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 5- 4, 78.0)    18- 5      -21.92       9.11       0.47         0.76             7.23
   0 H Sayre           (11- 1, 95.0)     5- 6       -4.95      26.08      -0.47         0.76            -4.09
   0 A Eastern         (10- 7, 89.6)     6- 7      -10.27      20.76       0.47         0.76            -7.40
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        17.17

winning pts = 59.0029 losing points = -41.8373

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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