Frederick Douglass
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 91.6206
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Kentucky Country Day ( 4- 3, 92.8) 9- 8
306 H South Oldham ( 4- 2, 93.9) 4- 6
309 A Christian Academy-Lo ( 5- 2, 95.5) 3-11
312 A Lexington Catholic ( 3- 3, 91.9) 2- 7
321 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 10- 3
323 A Woodford County ( 8- 0, 99.9) 3-16
326 A Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4) 19- 1
327 H North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 6- 7
330 H Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6) 6- 7
402 A Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 19- 0
416 H Dixie Heights ( 4- 2, 90.8)
417 A Great Crossing ( 4- 2, 83.0)
422 H Sayre ( 6- 1, 97.8)
428 A Eastern ( 4- 5, 91.8)
502 A Lexington Christian ( 3- 4, 92.8)
507 A Ballard Louisville ( 2- 7, 81.8)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Kentucky Country Day 9- 8 1 -1 1.92
306 H South Oldham 4- 6 -2 -2 0.04
309 A Christian Academy-Lo 3-11 -8 -4 -0.88
312 A Lexington Catholic 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.52
321 A Ryle 10- 3 7 3 1.80
323 A Woodford County 3-16 -13 -9 0.00
326 A Bryan Station 19- 1 18 12 0.00
327 H North Oldham 6- 7 -1 -1 0.14
330 H Henry Clay 6- 7 -1 -3 1.70
402 A Scott County 19- 0 19 14 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
312 A Lexington Catholic 2- 7 -5 0 -- -4.52
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
Frederick Douglass Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Anderson County |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Atherton |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Ballard Louisville |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Bluegrass |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Bowling Green |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Bryan Station |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
| Central Hardin |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Christian Academy-Lo |
 
| |
| Collins |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Cooper |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Covington Catholic |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| DeSales |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Dixie Heights |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| DuPont Manual |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Eastern |
Eastern |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Eastern |
| Great Crossing |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Greenwood |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
| Kentucky Country Day |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
| Lafayette |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
| Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
|
tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) |
Lexington Christian |
| Louisville Collegiat |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Male |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| North Hardin |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| North Oldham |
North Oldham |
North Oldham |
 
| |
| Oldham County |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Owensboro |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Ryle |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
| Sayre |
Sayre |
|
Sayre   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
| Scott County |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
| Shelby County |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Frederick Douglass |
| South Oldham |
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
 
| |
| South Warren |
Frederick Douglass |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| St Henry |
Frederick Douglass |
|
 
| Frederick Douglass |
| St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
 
| St Xavier Louisville |
| Tates Creek |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
Trinity Louisville   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Walton-Verona |
Frederick Douglass |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Frederick Douglass |
| Woodford County |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
 
| |
PowerWise = 30

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 6.52
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Kentucky Count ( 4- 3, 92.8) 9- 8 -7.12 23.14 -0.24 0.65 14.94
0 H South Oldham ( 4- 2, 93.9) 4- 6 -6.00 24.26 -0.24 0.65 -4.07
0 A Christian Acad ( 5- 2, 95.5) 3-11 -4.40 25.86 0.24 0.65 -2.71
0 A Lexington Cath ( 3- 3, 91.9) 2- 7 -8.04 22.22 0.24 0.65 -5.09
0 A Ryle ( 3- 4, 88.2) 10- 3 -11.72 18.54 0.24 0.65 12.25
0 A Woodford Count ( 8- 0, 99.9) 3-16 -0.00 30.26 0.24 0.65 -0.16
0 A Bryan Station ( 0- 6, 79.4) 19- 1 -20.47 9.79 0.24 0.65 6.54
0 H North Oldham ( 7- 2, 93.0) 6- 7 -6.90 23.36 -0.24 0.65 -4.66
0 H Henry Clay ( 7- 0, 94.6) 6- 7 -5.33 24.93 -0.24 0.65 -3.64
0 A Scott County ( 1- 5, 77.2) 19- 0 -22.71 7.55 0.24 0.65 5.08
------
18.48
|
winning pts = 38.8117 losing points = -20.3270
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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